EI
Evolus, Inc. (EOLS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered modest top-line performance with total net revenue of $69.0M (+13% YoY), driven by Jeuveau growth and early Evolysse contribution; Jeuveau revenue rose sequentially to $63.2M while Evolysse revenue normalized to $5.7M following initial launch stocking . Versus S&P Global consensus, revenue beat by ~$1.5M and Primary EPS beat by ~$0.04, with EBITDA modestly better than expected (see Estimates Context) (*S&P Global estimates) .
- Management reaffirmed FY25 revenue guidance of $295–$305M and non‑GAAP OpEx of $208–$213M, and now expects Q4 2025 positive non‑GAAP operating income of $5–$7M; long‑term 2028 revenue target ($700M) and 20% non‑GAAP operating margin were reiterated .
- Cost actions are flowing through: non‑GAAP OpEx fell to $49.7M (from $54.0M in Q2), and non‑GAAP loss from operations narrowed to $(3.1)M; GAAP OpEx includes $1.4M restructuring (one‑time severance) .
- Stock catalysts: quantified Q4 profitability, Jeuveau share gains and sequential strength, introduction of portfolio bundling (to compete with rivals), and pipeline progress (PMA submitted for Sculpt with head‑to‑head superiority signals) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Jeuveau outperformed typical seasonal trends with sequential growth to $63.2M and continued U.S. share strength at 14% YTD; management emphasized strong demand signals via loyalty redemptions and international growth .
- Cost discipline: non‑GAAP OpEx dropped to $49.7M (from $54.0M in Q2), helping non‑GAAP operating loss narrow to $(3.1)M; management now expects positive non‑GAAP operating income of $5–$7M in Q4 .
- Early Evolysse performance remains constructive: $5.7M in Q3 after launch‑quarter stocking, strong injector feedback, and first portfolio bundle introduced to drive cross‑sell and share gains; PMA for Sculpt filed with data favoring Evolysse Sculpt over Restylane Lyft .
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What Went Wrong
- Total revenue slightly below Q2 due to Evolysse normalization post‑stocking ($5.7M in Q3 vs $9.7M in Q2), despite Jeuveau sequential growth .
- Macro headwinds persist (category down, middle‑income consumer under pressure), leading practices to manage inventory tighter and purchase more on‑demand; Q2’s late‑quarter purchasing pullback created a tougher setup into Q3 .
- Tariff uncertainty: 15% tariff on Evolysse (incorporated in guidance) and potential U.S. pharmaceutical tariffs under evaluation; cash was used to pull forward inventory, reducing cash to $43.5M from $61.7M QoQ .
Financial Results
- Non‑GAAP adjustments exclude (as applicable): revaluation of contingent royalty obligation, stock‑based comp, D&A, restructuring, and amortization of intangibles .
Segment/Contribution Breakdown
Note: Q1 2025 included only Jeuveau (product revenue $68.074M) prior to Evolysse launch in April .
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO framing: “Our third quarter results reflect double‑digit growth… we continue to expect to achieve profitability in the fourth quarter and are positioned for sustainable annual profitability beginning in 2026.”
- On Jeuveau/Evolysse: “Total net revenue of $69.0 million, including $63.2 million in global Jeuveau revenue… We also delivered $5.7 million of revenue from Evolysse, … the most successful HA filler launch in over a decade.”
- CFO on tariffs and inventory: “Current inventory… is expected to sustain through the first quarter and is not subject to tariffs,” and the 15% EU tariff on Evolysse has been fully incorporated with minimal impact .
- R&D head on Sculpt: Primary endpoint met with non‑inferiority and statistical superiority vs Restylane Lyft; 24‑month efficacy trends favored Sculpt with no treatment‑related SAEs; PMA submitted with anticipated approval in 2026 .
Q&A Highlights
- Evolysse adoption cadence and bundling: Second training materially boosts conversion; portfolio bundling launched in Q4 to compete with rival bundles and unlock toxin share gains over time .
- Promotions and seasonality: Consistent promo cadence; “11th Day” seasonal program underway in Q4; Q3 benefited from Allure gift‑with‑purchase partnership .
- Ordering/inventory dynamics: Practices shifted to on‑demand ordering post‑Q2 pullback; expect higher seasonal volumes in Q4, but tighter inventory management persists .
- Tariff mitigation: Scenario planning underway with Daewoong partnership support; pulled forward inventory to create a planning window; Evolysse’s 15% tariff minimal/embedded in guidance .
- Co‑branded marketing: Scaling for Evolysse alongside Jeuveau with billboards and digital; clinics choose focus by product; 1,400+ accounts involved .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Comparison notes:
- Revenue beat: ~$1.55M; Primary EPS beat: ~$0.04; EBITDA slightly better than expected (less negative) in Q3 2025 (*S&P Global definitions). Management’s Q4 guide of +$5–$7M non‑GAAP operating income implies profitability on an operating basis; consensus Q4 EPS is positive at ~$0.06, suggesting estimates likely move toward the upper end if execution continues and promotions/seasonality support demand .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution re‑accelerating: Jeuveau grew sequentially against seasonal headwinds; Evolysse normalization post‑stocking looks orderly; cost actions are reducing OpEx and narrowing operating losses .
- Clear near‑term profitability catalyst: Quantified Q4 non‑GAAP operating income of $5–$7M positions the company to pivot to sustainable annual profitability in 2026 if revenue cadence and OpEx discipline hold .
- Competitive positioning improving: Portfolio bundling and co‑branded media should enhance share capture versus larger bundled competitors; early data and PMA for Sculpt add to medium‑term filler differentiation .
- Tariff risk managed near term: 15% Evolysse tariff is embedded with minimal impact; Jeuveau tariff exposure under evaluation with inventory pulled forward to buffer timing; watch for policy clarity and any gross margin effects .
- International and loyalty flywheels: Growing international contribution and an expanding 1.3M+ member loyalty base with record redemptions underpin demand resilience and repeat behavior .
- Estimate implications: Q3 beats on revenue/EPS/EBITDA vs S&P Global consensus and quantified Q4 profitability could support upward revisions to operating profit assumptions and confidence in FY25 guide; monitor Q4 total revenue versus ~$91.6M consensus and EPS turning positive (*S&P Global estimates).
- Watch items: Pace of Evolysse adoption beyond core accounts, effectiveness of bundling to unlock Jeuveau share, consumer elasticity amid macro pressures, and pipeline milestones/label expansions .
Additional Notes and Cross‑References
- Non‑GAAP disclosures and reconciliations appear in the Q3 8‑K press release, including definitions of adjusted gross margin and non‑GAAP operating metrics .
- Cash decline to $43.5M reflects pre‑buy of inventory ahead of potential tariffs; monitor working capital normalization into 2026 .
- Management reiterated long‑term target of $700M revenue by 2028 and 20% non‑GAAP operating margin, with an outlook update planned in early 2026 .
Sources: Q3 2025 8‑K and press release ; Q3 2025 earnings call transcript ; Q2 2025 8‑K ; Q2 2025 call transcript ; Q1 2025 8‑K .