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DecisionPoint Systems, Inc. (DPSI)·Q1 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2024 revenue was $25.618M, down 5.3% year over year, with diluted EPS of $(0.11) versus $0.11 in Q1 2023; gross profit was $6.011M and operating loss was $(0.898)M .
  • Mix shifted favorably toward services and software (service revenue $10.301M vs $4.873M YoY), improving gross margin versus hardware-heavy periods; management attributed the YoY decline chiefly to the absence of a large hardware solutions project .
  • Cash increased $1.534M in the quarter to $5.834M, and debt balances fell (revolver to $0; long-term debt down), consistent with management’s “debt reduced by over $1.6M and increased cash by $1.5M” commentary .
  • Pending go-private transaction at $10.22 per share in cash (approx. 27% premium to pre-announcement price) is the near-term stock catalyst; company did not host a Q1 call while focusing on shareholder vote and closing (targeted July) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Services/software revenue more than doubled YoY, lifting mix and supporting margin resilience: service revenue $10.301M (vs $4.873M YoY); management emphasized expanding Mobile Managed Services and new PointCare offerings .
  • Cash generation and deleveraging: net cash from operations $3.243M; revolver balance fell to $0 and long-term debt declined, aligning with “debt reduced by over $1.6M and increased cash by $1.5M” .
  • Strategic progress on managed services backlog: secured a large C‑store managed services engagement; formal launches of StoreCare/SiteCare planned for Q2 to broaden TAM beyond device-level services .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line softness and margin compression vs recent quarters: net sales $25.618M lagged Q4 2023’s $30.503M; gross margin estimated ~23.5% in Q1 (vs 24.6% in Q4 and 27.6% in Q3), reflecting the absence of a large hardware project and higher OpEx as investments ramp .
  • Profitability declined YoY: operating loss $(0.898)M vs operating income $1.188M in Q1 2023, with G&A and sales & marketing expenses higher year over year amid growth investments .
  • No earnings call and limited near-term guidance amid pending transaction; this reduces visibility for investors on intra-quarter trends and FY trajectory .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L Comparison (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$27.140 $30.503 $25.618
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$7.483 $7.543 $6.011
Gross Margin (%)27.6% 24.6% 23.5% (calc from $6.011/$25.618)
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.516 $0.723 $(0.898)
Net Income ($USD Millions)$1.053 $(0.268) $(0.832)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.13 $(0.03) $(0.11)

YoY Comparison – Q1 2024 vs Q1 2023 (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 2023Q1 2024
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$27.039 $25.618
Product Revenue ($USD Millions)$22.166 $15.317
Service Revenue ($USD Millions)$4.873 $10.301
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$6.050 $6.011
Gross Margin (%)22.4% (calc from $6.050/$27.039) 23.5% (calc from $6.011/$25.618)
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.188 $(0.898)
Net Income ($USD Millions)$0.866 $(0.832)
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.11 $(0.11)

Segment Revenue Mix (oldest → newest)

SegmentQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Product / Hardware Solutions ($USD Millions)$15.436 $16.146 $15.317
Service / Software & Services ($USD Millions)$11.704 $14.357 $10.301

Balance Sheet & Liquidity Highlights (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2023Q4 2023Q1 2024
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$3.645 $4.300 $5.834
Revolving Line of Credit ($USD Millions)$1.803 (YTD flow) / $— balance not presented; balance later $1.300 $1.300 $—
Long-term Debt, net of current ($USD Millions)$5.693 $3.639 $3.388
Deferred Revenue – Current ($USD Millions)$6.886 $8.066 $9.222

Cash Flow (Q1 2024)

MetricQ1 2024
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities ($USD Millions)$3.243
Net Cash Used in Investing ($USD Millions)$(0.161)
Net Cash Used in Financing ($USD Millions)$(1.548)

