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FARMER BROTHERS CO (FARM)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 FY25 net sales declined to $82.054M (vs. $85.358M YoY; $90.021M in Q2), while gross margin remained robust at 42.1% (down sequentially from 43.1% on rising coffee input costs); Adjusted EBITDA was $1.736M, the third straight quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA .
  • Results missed S&P Global consensus: revenue $82.054M vs $88.993M est and Primary EPS -$0.115 vs -$0.105 est; Street likely re-calibrates near-term revenue/EPS for volume pressure while monitoring margin resilience above 40% (management’s stated target) *.
  • Mix/price discipline and cost actions offset traffic/unit headwinds; coffee pounds fell 9.4% YoY amid weak consumer confidence and elevated Arabica/Robusta prices .
  • Management expects to maintain >40% gross margin despite sequential pressure, sees no immediate tariff impact to FY25 COGS, and completed brand/SKU rationalization with launch of Sum>One specialty brand—potential catalysts for narrative improvement as macro normalizes .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • “Third straight quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA” and gross margin >42% despite macro/commodity headwinds; Adjusted EBITDA of $1.736M and gross margin 42.1% highlight operating discipline .
    • Cost structure progress: when adjusted for asset sale noise, operating expenses declined YoY (-$1.9M), reflecting rightsizing and efficiency gains (management commentary) .
    • Strategic milestones: completion of brand pyramid and SKU rationalization with the launch of Sum>One specialty brand; management emphasizes tiered go-to-market and cross-sell opportunity to deepen wallet share .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Revenue softness: net sales fell to $82.054M (YoY -3.9%; QoQ -8.8%); management cited declines in coffee pounds (-9.4% YoY) and customer count amid weak consumer confidence and elevated coffee markets .
    • Sequential gross margin contraction vs. Q2 (42.1% vs. 43.1%) as rising coffee prices flowed through COGS; management expects continued pressure but to remain above 40% target .
    • GAAP net loss of $4.976M, including a $2.4M loss on asset disposals; prior-year quarter included a $2.9M gain, creating a difficult comparison .

Financial Results

Quarterly performance vs. the prior two quarters (oldest → newest):

MetricQ1 FY25Q2 FY25Q3 FY25
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$85.066 $90.021 $82.054
Gross Margin (%)43.9% 43.1% 42.1%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$1.417 $5.899 $1.736
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)1.7% 6.6% 2.1%
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(5.002) $0.210 $(4.976)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.24) $0.01 $(0.23)

Actuals vs. S&P Global consensus (Q3 FY25):

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
Revenue ($USD Millions)$82.054 $88.993*
Primary EPS ($)$(0.115)*$(0.105)*
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global

KPIs and balance sheet (Q3 FY25):

KPIQ3 FY25
Coffee pounds YoY change-9.4% (decline)
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$1.3
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$(0.7)
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$4.1
Revolver Borrowings ($USD Millions)$23.3
Revolver Availability ($USD Millions)$22.1
Inventory ($USD Millions)$51.252

YoY benchmarks (Q3 FY24 for reference):

  • Net sales: $85.358M (Q3 FY24) vs. $82.054M (Q3 FY25) .
  • Gross margin: 40.1% (Q3 FY24) vs. 42.1% (Q3 FY25) .
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $0.271M (Q3 FY24) vs. $1.736M (Q3 FY25) .

Non-GAAP reconciliation context (Q3 FY25):

