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NATIONAL BEVERAGE CORP (FIZZ)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 FY2025 EPS was $0.49 on net sales of $291.2M, up vs. $0.47 on $300.1M in the prior-year quarter, with gross margin expanding to 38% despite a 3% YoY sales decline . Sequentially, revenue fell from Q1’s $329.5M as summer volumes cooled, but margins remained resilient .
  • Management cited August–September volume shortfalls tied to consumer pressures and severe Southeastern U.S. storms that caused supply chain disruption and multi-day retail closures; volumes improved in October and consumer confidence ticked up, supporting near-term optimism .
  • Operating margins improved for the 8th consecutive quarter and operating profit per case rose 12%, reflecting tight cost control and pricing/mix discipline .
  • Innovation and marketing remain core: LaCroix Strawberry Peach drew strong early demand (targeting nationwide availability by year-end) and in-store merchandising/sampling and digital/influencer programs were expanded . Prior quarters also highlighted momentum from Mojito (LaCroix), Rip It energy, and Shasta Zero Sugar .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin resilience: Q2 gross margin rose to 38% and operating margins improved for the 8th straight quarter; operating profit per case +12% YoY, underscoring effective cost and mix management .
    • Product/brand innovation: LaCroix Strawberry Peach launched to “exceptionally positive” consumer response, with nationwide rollout targeted by year-end; innovation pipeline continues .
    • Cost discipline: Q2 shipping and handling costs fell to $18.4M from $19.7M and marketing costs to $11.6M from $13.3M YoY, supporting profitability despite softer sales .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line softness: Q2 net sales declined 3% YoY to $291.2M due to volume shortfalls in August/September amid consumer spending pressure .
    • Weather disruption: Record storms in the Southeast caused supply-chain issues and multi-day store closures at customers, temporarily impacting volumes .
    • Sequential deceleration: Net sales stepped down from Q1’s $329.5M as peak summer seasonality abated and macro headwinds persisted, though margin trends remained favorable .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 FY2024Q4 FY2024Q1 FY2025Q2 FY2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$300.1 $297.3 $329.5 $291.2
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$107.9 $122.4 $109.4
Gross Margin %35.9% (calc) 36.7% 37.2% 38.0%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$43.8 $43.7 $56.8 $45.6
Diluted EPS ($)$0.47 $0.47 $0.61 $0.49

Notes:

  • Gross Margin % for Q2 FY2024 is calculated from reported net sales and gross profit .
  • Company reports as a single operating segment; no segment revenue breakdown provided .

Actual vs. Estimates (Q2 FY2025)

  • Revenue: $291.2M (Actual) ; Consensus: N/A (S&P Global data unavailable this run)
  • Diluted EPS: $0.49 (Actual) ; Consensus: N/A (S&P Global data unavailable this run)

KPIs and cost levers

KPI / CostQ1 FY2025Q2 FY2025
Shipping & handling ($USD Millions)$19.5 $18.4
Marketing costs ($USD Millions)$11.5 $11.6
Operating margin trendImproved YoY (Q1 GM 37.2%) 8th consecutive quarter of operating margin improvement
Operating profit per case+12% YoY

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
RevenueNo formal guidanceNo formal guidanceMaintained (none)
Gross marginNo formal guidanceNo formal guidanceMaintained (none)
OpEx / SG&ANo formal guidanceNo formal guidanceMaintained (none)
EPSNo formal guidanceNo formal guidanceMaintained (none)
DividendFY2025Special cash dividend $3.25/share declared Jun 12, 2024; paid Jul 24, 2024No new dividends announced in Q2N/A (event in Q1)

Management provided no quantitative guidance in Q2 materials; dividend noted above for context .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No earnings call transcript was available; themes reflect press releases and 10-Q narrative.

TopicQ4 FY2024 (previous-2)Q1 FY2025 (previous-1)Q2 FY2025 (current)Trend
Product innovationEmphasis on Mojito (LaCroix), Rip It, Shasta Zero Sugar Launch of LaCroix Strawberry Peach; strong early response Strawberry Peach “exceptionally positive” reception; nationwide by year-end; more flavors coming Positive momentum
Margin managementGM 36.7%; continued discipline GM 37.2%; benefit from lower packaging costs and pricing GM ~38%; operating margin improved 8th straight quarter; profit per case +12% Improving
Supply chain / weatherSoutheastern storms caused disruptions and store closures Temporary headwind
Consumer/macroRecord Q1 sales; dividend; healthy demand Aug/Sep volume shortfalls; October volume rebound and better consumer confidence Mixed, stabilizing late-Q2
Marketing & merchandisingBrand/packaging focus highlighted Expanded in-store merchandising, sampling; social/digital/influencer/sports sponsorships Increased investment
Costs/raw materialsLower packaging costs aided GM Shipping/marketing YoY down; cost control continues Supportive

Management Commentary

  • “We are pleased to report increased earnings and margin improvements in a challenging period… Second quarter net sales declined 3% due to volume shortfalls in August and September. We are, however, optimistic… due to increased volume for October as well as the recent improvement in consumer confidence.”
  • “Record-setting storms… resulted in supply-chain disruptions and numerous multi-day store closures by our customers.”
  • “Second quarter operating margins improved for the 8th consecutive quarter and operating profit per case increased 12%.”
  • “LaCroix’s newest product, Strawberry Peach… received an exceptionally positive consumer response… anticipate it will be available nationwide by the end of the year… additional LaCroix creations… scheduled to be released soon.”
  • “We have expanded our in-store merchandising teams… increased our staff of in-store sampling ambassadors… marketing… includes social media, consumer events, influencers, digital marketing and professional sports teams and podcast sponsorships.”

Q&A Highlights

  • No earnings call transcript was found for Q2 FY2025; no Q&A themes to report from a call [ListDocuments showed 0 earnings-call-transcript for FIZZ].

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q2 FY2025 could not be retrieved in this session. As a result, we cannot quantify beat/miss versus S&P Global consensus for revenue and EPS. S&P Global data was unavailable at query time.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin story intact: Q2 gross margin reached ~38% and operating margin improved for the eighth straight quarter, with operating profit per case +12%—a bullish signal that cost/mix control is offsetting top-line softness .
  • Transient headwinds: Net sales fell 3% YoY to $291.2M, pressured by August/September volume shortfalls and severe weather disruptions; management cited improved October volumes and better consumer confidence into period-end as a stabilizer .
  • Sequential moderation: After a record Q1 ($329.5M), revenue normalized in Q2; the resilience of EPS ($0.49) highlights favorable unit economics despite macro pressures .
  • Cost discipline levers: Shipping ($18.4M) and marketing ($11.6M) were down YoY in Q2, supporting profitability while marketing capabilities (in-store, sampling, digital) were expanded to drive demand .
  • Innovation as catalyst: Strong reception to LaCroix Strawberry Peach and a continued flavor pipeline can support volume recapture and shelf momentum near-term .
  • Balance sheet context: Cash stood at $112.8M at Q2-end after the $304.1M special dividend in July; liquidity remains adequate and management reiterates confidence in long-term performance .
  • Watch list: Pace of volume recovery post-October, elasticity to promotional activity, weather risks, and continued margin expansion trajectory absent formal guidance .

Citations

  • Q2 FY2025 press release and 8-K:
  • Q2 FY2025 10-Q (financial statements, costs, segment disclosure):
  • Q1 FY2025 press release and 10-Q:
  • Q4 FY2024 press release and 8-K: