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EH

Eve Holding, Inc. (EVEX)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Pre-revenue development quarter; net loss widened to $48.8M on higher R&D tied to prototype testing and Embraer MSA; EPS was $(0.16) vs $(0.09) in 1Q24 .
  • Cash consumption improved to $25.3M (benefited by ~$18M q/q rise in related party payables), ending cash/investments at $287.6M and total liquidity of $410.3M; management reiterated funding runway through 2026 (CFO referenced ~$411M) .
  • 2025 guidance maintained: total cash consumption $200–$250M, with CFO now expecting usage “probably closer to the low end” as the year progresses .
  • Program milestones on track: full-scale engineering prototype progressing through ground tests; first flight targeted in 2025; five conforming certification prototypes to begin assembly in 2H25; Taubaté site prep (480 units/yr modular capacity) advancing with estimated $80–$90M customization .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Prototype and test progress: “we are confident that we will begin flying our prototype this year,” after successful pusher motor runs and lifter motor testing on dynamometers .
    • Liquidity and runway: CFO reiterated “total liquidity of $411 million…sufficient to sustain our operations through 2026,” aided by BNDES facilities and recent draws .
    • Services & software build-out: 14 TechCare customers (~1.1k aircraft coverage) and 21 Vector customers; training JV (ECTS) received first data package to start pilot/mechanic training development .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Loss expansion: net loss rose to $48.8M (from $25.3M) as R&D increased to $44.7M to support testing, supplier engagement, and Embraer MSA work .
    • Derivatives tailwind moderated: gain from derivative liabilities fell to $3.3M vs $6.3M in 1Q24, providing less offset to operating loss .
    • Burn likely to step up from adjusted 1Q level: CFO noted an invoice timing benefit; normalized burn would have been ~$40M in 1Q, with a modest acceleration expected in later quarters despite staying toward low end of guide .

Financial Results

Summary vs Prior Periods and Estimates

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2024Q1 2025Vs Est. (Q1 2025)
Revenues ($M)$0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 vs $0.0 consensus (in-line)*
Net Loss ($M)$(35.8) $(40.7) $(25.3) $(48.8) n/a
EPS (GAAP)n/an/a$(0.09) $(0.16) EPS consensus n/a*
R&D Expense ($M)$32.4 $33.7 $27.5 $44.7 n/a
SG&A Expense ($M)$8.4 $6.2 $6.5 $7.9 n/a
Cash Used in Ops ($M)n/an/a$(35.8) $(24.9) n/a
Free Cash Flow ($M, non-GAAP)$(34.0) $(39.9) $(35.9) $(25.3) n/a
Cash & Investments ($M, end)$279.8 $303.4 $222.6 $287.6 n/a
Total Liquidity ($M, end, non-GAAP)$305.0 $428.6 $280.0 $410.3 n/a

Notes: Free Cash Flow and Total Liquidity are non-GAAP as defined by the company . Estimates marked with * from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment Breakdown

  • Not applicable; company is pre-revenue and financials primarily reflect R&D and SG&A during development .

Key KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Pre-order pipeline (units)~2.8k ~2.8k ~2.8k
Backlog value (list, $B)~$14 ~$14 ~$14
TechCare customers / Vector customers14 / 21 14 / 21 14 / 21
Direct employees (approx.)n/a~180 ~180
Engineers engaged (incl. MSA)n/a~900 at YE24 ~800–900 (program)
Prototype/Certification milestonesEngineering prototype rolled out; ground tests ongoing Flight tests expected to start mid-2025; Means of Compliance process with ANAC; SFAR supportive First flight targeted 2025; 5 conforming prototypes assembly to start 2H25
Manufacturing site (Taubaté)BNDES facility secured Customization capex $80–$90M; capacity 480 units/yr (modular) Preparing site through 2025 under secured BNDES lines

