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DYCOM INDUSTRIES INC (DY)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record Q2 2026 results: contract revenues $1.378B (+14.5% y/y), Adjusted EBITDA $205.5M (14.9% margin), GAAP diluted EPS $3.33; EPS beat Street consensus by ~14% while revenue modestly missed. Management reaffirmed FY26 revenue outlook of $5.29–$5.425B and issued Q3 guidance calling for $1.38–$1.43B revenue, $198–$213M Adjusted EBITDA, and $3.03–$3.36 EPS . EPS consensus: $2.92*, revenue consensus: $1.41B*; actuals were $3.33 and $1.378B respectively (EPS beat, revenue slight miss). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Backlog remains robust at $8.0B total and $4.604B next-12-months; subsequent to quarter-end, Dycom secured a “significant new award” spanning service & maintenance and fiber-to-the-home across multiple states, to be reflected in Q3 backlog .
  • Execution and margin discipline were focal: Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 175 bps y/y; DSOs improved to 108 (−9 days y/y), supporting $57.4M operating cash flow in the quarter .
  • Stock-relevant narrative: management emphasized accelerating digital infrastructure demand (FTTH, wireless upgrades, and AI-driven data center fiber), tax legislation tailwinds (bonus depreciation and R&E expensing), and visibility into multiyear growth; they highlighted a new hyperscaler inside-the-fence service & maintenance award and early data center route build wins .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Margin expansion and cash discipline: Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 14.9% (+175 bps y/y); DSOs improved to 108 (−9 days y/y), driving $57.4M operating cash flow .
  • Backlog quality and new awards: Total backlog $8.0B; next-12-month backlog $4.604B; subsequent significant multi-state MSA award to be booked in Q3, underscoring pipeline strength .
  • Strategic positioning in AI/data center fiber and wireless: Management sees a >$20B 5-year U.S. outside plant data center network opportunity and reported new hyperscaler awards (inside-the-fence build and service & maintenance). Wireless equipment replacement activity exceeded expectations with multi-year runway .

Quotes:

  • “We delivered record revenue within our range of expectations and record earnings that exceeded our expectations.” — CEO Dan Peyovich .
  • “Adjusted EBITDA was 14.9% of contract revenues… as we performed well and continued to benefit from operating leverage.” — CFO Drew DeFerrari .
  • “We believe we are uniquely positioned to capitalize… [AI data centers] presents a significant opportunity… build cycle will extend deep into the next decade.” — CEO .

What Went Wrong

  • Top-line vs Street: Revenue of $1.378B came within company guidance but modestly below consensus ($1.41B*), reflecting timing/modulation across customer program ramps (management cited some programs lighter in Q2) [GetEstimates: Q2 2026 revenue estimate 1,408,092,540.0*]. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Organic growth was modest: While total revenue rose 14.5% y/y, non-GAAP organic revenue growth was 3.4% y/y, highlighting dependency on acquired contributions in the quarter .
  • Working capital remained elevated: Cash and equivalents declined sequentially and accounts receivable/contract assets remained sizable (consistent with scale and growth), although DSOs improved; not a new concern but a monitoring point for cash conversion .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Contract Revenues ($USD Billions)$1.085 $1.259 $1.378
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$116.4 $150.4 $205.5
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)10.7% 11.9% 14.9%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.11 $2.09 $3.33

Vs Estimates (Q2 2026):

MetricConsensusActualSurprise
Revenue ($USD Billions)$1.408*$1.378 Miss (~$0.03B)
EPS ($)$2.92*$3.33 Beat (+$0.41)

Notes: Consensus EPS estimate 2.921; Revenue estimate $1,408,092,540. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Customer Concentration (Q2 2026):

CustomerRevenue ($USD Millions)% of Total
AT&T$373.0 27.1%
Lumen$155.4 11.3%
≥5% contributors (names)Brightspeed; Charter; Comcast; Frontier; Verizon; Unnamed N/A

KPIs and Balance Sheet

KPIQ4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Total Backlog ($USD Billions)$7.760 $8.127 $7.989
Next-12-Month Backlog ($USD Billions)$4.642 $4.685 $4.604
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions, quarterly)$328.2 (Q4) $(54.0) (Q1) $57.4 (Q2)
DSO (days)114 (Q4) 111 (Q1) 108 (Q2)
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$92.7 $16.1 $28.5
Total Notional Debt ($USD Billions)$0.950 $1.039 $1.035
Notional Net Debt ($USD Billions)$0.857 $1.023 $1.007
Liquidity ($USD Millions)$695.2 $529.6 $545.9

