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Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 revenue grew 1.9% year over year to $564.1M, Adjusted EBITDA increased 4.6% to $130.7M, and Adjusted EPS rose to $0.30; GAAP diluted EPS was a loss of $1.94 driven by impairment and lease termination charges tied to the car wash review .
  • Management announced a definitive agreement to divest the U.S. Car Wash business for $385M (≈$255M cash + $130M seller note), with closing targeted in Q2 2025; proceeds earmarked for deleveraging toward a ≤3x net leverage target by end-2026 .
  • 2025 outlook (ex-U.S. Car Wash): revenue ~$2.05–$2.15B, Adjusted EBITDA ~$520–$550M, Adjusted EPS ~$1.15–$1.25; management also guided to 1–3% SSS growth, 175–200 net store adds, lower interest expense ($125–$130M), and net capex at 6.5–7.5% of revenue .
  • Strategic and leadership updates: re-segmentation beginning Q1 2025 (Take 5, Franchise Brands, International Car Wash, Corporate & Other) and CEO transition to COO Daniel Rivera on May 9, 2025, with current CEO Jonathan Fitzpatrick becoming Non‑Executive Chair .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Take 5 Oil Change remained the growth engine: Q4 SSS +9.2%, 61 new stores (174 net new in FY24), and ~21% FY24 Adjusted EBITDA growth with ~33% EBITDA margins, supported by higher attachment rates and premium oil mix .
  • Q4 consolidated SSS +2.9% (16th consecutive positive quarter); Maintenance, Car Wash, and Collision all posted positive Q4 SSS, with Car Wash SSS +7.9% and collision +1.0% .
  • Deleveraging progress and liquidity intact: ended Q4 with $648.7M total liquidity and continued debt paydown; reiterated path to ≤3x net leverage by 2026 .

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP results impacted by non-cash and restructuring items: Q4 net loss of $(312)M and operating loss of $(319)M, mainly from ~$333M asset impairment/lease terminations and higher SG&A, tied to U.S. Car Wash strategic review and asset actions .
  • Sequential softness in consolidated Adjusted EBITDA vs Q3 ($130.7M in Q4 vs $138.8M in Q3), and adj. EBITDA margin moderated to 23.2% in Q4 from 23.5% in Q3 .
  • Macro/industry headwinds persist into 2025 outlook (consumer pressure, potential tariffs), prompting prudent guidance despite strong Take 5 momentum .

Financial Results

Consolidated results: Q4 vs prior quarter and prior year

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)553.7 591.7 564.1
Net (Loss) Income ($M)(13.1) (14.9) (312.0)
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)(0.08) (0.09) (1.94)
Adjusted Net Income ($M)27.8 41.8 48.4
Adjusted EPS (Diluted) ($)0.17 0.26 0.30
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)125.0 138.8 130.7
Adj. EBITDA Margin (%)23.5 23.2

Note: Adjusted results per company-defined non-GAAP reconciliations .

Segment performance (Q4 vs Q3)

SegmentRevenue ($M) Q3 2024Revenue ($M) Q4 2024Adj. EBITDA ($M) Q3 2024Adj. EBITDA ($M) Q4 2024
Maintenance278.2 286.3 96.7 98.3
Car Wash142.2 143.4 25.6 28.7
Paint, Collision & Glass109.0 97.3 34.7 33.0
Platform Services52.2 40.2 22.5 16.3
Corporate/Other10.1 (3.1) (39.1) (45.6)
Total591.7 564.1 138.8 130.7

KPIs (Q4 2024 vs Q3 2024)

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024
System-wide Sales ($M) Total1,641.8 1,595.6
System-wide Sales ($M) Maintenance535.9 532.9
System-wide Sales ($M) Car Wash140.4 141.4
System-wide Sales ($M) PC&G857.2 849.2
System-wide Sales ($M) Platform Svcs108.2 72.2
Store Count Total5,109 5,179
SSS (%) Total1.1 2.9
SSS (%) Maintenance3.0 6.0
SSS (%) Car Wash1.8 7.9
SSS (%) PC&G1.3 1.0

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueFY 2025 (ex-U.S. Car Wash)N/A~$2.05–$2.15B New
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025 (ex-U.S. Car Wash)N/A~$520–$550M New
Adjusted EPSFY 2025 (ex-U.S. Car Wash)N/A~$1.15–$1.25 New
SSS GrowthFY 2025N/A1%–3% New
Net Store GrowthFY 2025N/A~175–200 New
Interest ExpenseFY 2025N/A$125–$130M New
Net CapexFY 2025N/A6.5%–7.5% of revenue New
Effective Tax RateFY 2025N/A26%–27% New

