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FL

FOOT LOCKER, INC. (FL)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 delivered above revised expectations: sales $2.243B (-5.8% YoY; +2.6% comps), gross margin expanded 300 bps to 29.6%, GAAP EPS $0.57 and non-GAAP EPS $0.86, with strength in Foot Locker and Kids Foot Locker (+3.6% combined comps) and Champs positive comps (+1.8%) .
  • FY25 guidance: sales -1.0% to +0.5%, comps +1.0% to +2.5%, gross margin 29.3%-29.7%, SG&A 24.3%-24.5%, EBIT margin 2.6%-3.1%, non-GAAP EPS $1.35-$1.65; capex $270M (adj. $300M) prioritizing customer-facing investments .
  • Management highlighted continued cost savings ($35M in Q4; $100M in FY24) and strong cash-on-cash returns from reimagined stores (~50%) and refreshes (35%-45%), while moderating non-customer-facing tech spend amid a cautious consumer start to FY25 .
  • Stock narrative drivers: positive comps/gross margin recapture, clear FY25 guardrails, brand diversification beyond Nike, but tempered near-term demand and promotional backdrop, with earnings weighted to 2H per management .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Comps strength and margin recapture: comps +2.6% led by global Foot Locker and Kids Foot Locker (+3.6%); gross margin +300 bps YoY to 29.6% despite elevated promotions .
  • Multi-brand momentum and basketball leadership: double-digit growth in adidas, New Balance, ON, HOKA, ASICS, Saucony, Crocs, UGG, Timberland; major NBA All-Star activation drove engagement (“20,000 visitors…3 billion media impressions”) .
  • Cost optimization and returns on capital: $35M Q4/ $100M FY24 savings; reimagined stores ~$4–$5M Y1 sales, ~20% EBITDA, ~50% cash-on-cash; refreshes 35%-45% returns with sales/profit lifts .

What Went Wrong

  • Topline down YoY and promotional intensity: sales -5.8% YoY (lapping 53rd week); elevated promotions across DTC/wholesale pressured topline despite margin recovery .
  • Apparel softness and WSS pressure: apparel comps down mid-teens; WSS comps -3.3% with inflationary and regional headwinds (e.g., Los Angeles fires) .
  • Cautious consumer and tariff overhang: softer start to February; sensitivity to tax refund timing and between-key-event lulls; management noted tariff uncertainty and modest direct China exposure .

Financial Results

Core P&L and KPIs vs Prior Quarters

MetricQ2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2025
Sales ($USD Billions)$1.896 $1.958 $2.243
GAAP EPS (from continuing ops) ($)($0.13) ($0.34) $0.57
Non-GAAP EPS ($)($0.05) $0.33 $0.86
Comparable Sales (%)+2.6% +2.4% +2.6%
Gross Margin YoY Change (bps)+50 +230 +300
Gross Margin Rate (%)29.6%
SG&A YoY Change (bps)+130 +210 +10
SG&A Rate (%)22.3%
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$291 $211 $401
Total Debt ($USD Millions)$445 $445 $446
Inventory ($USD Billions)$1.648 $1.744 $1.525

Notes: “—” indicates the rate was not disclosed in that period; Q4 2025 refers to period ended Feb 1, 2025 reported March 5, 2025.

Banner and Region Sales – Q4

Banner/RegionQ4 2025 Sales ($USD Millions)Q4 2023 Sales ($USD Millions)Constant Currency YoY (%)Comparable Sales (%)
Foot Locker$945 $961 (1.1)% +5.5%
Champs Sports$334 $372 (9.9)% +1.8%
Kids Foot Locker$207 $214 (3.3)% +4.0%
WSS$178 $182 (2.2)% (3.3)%
North America Total$1,665 $1,729 (3.4)% +3.6%
EMEA Total$451 $495 (6.1)% +1.9%
Asia Pacific Total$127 $156 (14.1)% (7.6)%
Total Company$2,243 $2,380 (4.6)% +2.6%

Additional KPIs – Q4

KPIQ4 2025
Digital Penetration (% of sales)21.8%
Loyalty (FLX) Sales Capture – North America49%
Stores Opened / Closed (Q4)7 / 47
Store Base (End of Q4)2,410 stores; 224 licensed
Inventory Turn (FY24)~2.8x (5% YoY improvement)
Free Cash Flow (FY24)$105M

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Sales Change (%)FY25-1.0% to +0.5% New
Comparable Sales Change (%)FY25+1.0% to +2.5% New
Gross Margin (%)FY2529.3% to 29.7% New
SG&A Rate (%)FY2524.3% to 24.5% New
EBIT Margin (%)FY252.6% to 3.1% New
Net Interest ($M)FY25~$12M New
Non-GAAP Tax Rate (%)FY2532.5% to 33.0% New
Non-GAAP EPS ($)FY25$1.35 to $1.65 New
D&A ($M)FY25$200 to $210 New
Capital Expenditures ($M)FY25$270 New
Adjusted Capex ($M)FY25$300 (incl. ~$30M SaaS in OpEx) New
Store Count Change (%)FY25Down ~4% New
Square Footage Change (%)FY25Down ~2% New
Licensing & Other Revenue ($M)FY25~$24 New