Note on estimates: Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable for DPSI at the time of this analysis; no “vs estimates” comparison can be made.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue ($USD Millions)FY 2023$111–$113 Actual $115.6 Achieved above top of guided range
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)FY 2023$8.9–$9.2 Actual $8.9 Met bottom of guided range
FY 2024 GuidanceFY 2024Not provided in Q4 (strategic commentary only) Not provided in Q1 (no call; merger focus) Maintained “no formal guidance” posture

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2023)Previous Mentions (Q4 2023)Current Period (Q1 2024)Trend
Services/software mixRecord 46% of revenue; margin lift; MIS synergies Software/services up 208% YoY Q4; sustained mix strength Services revenue >2x YoY; margin supported by mix Improving mix; recurring services expanding
Managed services strategy (MMS)Building capability; investment despite near-term margin impact PointCare launched; MMS GTM team added; expect recurring growth in 2025 Introduced PointCare; secured large C‑store MMS win; StoreCare/SiteCare launch in Q2 Execution milestones; backlog building
Hardware project cadenceIndustry peers pressured; DPSI differentiated by services Large hardware project aided Q4 results Q1 lacked large hardware project; revenue impacted Volatile; less reliance over time
Deleveraging & liquidityDebt paydown $1.2M in Q3 Debt down; cash $4.3M YE Cash +$1.534M; debt reduced >$1.6M Strengthening balance sheet
Corporate actions (M&A/go‑private)N/AFY wrap; 2024 focus areas Agreed to $10.22/share cash merger; no call; preparing vote and closing Transaction dominates near-term narrative

Management Commentary

  • “Our first quarter results were impacted year over year by not having a large project on the hardware solutions side of the business. However, our gross margin improved with the mix shift towards services and software. We also reduced our debt by over $1.6 million and increased cash by $1.5 million.” — Steve Smith, CEO .
  • “We secured a large managed services opportunity with a leading C‑store chain…This win was a significant add to our managed services recurring revenue backlog…We will formally launch these new service offerings in the second quarter under the StoreCare and SiteCare brands.” — Steve Smith .
  • “2023 was a year of investment…PointCare Services…Vision Portal…re-aligned cost structure…We expect these investments will start to bear fruit for our top line in 2024 and become a more meaningful, higher-margin source of recurring revenue in 2025.” — Steve Smith (Q4 release) .

Q&A Highlights

  • The company did not host a Q1 2024 earnings call due to the pending merger; no Q&A or clarifications were provided on the quarter via a call .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q1 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable for DPSI at the time of this analysis; therefore, beat/miss vs estimates cannot be determined.
  • Investors should note prior-quarter non-GAAP disclosures (e.g., Adjusted EBITDA $1.9M and non-GAAP diluted EPS $0.11 in Q4) to contextualize margin and earnings trend, though Q1 did not include non-GAAP metrics .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Services/software mix is structurally improving, cushioning margins even as hardware project timing creates quarterly volatility; execution on PointCare/StoreCare/SiteCare and C‑store win supports recurring revenue growth .
  • Near-term earnings visibility is limited (no call, no formal 2024 guidance), but cash generation and deleveraging progress continue (cash +$1.534M; revolver to $0; long-term debt down) .
  • Q1 showed a YoY revenue decline and negative EPS driven by the absence of a large hardware project and higher OpEx from growth investments; monitoring OpEx normalization and services backlog conversion is critical .
  • The definitive agreement to be acquired for $10.22/share in cash is the dominant catalyst; closing is targeted for July, subject to shareholder approval and customary conditions, implying capped upside near deal value and event-driven risk if conditions slip .
  • Medium-term thesis (post-transaction) emphasizes managed services scale and software-led differentiation; for current holders, risk/reward skews to merger completion timing and any competing proposals per deal terms .

Additional references:

  • Q1 2024 8‑K and press release with full financials .
  • Q4 2023 8‑K and press release with trended metrics and non-GAAP reconciliations .
  • Q3 2023 8‑K and press release with guidance and margin commentary .
  • Go‑private 8‑K disclosing $10.22/share cash consideration and process updates .