FIRST HORIZON CORP (FHN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 EPS was $0.41 and adjusted EPS $0.42; EPS rose $0.12 q/q and $0.08 y/y, while adjusted EPS dipped $0.01 q/q and rose $0.07 y/y .
- Net interest margin expanded 9 bps to 3.42% on disciplined deposit repricing; interest-bearing deposit cost fell 38 bps q/q to 2.72% .
- Provision increased to $40M (from $10M in Q4) as ACL/loans rose to 1.45% on macro uncertainty; NCO ratio rose to 0.19% but remained within guided range .
- Management maintained FY2025 guidance (revenue flat–up 4%, expenses up 2–4%, NCOs 0.15–0.25%, tax 21–23%, CET1 10.5–11.0%); repurchased $360M of shares, ending CET1 at 10.9% .
- Versus S&P consensus, EPS modestly beat; revenue missed as defined by S&P Global; the broader narrative centers on margin expansion, credit stability, and capital deployment (see Estimates Context). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- “We delivered solid pre-provision net revenue growth through continued margin expansion and deposit pricing discipline” (CEO) .
- Net interest margin up 9 bps to 3.42% on 38 bps reduction in interest-bearing deposit cost, aided by repricing success (retained ~95% of ~$16B promotional deposits while cutting weighted-average rate by 34 bps) .
- Shareholder returns: $360M buybacks; TBVPS up $0.32 to $13.17; adjusted efficiency ratio improved to 59.09% .
What Went Wrong
- Provision rose to $40M with ACL/loans up 2 bps to 1.45% amid increased macro uncertainty; NCOs rose to $29M (0.19%) vs $13M (0.08%) in Q4 .
- Loans declined 1% q/q (seasonal LMC down $101M; CRE paydowns) and average deposits declined $1.6B q/q (brokered CD payoffs), pressuring balances .
- Fixed income ADR fell to $586K (down 11% q/q) given March’s extreme rate volatility, though non-ADR product revenues offset .
Financial Results
Segment results (Q1 2025):
Key operating KPIs (Q1 2025):
Guidance Changes
Dividend declaration (Q1 window): Board declared $0.15/common per share payable July 1, 2025 (announced Apr 29, 2025) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “We delivered solid pre-provision net revenue growth through continued margin expansion and deposit pricing discipline while consistently prioritizing our credit quality.”
- CFO: “Our net interest margin expansion to 3.42% was driven by a 27 bps decline in average total deposit costs, which more than offset a 20 bps reduction in average loan yield.”
- CEO on capital: “We intend to target 11% CET1…at some point…we’ll bring that target down probably closer to the 10.5% area…we will continue to use [excess capital] to repurchase shares.”
- CCO on reserves: “We increased reserves by 2 bps…prudent move…our ACL [covers] over 9x our average annualized charge-offs…among the strongest in our peer set.”
- CFO on guidance: “Our 2025 guidance remains unchanged…focused on delivering PPNR growth while prioritizing safety and soundness.”
Q&A Highlights
- PPNR outlook and rate scenarios: Management ran multiple scenarios; more than three cuts would pressure NII but be offset by fixed income and mortgage businesses .
- CET1 and buybacks: Near-term CET1 ~11%; appetite to continue buybacks if organic growth deployment is limited .
- C&I activity: Borrowers adopting “wait-and-see” amid tariffs; pipelines remain “reasonably strong” with optimism .
- Reserves/CECL weighting: Increased downside scenario weighting in Moody’s models; unemployment baseline up to ~5% in scenarios .
- Deposits: Q2 expected to be strong for deposit growth; new-to-bank checking offer; shorter 45-day promos to enable repricing .
- Hedging: Balance sheet benefits from natural countercyclicals; ALCO evaluates ±300–400 bps shocks .
Estimates Context
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company-reported total revenue was $812M (FTE $816M), reflecting smaller miss vs S&P consensus; differences arise from definition/aggregation used in S&P datasets .
Implications: Consensus likely to reflect continued NIM support from deposit cost reductions, stabilized deposit competition, and credit normalization; noninterest income remains sensitive to market volatility (ADR) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin tailwind: 9 bps NIM expansion with 38 bps deposit cost decline indicates further ability to defend spread even without near-term rate cuts .
- Credit remains controlled: NCOs at 0.19% and ACL/loans at 1.45% within guided range; reserve build prudent amid macro uncertainty .
- Capital deployment: $360M buybacks and CET1 10.9% suggest continued capital return while targeting 10.5–11.0% CET1 through the year .
- Countercyclical buffers: Mortgage warehouse and fixed income businesses provide offsets if rates decline; watch ADR and mortgage volume trends through Q2–Q3 .
- Balance trends: Loans modestly down on CRE paydowns and LMC seasonality; deposits expected to grow in Q2 with campaigns and shorter promos aiding repricing .
- Guidance intact: FY2025 revenue and expense ranges maintained; execution on deposit growth and expense discipline remains core to PPNR trajectory .
- Strategic update: LPL partnership to transition First Horizon Advisors’ broker-dealer/advisory support (110 FAs; ~$16B client assets) in 2H25—potential long-term platform enhancement .
Additional Q1 2025 Press Releases
- Dividend declaration: $0.15 per common share, payable July 1, 2025 .
- LPL Financial strategic relationship: Transition support of First Horizon Advisors’ broker-dealer/advisory to LPL’s Institution Services in 2H25, subject to approvals .
Prior Two Quarters (for trend)
- Q4 2024: EPS $0.29; adjusted EPS $0.43; NIM 3.33%; ADR $659K; NCO 0.08%; CET1 11.2% .
- Q3 2024: EPS $0.40; adjusted EPS $0.42; NIM 3.31%; ADR $593K; NCO 0.15%; CET1 11.2% .
Overall, Q1 2025 shows strengthening margin, steady credit within range, continued capital returns, and maintained guidance, with revenue sensitives to market-driven fee lines and seasonal loan dynamics.