Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

EC

ESAB Corp (ESAB)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • ESAB delivered a solid Q3: sales $727.8M (+8% YoY), returned to positive core organic growth (+2%), and core adjusted EPS of $1.32; core adjusted EBITDA was $133.4M with margin of 19.4% (down ~20 bps YoY) as EWM mix and late-quarter tariff effects modestly compressed margin .
  • Results beat Wall Street on revenue, EPS, and EBITDA; Q3 revenue $727.8M vs consensus $665.1M*, EPS $1.32 vs $1.273*, and EBITDA $133.9M vs $129.9M*; beats were driven by EMEA/APAC strength, U.S. mid-single-digit growth, and EWM contribution (~2 pts of growth) . Consensus values marked * are from S&P Global.
  • Guidance raised: 2025 core net sales growth to 4.5%-5.5% (prior 1.5%-3.5%), core adjusted EBITDA to $535-$540M (prior $525-$535M), and core adjusted EPS narrowed to $5.20-$5.30 (prior $5.15-$5.30) .
  • Key catalysts: completion/integration of EWM with >45% gross margins and React technology; Americas tariff mitigation via “in region, for region” footprint (~80%) and manufacturing shifts; strong start to Q4 with improving core growth run-rate .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Returned to core organic growth (+2%) with U.S. mid-single-digit growth and EMEA/APAC volume +4%; equipment and automation grew mid-single digits in multiple regions .
  • EWM acquisition closed early; accretive gross margins (>45%) and ~2 points of Q3 growth, with cross-selling and margin initiatives underway; management expects ~10% ROIC by year three .
  • Free cash flow conversion exceeded 100% in Q3 and adjusted FCF reached $86.4M, supported by strong execution and disciplined EBX pricing/productivity .

Management quotes:

  • “About 80% of our manufacturing is in region for region, which reduces tariff impact, shortens lead times, and supports share gains.”
  • “EWM adds React technology… 100% faster weld speeds and 2x the deposition rates and roughly 35% lower heat input versus traditional short arc processes.”
  • “Adjusted EBITDA is now $535 to $540 million… Adjusted EPS… $5.20 to $5.30.”

What Went Wrong

  • Americas margins were pressured (~100 bps) by investment in sales initiatives and late-quarter tariff impacts (e.g., copper), creating slight price-cost drag; mitigation actions include moving manufacturing to local regions and restructuring into early Q1 .
  • Core adjusted EBITDA margin compressed ~20 bps in Q3, primarily from EWM mix and tariff dynamics despite strong execution .
  • Automation and Mexico softness persisted from Q2 with only partial catch-up in Q3; some deferred revenue pushes into Q4/Q1 .

Financial Results

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$678.1 $715.6 $727.8
Diluted EPS - Continuing Operations ($)$1.14 $1.12 $1.04
Core Adjusted EPS ($)$1.25 $1.36 $1.32
Core Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$127.9 $138.5 $133.4
Core Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)19.8% 20.4% 19.4%
Net Income attributable to ESAB ($USD Millions)$67.4 $66.9 $54.8

Segment breakdown (Net Sales and Core Adj. EBITDA):

Segment MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Sales - Americas ($M)$280.7 $282.7 $292.7
Net Sales - EMEA & APAC ($M)$397.5 $432.9 $435.1
Core Adj. EBITDA - Americas ($M)$54.5 $56.8 $57.3
Core Adj. EBITDA - EMEA & APAC ($M)$73.4 $81.7 $76.1
Core Adj. EBITDA Margin - Americas (%)19.4% 20.1% 19.6%
Core Adj. EBITDA Margin - EMEA & APAC (%)20.0% 20.6% 19.3%

KPIs:

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Cash from Operating Activities ($M, GAAP)$35.4 $46.6 $81.5
Purchases of PP&E ($M, GAAP)$7.3 $9.2 $11.3
Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($M)$30.4 $46.4 $86.4

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Core net sales growthFY 20251.5%–3.5% 4.5%–5.5% Raised
Organic growth (component of core)FY 20250.0%–2.0% ~1.0% Tightened
M&A contributionFY 2025~2.5% ~4.5% Raised
Currency (FX)FY 2025~(1.0)% (1.0)%–0.0% Improved range
Core adjusted EBITDA ($M)FY 2025$525–$535 $535–$540 Raised
Core adjusted EPS ($)FY 2025$5.15–$5.30 $5.20–$5.30 Narrowed
Total sales ($B)FY 2025N/A$2.71–$2.73 (call) Introduced on call

