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DM

Desktop Metal, Inc. (DM)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Mixed Q1: Revenue of $40.6M declined less than 2% YoY as macro CapEx pressures persisted; GAAP gross margin was -5.4% due to accelerated amortization/depreciation, but non-GAAP gross margin expanded to 30.5% and adjusted EBITDA loss improved 44% YoY to $(13.6)M .
  • Cost actions continue to flow through: non-GAAP OpEx fell to $28.6M (nine straight quarters down); management reiterated confidence in reaching positive adjusted EBITDA in H2’24 .
  • Strategy pivot: adding ~30 sales reps while exploring strategic alternatives for photopolymer assets to accelerate the path to profitability; recurring revenue mix hit a record 43% in Q1, underscoring installed base utilization .
  • Guidance maintained: FY24 revenue $175–$215M and adjusted EBITDA $(30)M to $(10)M; H2 adjusted EBITDA positive reiterated—key potential stock catalyst as execution de-risks the profitability milestone .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Non-GAAP gross margin inflected to 30.5% (record Q1), up ~1,200 bps YoY; adjusted EBITDA loss improved to $(13.6)M, a $10.8M YoY improvement, reflecting cost discipline and mix benefits .
  • Recurring revenue mix reached a record 43% of revenues, indicating rising utilization and stickier, higher-margin streams .
  • Strategic focus: Management reaffirmed plan to be adjusted EBITDA positive in H2’24 and is reinvesting in go-to-market to drive double-digit growth as cycles normalize. “We are confident in achieving positive adjusted EBITDA in the second half of 2024” .

What Went Wrong

  • Top line softness persisted: revenue fell slightly YoY to $40.6M, with GAAP gross margin negative due to one-time noncash charges tied to accelerated amortization/depreciation on certain intangible and fixed assets .
  • Macro headwinds and elongated sales cycles continued to delay larger industrial purchases; management cited high cost of capital and lengthened cycles as demand friction .
  • Cash draw continued (though improving): cash, cash equivalents and ST investments ended Q1 at $66.3M; operating cash outflow was $(17.4)M (improved vs $(37.3)M in Q1’23) .

Financial Results

Headline KPIs by quarter

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024YoY/Seq CommentaryVs Estimates
Revenue ($M)$42.8 $52.3 $40.6 YoY: down <2% in Q1’24 ; Seq: Q1 down from Q4 on seasonality N/A (SPGI unavailable)
GAAP EPS$(0.14) N/A$(0.16) Q1’24 flat YoY at $(0.16) N/A (SPGI unavailable)
GAAP Gross Margin %4.5% (32)% (5.4)% Q1 GM pressured by noncash amort./depr. N/A
Non-GAAP Gross Margin %21.9% 34% 30.5% Sustained expansion YoY; Seq dip on lower revenue N/A
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(20.5) $(9.2) $(13.6) YoY improvement; Q4 bulletin omitted minus sign; reconciliation confirms negative N/A
Non-GAAP OpEx ($M)$33.18 $31.6 $28.64 Nine consecutive quarterly declines N/A
Cash + ST Investments ($M)$108.2 $84.5 $66.3 Continued draw as cost programs ramp and demand stabilizes N/A

Notes: Q4’23 press release bullet listed “Adjusted EBITDA of $9.2M” but reconciliation shows $(9.195)M; we rely on reconciliation .

Q1 year-over-year detail

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024YoY
Total Revenues ($M)$41.316 $40.600 -1.7%
GAAP Net Loss ($M)$(52.642) $(52.098) +$0.544M
GAAP EPS$(0.16) $(0.16) Flat
GAAP Gross Profit (Loss) ($M)$(1.364) $(2.206) More negative on noncash charges
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(24.439) $(13.618) +$10.821M

Revenue mix (products vs services)

Metric ($M)Q1 2023Q1 2024
Products$36.697 $35.631
Services$4.619 $4.969
Total$41.316 $40.600

Cash flow and working capital (Q1)

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Cash from Operations ($M)$(37.346) $(17.409)
Inventory ($M) (end of period)N/A$83.097 ; CFO commentary: $83.1
Accounts Receivable ($M) (end of period)N/A$35.420 ; CFO commentary: ~$35.4 with expected conversion in next 2 quarters
Cash, Cash Equivalents + ST Investments ($M)N/A$66.3

Non-GAAP drivers: Q1 non-GAAP gross margin excludes stock comp, amortization of acquired intangibles, restructuring, and acquisition/integration costs; the period had significant amortization ($14.34M in cost of sales) and restructuring adjustments .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (as of Mar 15, 2024)Current Guidance (as of May 9, 2024)Change
RevenueFY 2024$175–$215M $175–$215M Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2024$(30)M to $(10)M $(30)M to $(10)M Maintained
Adjusted EBITDA trajectoryH2 2024Positive in H2’24 Positive in H2’24 Maintained

