Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

EE

enCore Energy Corp. (EU)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Mixed quarter: revenue fell sharply on lower scheduled deliveries (60k lbs vs 290k in Q1), but EPS improved year over year; gross profit turned positive on much lower costs per lb sold ($42.23 vs $115.87 YoY) .
  • EPS missed Wall Street “Primary EPS” consensus by ~$0.01 as lighter delivery cadence weighed on the P&L; revenue consensus was not available (limited coverage)*. Drivers: fewer deliveries in Q2 vs Q1, higher OpEx tied to ramp, offset by realized gains on marketable securities .
  • Operations ramped: Q2 extraction rose 79% sequentially to 203,798 lbs; daily production averaged 1,942–2,678 lbs/day in Apr–Jun; inventory built to 244,204 lbs at $39.63/lb, positioning for heavier 2H deliveries .
  • Strategic catalysts: Upper Spring Creek added to Rosita RML enabling satellite IX build-out ; management targets 30 rigs in Q3 to accelerate wellfield development . Potential stock reaction catalysts: sustained extraction gains, delivery cadence normalization, and permitting milestones .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Extraction ramp and efficiency: Q2 U3O8 extraction 203,798 lbs (+79% QoQ); daily production averaged 2,678 lbs/day in June, 2,103 in May, 1,942 in April .
    • Cost structure: Costs per lb sold fell to $42.23 from $115.87 YoY; realized price rose to $61.07 from $59.11 YoY, supporting positive gross profit .
    • Permitting and growth: Upper Spring Creek included in Rosita’s Radioactive Materials License; construction of satellite IX plant and wellfields commenced .
    • Management quote: “The continued improvements in our rate of uranium extraction and advancement of wellfield development are truly a result of a top performing team…” — William M. Sheriff, Executive Chairman .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Light delivery quarter: Revenue dropped to $3.664M (vs $18.239M in Q1; $5.320M YoY) on only 60k lbs delivered in Q2 .
    • Operating expenses: Total operating expenses rose to $20.4M from $17.9M YoY, reflecting growth and activity levels tied to ramp .
    • Controls and litigation overhang: Material weaknesses in ICFR persist; ongoing securities litigation and employment-related arbitrations add uncertainty .

Financial Results

Revenue, EPS, unit economics and profitability

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$5.320 $18.239 $3.664
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.12) $(0.13) $(0.03)
Volumes Sold (lbs)90,000 290,000 60,000
Realized Price ($/lb)$59.11 $62.89 $61.07
Costs Applicable ($/lb)$115.87 $62.97 $42.23
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$(5.108) $(0.023) $1.130

KPIs and balance sheet

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025
U3O8 Extracted (lbs)130,015 203,798
Inventory (lbs)153,058 @ $40.39/lb 244,204 @ $39.63/lb
Daily Production (lbs/day)Apr: 1,942; May: 2,103; Jun: 2,678
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$29.7 $26.9
Working Capital ($M)$35.7 $30.2

Notes: Gross margin for Q2 2025 was ~30.8% (Gross Profit $1.130M / Revenue $3.664M ).

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
U3O8 PurchasesFY 2025Not explicitly stated“No U3O8 has been, nor is forecasted to be, purchased in 2025.” Introduced/maintained discipline
Delivery Commitments (lbs)Remainder 2025305k Disclosure
Delivery Commitments (lbs)2026900k Disclosure
Delivery Commitments (lbs)2027850k Disclosure
Delivery Commitments (lbs)20281,000k Disclosure
Delivery Commitments (lbs)20291,500k Disclosure
Delivery Commitments (lbs)Thereafter3,700k Disclosure
Rig Count PlanQ3 202524 rigs operating at Q2-end Plan to increase to 30 rigs in Q3 Raised
Upper Spring Creek2025–26PendingIncluded in Rosita RML; construction commenced Milestone achieved

