Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

DT

Denali Therapeutics Inc. (DNLI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 EPS of -$0.74 modestly beat Wall Street consensus of -$0.758 (15 estimates) on lower-than-feared loss per share; net loss was $126.9M and total operating expenses were $137.4M . EPS consensus values marked with an asterisk are from S&P Global (SPGI)*.
  • Liquidity remains strong with $872.9M in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities at quarter-end, supporting commercial readiness and pipeline execution .
  • Regulatory timeline updated: FDA classified Denali’s clinical pharmacology update for tividenofusp alfa (MPS II) as a Major Amendment, extending PDUFA from Jan 5, 2026 to Apr 5, 2026; launch preparations continue .
  • Pipeline execution advanced: DNL126 (MPS IIIA) Phase 1/2 enrollment completed; CTA/IND submissions filed for DNL628 (OTV:MAPT; Alzheimer’s) and DNL952 (ETV:GAA; Pompe), reinforcing the TV platform expansion .
  • Leadership transition announced alongside Board strengthening, an incremental positive for commercialization readiness and governance continuity .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Completed Phase 1/2 enrollment for DNL126 (MPS IIIA), supporting an accelerated approval path; prior data showed CSF heparan sulfate reductions including normalization, and a supportive safety profile .
  • Advanced TV-enabled pipeline breadth: submitted regulatory applications to initiate studies for DNL628 (OTV:MAPT; Alzheimer’s) and DNL952 (ETV:GAA; Pompe), enlarging the platform’s reach across CNS and muscle disease .
  • Management tone confident on commercialization: “Momentum is building across Denali as we prepare for the anticipated launch of tividenofusp alfa with an experienced and focused commercial team in place” — Ryan Watts, Ph.D., CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • FDA extended tividenofusp alfa’s PDUFA date by three months to Apr 5, 2026 due to a Major Amendment; while not related to efficacy/safety/biomarkers, it pushes the expected approval timing and may temper near-term sentiment .
  • Operating expenses increased year over year: R&D rose to $102.0M (vs. $98.2M prior year) and G&A to $35.5M (vs. $24.9M prior year), reflecting manufacturing ramp and launch preparation costs .
  • Continued lack of product revenue and widened loss vs. prior year: net loss of $126.9M (vs. $107.2M prior year) amid higher OpEx; press release statements did not report revenue line items for Q3 .

Financial Results

Income Statement and Operating Metrics

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Loss ($USD Millions)$132.97 $124.12 $126.90
Net Loss per Share (EPS, $USD)-$0.78 -$0.72 -$0.74
Research & Development Expense ($USD Millions)$116.23 $102.70 $101.95
General & Administrative Expense ($USD Millions)$29.35 $32.27 $35.48
Total Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$145.58 $134.96 $137.43
Interest & Other Income, net ($USD Millions)$12.61 $10.84 $10.53

Liquidity

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Cash, Cash Equivalents & Marketable Securities ($USD Millions)~$1,050.0 ~$977.4 ~$872.9

EPS vs. Estimates (Q3 2025)

MetricQ3 2025
EPS Actual ($USD)-$0.74
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)-$0.758*
Surprise ($USD)+$0.018*
Primary EPS – # of Estimates15*

Revenue vs. Estimates (Q3 2025)

MetricQ3 2025
Revenue Actual ($USD)N/A (not disclosed in press release statements)
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD Millions)$1.00*
Revenue – # of Estimates15*

Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global (SPGI)*.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Tividenofusp alfa PDUFA target dateU.S. BLA reviewJan 5, 2026 Apr 5, 2026 Extended 3 months (FDA Major Amendment)
DNL126 (ETV:SGSH) development pathMPS IIIAAccelerated approval path aligned; enrollment nearing completion Phase 1/2 enrollment completed; confirmatory Phase 3 planning ongoing Advanced (operational milestone)
Financial guidance (Revenue, margins, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, segment guidance, dividends)FY/Q3 2025Not providedNot providedMaintained (no financial guidance provided)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: An earnings call transcript for Q3 2025 was not available after searching company and aggregator sources (no transcript in our document catalog) and web sources; thus themes are derived from Q1–Q3 earnings releases and related press updates .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q1)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Regulatory/legal (tividenofusp alfa)BLA accepted for priority review with Jan 5, 2026 PDUFA target Major Amendment extended PDUFA to Apr 5, 2026; engagement with FDA continues Timeline extended; regulatory engagement ongoing
R&D execution (DNL126)FDA alignment on CSF HS surrogate; enrollment near completion Phase 1/2 enrollment completed; Phase 3 planning continues Advancing per plan
TV platform expansion (OTV/ETV)Plan to submit one to two regulatory applications in 2025 CTA/IND submitted for DNL628 (OTV:MAPT) and DNL952 (ETV:GAA) Execution achieved
Manufacturing & supply chainIn-house clinical biomanufacturing facility launched (Salt Lake City) Manufacturing operations contributed to higher R&D and personnel expenses Scaling capability with cost ramp
Partnerships (Takeda, Biogen)DNL593 Phase 1/2 ongoing; BIIB122 LUMA fully enrolled, readout 2026 Collaboration momentum maintained; 2026 LUMA readout reiterated Steady progress

