FP
FERRELLGAS PARTNERS L P (FGPR)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 FY2025 delivered solid topline and profitability: Revenue rose 9.8% year over year to $669.8M, Operating Income increased 6.0% to $127.6M, and Net Earnings attributable to FGPR grew to $98.8M; Adjusted EBITDA increased 7% to $157.0M .
- Blue Rhino had a record January, with cylinders delivered exceeding any summer month in the past three years; wholesale gallons increased 11.5M (+20%) and retail gallons +2.9M (+1%), supporting revenue growth despite higher product costs and mixed weather trends .
- Cost headwinds included $11.1M higher operating expenses (overtime and one-time workers’ comp), and $3.5M higher interest expense; weather was warm in Nov/Dec but January was 12.2% cooler than normal, aiding demand; agriculture was weak due to drought, reducing crop drying by 2.4M gallons .
- Strategic catalysts: resolution of the Eddystone litigation via a $125M structured settlement (first $50M paid; two $37.5M payments due June 16, 2025 and Jan 15, 2026), senior notes callable at par after March 2025, and ongoing capital-structure work with Moelis & Company; distribution policy to Class A holders remains paused .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Revenue +$59.9M (+10%) year over year; Operating Income +$7.2M (+6%); Adjusted EBITDA +$10.1M (+7%) to $157.0M, driven by gross profit +$19.1M and lower G&A after adjustments .
- Blue Rhino demand surged with record January; 2.2M more gallons (+9%) and expanded selling locations (6,000 added last year) lifting organic sales by 14% .
- Operational execution: “days to set a tank” improved 25% and idling time reduced ~15%, favorably impacting fuel usage and service speed; new autogas win expected to add ~100,000 gallons annually .
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What Went Wrong
- Operating expenses rose $11.1M (personnel +$11.0M on overtime and one-time workers’ comp), partially offset by vehicle cost -$0.8M via reduced fuel costs; interest expense +$3.5M .
- Weather mixed: warmer Nov (+9.9%) and Dec (+2.5%) constrained early-quarter retail demand; January was colder (-12.2% vs normal), but agriculture remained soft due to drought (-2.4M crop-drying gallons) and a 2% customer decrease .
- No distributions to Class A Unitholders in fiscal 2025 or 2024; elevated legal-related adjustments and ongoing capital-structure complexity remain investor focal points .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown and volumes:
KPIs and cash metrics:
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Safe driving by our experienced and highly tenured employees aided by proven planning practices helped achieve opportunities for growth in Retail and a record January for Blue Rhino.” — Tamria Zertuche, CEO .
- “Gross profit increased $19.1 million or 6%... revenues +$59.9 million (10%)... wholesale prices +16.9% (Mont Belvieu) and +16.2% (Conway). Net earnings attributable to Ferrellgas Partners, L.P. increased to $98.8 million.” — Michael Cole, CFO .
- “Our days to set a tank improved with a 25% decrease in time to service… idling time reductions of 15% favorably impacted fuel usage.” — Tamria Zertuche .
- “Of the $125 million accrual in the first fiscal quarter, $50 million was paid on January 15, 2025, with two $37.5 million payments due on or before June 16, 2025 and January 15, 2026; the $190 million appeal bond and related letters of credit have been released.” — Michael Cole .
Q&A Highlights
- Eddystone settlement and liquidity: $50M paid; two $37.5M LC-supported payments pending; net-neutral liquidity effect vs prior $125M appeal bond LC .
- Capital structure/Refinancing: Moelis engaged; senior notes become callable at par after March 2025; monitoring HY market conditions, no targeted rate disclosed .
- Class B units mechanics: Approximate redemption value ~$305M as of end-March (subject to IRR calculation and time); redemption vs conversion pathways clarified .
- NYSE relisting: Under consideration within capital-structure alternatives; no timeline .
- Wholesale margins: Attributed to strong supply planning across four pipelines and opportunistic navigation of external factors .
- Acquisition activity: Kilhoffer aligns with tuck-in strategy (customer base and route density), positive integration outlook .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus estimates (EPS, Revenue, EBITDA) from S&P Global were unavailable at the time of this analysis due to data access limits; FGPR trades OTC Pink, which can reduce formal analyst coverage density, further limiting consensus visibility .
- Without consensus figures, we cannot quantify beats/misses; based on reported results, revenue and Adjusted EBITDA increased year over year, with stronger January-driven volumes and Blue Rhino performance .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Q2 delivered resilient growth despite mixed weather, with strength in Blue Rhino and residential retail volumes; Adjusted EBITDA +7% to $157.0M supports cash generation into peak season .
- The Eddystone settlement meaningfully reduces legal overhang and clarifies near-term cash obligations; appeal bond release and LC-backed payment schedule mitigate liquidity strain .
- Optionality improves as $650M senior notes turn callable at par post-March; ongoing Moelis-led capital-structure work is a central medium-term catalyst .
- Operational execution continues to be a differentiator (faster service times, lower idling/fuel), potentially offsetting cost pressures and supporting margins in volatile weather environments .
- Agriculture demand remains a watch item given drought impacts; continued expansion in weather-agnostic customers (autogas, national accounts) diversifies demand drivers .
- Dividend policy: no Class A distributions in FY2024–FY2025; distributable cash flow remains healthy, but capital priorities (settlement and refinancing) likely take precedence near term .
- Near-term trading narrative: legal clarity + callability on notes + operational momentum vs cost inflation and weather variability; monitoring tariff developments on steel inputs and capital-structure announcements is key .