Desktop Metal did not provide non-GAAP gross margin guidance; CFO reiterated mid-30s non-GAAP gross margin potential at ~$50M quarterly revenue and cited 34% achieved on $52M in Q4 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3’23 and Q4’23)Current Period (Q1’24)Trend
Cost reductions / OpEx$150M program; seven consecutive OpEx reductions; target adj. EBITDA breakeven (Q4’23) Nine straight non-GAAP OpEx declines to $28.6M; adj. EBITDA loss narrows YoY Improving
Gross margin trajectoryNon-GAAP GM 21.9% in Q3; 34% in Q4; mid-30s achievable at ~$50M revenue (CFO) 30.5% non-GAAP in Q1; sequential dip on lower revenue; reiterated framework Stable to improving with revenue
Demand / Sales cyclesLengthened cycles in 2023; pipeline healthy; macro a headwind Not demand-constrained; plan to add ~30 sales reps globally to drive growth Expanding GTM
Photopolymer strategic alternativesInitiated review to exit/de-emphasize select lines (Q4’23) Process underway; aim to accelerate path to cash flow positive Portfolio refocus
Digital casting / binder jetPrinted casting grew 27% in 2023; 80%+ share; under 5% penetration Continued strength in sand/ceramics; strong pipeline and applications; recurring revenue at record Positive adoption
Dental (Flexcera, ScanUp)Record recurring revenue; Flexcera expansion; ScanUp ramp (Q4) Flexcera Base Ultra+ launch; Asiga validation; ScanUp partnership with Align continues; dental TAM highlighted Building ecosystem
Seasonality / OutlookExpect stronger Q2 and Q4; cautious on highs Reiterated seasonality (Q2 up, Q3 muted, biggest Q4) Consistent
Government/DefenseMultiple programs in aerospace/defense; parts in engines, space Ongoing support for DoD/DoE; several defense applications cited Sustained momentum

Management Commentary

  • CEO on margin and profitability: “We have a record Q1 margin of 30.5%... We’re looking forward to crossing the adjusted EBITDA profitability threshold this year” .
  • CEO on demand and GTM: “We’re not demand constrained... we’re adding an additional 30 reps around the world over the next few quarters” .
  • CEO on recurring revenue: “Recurring revenues... reached a record 43% of revenues” .
  • CFO on gross margin framework: “At ~$50M+ per quarter, we can be in the mid-30s non-GAAP gross margin” .
  • CFO on guidance: “We are reiterating FY24 revenue of $175–$215M and adjusted EBITDA of $(30)M to $(10)M; H2’24 positive adjusted EBITDA” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gross margin trajectory: Management avoided explicit GM guidance but reiterated mid-30s potential at ~$50M quarterly revenue and referenced 34% in Q4 on $52M .
  • OpEx path: Non-GAAP OpEx has not bottomed; more reductions expected even with targeted GTM investments .
  • Metal powder bed and product portfolio: Direct metal/powder bed up ~9% in Q1; realigned sales resources by product; strong materials breadth (incl. reactives, refractories) and installed base .
  • Go-to-market vs cost cuts: Adding capacity to offset longer cycles; aiming to return to double-digit growth as new hires mature .
  • Seasonality: Expect Q2 > Q1, muted Q3, strongest Q4; cautious on magnitude given macro .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1’24 revenue/EPS/EBITDA was unavailable via our S&P Global tool for this ticker at this time; therefore, we cannot present vs-consensus comparisons. Management did not provide quarterly guidance and avoided non-GAAP GM guidance, though reiterated the framework discussed above .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin quality improving: Non-GAAP gross margin at 30.5% and nine quarters of OpEx declines de-risk the H2’24 adjusted EBITDA positive target; upside levered to revenue acceleration back toward the ~$50M/quarter level .
  • Reaffirmed FY24 outlook limits downside: Maintaining revenue and adjusted EBITDA ranges despite macro suggests cost discipline and visibility on cost-out benefits; execution on H2 profitability is the near-term catalyst .
  • Mix shift to recurring: Record 43% recurring revenue indicates installed base health and higher-margin mix; this supports gross margin durability through cycles .
  • Sales capacity adds: Hiring ~30 reps globally should expand coverage and shorten the time to close deals as cycles normalize, particularly in binder jet and digital casting—potential medium-term growth accelerant .
  • Portfolio optimization: Ongoing strategic alternatives for photopolymers could streamline cash usage and sharpen focus on IP-centric, higher-margin production platforms—monitor for asset sales/partnerships .
  • Watch cash runway and working capital conversion: Q1 operating cash outflow improved to $(17.4)M; inventory ($83.1M) and receivables ($35.4M) are targeted to convert over H1/H2; sustained improvement would extend runway .
  • Trading implications: Near term, the stock should be sensitive to signs of Q2 sequential growth, incremental GM expansion, and tangible updates on photopolymer asset actions; H2 profitability confirmation is the main re-rating trigger .

Appendix: Non-GAAP Adjustments (Q1 2024)

  • Notable non-GAAP add-backs include amortization of acquired intangibles ($21.0M total; $14.34M in cost of sales), restructuring ($3.0M), acquisition-related costs ($1.26M), and stock-based compensation ($7.84M). Management also noted incremental depreciation ($0.4M) and amortization ($11.2M) within restructuring for the Photopolymer Initiative .