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FH

FIRST HORIZON CORP (FHN)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 EPS was $0.41 and adjusted EPS $0.42; EPS rose $0.12 q/q and $0.08 y/y, while adjusted EPS dipped $0.01 q/q and rose $0.07 y/y .
  • Net interest margin expanded 9 bps to 3.42% on disciplined deposit repricing; interest-bearing deposit cost fell 38 bps q/q to 2.72% .
  • Provision increased to $40M (from $10M in Q4) as ACL/loans rose to 1.45% on macro uncertainty; NCO ratio rose to 0.19% but remained within guided range .
  • Management maintained FY2025 guidance (revenue flat–up 4%, expenses up 2–4%, NCOs 0.15–0.25%, tax 21–23%, CET1 10.5–11.0%); repurchased $360M of shares, ending CET1 at 10.9% .
  • Versus S&P consensus, EPS modestly beat; revenue missed as defined by S&P Global; the broader narrative centers on margin expansion, credit stability, and capital deployment (see Estimates Context). Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We delivered solid pre-provision net revenue growth through continued margin expansion and deposit pricing discipline” (CEO) .
  • Net interest margin up 9 bps to 3.42% on 38 bps reduction in interest-bearing deposit cost, aided by repricing success (retained ~95% of ~$16B promotional deposits while cutting weighted-average rate by 34 bps) .
  • Shareholder returns: $360M buybacks; TBVPS up $0.32 to $13.17; adjusted efficiency ratio improved to 59.09% .

What Went Wrong

  • Provision rose to $40M with ACL/loans up 2 bps to 1.45% amid increased macro uncertainty; NCOs rose to $29M (0.19%) vs $13M (0.08%) in Q4 .
  • Loans declined 1% q/q (seasonal LMC down $101M; CRE paydowns) and average deposits declined $1.6B q/q (brokered CD payoffs), pressuring balances .
  • Fixed income ADR fell to $586K (down 11% q/q) given March’s extreme rate volatility, though non-ADR product revenues offset .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
EPS (Diluted) ($)$0.40 $0.29 $0.41
Adjusted EPS ($)$0.42 $0.43 $0.42
Total Revenue (GAAP) ($MM)$828 $729 $812
Net Interest Income (GAAP) ($MM)$627 $630 $631
Net Interest Margin (%)3.31% 3.33% 3.42%
Noninterest Expense (GAAP) ($MM)$511 $508 $488
Adjusted Efficiency Ratio (%)59.86% 61.43% 59.09%
PPNR (GAAP) ($MM)$316 $220 $325
Provision for Credit Losses ($MM)$35 $10 $40
NIAC ($MM)$213 $158 $213
Net Charge-offs ($MM)$24 $13 $29
NCO Ratio (%)0.15% 0.08% 0.19%
CET1 Ratio (%)13.9% total capital; CET1 11.2% CET1 11.2% CET1 10.9%

Segment results (Q1 2025):

SegmentTotal Revenue ($MM)Noninterest Expense ($MM)Net Income ($MM)
Commercial, Consumer & Wealth$734 $343 $269
Wholesale$109 $77 $22
Corporate($30) $68 ($69)

Key operating KPIs (Q1 2025):

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Average Loans ($B)$62.4 $62.4 $61.6
Average Deposits ($B)$66.3 $66.1 $64.5
Interest-bearing Deposit Cost (%)2.61% 2.34% 2.72%
Total Funding Cost (%)2.75% 2.47% 2.23%
NPLs ($MM)$578 $602 $609
NPL Ratio (%)0.92% 0.96% 0.98%
ACL/Loans (%)1.44% 1.43% 1.45%
TBVPS ($)$13.02 $12.85 $13.17
Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (Period-end, %)94.0% 95.4% 96.9%
Fixed Income ADR ($000s)$593 $659 $586
Diluted Shares (MM)538 534 523
Cash Dividend per Share ($)$0.15 $0.15 $0.15

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted Revenue (ex deferred comp)FY2025Flat–Up 4% Flat–Up 4% Maintained
Adjusted Expense (ex deferred comp)FY2025Up 2–4% Up 2–4% Maintained
Net Charge-offsFY20250.15–0.25% 0.15–0.25% Maintained
Tax RateFY202521–23% 21–23% Maintained
CET1 Ratio TargetNear-term FY2025~11% 10.5–11.0% Maintained