Note: Company also announced re-segmentation effective Q1 2025 (Take 5, Franchise Brands, International Car Wash, Corporate & Other) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Portfolio management / Car WashStrategic review ongoing; stabilization; U.S. membership surpassed 1M; considering options Signed agreement to sell U.S. Car Wash for $385M; terms include $130M seller note; expected Q2 2025 close Execution accelerating
DeleveragingTarget <4.5x by YE24 achieved in Q3; path to <3x by 2026 Liquidity $648.7M; reiterate ≤3x by end-2026; proceeds from divestiture + FCF to pay down debt Maintaining
Take 5 growthQ2/Q3 SSS +5–6%; pipeline ~1,000 sites; ~150+ openings/yr Q4 SSS +9.2%; 61 new openings; FY24 net +174; margin ~33%; expect “normalized” SSS in 2025 Strong but normalizing
Collision/PC&GIndustry claims down; DRP gains offset; sequential improvement in Q3 Q4 SSS +1%; continued DRP partnerships Stabilizing
Auto Glass NowBuilding insurance/commercial; first regional TPA win in Q3; more contracts Q4: contract activated Q1’25; momentum continues Building
Tariffs/macroConsumer pressure; cautious view Outlook prudence; potential tariff impact discussed Watching

Management Commentary

  • “Following a very robust sale process, we have entered into a definitive agreement to sell our U.S. carwash business… likely [to] be a Q2 closing.” .
  • “Our focus for 2025 is clear: delivering on our outlook, reducing debt and active portfolio management.” .
  • “Take 5 Oil Change… same-store sales… 9.2% in Q4… EBITDA margins of 33.3%.” .
  • “We maintain our commitment to achieve our net leverage target of 3x by the end of 2026.” .
  • CEO transition: “COO Daniel Rivera… to be President and CEO… May 9, 2025; Mr. Fitzpatrick to become Non‑Executive Chair.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • 2025 growth composition: Take 5 is primary driver; U.S. Car Wash contributed roughly $50M of 2024 EBITDA; international car wash retained; prudence embedded in outlook .
  • Leverage trajectory post-transaction: seller note = leverage initially neutral; free cash flow and asset sales to drive “drumbeat of deleverage,” still aiming for ≤3x by 2026 .
  • Take 5 comp normalization: Q4’s 9%+ SSS seen as elevated; 2025 expected below that level though growth remains healthy .
  • Tariffs: nondiscretionary nature and pricing flexibility discussed; intention not to shift burden to franchisees .
  • Glass TPA: Q4 contract activated Q1’25; continued buildout of insurance and commercial channels .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of analysis due to provider request limits. As a result, we cannot present beat/miss vs Street for Q4. When available, we will update with S&P Global consensus for EPS and revenue for Q4 2024 and reassess performance relative to expectations.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Portfolio simplification unlocks deleveraging: The U.S. Car Wash sale (cash + interest-bearing seller note) is a step toward balance sheet repair; management reiterated ≤3x leverage by end‑2026 .
  • Take 5 remains the central thesis: outsized SSS, unit growth and high-30%ish margins support multi‑year EBITDA compounding; expect moderated but durable growth in 2025 .
  • 2025 reset improves visibility: ex‑U.S. Car Wash guidance establishes cleaner base; net stores (175–200) and capex intensity (6.5–7.5% of revenue) align capital to highest-ROIC growth .
  • Operational momentum beyond Take 5: Car Wash SSS inflected in Q4; collision SSS positive; Glass advancing insurance/commercial channels—each a potential incremental EBITDA tailwind as execution continues .
  • Leadership and reporting changes are catalysts: CEO transition and re-segmentation should sharpen external focus on the Take 5 growth algorithm and Franchise Brands’ cash generation .
  • Watch list: timing/close of car wash divestiture; margin trajectory as mix shifts; consumer/tariff backdrop; cadence of Glass wins converting to revenue .

Appendix: Additional Press Releases (Q4 timing)

  • Agreement to divest U.S. Car Wash business for $385M (structure, timing, leverage intent) .
  • CEO transition announcement (effective May 9, 2025) .