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FRESH DEL MONTE PRODUCE INC (FDP)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q4 2024 delivered modest topline growth with stronger profitability: Net sales rose 0.5% to $1.01B, gross profit increased 10% to $68.7M, and GAAP EPS was $0.42; adjusted EPS was $0.26, roughly flat vs prior year’s $0.25 .
- Segment mix drove outcomes: Fresh & Value-Added net sales grew 5% with gross margin expanding to 7.5%, while Banana margin compressed to 3.9% on lower sales and higher production/procurement costs .
- Capital returns accelerated: Board approved a $150M share repurchase and raised the quarterly dividend 20% to $0.30, citing balanced capital allocation and reinforced balance sheet (long-term debt down to ~$244M) .
- 2025 outlook: Management guides FY25 net sales +~2% with segment margin targets (Fresh & Value-Added 10–11%, Banana 5–7%, Other 12–14%), SG&A $205–$210M, CapEx $80–$90M, and operating cash flow $190–$200M; watch near-term supply tightness and tariff risks as potential stock catalysts .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Fresh & Value-Added strength: Q4 gross profit nearly doubled YoY to $46.1M; specialty pineapples (Honeyglow, Pinkglow) and avocados led pricing/mix; full-year segment gross margin rose to 9.3% from 6.8% .
- Balance sheet and cash: Long-term debt reduced by $156M YoY to ~$244M; FY24 operating cash flow was $182.5M .
- Strategic focus and pricing confidence: “Pineapples are at the heart of who we are… demand… exceeds supply,” and management expects pineapple pricing to be “just as strong or stronger than last year” .
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What Went Wrong
- Banana pressure: Q4 Banana gross margin fell to 3.9% (vs 9.9% LY) on lower sales (North America) and higher production/procurement costs; full-year Banana margin decreased to 5.9% (vs 10.0%) .
- Cost and FX headwinds: Higher per-unit production/procurement costs and adverse FX (Costa Rican colón, JPY/KRW) weighed on results (quarter and full-year commentary) .
- Operating expense creep and macro risks: SG&A rose to $196.9M in FY24 (vs $186.7M FY23); management flagged tight supply entering Q1 2025 and potential tariff risks on key imports (e.g., Mexico) .
Financial Results
YoY comparison (Q4 2023 → Q4 2024)
Sequential comparison (Q3 2024 → Q4 2024)
Segment breakdown (Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023)
KPIs and balance sheet/cash flow
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our fresh and value-added products segment, Pineapple, Fresh-cut fruit, and Avocados performed exceptionally well in 2024, driving growth and improving company gross margins.”
- “Pineapples are at the heart of who we are… As global demand for our pineapples continues to exceed supply, we remain active in expanding our production and sourcing operations.”
- “We are ahead of the curve when it comes to FSMA 204 compliance… we are on track to achieve full compliance… giving us a significant competitive advantage.”
- “We ended the year with $244 million of long-term debt… adjusted leverage ratio is now less than 1x EBITDA… Board… increased our quarterly dividend to $0.30 and approved a $150 million share repurchase program.”
- On pineapple pricing: “We are confident that our pricing on pineapple will be just as strong or stronger than last year.”
Q&A Highlights
- Pineapple supply/pricing: Management is expanding plantations in Costa Rica and replanting Brazil (new patented Fusarium-resistant variety) and expects pineapple pricing to remain very strong; broad multi-continent sourcing reduces risk .
- Avocado sourcing and tariff sensitivity: Diversifying beyond Mexico (Chile, Peru, Colombia, DR) to reduce dependence; if tariffs materialize, costs likely passed through, with demand impact uncertain .
- Banana sourcing strategy: Somalia project progressing (350 hectares planted; target 1,500 by end-2025) to supply Middle East/Southern Europe with shorter transit times, potentially improving margins over 18–24 months .
- Near-term operational backdrop: Q1 2025 started with tight supply in bananas/pineapples due to unusual weather; improvements beginning, but macro/tariff risks remain .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue could not be retrieved at this time due to API rate limits; as a result, we cannot assess beat/miss versus consensus within this report. We will update once S&P Global estimates are available.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Mix shift remains the core earnings lever: Fresh & Value-Added momentum offset Banana weakness; specialty pineapples and avocados continue to drive pricing and margin resilience .
- Capital returns now a tangible pillar: $150M buyback and a 20% dividend hike to $0.30 signal confidence and balance sheet capacity (LT debt ≈$244M) .
- 2025 guide frames an earnings bridge: Modest sales growth (+~2%) with higher Fresh & Value-Added margin (10–11%) and controlled SG&A ($205–$210M) should support stable-to-better underlying profitability if supply normalizes .
- Watch near-term banana/pineapple supply and macro: Q1 2025 tightness and potential tariffs are key risk variables; diversified sourcing (Somalia/Brazil for bananas; multi-country for avocados; expanded pineapple) is the hedge .
- Cost/FX vigilance: Elevated production/procurement costs and FX (CRC/JPY/KRW) were headwinds in FY24; sustained FX pressure could temper margin gains if pricing/mix tailwinds wane .
- Mann Packing streamlining should aid margins over time: Sale of Fresh Leaf Farms assets completed; consolidation expected to contribute to Fresh & Value-Added margin goals (10–11%) .
- Regulatory readiness is a differentiator: FSMA 204 preparedness by Jan-2026 could be a share-gain catalyst in fresh-cut if competitors lag .