Sign in

You're signed outSign in or to get full access.

EI

EVgo Inc. (EVGO)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered record network throughput (84 GWh, +68% YoY) and charging network revenue ($46.5M, +73% YoY), with total revenue of $67.5M essentially flat sequentially vs Q3 ($67.5M) but up 35% YoY; GAAP gross margin expanded to 14.5% and Adj. Gross Margin to 33.7% .
  • Management issued 2025 guidance calling for $340–$380M revenue and Adj. EBITDA of ($5)M to $10M, targeting EBITDA breakeven in 2025; charging network revenue expected to be ~two-thirds of total with sequential growth through the year .
  • Utilization reached an “industry-leading” 24% (up ~5 pts YoY), average daily throughput per public stall rose to 269 kWh/day (from 197 a year ago), and Autocharge+ sessions hit 24% of total; dynamic pricing is now deployed across 100% of sites .
  • Strategic catalysts include the closed $1.25B DOE loan (first $75M draw in Jan-2025), next-gen charger co-development with Delta targeting ~30% CapEx per-stall reduction (from 2H’26), and initial native NACS (J3400) rollout to attract Tesla drivers .
  • We attempted to pull S&P Global consensus estimates for Q4 2024, but data were unavailable at the time of analysis; thus, no vs-consensus comparisons are shown (S&P Global estimates unavailable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record operating momentum: Q4 throughput 84 GWh (+68% YoY), charging network revenue $46.5M (+73% YoY), and sequential ninth quarter of double‑digit charging revenue growth; CEO: “EVgo finished 2024 strong, achieving record throughput and stall deployments.”
  • Efficiency and unit economics: GAAP gross margin expanded to 14.5% (from 7.1% a year ago), Adjusted Gross Margin to 33.7% (from 26.5%), driven by higher utilization (24%) and scale benefits; CFO highlighted leverage with top 15% of network generating ~$50k per stall per year .
  • Strategic financing and technology roadmap: Closed $1.25B DOE loan to fund ~7,500 stalls (first $75M drawn Jan‑2025) and advanced a joint development agreement with Delta for next‑gen charging architecture targeting ~30% lower gross CapEx per stall .

What Went Wrong

  • Revenue mix timing: eXtend revenue fell 2% YoY in Q4 to $17.9M due to ~$4M of revenue timing that shifted into Q1 2025, partially muting sequential growth despite strong core charging .
  • Profitability still negative: Adj. EBITDA improved materially but remained at ($8.4)M in Q4 and ($32.5)M for FY24; GAAP net loss in Q4 was ($35.6)M .
  • Higher near-term operating spend: Adjusted G&A increased sequentially by ~$4M in Q4 to support next‑gen architecture, with management guiding to modest further increases from the Q4 run rate in 2025 .

Financial Results

Summary P&L vs Prior Periods

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($M)$49.994 $66.619 $67.535 $67.513
Gross Profit ($M)$3.540 $6.398 $6.368 $9.760
Gross Margin (%)7.1% 9.6% 9.4% 14.5%
Net Loss ($M)($36.589) ($29.610) ($33.290) ($35.608)
Net Loss/Share ($)($0.12) ($0.10) ($0.11) ($0.11)
Adjusted Gross Profit ($M)$13.253 $17.658 $17.989 $22.755
Adjusted Gross Margin (%)26.5% 26.5% 26.6% 33.7%
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)($13.962) ($7.982) ($8.881) ($8.404)

Segment/Revenue Mix

Revenue ($M)Q4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Charging Network$26.885 $36.444 $43.052 $46.513
eXtend$18.314 $27.667 $21.912 $17.882
Ancillary$4.795 $2.508 $2.571 $3.118
Total Revenue$49.994 $66.619 $67.535 $67.513

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Network Throughput (GWh)50 66 78 84
Avg Daily Throughput/ Stall (kWh, public)197 227 254 269
Autocharge+ Share of Sessions>18% 21% 24%
Utilization (public)20% 24%
Stalls in Operation (Total)2,980 3,440 3,680 4,080
Customer Accounts Added (Quarter)>131,000 >147,000 >133,000

