EI
Enhabit, Inc. (EHAB)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered modest top-line growth and margin expansion: revenue rose to $266.1M (+2.1% y/y; +2.4% q/q) and Adjusted EBITDA to $26.9M (+6.7% y/y; +0.7% q/q), with adjusted EPS at $0.13 . Against S&P consensus, Enhabit posted a revenue beat (+$2.7M) and an adjusted EPS beat (+$0.03)*.
- Hospice remained the engine: ADC up 12.3% y/y, revenue up 19.4% y/y, and segment Adjusted EBITDA up 53.8% y/y to $14.0M, while Home Health stabilized with sequential ADC growth and slowing Medicare FFS declines .
- FY25 guidance was raised: revenue to $1.060–$1.073B (from $1.050–$1.080B), Adjusted EBITDA to $104–$108M (from $101–$107M), and adjusted EPS to $0.47–$0.55 (from $0.41–$0.51), alongside updated operating assumptions and a lower tax rate (~24%) .
- Key catalysts: guidance raise, payer renegotiation (low double-digit rate increase effective 8/15/25), continued deleveraging (net debt/Adj. EBITDA to 4.3x) and strong hospice momentum; offset by regulatory overhang from CMS’s proposed 2026 home health rate cuts and CEO transition planning .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Hospice momentum: ADC +12.3% y/y and Adjusted EBITDA +53.8% y/y to $14.0M, with broad-based regional strength and lower discharged LOS, reducing cap liability risk .
- Home Health stabilization: second straight quarter of sequential revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth; Medicare ADC decline moderated to -3.4% y/y vs -14.1% in 2024 comparison period .
- Strategic payer progress and liquidity: renegotiated a national payer contract for a low double-digit rate increase effective 8/15/25; available liquidity rose to $113.5M and net leverage fell to 4.3x .
- Management quote: “Our second quarter results reflect strong execution… Hospice delivered its sixth consecutive quarter of growth… We also strengthened our balance sheet” — CEO Barb Jacobsmeyer .
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What Went Wrong
- Mix and unit economics: Home Health gross margin declined on lower unit revenues; segment Adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 19.1% (vs 21.0% y/y) .
- Payer disruption late in Q2: census from a renegotiated national payer dropped sharply before recovering post-agreement; management cited admissions/census disruption into mid-July .
- Regulatory headwinds: CMS’s proposed 2026 home health rule (permanent and temporary adjustments exceeding 20% cumulative cuts since PDGM) presents clear industry pressure, potentially requiring operating changes (visits-per-episode, branch consolidations) .
Financial Results
Segment revenue and profitability
KPIs
Consensus vs. actual
Consensus estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Fee for service Medicare census is stabilizing… our census has grown 2.1% sequentially and now up 0.5% year over year.” — Barb Jacobsmeyer .
- “The CMS proposed 2026 Medicare home health rule… presents a clear and intensifying headwind… we are uniquely positioned to outperform many of our subscale competitors.” — Ryan Solomon .
- “Consolidated net service revenue… the first quarter of year-over-year consolidated revenue growth post spin… adjusted EBITDA… expanded to 10.1%.” — Ryan Solomon .
- CEO transition: “I intend to step down… in July 2026 or upon the appointment of a successor… the timing is optimal for a new CEO.” — Barb Jacobsmeyer (prepared remarks and press release) .
Q&A Highlights
- Mitigating CMS cuts: Management will pilot “advanced PPE” oversight; per CFO, a 0.5 BPE reduction could be worth ~$5–8M, contingent on reallocation of freed capacity and mix of incremental patient load .
- Payer disruption and rate increase: National payer renegotiation caused sharp census drop; agreement reached mid-July; rate up low double digits per visit from 8/15/25; census recovery underway .
- Proposed rule mechanics: CFO views the temporary adjustment as a clearing event with a framework over ~7 years; focus remains on mitigating near-term impact .
- FFS Medicare volumes: Mix dynamics and market MA penetration drive addressable FFS; Enhabit executing strategy ahead of schedule in slowing decline; not prioritizing MA over FFS .
- Deleveraging before M&A: No specific leverage target disclosed; deleveraging remains priority over near-term acquisitions .
Estimates Context
- Q2 beat: revenue $266.1M vs consensus $263.4M; adjusted EPS $0.13 vs consensus ~$0.099* .
- Q1 miss on revenue but EPS beat: revenue $259.9M vs consensus $266.1M; adjusted EPS $0.10 vs consensus ~$0.062* .
- Q4 slight miss on revenue and EPS: revenue $258.2M vs consensus $259.1M; adjusted EPS $0.04 vs consensus ~$0.055* .
- FY25 consensus: revenue ~$1.060B; EPS ~$0.561*, now positioned versus raised company guidance .
Consensus estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 delivered a clean revenue and EPS beat versus consensus with margin stability; hospice strength and sequential Home Health improvement are durable pillars .
- Guidance raised across revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EPS; hospice ADC outlook increased and Home Health cost/day outlook improved — constructive for back-half trajectory and sentiment .
- Near-term operational catalysts: payer rate increases effective mid-August, visits-per-episode optimization pilot, continued branch rationalization, and deleveraging support free cash flow and interest savings .
- Watch regulatory risk: CMS’s proposed 2026 rule is the principal overhang; management’s optimization and payer strategy are designed to offset but execution milestones (pilot results, payer ramp) matter for estimate revisions and multiple support .
- Balance sheet resilience: liquidity improved to $113.5M; net debt/Adj. EBITDA at 4.3x; CFO cited ~$10M annual cash interest reduction as covenants lifted and prepayments accrue .
- Leadership transition: announced CEO succession plan through July 2026; expect continuity with experienced board and team — should have limited operational disruption but can be a headline risk near announcements .
- Trading implications: guidance raise and hospice momentum are near-term positive catalysts; any updates on the PPE pilot and payer rate realization could further support the equity, while CMS rule developments are the swing factor for sentiment and valuation .