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FC

FRANKLIN COVEY CO (FC)·Q1 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 FY2021 revenue was $48.3M and gross margin expanded 359 bps to 75.3% as the mix shifted further to subscription; Adjusted EBITDA was $3.7M, above management’s $2.0–$2.5M expectation, despite pandemic headwinds .
  • Subscription engine remained durable: All Access Pass (AAP) sales grew 16% YoY with >90% annual revenue retention; billed + unbilled deferred subscription revenue reached $97.4M (+18% YoY), adding visibility to future periods .
  • Operating discipline offset revenue pressure: SG&A fell meaningfully; cash from operations rose 59% to $10.9M; liquidity was ~ $49–50M at quarter-end ($34M cash plus undrawn $15M revolver), supporting continued investment .
  • Outlook/catalysts: FY2021 Adjusted EBITDA guidance maintained at $20–$22M; Q2 Adjusted EBITDA guided to $1.0–$1.5M (seasonally weakest quarter). Key stock catalysts include sustained AAP invoicing momentum (+55% in Q1) and international recovery (notably China/Japan) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Subscription growth, retention, and invoicing momentum: “All Access Pass subscription sales grew 16%… annual revenue retention also remained strong at greater than 90%,” and amounts invoiced rose 55% (32% ex-large gov’t deal) .
    • Margin expansion and cost control: Gross margin improved to 75.3% (+359 bps YoY) on higher subscription mix; SG&A decreased significantly vs. prior year .
    • Liquidity and cash generation: Cash from operations increased 59% to $10.9M; liquidity of ~ $49–50M at quarter-end supports investment and resilience .
    • Management quote: “Adjusted EBITDA of $3.7 million… versus an expectation of between $2.0 million and $2.5 million” (Bob Whitman, CEO) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line still below prior year: Revenue of $48.3M vs $58.6M in Q1 FY2020 as onsite training and Education delivery days remained pressured by COVID .
    • Education Division softness: LIM delivery days were down >50% in Q1; revenue recognition delayed, though contracted work should be recognized later in the year (timing) .
    • International still below prior-year levels: While sequentially better, international sales remained under 2019 levels given smaller subscription base entering the pandemic .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021
Revenue ($M)$37.105 $48.994 $48.324
Gross Margin (%)72.3% 77.3% 75.3%
Operating Income (Loss) ($M)$(0.145) $3.741 $(0.169)
Net Income (Loss) ($M)$(10.968) $0.980 $(0.892)
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.79) $0.07 $(0.06)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$(3.642) $8.909 $3.716
Cash from Operations ($M)$10.9

Segment revenue (Q1 FY2021 vs prior year):

SegmentQ1 2020 ($M)Q1 2021 ($M)
Enterprise – Direct Offices$42.111 $36.743
Enterprise – International Licensees$3.721 $2.596
Education Division$11.082 $7.498
Corporate & Other$1.699 $1.487
Total$58.613 $48.324

Selected KPIs and operating metrics:

KPIQ3 2020Q4 2020Q1 2021
AAP Subscription Sales YoY Growth+18% (subscription revenue YoY) +15% (Q3–Q4 combined AAP sales YoY) +16%
AAP Annual Revenue Retention>90% FY2020 >90%
AAP Amounts Invoiced Growth+55% (32% ex-large gov’t)
Deferred Subscription Revenue (Balance Sheet)$43.9M (May-20) $60.6M (Aug-20) $56.9M (Nov-20)
Unbilled Deferred Revenue$33.4M (May-20) $39.6M (Aug-20) $40.5M (Nov-20)
Billed+Unbilled Deferred Subscription Revenue$97.4M (+18% YoY)
Clients Shifted to Live-Online87%
Liquidity (Cash + Undrawn Revolver)~ $49–50M ($34.3M cash + $15M revolver undrawn)