Notes: In 2024, EVgo reclassified dedicated fleet charging from “commercial charging” to “ancillary,” and associated costs moved from “charging network cost of sales” to “other.” Prior periods were conformed for comparability .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total RevenueFY 2025N/A$340 – $380M New
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025N/A($5)M – $10M New
Charging Network Revenue MixFY 2025N/A~2/3 of total New
Sequential Revenue CadenceFY 2025N/ASequential quarterly growth; Q1 seasonally flat vs Q4 New
eXtend RevenueFY 2025N/ARoughly flat YoY, 2H weighted New
Ancillary RevenueFY 2025N/AGrowth, mostly in Q4 (dedicated business) New
Adj. G&AFY 2025N/AModest increase from Q4’24 run rate New
CapEx Net of OffsetsFY 2025N/A$160 – $180M New
Public & Dedicated Stalls BuiltFY 2025N/A800 – 900 (majority public); plus 450 – 550 eXtend New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 & Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
DOE Loan FacilityConditional commitment announced in Oct; closing process underway $1.25B closed in Dec; $75M first draw in Jan; management confident on future draws Positive, de-risked funding
Utilization & ThroughputUtilization 20%; avg 227 kWh/day (Q2) ; avg 254 kWh/day (Q3) Utilization 24%; avg 269 kWh/day; 65% of stalls >15% utilization Improving
Dynamic PricingBegan rollout; broader deployment through 2024 Now live across 100% of sites; algorithm update expected 2H 2025 Maturing
NACS (J3400)Strategy discussed; testing at Innovation Lab First native NACS pilot site live; expected broader retrofit/new deployments Accelerating
CapEx Efficiency & Next‑Gen ArchitectureMOU with Delta in Oct; targeting lower costs Signed JDA; prototype expected in Q2’25; 30% lower gross CapEx per stall targeted from 2H’26 Advancing
Rideshare & AV Dedicated HubsCommercial charging growing; AV opportunities referenced 110 dedicated AV stalls; fixed-fee, lower margin vs public but stable; ~20% share estimated; expected to expand Expanding
Regional Mix & TariffsUtilization rising outside CA; LCFS amendments expected to strengthen credits Non-CA usage now > CA; minimal direct impact from announced tariffs; lower energy tariffs in TX/FL help cost per kWh Favorable
Revenue Timing~$4M eXtend revenue shifted from Q4’24 to Q1’25 Neutral timing effect

Management Commentary

  • CEO framing: “We’ve secured financing and expect to more than triple our installed base in five years… we expect an estimated further 40% growth in revenues in 2025 and achieving Adjusted EBITDA breakeven” .
  • Unit economics and performance: “Utilization… reached… 24%… 65% of our stalls had utilization >15%… top 15% of our network… ~599 kWh/day” (CFO) . “Annual cash flow per public stall increased 5x… top 15%… roughly $50,000 per stall per year” (CFO) .
  • Pricing and product: “Last year, we began rolling out dynamic pricing… expanded… to 100%… expect the next major update… in the second half of this year” (CEO) .
  • Technology roadmap: “Co‑develop the next generation of chargers… expected to lower our gross CapEx per stall by 30%… prototype in Q2 of this year [2025]” (CEO) .
  • NACS rollout: “First pilot site with native NACS connectors was operational in February 2025… Additional locations anticipated throughout 2025” .

Q&A Highlights

  • DOE loan durability and alternative financing: Management emphasized the loan is a “legally binding contract,” noted strong asset performance, and outlined complementary non‑dilutive financing options (project finance/straight debt/hybrids) with positive bank receptivity .
  • 2025 guidance drivers: ~2/3 revenue from charging network; sequential quarterly growth; LCFS price variability and timing factors; Adj. G&A to rise modestly from Q4 run rate .
  • AV dedicated hubs strategy: Fixed‑fee model with stable utilization; margins lower than public owned/operated but higher than eXtend; expected to grow faster than previously anticipated .
  • Geographic prioritization and competition: Mix shifting to non‑CA markets; charging build‑outs by competitors (e.g., IONNA) seen as demand stimulants; EVgo confident in site selection for high utilization .
  • Tariffs and demand charges: Minimal direct tariff exposure; broad demand charge reductions/holidays and rising throughput reduce demand charge impact over time .

Estimates Context

  • We attempted to retrieve S&P Global (Capital IQ) consensus estimates for Q4 2024 (revenue, EPS, EBITDA), but the data were unavailable at the time of analysis; therefore, vs‑consensus comparisons are not provided (S&P Global estimates unavailable).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core health improving: Q4 delivered record throughput and charging network revenue with gross margin and adjusted gross margin expanding materially, supported by utilization rising to 24% and dynamic pricing at scale .
  • 2025 inflection targeted: Management guides to $340–$380M revenue and Adj. EBITDA breakeven range (‑$5M to +$10M), with sequential growth through 2025 and ~two‑thirds mix from charging network revenues .
  • Funded growth runway: The $1.25B DOE loan (first $75M drawn) underpins a plan to add ~7,500 stalls over five years; additional non‑dilutive financing being pursued for projects outside the DOE scope .
  • Technology and CapEx leverage: Delta JDA and prefab skids aim to structurally lower CapEx per stall (~30% target from 2H’26), supporting long‑term returns at scale .
  • New demand unlocks: Native NACS connectors should increase Tesla driver usage; rideshare and AV dedicated hubs offer baseload demand and diversification of revenue streams .
  • Watch near‑term optics: eXtend revenue timing shifted ~$4M from Q4 to Q1, and Adj. G&A rises near‑term to support next‑gen architecture; nonetheless, operating leverage is trending favorably .
  • Policy backdrop: CARB LCFS amendments (Q4) and the DOE loan support the economics and funding of the buildout; management cites minimal direct impact from announced tariffs and continued demand growth outside CA .