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Electric Last Mile Solutions, Inc. (ELMSQ)·Q2 2021 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- ELMS affirmed start of production for Urban Delivery by end of Q3 2021 and set a 2021 production target of 1,000 units, positioning as the first Class 1 commercial EV in the U.S. market; partnerships (Randy Marion, Cox Automotive, Thermo King) and the Mishawaka plant acquisition strengthen go-to-market readiness .
- Q2 2021 results reflect pre-revenue ramp: net loss $8.59M and basic/diluted EPS of $(0.10); operating expenses were $7.47M (R&D $2.41M, G&A $5.06M) .
- Liquidity is robust with $217.4M in total cash and restricted cash (cash $171.5M, restricted cash $45.9M) at quarter-end to fund commercialization and capex .
- 2021 guidance introduced/updated: operating expenses $75–$80M and capex $25–$30M; gross margin outlook reduced to low single digits near-term due to supply chain/logistics constraints, with potential MSRP increases to offset costs .
- Stock-reaction catalysts: confirmation of Q3 SOP and first-mover Class 1 EV status, plus distribution/service partnerships; risks include supply chain frictions and internal control material weaknesses disclosed in Q2 10-Q .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We are affirming our intentions to launch production…by the end of the third quarter” and “we are now actively working to finalize order commitments” (CEO James Taylor) .
- Closed business combination raising approximately $294M and acquired the Mishawaka EV manufacturing facility with up to 100,000-unit capacity, accelerating scale-up .
- Strategic partnerships: proposed distribution with Randy Marion; collaboration with Cox Automotive (6,000+ service centers) and Dickinson Fleet Services (800+ mobile technicians); prototype with Thermo King for all-electric refrigerated delivery vehicle .
What Went Wrong
- 2021 production target updated to ~1,000 units, lowered from the original business plan due to delayed business combination closing, COVID-related supply chain issues, and cargo container/logistics constraints; near-term gross margins guided to low single digits .
- Internal controls: management identified material weaknesses related to accounting for complex transactions and IT general controls; disclosure controls deemed not effective as of Q2 .
- Ongoing supply chain risk concentration (SERES/Sokon/Wuling contracts) and potential pricing changes; management noted possible MSRP increases to recoup rising costs .
Financial Results
Notes:
- Predecessor vs Successor periods are not comparable; ELMS was pre-revenue in Q2 2021 and focused on commercialization ramp .
Guidance Changes
Drivers: Delay in business combination closing and industry-wide supply chain/logistics constraints (e.g., cargo container availability) led to 2021 volume/margin adjustments; potential MSRP increases considered to recoup cost inflation .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q2 2021 earnings call transcript was available in the document system after targeted searches (earnings-call-transcript for ELMSQ) during the Q2 window; analysis below draws from the Q2 press release and 10-Q MD&A .
Management Commentary
- “We are affirming our intentions to launch production of the U.S. market’s first Class 1 commercial EV, the Urban Delivery, by the end of the third quarter” (James Taylor, CEO) .
- “Reception of the Urban Delivery has been positive, and we are now actively working to finalize order commitments… pilots for our EVs, including our second product, the all-electric medium duty Urban Utility” .
- Business outlook emphasized 2021 SOP, 1,000-unit target, and being “on track for 2022 production volume target” .
- Strategic positioning: “well-positioned to seize a first-mover opportunity in the Class 1 commercial EV segment at scale” .
Q&A Highlights
No Q2 2021 earnings call transcript was available in the document system; management’s written disclosures clarified:
- Near-term margin compression and 2021 volume update due to supply chain/logistics; potential MSRP adjustments to offset input-cost inflation .
- Liquidity and funding sufficiency post-business combination to execute plan (cash + restricted cash $217.4M) .
- Ecosystem build-out via distribution/service partnerships to support commercial launch .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global/Capital IQ) for Q2 2021 EPS/revenue was unavailable due to missing SPGI/CIQ mapping for ELMSQ, so we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus. Values retrieved from S&P Global were unavailable.
Where estimates may need to adjust:
- 2021 production lowered to ~1,000 units and gross margin guided to low single digits could prompt downward revisions to near-term profitability expectations; SOP affirmation and ecosystem partnerships support 2022 volume trajectory .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution catalyst: Q3 2021 SOP for Urban Delivery; first-mover status in Class 1 commercial EV is a potential narrative driver into launch .
- Near-term earnings profile: pre-revenue ramp, low-single-digit gross margin guidance, and updated 2021 volume (~1,000 units) imply limited 2021 profitability; monitor MSRP actions and supply chain normalization .
- Liquidity runway: $217.4M total cash/restricted cash supports capex ($25–$30M) and 2021 opex ($75–$80M) without external raise in the near term .
- Ecosystem readiness: distribution and service partnerships (Randy Marion, Cox/Dickinson) de-risk commercialization and fleet support at scale .
- Risk factors: internal control material weaknesses; supplier concentration and IP/license dependencies (SERES/Sokon/Wuling); environmental investigation at Mishawaka; monitor governance and operational remediation .
- Medium-term thesis: If SOP holds and supply chain pressures ease, 2022 volume trajectory could reset expectations upward; watch conversion of order interest into binding commitments and margin progression .
- Trading lens: Near-term stock moves likely tied to SOP timing confirmations, production ramp updates, and additional fleet/customer wins; risk-off on further supply chain setbacks or control remediation slippage .
Additional Data (Balance Sheet/Operational KPIs)
Operational Notes:
- SERES asset purchase consideration totaled ~$197.6M including cash, notes, IP license, and stock issuance; Mishawaka plant PP&E dominates fixed asset base .
- Subsequent event: Wuling contracts signed July 2021 with initial $4M retainer paid for engineering services .
Search notes:
- Read in full: Q2 2021 8-K with Exhibit 99.1 press release .
- Read in full: Q2 2021 10-Q for financials/MD&A –.
- Q2 2021 earnings call transcript was not found in the system despite targeted searches; press-release-only details used for qualitative themes [SearchDocuments attempt returned no ELMSQ transcript].
- Prior quarter (Q1 2021) filing relates to SPAC stage (Forum Merger III), not comparable operating results; Q2 10-Q provides Successor six-month and Q2-only data used for trend analysis .