DS
DICK'S SPORTING GOODS, INC. (DKS)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2026 delivered record first-quarter sales with net sales of $3.17B (+5.2% YoY), comps +4.5% (5th straight quarter ≥4%), non-GAAP EPS of $3.37 (vs $3.30 LY), and non-GAAP EBT margin of 11.4% (+5 bps YoY). Gross margin expanded ~41 bps on higher merchandise margins .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus on EPS ($3.37 vs $3.21*) and revenue ($3.17B vs $3.12B*), driven by higher ticket (+3.7%) and transactions (+0.8%), broad-based category growth, and strong vertical brand mix; tax-rate normalization to ~24% muted GAAP EPS growth YoY (S&P Global).
- Guidance reaffirmed: FY2025 EPS $13.80–$14.40, comps +1% to +3%, net sales $13.6–$13.9B; management expects ~75 bps gross margin expansion at the midpoint, operating margin ~11.1%, pre-opening $65–$75M, and ~81M diluted shares .
- Strategic catalyst: announced plan to acquire Foot Locker; expected to close H2’25, with first full-year EPS accretion and $100–$125M medium-term cost synergies; financing via cash and debt as needed; approvals progressed subsequently (post-Q1) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
-
What Went Well
- Broad-based top-line strength: comps +4.5% on higher ticket (+3.7%) and transactions (+0.8%); fifth straight quarter with ≥4% comps .
- Margin execution: gross margin +41 bps YoY on higher merchandise margins; vertical brands (DSG, Kaliya, Verse) outperformed and carry 700–900 bps higher margins .
- Strategic growth engines: e-commerce growth outpaced total company; GameChanger scaled to 6.5M unique active users and ~2.2M daily active users (+~28% YoY), supporting DICK’S Media Network monetization .
-
What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS optics: higher effective tax rate (
24% vs 19.6% LY) reduced GAAP EPS growth despite operational improvement; 2024 benefited from equity award tax effects ($0.19) . - SG&A deleverage: non-GAAP SG&A increased 7% and deleveraged ~42 bps as planned investments in digital, stores, and marketing ramped, offset only partially by lower incentive comp .
- Inventory elevated: inventories +12% YoY (deliberate to drive differentiation and spring sell-through) and will moderate later in the year; no tariff cost impact in Q1, timing risks remain for later quarters .
- GAAP EPS optics: higher effective tax rate (
Financial Results
Q1 2026 vs Estimates (S&P Global):
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
KPIs and Other Metrics:
Guidance Changes
Note: Outlook excludes acquisition-related items and results from the planned Foot Locker acquisition .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “By bringing our two great brands together, we see the opportunity to create a global leader in the sports retail industry… serving a broader set of athletes.” — Ed Stack, Executive Chairman .
- “Our Q1 comps increased 4.5%… fifth straight quarter with comps over 4.0%. Our first quarter gross margin expanded and we delivered non-GAAP EPS ahead of the prior year. We are reaffirming our 2025 outlook…” — Lauren Hobart, CEO .
- “These strong comps were driven by a 3.7% increase in average tickets and a 0.8% increase in transactions… Gross profit… increased 41 basis points from last year. This increase was driven by higher merchandise margins.” — Navdeep Gupta, CFO .
- “We continue to expect gross margins to improve by approximately 75 basis points at the midpoint… Operating margin ~11.1% at the midpoint.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Foot Locker rationale and synergy: management emphasized global reach, strengthening brand relationships, operational efficiencies, and $100–$125M medium-term cost synergies; targeted to be EPS accretive in the first full fiscal year post-close .
- Regulatory cadence / divestiture threshold: FTC/regulatory approvals expected H2’25; merger docs include ~$100M divestiture threshold to preserve strategy focus .
- Tariff strategy: no Q1 impact; guidance incorporates known tariffs; dynamic SKU-level pricing capability and partner collaboration to mitigate .
- Nike partnership: continued strong strategic relationship, market segmentation to limit overlap, product innovation across running, lifestyle, and women’s basketball .
- Margin drivers: higher merchandise margin, pricing/promo optimization, vertical brands’ 700–900 bps margin premium; GameChanger and Media Network add incremental mix benefit over time .
- Capital returns: $298.7M buybacks in Q1; future buybacks to be “nimble” given S-4/transaction constraints .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2026 beats: EPS $3.37 vs $3.21*; revenue $3.17B vs $3.12B*; EBITDA $464.0M vs $442.8M* (S&P Global). Non-GAAP operational beat reflects merchandise margin improvement and mix benefits; GAAP EPS optics impacted by tax-rate normalization .
- Forward setup: Management expects comps closer to the high end through Q3 and ~75 bps GM expansion at the midpoint, but SG&A deleverage heavier in 1H moderates in 2H; FY EPS $13.80–$14.40 maintained . This suggests near-term estimate bias modestly upward on sales/margin trajectory with full-year EPS range intact.
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Durable top-line with quality: five straight quarters ≥4% comps, with growth from both ticket and traffic, and broad category strength (footwear, apparel, team sports) .
- Margin mix lever: merchandise margin expansion, vertical brands’ higher margin contribution, plus scaling digital media/youth-sports ecosystems underpin gross margin resiliency despite macro/tariff noise .
- Investment year optics: intentional SG&A investments will deleverage 1H but moderate in 2H; FY operating margin ~11.1% midpoint maintained .
- Capital returns and balance sheet: robust buybacks ($299M), dividend maintained, ~$1.0B net capex focused on high-ROI formats (House of Sport, Field House) .
- Foot Locker deal is the narrative swing factor: expected EPS accretion in first full year, medium-term cost synergies, and global reach expansion; integration and execution to drive re-rating potential .
- Near-term trading: positive reaction drivers include beat vs consensus, reaffirmed outlook, and category momentum; watch for tariff flow-through timing and SG&A pacing updates next quarter .
- Medium-term thesis: structural advantages in assortment/access, experiential formats, and data/media monetization (GameChanger/DMN) support sustained share gains and margin durability .