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    Duos Technologies Group Inc (DUOT)

    Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Apr 8, 2025 (After Market Close)
    Pre-Earnings Price$5.64Last close (Mar 31, 2025)
    Post-Earnings Price$5.35Open (Apr 1, 2025)
    Price Change
    $-0.29(-5.14%)
    • Strong hyperscaler interest: Executives indicated active discussions with 5 to 6 of the largest hyperscalers, including interest from teams like Amazon Web Services, which could drive significant new revenue streams.
    • Accelerated edge data center deployment: The company is on track to expand its edge data center footprint—already operating 1 fully commercialized center with 2 additional centers near completion and plans to add 2-3 centers per quarter to reach a goal of 15 centers by year-end.
    • Execution Risk for Data Centers: With only 1 fully operational data center and relying on deploying 2-3 edge data centers each quarter to reach 15 by year-end, there is pressure on execution and delivery, potentially leading to delays or lower-than-expected operational performance.
    • Tariff Uncertainty: Although tariffs have not impacted the business yet, they pose a risk of increasing raw material costs (such as steel and aluminum), which could adversely affect margins if the impact materializes.
    • Limited Regulatory Catalyst for Rail Business: The lack of significant new rail safety legislation under the current administration may reduce the urgency for rail companies to adopt the company’s rail automation technology, potentially stalling growth in that segment.
    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Recurring revenue (Edge Data Centers)

    FY 2025

    $3.3 million

    $3.5 million

    raised

    Rail subscription revenue

    FY 2025

    $2–3 million

    no guidance

    no current guidance

    Full Year Revenue

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $28 million–$30 million

    no prior guidance

    Earnings Guidance

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    “First Half: losses; Second Half: break even/profits; Full Year: positive adjusted EBITDA”

    no prior guidance

    Capital Raising Guidance

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    $10 million–$15 million

    no prior guidance

    EDC Acquisitions

    FY 2025

    no prior guidance

    Acquisition of 9 edge data centers

    no prior guidance

    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Edge Data Center Expansion and Deployment

    In Q1, the company introduced the Duos Edge AI strategy with a pipeline of over 200 centers. In Q2, there were plans for four installations in Texas with expected ARR starting in Q4 and a broader target of 15 centers by end‑2025. Q3 detailed six centers ready for deployment, strategic partnerships with Accu-Tech, and discussions with hyperscalers.

    Q4 reported that one center in Amarillo is fully commercialized and producing revenue, with two more in Tampa under installation. The current deployment cadence is 2–3 centers per quarter, and clear deployment and financing plans are in place.

    Consistent growth with clearer deployment progress. The sentiment remains positive with robust recurring revenue potential and strong strategic partnerships.

    Rail Business Recurring Revenue and Subscription Model

    Q1 discussed a transition to a subscription model with a slight revenue dip and expectations for a turnaround in H2. Q2 detailed a landmark 5‑year AI subscription agreement and early subscriber traction. Q3 highlighted growing recurring revenue, increased backlog, and new pilot programs with Amtrak and Canadian National.

    Q4 reaffirmed the shift toward a subscription model for the rail business, addressing challenges like slow adoption in a traditionally conservative industry. New interest from organizations such as DHS and Customs and Border Protection was also noted.

    Ongoing transition with promising backlog growth. Despite the inherent slow adoption, the shift is supported by new pilot programs and subscriber interest, suggesting a steadily positive outlook.

    Execution Risks and Project Delays

    Q1 reported significant revenue timing issues due to a major customer delaying delivery. Q2 highlighted delays in Amtrak installations and challenges with RIP deployments, with uncertainties over project completion timelines. Q3 continued to address delays, particularly related to the Amtrak contract and variability in edge data center scheduling.

    Q4 continued to experience execution risks, including customer-driven delays in railcar inspection portal deployments. However, partial contract compensation and focused strategic planning to accelerate edge center installations are being implemented.

    Persistent challenges with execution and project delays. Though delays remain a concern, the company is actively managing these risks with mitigation measures and strategic adjustments.

    Hyperscaler Partnerships and Demand Generation

    No mention in Q1; Q2 contained indirect references through growing demand for edge centers and power opportunities. In Q3, there were active discussions with hyperscalers to accelerate edge data center deployment and a clear statement of extremely high demand.

    Q4 provided detailed examples of active discussions with 5–6 major hyperscalers, including AWS involvement at the Amarillo center. The enhanced focus aligns with strong demand for both edge data centers and power solutions.

    Emerging as a key focus area. The increased clarity and concrete examples in Q4 point to an expanding strategic relationship environment and growing positive industry momentum.

    Tariff Uncertainty and Raw Material Cost Pressure

    These topics were not mentioned in Q1, Q2, or Q3 earnings calls.

    Q4 introduced these risks, with management noting that while tariffs are expected eventually, they have not impacted operations yet. Raw material cost pressures for rail and edge centers are being monitored, with some measures already in place by partners.

    New emerging risk factor. Although current sentiment is neutral since no direct impacts have materialized, these topics warrant future close attention as potential cost pressures.

    Energy Division Competition and Power Business Expansion

    Q1 did not cover this topic. Q2 outlined the formation of Duos Energy Corporation with a growing pipeline tied to data center demand and highlighted early-stage power project initiatives. Q3 emphasized a competitive landscape in the power business, with discussions around asset management agreements and partnerships with firms like Fortress, along with a detailed view of equipment capabilities.

    Q4 elaborated further on energy division activities, noting high behind‑the‑meter power demand in the U.S. data center market, significant contracted megawatts, and synergies between power and data center segments. Detailed contracts and international considerations were also mentioned.

    Robust expansion amid competition. The energy division continues to grow with ambitious contracts and high demand, despite a competitive market, supporting a positive long‑term outlook.

    Decline in Focus on Product Innovation and Software Upgrades

    Q1 highlighted strong commitment to innovation with new machine vision systems for rail inspection and major software enhancements like the R4 update for the Centraco system. Q2 and Q3 did not concentrate on this subject.

    In Q4, there was no mention of any decline in focus on product innovation or software upgrades.

    No evidence of decline. The absence of negative commentary in later periods suggests that product innovation remains stable, with earlier Q1 communications still reflective of the company’s commitment.

    1. Hyperscaler Opportunities
      Q: High potential for hyperscaler deal and 15 centers?
      A: Management is actively discussing with 5–6 leading hyperscalers, showing strong interest in both power and edge data centers as an upside to reaching 15 data centers by year-end.

    2. Data Center Expansion
      Q: How many centers are operational and being added?
      A: Currently, one data center is fully commercialized with 2 additional centers deployed, and the plan is to add about 2–3 centers per quarter to hit the target.

    3. Tariff Impacts
      Q: Have tariffs affected your contracts or deployments?
      A: Tariff concerns have not yet impacted the contracts significantly, though potential raw material cost risks exist which are being mitigated by strategic partners.

    4. Rail Safety
      Q: Any change in rail safety legislative direction?
      A: The likelihood of significant new rail safety regulations is low, despite earlier discussions; current expectations are for minimal regulatory changes.