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EL

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC (EL)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 FY2025 reported net sales were $3.41B (-12% YoY) and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.09; GAAP diluted EPS was -$1.51 due to $527M of restructuring and intangible impairment charges and a $172M U.S. deferred tax valuation allowance .
  • Results were broadly in line with consensus; revenue modestly beat ($3.41B vs $3.40B*) and EPS matched/slightly beat ($0.09 vs $0.089*), with EBITDA essentially in line ($319M vs $318.8M*) ; estimates from S&P Global*.
  • Sequential deterioration vs Q3 reflected a stronger double-digit decline in global travel retail and softness in mainland China amid subdued consumer sentiment, partly offset by luxury fragrance growth (Le Labo, Jo Malone London) .
  • FY2026 outlook introduced: organic net sales 0–3%, GAAP net sales +2–5%, adjusted EPS $1.90–$2.10, adjusted operating margin 9.4–9.9%, ~36% adjusted ETR, CFO $1.0–$1.1B, capex ~4% of sales; tariff headwind ≈$100M .
  • Catalysts: affirmation of FY26 turnaround (return to growth, margin build), PRGP execution (cost saves funding consumer investments), and channel expansion (Amazon, specialty multi) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Luxury fragrance momentum: Le Labo delivered strong double-digit growth each quarter; Jo Malone London strength continued; Q4 fragrance net sales +2% organically .
    • Gross margin resilience: adjusted gross margin held ~72% in Q4 despite volume deleverage; FY gross margin expanded 230 bps to 74% on PRGP efficiencies and reduced obsolescence/discounts .
    • Share gains and consumer coverage: share gains in China (all categories), Japan, and improved U.S. share trends; expanded Amazon premium beauty storefronts (11 U.S. brands; new Canada, Mexico) .
    • Management quote: “We embarked on fiscal 2026 with signs of momentum and confidence in our outlook to deliver organic sales growth this year… and to begin rebuilding operating profitability” — CEO Stéphane de La Faverie .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Travel retail and Asia softness: sequential deterioration driven by stronger double-digit decline in travel retail and subdued China sentiment; retailer inventory tightening pressured shipments .
    • Impairments and restructuring: Q4 included $425M intangible impairments (Dr.Jart+, Too Faced) and $106M restructuring, dragging GAAP profitability; FY impairments totaled $1.286B .
    • Makeup and hair care declines: Q4 makeup -12% organically (M·A·C, Too Faced; face category weakness), hair care -15% (Aveda’s brick-and-mortar softness) .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q3 2025Q4 2025
Revenue ($USD Billions)$3.871 $3.550 $3.411
Gross Margin (%)71.8% 75.0% 72.0%
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)71.8% 75.0% 71.9%
Operating Margin (GAAP, %)-6.0% 8.6% -11.4%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)9.0% 11.4% 4.0%
Diluted EPS (GAAP)-$0.79 $0.44 -$1.51
Adjusted Diluted EPS (Non-GAAP)$0.64 $0.65 $0.09

Actual vs S&P Global consensus (Q4 FY2025):

MetricConsensus*Actual
Revenue ($USD Billions)$3.399*$3.411
Primary EPS ($USD)$0.089*$0.09
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$318.8*$319

Values marked with * are from S&P Global.

Segment net sales (Q4 FY2025 vs prior year):

SegmentQ4 2024 Net Sales ($MM)Q4 2025 Net Sales ($MM)
Skin Care$2,035 $1,705
Makeup$1,105 $982
Fragrance$539 $560
Hair Care$165 $141
Other$27 $20

Geographic net sales (legacy structure):

RegionQ4 2024 Net Sales ($MM)Q4 2025 Net Sales ($MM)
The Americas$1,014 $949
Europe, Middle East & Africa$1,652 $1,293
Asia/Pacific$1,205 $1,166

Drivers:

  • Organic net sales -13% in Q4, led by Skin Care (-17%) and Makeup (-12%); Fragrance +2% on luxury brands .
  • Operating loss -$390M GAAP; adjusted operating loss -$288M; impairment/restructuring weighed on GAAP .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Organic Net Sales GrowthFY20260%–3% New
GAAP Net Sales GrowthFY2026+2%–5% New
Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP)FY2026$1.90–$2.10 New
Adjusted Operating MarginFY20269.4%–9.9% (2H > 1H) New
Adjusted Effective Tax RateFY2026~36% (Q1 ~40%) New
Net Cash from OperationsFY2026$1.0–$1.1B New
Capital ExpendituresFY2026~4% of projected sales New
Tariff Impact on ProfitabilityFY2026≈$100M headwind New
Quarterly DividendSep 2025$0.35 (Jun 2025) $0.35 declared (payable Sep 16) Maintained

Additional qualitative guidance: Expect high-single-digit growth in global travel retail in Q1 FY2026, mid-single-digit growth in mainland China; tighter trade inventories and reduced discounts to align retail and net sales .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ2 FY2025Q3 FY2025Q4 FY2025Trend
Travel RetailDouble-digit decline; TOM FORD/Too Faced impairments; strategic reset Stronger double-digit decline expected in Q4; inventory reset in 1H FY2025 Sequential deterioration; plan for improved shipments in FY2026 Improving shipment outlook, conversion remains weak
Mainland ChinaSubdued sentiment; retail softness Stabilization; mid-single-digit retail growth; share gains Share gains across categories; high-single-digit retail growth events Improving stabilization and share gains
North America channel mixAmazon expansion; TikTok launches 9 brands on Amazon U.S.; retail up low single digits vs net down 11 brands on Amazon U.S.; department stores <1/3 mix; narrowing retail-net gap Diversifying channels; aligning shipments to retail
AI/TechnologyMicrosoft “Agent of Change”; Adobe Firefly partnership Continued AI initiatives Adobe partnership; AI driving +31% ROI in North America media Accelerating AI-enabled execution
PRGP/RestructuringProgram expanded; charges $1.2–$1.6B expected >300 bps adj GM expansion each quarter Cumulative charges $610M by 6/30; annual benefits $0.8–$1.0B Ongoing; cost saves funding consumer investments
TariffsMonitoring; potential increases Assumed enacted rates; ~$100M net headwind Headwind baked into FY2026 outlook

Management Commentary

  • “We enter fiscal ’26 with signs of momentum and the start of our turnaround, a return to top line growth in fiscal ’26 and the pursuit of a solid double digit operating margin in the years ahead.” — CEO Stéphane de La Faverie .
  • “Gross margin for the full year… 74%. This meaningful expansion was driven by the relentless execution of our PRGP.” — CFO Akhil Shrivastava .
  • “We now have a much more diversified business… department stores are… less than one third of our business.” — CFO Akhil Shrivastava on North America mix .
  • “Our investments in AI have begun to show meaningful impact… AI has driven a 31% increase in ROI from our North America media campaigns.” — CEO Stéphane de La Faverie .

Q&A Highlights

  • Retail vs net sales gap: Inventory reductions across major markets; expect net to track retail more closely, though Q1 North America gap remains elevated before narrowing through FY2026 .
  • North America strategy: Emphasis on Amazon and specialty multi; continued de-emphasis of department stores while ensuring profitable channel mix .
  • Margin build: FY2026 operating margin expansion driven primarily by SG&A reductions (non-consumer-facing) with gross margin flat-to-up despite tariffs; longer-term opportunities in procurement and outsourcing .
  • Europe outlook: Consumer softness in Western Europe (France, Germany) offset by targeted investments, innovation acceleration, and luxury fragrance expansion .
  • Confidence in FY2026: Visibility improving in China and travel retail shipments; PRGP savings underpin margin and cash targets, with prudence around exogenous risks .

Estimates Context

  • Q4 FY2025 actuals compared with S&P Global consensus: revenue $3.411B vs $3.399B* (beat), EPS $0.09 vs $0.089* (in line/slight beat), EBITDA $319M vs $318.8M* (in line). Values marked with * are from S&P Global.
  • Implication: Modest operational beats amid significant GAAP noise from impairments/restructuring; estimate revisions likely to focus on FY2026 margin cadence (SG&A leverage) and travel retail recovery path .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • FY2026 setup: Targeted return to organic growth (0–3%) and 160–190 bps operating margin expansion, with cost saves funding consumer acquisition; watch SG&A execution and tariff offsets .
  • Channel strategy: Rapid expansion in Amazon and specialty multi is reshaping North America, reducing reliance on department stores and improving ROI via AI-enabled media .
  • China trajectory: Signs of stabilization and share gains in H2 FY2025; FY2026 assumes mid-single-digit growth — monitor shopping festivals and online momentum .
  • Travel retail normalization: Shipments expected to improve vs FY2025; conversion remains weak — sequential variability likely, with broader recovery into 2H FY2026 .
  • Gross margin resilience: PRGP continues to offset deleverage; focus shifts to SG&A and procurement/outsourcing for additional leverage .
  • Brand performance: Luxury fragrance (Le Labo, Jo Malone London) a bright spot; Skin Care and Makeup require continued innovation and pricing/discount discipline .
  • Cash and dividends: FY2026 CFO $1.0–$1.1B despite peak restructuring payments; dividend maintained at $0.35, supporting income investors while funding turnaround .