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q4 2024)Current Guidance (Q1 2025)Change
Total cash consumptionFY2025$200–$250M $200–$250M; CFO “probably closer to the low end” Maintained; skew to low end
Funding runwayThroughFunded through 2026 Funding “sufficient to support…through 2026” Maintained
Full-scale prototype first flight2025Flight-test campaign to start mid-2025 First flight and test campaign in 2025 Maintained (timing reiterated)
Conforming prototypes2025–2026Initiate production in 2025; 5–6 aircraft Start assembly 2H25; 5 aircraft, optional 6th Maintained; additional color
Taubaté site2025 setupPrepare in 2025; 480/yr modular; $80–$90M customization Preparing site in 2025; BNDES lines secured Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Prototype & testingGround tests; pusher motor runs; flight tests to start mid-2025 Confident to fly in 2025; lifter motors on dynos; RPS link and EMI/HIRF tests; Iron Bird integration Positive execution; on track
Certification pathANAC Basis of Certification; FAA SFAR supportive; Means of Compliance to be defined Continued alignment with ANAC/FAA; start certification testing even before full MoC publication Steady progress
Manufacturing/industrializationBNDES support; site chosen; capacity plan Taubaté prep to commence; ~$80–$90M customization; 480 units/yr modular Advancing
Services & softwareTechCare/Vector customer wins; ATM simulations (São Paulo) ECTS training JV progressing; software tools co-developed with operators; 14 TechCare, 21 Vector Building readiness
Liquidity & burnNew credit lines; liquidity $305M (3Q24) to $428.6M (YE24) Liquidity $410.3M; 2025 burn guide maintained; lean toward low end Adequate runway; disciplined

Management Commentary

  • “We are confident that we will begin flying our prototype this year.” – CEO, Johann Bordais, on prototype progress and staged hover/transition testing .
  • “Our total liquidity is $411 million…sufficient to sustain our operations through 2026.” – CFO, Eduardo Couto, on funding runway and BNDES facilities .
  • “R&D was $44 million in the quarter. I believe it should stay at this level, probably not accelerate further.” – CFO on expected R&D pace .
  • “The conforming prototype…we’re starting to build this year and will fly next year, [and] will have a pilot.” – Management on certification aircraft .
  • “We already…gave the first data package to ECTS so they can start building up the training solution.” – CEO on services/training readiness .

Q&A Highlights

  • R&D cadence: Expect roughly steady quarterly R&D (~$44M) as supplier engagement and engineering intensity remain high .
  • Burn profile: 1Q benefited from ~$15M invoice timing; adjusted burn ~$(40)M and likely to modestly accelerate, but still toward low end of $200–$250M FY guide; liquidity supports 2025–2026 .
  • Certification prototypes: Assembly targeted to begin late 2025; majority of spend still in R&D vs parts/tooling; first pilot-in-command flights expected 2026 .
  • Battery path: Engineering prototype battery differs from commercial configuration but leverages same supplier/technology to de-risk manufacturability .
  • Services pipeline: $1.6B TechCare non-binding contracts include replacement/repair but not upgrades; training and software tools co-developed with operators .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 revenue consensus: $0.0 with 4 estimates; actual revenue $0.0 (in-line)* .
  • Q1 2025 EPS consensus: unavailable; actual GAAP EPS $(0.16)* .
    Notes: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Execution is on track: 2025 first flight of the engineering prototype, conforming prototype assembly starts 2H25, supporting a 2027 certification target narrative; no timeline slippage flagged this quarter .
  • Cash discipline with adequate runway: Liquidity of $410.3M and burn leaning to low end of $200–$250M guide sustains operations through 2026; multiple financing levers available for 2027 needs .
  • Losses will remain elevated near term: R&D intensity is necessary to push through flight test, supplier part deliveries, and certification prep; derivative gains may be smaller tailwinds vs prior periods .
  • Services and software are strategic differentiators: 14 TechCare and 21 Vector customers provide early monetization vectors and ecosystem stickiness ahead of aircraft deliveries .
  • Manufacturing readiness advancing: Taubaté buildout and modular 480 units/yr plan underpin scale-up; BNDES support reduces capex burden versus greenfield .
  • Near-term trading implications: Stock likely reacts to milestone cadence (first flight video/tests, supplier part arrivals, ANAC MoC publication); confirmation of low-end burn trajectory could be a sentiment stabilizer .
  • Medium-term thesis: Converting LOIs (~2.8k units, ~$14B list) to firm orders with PDPs, plus services revenue ramp, will be critical de-risking steps as certification approaches .

Disclosures and Notes

  • Non-GAAP measures: Free Cash Flow and Total Liquidity are company-defined; see reconciliations and definitions in filings .
  • Minor discrepancy: Management cited ~$411M liquidity on the call vs $410.3M in the 8‑K exhibit; difference reflects rounding/presentation .