Notes: Gross margin expansion reflects higher subscription mix; SG&A decreased on lower T&E/marketing and lower stock comp .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2021$20–$22M (Nov 5, 2020) $20–$22M Maintained
Adjusted EBITDAQ2 FY 2021$1.0–$1.5M New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 FY20 and Q4 FY20)Current Period (Q1 FY21)Trend
Subscription durability (AAP growth/retention)Subscription revenue +18% YoY in Q3; AAP sales +15% in Q3–Q4; retention >90% FY20 AAP sales +16% YoY; retention >90% Sustained/Accelerating
Live-online delivery adoptionPivot to live-online; bookings recovering by July (Q3) and returned to pre-COVID in Q4 87% of clients on live-online; invoiced add-on services nearly flat YoY; bookings exceeding prior year Improving/Sticky
International recoverySevere decline in Q3; sequential improvement in Q4 but below prior year Sales $9.9M; +41% vs Q4; building AAP invoicing base (China/Japan) Rebounding Sequentially
Education DivisionQ3/Q4 headwinds despite strong renewals/new schools Delivery days down >50% in Q1; contracted work to be recognized later; renewal pipeline strong Near-term Pressure, Timing Benefit Later
Cash & liquidityStrong cash flows YTD/Q4; $27.1M cash at Aug-20 CFFO +59% to $10.9M; ~ $49–50M liquidity Strengthening
OutlookWithdrew FY20 (Q3); introduced FY21 Adj. EBITDA $20–$22M (Q4) FY21 Adj. EBITDA maintained; Q2 guide $1.0–$1.5M Stable to Positive

Management Commentary

  • “Adjusted EBITDA of $3.7 million in the first quarter of fiscal 2021 versus an expectation of between $2.0 million and $2.5 million.” — Bob Whitman, Chairman & CEO .
  • “We ended the quarter with approximately $49 million of liquidity… comprised of $34 million of cash… and our $15 million revolving credit facility still undrawn.” — Bob Whitman .
  • “Our gross margin percent was 75.3%… up 359 basis points… driven by All Access Pass.” — Management discussion .
  • “87% of our clients have now shifted to live online delivery of services… reducing susceptibility to cancellations.” — Management .
  • “International sales were $9.9 million… an increase of 41% over the fourth quarter… while still below last year” — Management .
  • “Education delivery days… were down about over 50% [in Q1]… a lot of it is timing… already contracted and will be recognized before year-end.” — Sean Covey, President, Education .
  • “We expect Adjusted EBITDA of between $20 million and $22 million in fiscal 2021; Q2 expected at $1 million to $1.5 million.” — Stephen Young, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • International rebound drivers: Stability in China/Japan and pipeline rebuild drove sequential improvement; early AAP traction growing but much of Q1 revenue still traditional (invoicing for AAP builds deferred revenue for future recognition) .
  • Education timing: >50% decline in delivery days limited revenue recognition; majority of services are contracted and expected to be delivered/recognized later in FY2021; retention and new school adds tracking ahead of last year to date .
  • Growth algorithm: With legacy runoff largely behind, sustained high-teens AAP growth plus >90% retention should lift overall growth beyond high-single digits over time; ~50% flow-through of incremental revenue to Adjusted EBITDA targeted .
  • Content roadmap: Two significant new offerings slated to address client needs following strong uptake of “6 Critical Practices” and “Unconscious Bias” in prior years .
  • Strategic priorities: Invest in portal/UX, microlearning, coaching; expand sales force (target ~+20 net client partners in FY21); accelerate AAP mix internationally to resemble North America over next 2–3 years .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global/Capital IQ) for Q1 FY2021 EPS and revenue was unavailable at time of query due to data access limits, so we cannot present vs-consensus comparisons. Management noted an internal beat on Adjusted EBITDA versus its own expectation ($3.7M vs $2.0–$2.5M) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Subscription flywheel intact: AAP sales +16% and >90% retention underpin visibility; billed + unbilled deferred subscription revenue of $97.4M provides a solid base for future periods .
  • Invoicing momentum is the lead indicator: AAP amounts invoiced +55% (32% ex-large gov’t) sets up accelerated revenue recognition ahead, a key positive for forward EBITDA and cash conversion .
  • Mix-driven margin resilience: 359 bps GM expansion to 75.3% demonstrates favorable economics as subscription mix rises; SG&A discipline supports leverage as top-line normalizes .
  • International turning: Sequential recovery in China/Japan and licensees continues; watch for AAP penetration to increase deferred revenue and stabilize revenue recognition internationally .
  • Education is timing-driven: Delivery constraints deferred revenue recognition; contracted services should convert later in FY2021; retention and new-school pipelines are encouraging .
  • Guidance credible and de-risked: FY2021 Adjusted EBITDA maintained at $20–$22M; Q2 seasonally low but positive; high deferred revenue and live-online adoption (87% of clients) reduce cancellation risk .
  • Balance sheet optionality: ~ $49–50M liquidity and strong operating cash flow (CFFO +59% to $10.9M) enable ongoing product, tech, and salesforce investments and potential bolt-ons/share repurchase over time .