Management Commentary

  • “Momentum is building across Denali as we prepare for the anticipated launch of tividenofusp alfa with an experienced and focused commercial team in place.” — Ryan Watts, Ph.D., CEO .
  • “We appreciate the FDA’s continued collaboration throughout the review process… We continue to prepare for the potential approval and commercial launch of tividenofusp alfa.” — Ryan Watts, Ph.D., CEO .
  • “We are thrilled to welcome Tim to our Board… as we continue to grow and advance towards the potential approval and launch of our first product.” — Ryan Watts, Ph.D., CEO .
  • “I am honored to join Denali as the team prepares for commercialization of its first medicine and advances its TransportVehicle (TV) platform…” — Tim Van Hauwermeiren .
  • “I am deeply grateful for the trust placed in me to lead our Development organization at this important time for Denali.” — Peter Chin, M.D. .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available after comprehensive search; therefore, Q&A themes and clarifications cannot be provided. Denali plans Investor Day on Dec 4, 2025 in NYC to provide strategic and launch-readiness updates, which may serve as a proxy venue for investor Q&A .

Estimates Context

  • EPS beat: Actual -$0.74 vs. consensus -$0.758 (15 estimates), a ~$0.02 beat; this modest surprise likely reflects disciplined OpEx relative to expectations and interest income contribution amid no product revenue (*SPGI). Actual EPS cited from the press release .
  • Revenue: Company did not disclose Q3 revenue line items in the condensed statements, consistent with a pre-commercial profile; consensus revenue ($1.00M; 15 estimates) appears minimal and not a core driver (*SPGI).
  • Implications: Near-term estimate revisions likely modest on EPS given the small beat; more material changes may focus on timing for tividenofusp alfa launch given the PDUFA extension to Apr 5, 2026 . Values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global (SPGI)*.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Ticker catalyst re-timed: PDUFA extension to Apr 5, 2026 modestly delays the pivotal regulatory event; however, FDA noted no issues related to efficacy/safety/biomarkers, which anchors the thesis near term .
  • Commercial readiness on track: Management highlights launch preparations and leadership transitions supportive of go-to-market execution for tividenofusp alfa .
  • Pipeline durability: DNL126 advanced with Phase 1/2 enrollment completion and accelerated approval path aligned with FDA, adding a second potential rare disease revenue stream medium term .
  • Platform expansion: CTA/IND filings for DNL628 and DNL952 broaden optionality across Alzheimer’s and Pompe disease, reinforcing the TV platform’s multi-modality applicability .
  • Cash runway: ~$872.9M in cash and marketable securities underpins operations and launch readiness without near-term financing pressure .
  • Near-term events: Dec 4 Investor Day could provide detailed launch plans, pricing/access strategy, and pipeline timelines—key for trading setups around regulatory milestones .
  • 2026 readouts: BIIB122 (LUMA Phase 2b) and ongoing studies provide medium-term data catalysts, informing broader PD strategy and multi-asset valuation .

Additional sources used:

  • Q3 2025 8-K item 2.02 and Exhibit 99.1 press release (financials, programs, liquidity, quotes) .
  • Q2 2025 8-K press release (financials, programs) .
  • Q1 2025 8-K press release (financials, programs, manufacturing) .
  • Oct 13, 2025 press release (FDA review extension and rationale) .
  • Nov 6, 2025 leadership press release (Board addition, CMO transition, quotes) .

Search notes for transcript:

  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript found in document catalog and web search; press coverage mirrored the earnings release content .