Dividend declaration (Q1 window): Board declared $0.15/common per share payable July 1, 2025 (announced Apr 29, 2025) .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 & Q4)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Deposit pricing disciplineQ4: 34 bps decline avg rate; 95% retention on ~$18B promo; spot 2.80% ; Q3: promo repricing plan; spot improvement 38 bps decline in interest-bearing cost; retained ~95% of ~$16B promos; spot ~2.70% Continued improvement
Net interest marginQ4: NIM +2 bps to 3.33% ; Q3: NIM 3.31% NIM 3.42% (+9 bps) Expanding
Tariffs/macro uncertaintyNot a major Q3/Q4 theme; focus on rate cuts CEO: tariff-related uncertainty; aiming to avoid recession; cautious optimism New headwind
Mortgage warehouseQ4: share gains; balances seasonality but strong pipeline Seasonality in Jan/Feb; pickup in March; countercyclical hedge for falling rates Seasonal uptick expected
Fixed income ADR/volatilityQ4: ADR $659K; favorable curve helped ADR $586K; extreme volatility limited ADR, offset by other products Mixed; volatile
Credit qualityQ4: NCO 0.08%; ACL 1.43%; NPL slight uptick NCO 0.19%; ACL 1.45%; NPL 0.98%—still within range Normalizing
Capital & buybacksQ4: CET1 11.2%; $163M buybacks CET1 10.9%; $360M buybacks; near-term 11% target Active
Technology investmentsQ4: GL and treasury conversions completed; run-the-bank spend Outside services down on completed projects; focus shifting to client-facing Transitioning

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We delivered solid pre-provision net revenue growth through continued margin expansion and deposit pricing discipline while consistently prioritizing our credit quality.”
  • CFO: “Our net interest margin expansion to 3.42% was driven by a 27 bps decline in average total deposit costs, which more than offset a 20 bps reduction in average loan yield.”
  • CEO on capital: “We intend to target 11% CET1…at some point…we’ll bring that target down probably closer to the 10.5% area…we will continue to use [excess capital] to repurchase shares.”
  • CCO on reserves: “We increased reserves by 2 bps…prudent move…our ACL [covers] over 9x our average annualized charge-offs…among the strongest in our peer set.”
  • CFO on guidance: “Our 2025 guidance remains unchanged…focused on delivering PPNR growth while prioritizing safety and soundness.”

Q&A Highlights

  • PPNR outlook and rate scenarios: Management ran multiple scenarios; more than three cuts would pressure NII but be offset by fixed income and mortgage businesses .
  • CET1 and buybacks: Near-term CET1 ~11%; appetite to continue buybacks if organic growth deployment is limited .
  • C&I activity: Borrowers adopting “wait-and-see” amid tariffs; pipelines remain “reasonably strong” with optimism .
  • Reserves/CECL weighting: Increased downside scenario weighting in Moody’s models; unemployment baseline up to ~5% in scenarios .
  • Deposits: Q2 expected to be strong for deposit growth; new-to-bank checking offer; shorter 45-day promos to enable repricing .
  • Hedging: Balance sheet benefits from natural countercyclicals; ALCO evaluates ±300–400 bps shocks .

Estimates Context

MetricS&P ConsensusActual (S&P)Surprise
Primary EPS ($)0.399*0.42*+$0.02*
Revenue ($MM)821.9*772.0*-$49.9*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Note: Company-reported total revenue was $812M (FTE $816M), reflecting smaller miss vs S&P consensus; differences arise from definition/aggregation used in S&P datasets .

Implications: Consensus likely to reflect continued NIM support from deposit cost reductions, stabilized deposit competition, and credit normalization; noninterest income remains sensitive to market volatility (ADR) .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin tailwind: 9 bps NIM expansion with 38 bps deposit cost decline indicates further ability to defend spread even without near-term rate cuts .
  • Credit remains controlled: NCOs at 0.19% and ACL/loans at 1.45% within guided range; reserve build prudent amid macro uncertainty .
  • Capital deployment: $360M buybacks and CET1 10.9% suggest continued capital return while targeting 10.5–11.0% CET1 through the year .
  • Countercyclical buffers: Mortgage warehouse and fixed income businesses provide offsets if rates decline; watch ADR and mortgage volume trends through Q2–Q3 .
  • Balance trends: Loans modestly down on CRE paydowns and LMC seasonality; deposits expected to grow in Q2 with campaigns and shorter promos aiding repricing .
  • Guidance intact: FY2025 revenue and expense ranges maintained; execution on deposit growth and expense discipline remains core to PPNR trajectory .
  • Strategic update: LPL partnership to transition First Horizon Advisors’ broker-dealer/advisory support (110 FAs; ~$16B client assets) in 2H25—potential long-term platform enhancement .

Additional Q1 2025 Press Releases

  • Dividend declaration: $0.15 per common share, payable July 1, 2025 .
  • LPL Financial strategic relationship: Transition support of First Horizon Advisors’ broker-dealer/advisory to LPL’s Institution Services in 2H25, subject to approvals .

Prior Two Quarters (for trend)

  • Q4 2024: EPS $0.29; adjusted EPS $0.43; NIM 3.33%; ADR $659K; NCO 0.08%; CET1 11.2% .
  • Q3 2024: EPS $0.40; adjusted EPS $0.42; NIM 3.31%; ADR $593K; NCO 0.15%; CET1 11.2% .

Overall, Q1 2025 shows strengthening margin, steady credit within range, continued capital returns, and maintained guidance, with revenue sensitives to market-driven fee lines and seasonal loan dynamics.