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EM

Exodus Movement, Inc. (EXOD)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 revenue was $20.1M, up 68% YoY, but down ~10% sequentially; net income was $0.8M and operating loss was ~$0.052M, reflecting mark-to-market swings from digital assets under ASU 2023-08 .
  • Exchange provider processed volume reached $0.96B (+69% YoY, -9% QoQ), and Monthly Active Users rose to 1.6M (vs. 1.1M a year ago; 1.5M in Q2), driven by crypto market strength and ramping partnerships (Magic Eden, Ledger) .
  • Strategic progress: launched Passkeys, expanded Magic Eden Wallet to mobile, and integrated XO Swap into Ledger Live; management highlighted a strong start to Q4 alongside ongoing NYSE uplisting review (fifth SEC comment letter) .
  • No formal quantitative guidance; management reiterated focus on profitability and disciplined scaling; estimate comparisons to Wall Street consensus were unavailable at time of request due to S&P Global data access limits .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong year-over-year growth and profitability: “In Q3, we grew revenue 68% year-over-year to $20.1 million and achieved net income of $0.8 million” .
  • User and volume momentum: exchange provider processed volume $0.96B (+69% YoY), MAUs 1.6M vs. 1.1M last year; early partnership traction supports efficient user acquisition .
  • Product and partnership execution: Magic Eden Wallet expanded to mobile, Ledger partnership integrated XO Swap, and Passkeys launched to simplify onboarding; “These achievements reflect the strength of our product innovation” .

What Went Wrong

  • Sequential revenue decline (-10% QoQ) from seasonally slower market activity (late summer/early fall), after an exceptionally strong H1 .
  • Operating margin remained slightly negative (“<-1%”) as operating loss (~$52k) and mark-to-market accounting introduced volatility; non-operating items helped deliver net income .
  • Continued losses on digital assets: net loss on digital assets ~$370k in Q3 vs. ~$17.2M in Q2, reflecting treasury exposure and ASU 2023-08 adoption .

Financial Results

Summary Income Statement vs. Prior Year, Prior Quarter, and Estimates

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Consensus Estimate (Q3 2024)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$11.980 $22.308 $20.117 N/A*
Cost of Revenues ($USD Millions)$7.738 $10.767 $11.333 N/A*
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$4.242 $11.541 $8.784 N/A*
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$(0.713) $(14.745) $(0.052) N/A*
Operating Margin (%)-6% -66% <-1% N/A*
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(0.251) $(9.606) $0.843 N/A*
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.01) $(0.37) $0.03 N/A*

*Estimates unavailable due to S&P Global request limits. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global.

Note: Q3 2024 operating loss (~$52k) implies operating margin “<-1%” per company presentation; we use disclosed margins rather than derived calculations .

Revenue by Category (Q3)

CategoryQ3 2023 ($M / %)Q3 2024 ($M / %)
Exchange aggregation$11.2 / 93.7% $18.1 / 90.1%
Fiat on/off-boarding$0.6 / 4.8% $0.9 / 4.2%
Staking$0.2 / 1.4% $0.5 / 2.4%
Consulting- / - $0.3 / 1.5%
Other<$0.1 / 0.1% $0.3 / 1.8%
Operating Revenues$12.0 / 100% $20.1 / 100%

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Exchange provider processed volume ($USD Billions)$0.57 $1.05 $0.96
Monthly Active Users (Millions)1.1 1.5 1.6
Digital assets and cash ($USD Millions)N/A$195.5 $194.7
Net loss on digital assets ($USD Millions)~$0.357 ~$17.232 ~$0.370

Discrepancy note: Q3 digital and liquid assets were cited as $194.7M in the press release and $194.6M on the call; we present the press release figure for consistency .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal revenue/EPS/margins guidanceFY/Q4None provided historically None provided; management cited strong start to Q4 and continued profitability focus Maintained (no formal guidance)
Adjusted EBITDAFYManagement targeted maintaining positive Adjusted EBITDA (Q1 commentary) Not reiterated in Q3; continued emphasis on profitability and disciplined scaling Maintained qualitative stance
Capital allocation / liquidityFYUplisting planned to NYSE American (May target, earlier) Ongoing NYSE uplisting review; fifth SEC comment letter; aim to improve stock liquidity Process update

