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FLEX LTD. (FLEX)·Q1 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Flex delivered a solid Q1 FY26: Net sales $6.58B (+4% YoY), GAAP EPS $0.50, and non-GAAP EPS $0.72; non-GAAP operating margin was 6.0% as mix shift and disciplined cost execution continued to support profitability .
- Results beat S&P Global consensus on revenue ($6.58B vs $6.31B*) and EPS ($0.72 vs $0.64*), driven by strong data center demand across both cloud and power; segment margins expanded in both Reliability (6.0%) and Agility (6.5%) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Guidance moved up: FY26 revenue to $25.9–$27.1B and adjusted EPS to $2.86–$3.06 (from $25.0–$26.8B and $2.81–$3.01), with Q2 FY26 revenue guided to $6.5–$6.8B and adjusted EPS to $0.70–$0.78; margin guide held at 6.0–6.1% as tariff pass-through (“low calorie” revenue) and back-half investments temper flow-through .
- Near-term stock catalysts: continued AI/data-center momentum (targeting ~35% YoY growth and ~$6.5B in FY26 data-center revenue, ~25% of total), incremental wins in power and cooling, and execution on capacity additions (Dallas ramp, new Poland facility) offset by tariff noise and auto softness .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Data center strength across cloud and power underpinned the beat; management reiterated ~35% FY26 data center growth to ~$6.5B (~25% of revenue) with continued margin accretion: “Flex is the only provider providing both end-to-end cloud IT integration and a full power and cooling portfolio at scale.”
- Segment execution: Agility revenue +10% YoY to $3.7B with 6.5% margin; Reliability margin improved to 6.0% despite modest revenue declines, reflecting favorable mix and cost discipline .
- Free cash flow discipline: FCF $268M (98% conversion), inventory days reduced to 55, and $247M in buybacks (~7M shares) while investing in capacity (Poland power facility) .
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What Went Wrong
- Margin leverage constrained despite higher revenue outlook: company held adjusted operating margin guide at 6.0–6.1% due to tariff pass-through (low/no margin) and back-half investments .
- Auto and parts of renewables/core industrial remain macro-soft; Reliability revenue down ~2% YoY in Q1, with management still expecting a mixed outlook near term .
- Non-core investment drag on GAAP: equity losses of ~$17M were excluded in non-GAAP; management adopted a normalized tax rate for non-GAAP adjustments in FY26 .
Financial Results
Segment performance
KPIs and capital allocation
Non-GAAP adjustments (Q1 FY26): add-backs include $34M stock-based comp, $21M intangible amortization, $23M restructuring, $6M legal/other, and $17M equity in losses; non-GAAP tax uses a normalized rate from FY26 .
Guidance Changes
Management clarified margin guide was not raised due to tariff pass-through and planned back-half investments despite higher revenue and OP dollar outlook .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Flex is the only provider providing both end-to-end cloud IT integration and a full power and cooling portfolio at scale.” — Revathi Advaithi, CEO .
- “With greater clarity around the scope and timing of the tariff impact… incorporating our current view to tariffs does not have a material impact on our full-year guided growth rates… adjusted EPS between $2.86–$3.06… adjusted tax rate of 21%.” — Kevin Krumm, CFO .
- “We bought a plant in Poland… doubles our power capacity in Europe… a great example of Flex deploying capital in a margin-accretive way to grow our capabilities.” — CFO .
- On margin guide: “Tariffs… are largely low-calorie revenue and actually… a headwind to our margin performance… we are making a few investments in the back half of the year.” — CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Margin outlook vs higher revenue: Guide held at 6.0–6.1% due to tariff pass-through diluting margin and planned H2 investments despite stronger OP dollars .
- Data center split and durability: Confident in ~35% FY26 growth; power expected to be stronger than cloud this year after a softer base last year; both accretive .
- Hyperscalers’ in-house cooling: Amazon’s move viewed as validation; Flex’s tech + manufacturing positioning enables integration across cooling/power/IT .
- Capacity constraints: Dallas ramp proceeding; new Poland facility added; aim for “just enough” capacity to shorten lead times as AI infra demand accelerates .
- Tariffs/USMCA/interest line: No USMCA impact assumed; tariffs pass-through; higher interest/FX costs partly explain limited EPS raise guide-to-guide .
Estimates Context
Q1 FY26 – actuals vs S&P Global consensus (beat/miss)
Q2 FY26 – guidance vs S&P Global consensus
FY26 – guidance vs S&P Global consensus
Key Takeaways for Investors
- AI/data center remains the principal growth engine with integration across grid-to-chip enabling share gains; FY26 data center ~$6.5B (~25% mix) and ~35% growth supports above-market trajectory .
- Expect OP dollar growth with margin discipline; margin guide unchanged as tariff pass-through dilutes % margins but not profit dollars; H2 investments build future capacity .
- Segment execution is broad-based: Agility’s cloud/networking strength offsets telecom/consumer softness; Reliability margins holding despite auto/industrial headwinds .
- Strong cash generation and buybacks continue alongside targeted M&A/CapEx (e.g., Poland power site), reinforcing an invest-and-return capital framework .
- Product roadmap advances (800V DC, high-efficiency power shelves, modular liquid cooling up to 1.8MW) strengthen Flex’s moat in next-gen AI infrastructure .
- Watch catalysts: continued AI rack/power ramps, networking share wins, tariff/regionalization policy clarity, and any stabilization in auto/industrial .
- Risk checks: tariff timing/mix effects on margins, macro softness in auto/renewables, and potential volatility in non-core investment marks (GAAP vs non-GAAP deltas) .
Appendix: Other Relevant Disclosures Since Q1
- Ukraine facility strike (consumer/lifestyle site, ~1% of revenue), BCP activated; injuries treated; no defense production at site .
- Cooling/power portfolio expansion: New 800V DC power shelf for NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 and modular rack-level CDU up to 1.8MW launched post-Q1, reinforcing AI data-center positioning .