Note: Management also indicated FCF conversion “around 95%” given EWM investment (call commentary) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Previous Mentions (Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Tariffs & price-costPrepared inventory; general price increases; ~$15–$20M NA tariff impact planned to be covered with price Price-cost neutral in Q2; Americas lull; automation push-outs; Mexico softness Late copper tariffs caused slight price-cost drag; manufacturing to shift to regions; restructuring underway Improving mitigation actions
Americas margin trajectoryStrong margin expansion via EBX, pricing, mix; atypical cadence in 2025 Record core EBITDA margin; Americas headwinds offset by pricing; plan for H2 volume improvement Expect stronger margins in 2026 via pricing, supply chain shifts, restructuring Margin expansion deferred to 2026
EMEA/APAC growthPositive momentum; high-growth markets strength 11% sales growth; record 20.6% margin; strong Middle East/India/Asia Volume +4%; equipment/automation high single-digit; renewed Europe investment Sustained strength
EWM acquisition & integrationAnnounced intent and strategic fit (heavy equipment/robotics) Signed; accretive margins; tech differentiation (React) Closed early; ~2 pts growth; ~$3M profit in year one; >45% gross margins Integration progressing
AI/EBX initiativesRaised productivity/back-office savings; investing ~$20M in growth/AI Savings ramp and reinvestment; EBX/AI acceleration Integrating AI into EBX; long-term margin target 22%+ by 2028 Scaling
Mexico & automationChannel pause due to tariff uncertainty Automation down; partial thaw in Mexico; orders slated for H2 Partial catch-up; remainder into Q4/Q1 Recovery into Q4/Q1

Management Commentary

  • Strategic mix shift: “We’re shifting our mix towards equipment and gas control, building a higher margin, less cyclical enterprise aimed at 22% plus EBITDA margins by 2028 or sooner.”
  • Integration value: “Our transition team is using our proven EBX integration process… collaborating on growth, cross-selling… margin expansion initiatives.”
  • Footprint advantage: “About 80% of our manufacturing is in region for region, which reduces tariff impact, shortens lead times, and supports share gains.”
  • EWM economics: “Our expectation this year for EWM is around $3 million of profit… drive the business to its 10% ROIC target by year three.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Americas margins: Management expected ~100 bps headwind from growth investments and late-quarter tariff impacts; mitigation via manufacturing relocation and restructuring into early Q1 .
  • Tariff price-cost: Slight drag in Q3 due to copper tariffs; plan to localize manufacturing to remove drag; pricing actions continue .
  • EWM synergies: >45% gross margins, accretive tech; ~$3M profit in year one with SG&A and gross profit synergies to be detailed in Q1 next year .
  • Outlook cadence: Strong start to Q4, better core growth vs Q3; Americas comps ease in 2026, supporting volume tailwinds .
  • Consumables vs equipment: Equipment strength and workflow solutions; consumables steady and “better than market,” with global certifications enabling cross-sell .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue – Actual ($M)$678.1 $715.6 $727.8
Revenue – Consensus ($M)*$633.8*$675.2*$665.1*
Primary EPS – Actual ($)$1.25 $1.36 $1.32
Primary EPS – Consensus ($)*$1.206*$1.346*$1.273*
EBITDA – Actual ($M)$133.9*$129.8*$133.9*
EBITDA – Consensus ($M)*$120.9*$136.0*$129.9*

Notes: Consensus values marked * retrieved from S&P Global. EBITDA actuals shown in this table are also retrieved from S&P Global*.

Implications:

  • Q3 beat on revenue, EPS, and EBITDA vs consensus, led by EWM contribution (~2 pts), EMEA/APAC strength, and U.S. sequential improvement .
  • Street estimates likely to move up for FY revenue and EBITDA following guidance raise and improved FX/M&A contribution; EPS range narrowed due to higher interest from EWM .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Narrative turning positive: organic growth resumed, guidance raised, and strong Q4 start; expect sentiment support from EWM integration updates and margin trajectory commentary .
  • Near-term focus: Monitor Americas tariff mitigation (manufacturing shifts) and restructuring completion by early Q1 as catalysts for 2026 margin expansion .
  • M&A compounding intact: EWM closed with >45% gross margins; funnel remains healthy across gas control and equipment; cross-selling and React tech should support top-line and mix .
  • Cash generation: Q3 adjusted FCF $86.4M and >100% conversion underpin deleveraging toward 1–2x and capacity for further M&A in 2026 .
  • Regional strength: EMEA/APAC continue to outperform on volume and equipment; watch European stimulus/defense/energy demand as incremental tailwinds .
  • Margin path: Expect modest compression near term from mix/investments, but pricing/EBX/productivity and mix shift to equipment/gas control support medium-term EBITDA toward 22%+ by 2028 .
  • Trading setup: Be ready for upside revisions post-raise; potential catalysts include detailed EWM synergy targets in Q1, evidence of tariff cost neutralization, and confirmation of Q4 run-rate improvement .

Additional documents reviewed:

  • Q3 2025 press release and 8-K (full financial tables and guidance) .
  • Q3 2025 earnings call transcript (full) .
  • Prior quarter Q2 and Q1 press releases, 8-Ks, and transcripts for trend analysis .