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Partnerships (Magic Eden, Ledger)Q1: Launch of Wallet-as-a-Service with Magic Eden; early traction . Q2: Exchange aggregation ~89% revenue; MAUs 1.5M .Expanded Magic Eden Wallet to mobile; Ledger Live integration of XO Swap; strong early momentum .Strengthening distribution via partners.
Product innovation (Passkeys)Q1: Announced frictionless onboarding and XO Pay to expand fiat capabilities .Launch of Passkeys enabling FaceID/TouchID onboarding; developer-friendly wallet embedding .Accelerating developer-led adoption.
Macro/crypto environmentQ1: Spot Bitcoin ETFs approval; BTC appreciation drove usage . Q2: Seasonality/volatility noted .Post-election momentum; BTC over $70k–$80k; stablecoin issuance >$100B; strong start to Q4 usage .Supportive macro tailwinds.
Regulatory/legalQ1: FCA removal from warning list; NYSE uplisting planned .Received fifth SEC comment letter; continuing work to clear uplisting; focus on liquidity .Progressing, timeline extended.
Revenue mix and seasonalityQ1: Swap volumes near 2021 levels; non-swap revenue rising . Q2: Exchange aggregation 89.4% of revenue; volume $1.05B .Exchange aggregation 90.1%; sequential revenue decline due to seasonally slower activity .Mix stable; seasonal dip QoQ.
Treasury and accountingQ1: ASU 2023-08 adopted; large mark-to-market gain in net income . Q2: Large digital asset loss drove operating loss .Digital assets loss ~$370k; fair value accounting continues; corporate treasury $194.6M–$194.7M; no debt .Ongoing P&L volatility from crypto marks.

Management Commentary

  • “In Q3, we grew revenue 68% year-over-year to $20.1 million and achieved net income of $0.8 million. We launched an exciting new partnership with Ledger... expanded our partnership with Magic Eden to mobile... and launched Passkeys” — JP Richardson, CEO .
  • “Year-over-year revenue growth was driven by increased user activity and the ramping up of our partnerships... Exchange aggregation made up 90.1% of total revenue... the sequential decline was due to seasonally slower activity” — James Gernetzke, CFO .
  • “We ended the quarter with $194.6 million of digital and liquid assets... and no debt... our healthy corporate treasury provides flexibility to invest in technology, services, M&A, and marketing” — CFO .
  • “Stablecoins are drawing capital to the crypto space... total issuance exceeded $100 billion... this translated to a strong start to Q4 for Exodus” — CEO .
  • “Passkeys enables developers to embed our wallet capabilities... eliminating 12-word secret phrases” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • The transcript provided prepared remarks and indicated a Q&A session would follow, but Q&A content was not available in the retrieved document; management reiterated business model drivers, seasonality, treasury composition, and uplisting status in prepared comments .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) estimates for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue were unavailable at the time of request due to S&P Global daily request limit constraints; as a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs. consensus in this recap [GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q3 was solid on a YoY basis with $20.1M revenue (+68% YoY) and positive net income, but sequentially softer (-10% QoQ) due to seasonality; watch for Q4 follow-through given management’s “strong start” comment .
  • Distribution-led growth is gaining traction: Magic Eden mobile expansion and Ledger’s XO Swap integration broaden user access with minimal custodial risk; this should support exchange aggregation revenue in volatile markets .
  • Revenue mix remains dominated by exchange aggregation (~90%), indicating sensitivity to crypto volumes/volatility; fiat and staking are rising but still sub-10% combined .
  • Earnings volatility from ASU 2023-08 fair value accounting persists (digital asset losses ~$370k in Q3 vs. ~$17.2M in Q2); treasury size and crypto price moves can swing reported operating/net results materially .
  • Balance sheet is robust: ~$194.7M digital assets and cash and no debt provide flexibility for product investment and M&A; liquidity improvements may hinge on the NYSE uplisting resolution .
  • User base growth remains healthy (MAUs 1.6M, +YoY), supported by partnerships and product enhancements (Passkeys); monitor MAU and processed volume as leading indicators .
  • With no formal guidance and unavailable consensus estimates here, focus near-term on on-chain activity trends, partner activation (Ledger, Magic Eden), and Q4 usage momentum post-election and BTC strength for trading setups .