  • Adjusted EBITDA adds back $0.518M of stock comp, $1.613M losses on asset disposals, $0.8M loss related to sale of business, and $0.101M severance, among other items .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Gross Margin (%)Coming quarters (FY25 Q4 onward)Management target ~40%+ (operational focus) Expect to stay above 40% despite input cost pressure Maintained (qualitative)
Tariff Impact to COGSFY25N/ANo immediate tariff impacts expected to FY25 COGS New qualitative color
Cost Structure ActionsFY25 Q4/FY26 baselineOngoing rightsizing (prior commentary) Additional rightsizing executed in early Q4; benefits flow into Q4 and FY26 baseline Updated (implementation timing)
Quantitative Revenue/EPS GuidanceFY25/Q4Not providedNot providedNo formal guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Macro/consumerQ1: Macro headwinds, consumer behavior shifts ; Q2: Challenging environment noted Confidence weak; pricing/tariff uncertainty; volumes under pressure Persistent headwind
Coffee commodity costsQ1: Volatility; pricing actions underway ; Q2: GM >43% on pricing Elevated Arabica/Robusta; sequential GM contraction; plan to remain >40% Elevated/pressuring
Gross margin targetQ1 43.9% ; Q2 43.1% 42.1%; expect >40% ahead Slight down seq., above target
Brand/SKU rationalizationQ1 progressing (Boyd’s refresh) On track for Q3 completion Completed with Sum>One launch
Route optimization & penetrationQ1 progress Continued progress Focus on selling deeper/allied products
Specialty coffee strategyQ1: brand forthcoming Rolled to select customers Sum>One specialty brand launched
TariffsMonitoring; no FY25 COGS impact expected
Sales/DSD org structureQ1: sales realignment Added VP Sales; COO shift COO departure; VP Field Ops promotion; DSD leadership clarified
Volumes/customersQ1: retention stabilizing Coffee pounds -9.4% YoY; customer counts down

Management Commentary

  • “We realized our third straight quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, maintained gross margins above 42% and saw continued improvement in our cost structure” — John Moore, CEO .
  • “Gross margin in the third quarter was 42.1%… As expected, gross margins did contract slightly compared to the second quarter… we feel… positioned to stay above [the] target… over 40%” — Vance Fisher, CFO .
  • “Total coffee pounds were down 9.4% compared to the third quarter of [FY] 2024” — John Moore .
  • “We do not anticipate any immediate tariff impacts to our COGS in the current fiscal year” — John Moore .
  • Sum>One specialty brand launch completes brand pyramid/SKU rationalization, enabling tiered go-to-market and customer mobility across value tiers .

Q&A Highlights

  • Gross margin durability: CFO reiterated confidence in maintaining >40% GM despite rising coffee costs; sequential contraction expected near term .
  • Cost/efficiency runway: Management signaled further optimization but pivoting focus toward growth via customer acquisition and deeper product penetration .
  • Allied products cross-sell: CEO emphasized “tremendous opportunity” to sell deeper into existing accounts (land-and-expand) with supportive org mobilization .
  • Sales/DSD structure: Enhancements to separate growth vs. retention roles; new VP Field Operations to unlock DSD value and route density .
  • Timing of cost actions: Actions taken in early Q4 poised to benefit Q4 and set FY26 baseline .

Estimates Context

  • Q3 FY25 results vs. S&P Global consensus: Revenue $82.054M vs $88.993M est; Primary EPS $(0.115) vs $(0.105) est — both misses as revenue softness and volume declines outweighed cost actions *.
  • Street implications: Expect recalibration of near-term revenue/EPS for volume pressure and continued focus on margin trajectory (>40% target reiterated) and cash flow improvements (positive operating cash flow for third straight quarter) .
  • Values retrieved from S&P Global

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin defense credible: Despite commodity headwinds, management aims to maintain >40% GM; Q3 delivered 42.1% amid rising coffee costs .
  • Volumes remain the swing factor: Coffee pounds down 9.4% YoY; macro softness and competitive landscape weigh on top line .
  • Cost discipline intact: Adjusted EBITDA positive for the third straight quarter; Opex trending better when normalized for asset sale noise; further benefits expected from early Q4 actions .
  • Strategic repositioning complete: Brand pyramid/SKU rationalization finished with Sum>One launch; supports national specialty offering and tiered value proposition .
  • Cross-sell and route density are near-term growth levers: Management focused on selling deeper into existing customers and targeted customer acquisition to optimize DSD routes .
  • Liquidity adequate near term: $4.1M cash, $23.3M revolver borrowings, and $22.1M availability; continued attention on working capital and capex efficiency .
  • Watch list: trajectory of coffee prices, consumer spending, tariff developments (no FY25 COGS impact expected), and sequential gross margin path as key stock narrative drivers .