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Contract RevenuesFY 2026+10% to +13% y/y (vs FY25) $5.290B to $5.425B (+12.5% to +15.4% y/y) Raised (range specified and higher)
Total Contract RevenuesQ3 2026 (quarter ending Oct 25, 2025)N/A$1.38B to $1.43B New
Adjusted EBITDAQ3 2026N/A$198M to $213M New
Diluted EPSQ3 2026N/A$3.03 to $3.36 New
Effective Tax RateQ3 2026N/A26.0% New
Diluted SharesQ3 2026N/A29.3M New
Interest Expense (net)Q3 2026N/A$14.7M New
Stock-based CompensationQ3 2026N/A$8.2M New
Amortization ExpenseQ3 2026N/A$11.8M New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2025)Previous Mentions (Q1 2026)Current Period (Q2 2026)Trend
AI/data center fiber buildIdentified AI-enabled data center growth as industry driver; outlook raised for FY26 growth Initial hyperscaler inside-the-fence award; middle-mile award; Lumen overflow projects; data center fiber expected to ramp late FY26/FY27 Management sizes a >$20B 5-year outside plant opportunity; new hyperscaler inside-the-fence service & maintenance; expect significant ramp in 2026–2027 Strengthening, accelerating
Supply chain & equipmentNot highlighted as headwind; liquidity improved Tariff impacts manageable; strategic equipment planning; fleet readiness No significant tariff impact; monitoring; poised to pivot as densification develops Stable/managed
Tariffs/macro/policyNo major impact; FY26 guided growth Tariffs manageable; BEAD excluded; record backlog; cautious macro Tax legislation tailwinds (bonus depreciation, R&E expensing); customers reinvesting; Dycom cash tax ~−$50M in H2 Positive policy tailwinds
BEAD programNot quantified; outlook didn’t include storm restoration Expect BEAD clarity mid-year, revenue potential FY27; excluded from FY26 Anticipate NTIA approvals; still excluded from FY26 outlook; see significant opportunity post-approval Pending, cautious optimism
Wireless modernizationIndustry driver; no specifics Wireless replacement ahead of expectations; acquisition ramping quickly Business above expectations; multi-year runway; potential densification Positive
FTTH/customer rampsMulti-year capital commitments; backlog growth Strong FTTH awards; diversification; AT&T 10%+ revenue Ramps cause quarterly modulation; AT&T $373M, Lumen $155.4M; significant multi-state award post-Q2 Continued growth with variability
Recurring service & maintenanceExpansion noted; backlog growing Historically >50% of business; extended/added awards Cornerstone of strategy; new hyperscaler service & maintenance award Expanding and stabilizing

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and execution: “We delivered record EBITDA and EPS that exceeded our expectations, a direct result of operating leverage, increased efficiencies, and a disciplined focus on operational excellence” — CEO .
  • Market opportunity: “We believe we are in the very early stages of a generational deployment of digital infrastructure… expect construction of outside plant data center networks to ramp up in calendar year 2026, with significant growth in 2027 and beyond” — CEO .
  • Cash/tax tailwinds: “New tax legislation… reinstates 100% bonus depreciation… restores immediate deductibility of domestic R&E… we expect a free cash flow benefit this year from a reduction in our cash tax payments by approximately $50 million” — CFO .
  • Guidance posture: “We are reaffirming our fiscal 2026 revenue outlook range of $5,290,000,000 to $5,425,000,000” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Quarterly modulation and ramps: Management attributed revenue variability to asynchronous ramps across programs; maintained strong momentum and reaffirmed full-year guide .
  • Margin durability: Margin gains driven by operating leverage and operational efficiencies; expect durability with potential for further improvement, acknowledging seasonality .
  • Wireless outlook: Equipment replacement work ahead of expectations; integrated acquisition; program has at least two more years; potential densification opportunities .
  • New awards and backlog: Significant multi-state FTTH + service & maintenance award will be added to Q3 backlog; not sized but described as meaningful .
  • Tax reform impact: Expect customers to reinvest cash tax savings; more likely to influence next calendar year; Dycom sees ~$50M cash tax reduction in H2 .
  • Capital allocation: Priority to support organic growth, pursue strategic M&A, and opportunistic buybacks; ongoing DSO/cash flow improvement focus .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2026 results vs consensus: EPS $3.33 vs $2.92* — beat; revenue $1.378B vs $1.408B* — slight miss. There were 8 EPS and 9 revenue estimates informing consensus.* Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • Implication: EPS beat driven by margin expansion (operating leverage and efficiencies) despite revenue modestly below Street; expect models to adjust upward for margin trajectory and cash tax benefits, with revenue phasing updated for program ramps .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin-led upside: Dycom’s operational efficiency and leverage are expanding margins faster than top-line, supporting EPS beats even when revenue is within guidance but below Street .
  • Backlog momentum and awards: Healthy backlog and a significant new award underpin H2 and FY26 trajectory; watch Q3 backlog update for confirmation .
  • AI/data center fiber cycle: Early innings of a multiyear outside plant build supporting AI; expect increasing contribution starting 2026 and materially in 2027; position for hyperscaler wins (inside-the-fence and route builds) .
  • Wireless upside: Equipment replacement program outperforms with multi-year runway; densification could add incremental growth .
  • Policy tailwinds: Bonus depreciation/R&E expensing should boost customers’ capex and Dycom’s cash flow (~$50M H2 benefit), aiding free cash flow and potentially supporting buybacks/M&A .
  • Near-term trading: Expect positive reaction to EPS beat and margin expansion; monitor Q3 execution against guidance ($1.38–$1.43B revenue; $198–$213M Adjusted EBITDA; $3.03–$3.36 EPS) and backlog update for the new award .
  • Medium-term thesis: Structural demand for FTTH, wireless modernization, and AI-driven data center connectivity supports multi-year growth; Dycom’s scale, national reach, and recurring service/maintenance base provide resilience and operating leverage through cycles .

S&P Global disclaimer: Consensus values marked with an asterisk were retrieved from S&P Global.