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q2 earnings call transcript was not available; we reference the Aug 27 investor update and filings.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Extraction ramp/efficiencyAdded 2nd IX at Alta Mesa; active rigs rose to 22; targeting bottleneck relief Extraction +79% QoQ to 203,798 lbs; daily production reached 2,678 lbs/day in June; plan to 30 rigs in Q3 Improving
Unit costs per lbHigh YoY costs in 2024 due to purchased pounds Costs/lb fell to $42.23 vs $115.87 YoY; no 2025 purchases planned Improving
Delivery cadence290k lbs delivered in Q1 60k lbs delivered in Q2 (lighter schedule); commitments disclosed for out years Lumpy intra-year
Permitting/expansionWorking on Upper Spring Creek and renewals Upper Spring Creek added to Rosita RML; satellite IX/wellfield construction underway Positive
Macro/regulatoryDOE nuclear support, tariffs, fuel cycle tightness Continued DOE and policy momentum; management cites long-term nuclear tailwinds Supportive
Internal controls/legalMaterial weaknesses identified; litigation initiated in Mar/Apr Material weaknesses persist; litigation/arb ongoing Work-in-progress risk

Management Commentary

  • “The continued improvements in our rate of uranium extraction and advancement of wellfield development are truly a result of a top performing team…” — William M. Sheriff, Executive Chairman .
  • “We’ve seen… production increases averaging well over 2,500 pounds a day… we’ve more than doubled [rigs]… We are in a big growth phase.” — Robert Willette, Acting CEO (Investor Update) .
  • “We will make our production this year and deliveries without buying any uranium in the market.” — William M. Sheriff (Investor Update) .
  • “Biggest challenge is really the permitting… The future is pretty much in our hands… urgency and execution.” — William M. Sheriff (Investor Update) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Guidance: Management reiterated intention to meet 2025 deliveries without market purchases and will provide multi‑year delivery projections annually; no 2026 production guidance until permits finalize .
  • Permitting: Dewey Burdock renewals/proceedings advancing; company expects resolution and no delays to development .
  • Capital/convertible: August convertible provided flexibility and broadened investor base; proceeds earmarked for Alta Mesa/Upper Spring Creek and northern tier projects (post‑Q2 development context) .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 EPS: Actual $(0.03) vs S&P Global “Primary EPS” consensus mean of approximately $(0.02), a miss of ~$0.01* .
  • Q2 2025 Revenue: Actual $3.664M; revenue consensus unavailable due to limited coverage* .
  • Estimate depth: EPS estimate count = 1*, indicating thin sell‑side coverage.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Delivery phasing, not demand, drove revenue compression; commitments suggest heavier delivery volumes ahead (305k lbs remainder 2025; 900k–1,500k lbs annually through 2029) .
  • Structural cost improvement: transition from purchased pounds to extracted pounds dropped costs/lb, improving gross profitability at moderate realized prices .
  • Execution focus: rig additions (to 30), wellfield expansion, and Upper Spring Creek’s RML inclusion can sustain extraction growth and reduce per‑unit costs into 2H .
  • Risk watchlist: internal control remediation and litigation remain active; monitor remediation milestones and legal updates .
  • Tactical: Stock likely reacts to monthly production updates, delivery executions, and permitting milestones; lighter quarters on delivery cadence may present opportunities ahead of heavier shipment periods .
  • Medium term: As satellite IX capacity comes online and inventory builds convert to deliveries, earnings sensitivity improves with uranium prices and delivery schedule normalization .

Supporting Data Details

Unit cost and inventory detail (non‑GAAP disclosed)

  • Costs of U3O8 sold H1’25: 350k lbs at $59.42/lb (incl. purchased 225k at $68.58; extracted 125k at $42.92; cash cost $28.86; non‑cash $14.06) .
  • Inventory at 6/30/25: 244,204 lbs at $39.63/lb (purchased 20k at $59.42; extracted 224,204 at $37.87; cash $27.20; non‑cash $10.67) .

Operational timelines

  • Daily production cadence improved through Q2; management aims to increase rigs to 30 in Q3 to sustain wellfield expansion .
  • Upper Spring Creek satellite IX and wellfield construction commenced upon RML inclusion (feeds Rosita CPP), supporting 2026 throughput .

Unavailable materials

  • A Q2 earnings call transcript was not available; qualitative themes were drawn from the Aug 27 investor update and the Q2 10‑Q/press release .

Footnote: Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global.