Note: Company provides forward guidance on a non-GAAP basis and does not reconcile to GAAP due to forecasting difficulty .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024)Previous Mentions (Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2025)Trend
Digital & Mobile AppFLX relaunch in US; tech investments; reaffirmed FY24 EPS New mobile app launch referenced; elevated promotions; lowered FY24 outlook New Foot Locker app drove conversion; enterprise digital comps +12.4%; targets ~25% e-comm by 2026 Improving execution and penetration
Loyalty (FLX)Non-recurring FLX charge in Q2 ($11M sales headwind; $0.09 EPS drag) Ongoing adoption; cautious consumer outside peak periods 49% sales capture in North America; adding 3.2M members; Europe rollout in 2025 Accelerating adoption
Store Portfolio & ROIStreamlining footprint; HQ move; refresh program 167 refreshes in Q3; closures continue 160 refreshes in Q4; plan ~300 in 2025; reimagined stores with ~50% cash-on-cash returns Strong returns; pivot to reimagined
Brand Mix & NikeDiversification across brands; international simplification Promotions elevated; holiday acceleration Nike partnership “fully reset”; Jordan/launch strength; double-digit growth in non-Nike brands Diversified growth; Nike innovation pipeline
Regional TrendsAsia Pacific weakness, exits; EMEA stabilization NA comps +2.1%; EMEA +6.4% CC; APAC down NA comps +3.6%; EMEA +1.9% comps; APAC comps -7.6% NA strength; EMEA choppy; APAC pressured
Macro & TariffsPromotional pressure in international; tech spend Softer demand outside peaks; cautious FY24 reset Cautious consumer, tax refund timing, tariff uncertainty; modest direct China exposure Near-term headwinds acknowledged

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered fourth quarter results above our previously revised expectations… positive comparable sales and meaningful gross margin improvement… our Lace Up Plan is working.” — Mary Dillon, CEO .
  • “Gross margin… expanded 300 basis points… to 29.6%… ahead of our revised expectations… merchandise margins up… occupancy flat.” — Mike Baughn, CFO .
  • “We achieved $100 million in savings… targeting incremental $60–$70 million in 2025.” — Mary Dillon .
  • “Our partnership [with Nike] is strong and fully reset… sequential top line and gross margin recovery… bullish on innovation and storytelling later in the year.” — Mary Dillon / Frank Bracken .
  • “Average reimagined location… ~$4–$5M in sales and 20% EBITDA margins in year 1… ~50% cash-on-cash returns.” — Mike Baughn .

Q&A Highlights

  • Consumer tone: January strongest; February softer with sensitivity to tax refund timing and between-event lulls; comps still supported by activations (NBA All-Star, launches like Jordan Retro 12) .
  • Nike/promotions: Elevated DTC promotions caused halo effects; FL expects sequential improvement as franchise health is restored and innovation pipeline ramps (Shox, Max Air refresh) .
  • Tariffs exposure: Direct China exposure low single-digit of sales; ~half of private label imports; minor fixtures exposure across China/Mexico/Canada .
  • SG&A leverage: Underlying modest leverage excluding incentive comp normalization; structural work continues to bring SG&A down from ~24% .
  • Capex reallocation: Prioritizing customer-facing projects (refresh/reimagined) with high returns; elongating back-of-house IT investments; ~300+ refreshes in 2025 then shift to reimagined scaling .
  • WSS and Europe: WSS cautious consumer; double-down on value/workwear/football; Europe comps +1.9% in a choppy, promotional market; heavy refresh focus in Western Europe/UK in 2025 .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus EPS and revenue estimates via S&P Global were unavailable at time of analysis due to data-access limits; therefore, explicit beat/miss vs consensus cannot be shown. Management indicated non-GAAP EPS of $0.86 vs their guidance of $0.70–$0.80 for Q4, representing an internal beat versus revised outlook .
  • Given FY25 guidance (EPS $1.35–$1.65; comps +1.0% to +2.5%; GM 29.3%–29.7%), street models likely need to reflect back-half weighted earnings and moderated SG&A leverage, with gross margin recapture tempered by consumer and marketplace uncertainty .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q4 print validated margin recovery and comps resilience; internal EPS beat versus revised guidance underscores execution on cost and merchandising despite promotions .
  • The FY25 framework points to modest topline growth and margin recapture; earnings weighted to 2H as store investments and innovation cadence build—position sizing should account for near-term volatility .
  • Capital deployment is shifting toward high-return store projects; reimagined/refresh returns and brand-standard penetration are tangible drivers of productivity and cash generation .
  • Brand diversification mitigates Nike dependence; watch Nike franchise health restoration and storytelling in H2 alongside continued double-digit momentum from non-Nike partners .
  • Monitor WSS and international (Europe promotional, APAC inflation) as key swing factors; expect disciplined openings and localized value propositions to stabilize banners .
  • Liquidity improved (cash $401M; debt $446M) and inventories well-positioned; pulled-forward spring receipts support Q1 flows but consumer caution may pressure early-quarter trends .
  • Near-term trading: catalysts include incremental margin recapture, mobile/FLX penetration gains, and brand launch calendars; risks center on promotional intensity, tariff headlines, and timing of tax refunds .