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ENTERGY LOUISIANA, LLC (ELC)·Q3 2022 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Adjusted EPS was $2.84, up 16% year over year (vs. $2.45) and up sharply vs. Q2’s $1.78, driven by stronger retail sales (weather and industrial) and regulatory actions at the operating companies; as-reported EPS was $2.74 .
- Guidance narrowed: FY22 adjusted EPS raised at the low end to $6.25–$6.45 (from $6.15–$6.45), and the quarterly dividend was increased to $1.07 per share (annualized $4.28) — key near-term catalysts .
- Louisiana-specific actions advanced: LPSC approved four solar projects (475 MW) and the Geaux Green green tariff (fully subscribed quickly), while E-LA continued resilience investments, including its longest underground distribution project and a major 230 kV Mississippi River crossing .
- Headwinds included higher O&M (vegetation, transmission, nuclear operations), higher depreciation and interest expense, and lower operating cash flow vs. prior year, partly offset by stronger customer receipts; management highlighted continuous improvement and regulatory mechanisms to manage inflation and recovery lags .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Strong volume and industrial demand: “Excluding weather, sales growth in the quarter was 5.7%. Industrial sales were up 7%,” with chlor-alkali and transportation leading; weather also favorable .
- Regulatory and renewable momentum in Louisiana: “The LPSC approved four solar projects totaling 475 MW” and approved the Geaux Green tariff, which “was fully reserved in just a few minutes,” indicating robust C&I sustainability demand .
- Guidance and dividend confidence: “We are narrowing our 2022 guidance by raising the bottom of the range by $0.10 per share” and raising the quarterly dividend by 6% to $1.07, reflecting steady growth outlook and capital return .
What Went Wrong
- Cost inflation and O&M pressure: Power delivery expenses (vegetation), transmission maintenance, and nuclear operations increased; bad debt rose after higher summer bills; depreciation and interest also higher from ongoing investments .
- Operating cash flow declined year over year: Consolidated OCF fell to $993 million in Q3 2022 from $1,264 million in Q3 2021 due to higher fuel/purchased power payments, EWC wind-down, and higher O&M/refueling, partly offset by customer receipts and lower pension contributions .
- Ongoing regulatory/structural items: Earnings lag in Louisiana FRP and SERI litigation matters persist, with management working toward more contemporaneous recovery and settlements to improve earned returns and credit metrics .
Financial Results
EPS and Earnings Comparison
Segment Earnings ($, after-tax)
Weather Impact and Operating Cash Flow
Note: Revenue and margin percentages were not disclosed in the cited press materials; S&P Global fundamentals retrieval was blocked by daily limits, so no revenue/margin figures are presented. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global if available.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Adjusted earnings were $2.84 per share… we are narrowing our guidance range by raising the bottom end $0.10… and affirming our outlooks through 2025.” — CFO Kimberly Fontan .
- “The LPSC approved four solar projects totaling 475 MW… Geaux Green tariff… fully reserved in just a few minutes.” — CEO Drew Marsh .
- “If approved, OCAPS will be our first unit capable of burning up to 30% hydrogen on day one… IRA promises to improve hydrogen economics.” — CEO Drew Marsh .
- “Affordability remains a top priority… modern assets are reducing fuel costs by an estimated $400 million (based on 2022 gas prices).” — CEO Drew Marsh .
- “We do not expect to be subject to the minimum tax provisions until 2026… we see meaningful value from solar PTCs as well.” — CFO Kimberly Fontan .
Q&A Highlights
- O&M and inflation: Pull-forwards and one-time assistance raised O&M in 2022; inflation assumed into 2023 with CI offsets; interest assumptions updated to ~6% LT debt and ~5.25% ST debt .
- Financing levers: Evaluating differences between private and public capital, but “no new news” on potential minority sale; equity forwards (~$1.1B of ~$1.2B plan) to be exercised by year-end .
- IRA/AMT: Corporate minimum tax not expected until 2026; nuclear PTCs begin earlier and can benefit customers while mitigating future AMT effects .
- Louisiana resiliency docket: Stakeholders supportive; focus on pacing and bill impacts; undergrounding in certain areas considered within cost-benefit framework .
- SERI settlement: Active engagement toward broader settlements; nothing public yet; longer-term aim to return to “normal” litigation cadence .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus for Q3 2022 EPS and revenue via S&P Global was unavailable due to daily request limits at time of retrieval; therefore comparisons to consensus could not be provided. If available, values would be retrieved from S&P Global and used as the basis for estimate comparisons.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term: Guidance raise and 6% dividend hike are positive sentiment drivers; strong industrial demand and favorable weather supported the quarter .
- Louisiana focus: Rapid green tariff uptake and approved solar projects underscore E-LA’s C&I sustainability demand; resilience filing and contemporaneous recovery efforts are central to improving earned returns and credit metrics .
- Cost discipline: Inflation/O&M pressures are real; CI initiatives and regulatory mechanisms are key to protecting EPS trajectory in 2023 .
- Strategic optionality: Hydrogen-enabled OCAPS, IRA PTCs, and electrification of industrial processes position the Gulf Coast footprint for durable load growth and asset modernization .
- Regulatory watch items: SERI settlements and Louisiana FRP renewal/recovery pacing remain critical; progress here is pivotal for medium-term valuation and credit profile .
- Cash/credit: OCF decline vs. prior year was driven by fuel and EWC wind-down; securitizations and equity forward settlement should alleviate near-term borrowing needs .
- Medium-term thesis: 6%–8% EPS growth through 2025 anchored by industrial onshoring, renewables/green products, resilience, and IRA incentives, contingent on continued regulatory execution .