DB
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 revenue grew 1.9% year over year to $564.1M, Adjusted EBITDA increased 4.6% to $130.7M, and Adjusted EPS rose to $0.30; GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of $1.94 driven by impairment and lease termination charges tied to the car wash review .
- Management announced a definitive agreement to divest the U.S. Car Wash business for $385M (≈$255M cash + $130M seller note), with closing targeted in Q2 2025; proceeds earmarked for deleveraging toward a ≤3x net leverage target by end-2026 .
- 2025 outlook (ex-U.S. Car Wash): revenue ~$2.05–$2.15B, Adjusted EBITDA ~$520–$550M, Adjusted EPS ~$1.15–$1.25; management also guided to 1–3% SSS growth, 175–200 net store adds, lower interest expense ($125–$130M), and net capex at 6.5–7.5% of revenue .
- Strategic and leadership updates: re-segmentation beginning Q1 2025 (Take 5, Franchise Brands, International Car Wash, Corporate & Other) and CEO transition to COO Daniel Rivera on May 9, 2025, with current CEO Jonathan Fitzpatrick becoming Non‑Executive Chair .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Take 5 Oil Change remained the growth engine: Q4 SSS +9.2%, 61 new stores (174 net new in FY24), and ~21% FY24 Adjusted EBITDA growth with ~33% EBITDA margins, supported by higher attachment rates and premium oil mix .
- Q4 consolidated SSS +2.9% (16th consecutive positive quarter); Maintenance, Car Wash, and Collision all posted positive Q4 SSS, with Car Wash SSS +7.9% and collision +1.0% .
- Deleveraging progress and liquidity intact: ended Q4 with $648.7M total liquidity and continued debt paydown; reiterated path to ≤3x net leverage by 2026 .
What Went Wrong
- GAAP results impacted by non-cash and restructuring items: Q4 net loss of $(312)M and operating loss of $(319)M, mainly from ~$333M asset impairment/lease terminations and higher SG&A, tied to U.S. Car Wash strategic review and asset actions .
- Sequential softness in consolidated Adjusted EBITDA vs Q3 ($130.7M in Q4 vs $138.8M in Q3), and adj. EBITDA margin moderated to 23.2% in Q4 from 23.5% in Q3 .
- Macro/industry headwinds persist into 2025 outlook (consumer pressure, potential tariffs), prompting prudent guidance despite strong Take 5 momentum .
Financial Results
Consolidated results: Q4 vs prior quarter and prior year
Note: Adjusted results per company-defined non-GAAP reconciliations .
Segment performance (Q4 vs Q3)
KPIs (Q4 2024 vs Q3 2024)
Guidance Changes
Note: Company also announced re-segmentation effective Q1 2025 (Take 5, Franchise Brands, International Car Wash, Corporate & Other) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Following a very robust sale process, we have entered into a definitive agreement to sell our U.S. carwash business… likely [to] be a Q2 closing.” .
- “Our focus for 2025 is clear: delivering on our outlook, reducing debt and active portfolio management.” .
- “Take 5 Oil Change… same-store sales… 9.2% in Q4… EBITDA margins of 33.3%.” .
- “We maintain our commitment to achieve our net leverage target of 3x by the end of 2026.” .
- CEO transition: “COO Daniel Rivera… to be President and CEO… May 9, 2025; Mr. Fitzpatrick to become Non‑Executive Chair.” .
Q&A Highlights
- 2025 growth composition: Take 5 is primary driver; U.S. Car Wash contributed roughly $50M of 2024 EBITDA; international car wash retained; prudence embedded in outlook .
- Leverage trajectory post-transaction: seller note = leverage initially neutral; free cash flow and asset sales to drive “drumbeat of deleverage,” still aiming for ≤3x by 2026 .
- Take 5 comp normalization: Q4’s 9%+ SSS seen as elevated; 2025 expected below that level though growth remains healthy .
- Tariffs: nondiscretionary nature and pricing flexibility discussed; intention not to shift burden to franchisees .
- Glass TPA: Q4 contract activated Q1’25; continued buildout of insurance and commercial channels .
Estimates Context
- S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to provider request limits. As a result, we cannot present beat/miss vs Street for Q4. When available, we will update with S&P Global consensus for EPS and revenue for Q4 2024 and reassess performance relative to expectations.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Portfolio simplification unlocks deleveraging: The U.S. Car Wash sale (cash + interest-bearing seller note) is a step toward balance sheet repair; management reiterated ≤3x leverage by end‑2026 .
- Take 5 remains the central thesis: outsized SSS, unit growth and high-30%ish margins support multi‑year EBITDA compounding; expect moderated but durable growth in 2025 .
- 2025 reset improves visibility: ex‑U.S. Car Wash guidance establishes cleaner base; net stores (175–200) and capex intensity (6.5–7.5% of revenue) align capital to highest-ROIC growth .
- Operational momentum beyond Take 5: Car Wash SSS inflected in Q4; collision SSS positive; Glass advancing insurance/commercial channels—each a potential incremental EBITDA tailwind as execution continues .
- Leadership and reporting changes are catalysts: CEO transition and re-segmentation should sharpen external focus on the Take 5 growth algorithm and Franchise Brands’ cash generation .
- Watch list: timing/close of car wash divestiture; margin trajectory as mix shifts; consumer/tariff backdrop; cadence of Glass wins converting to revenue .
Appendix: Additional Press Releases (Q4 timing)
- Agreement to divest U.S. Car Wash business for $385M (structure, timing, leverage intent) .
- CEO transition announcement (effective May 9, 2025) .