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FARMERS & MERCHANTS BANCORP INC (FMAO)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Strong quarter with EPS of $0.64, up 33% YoY and 14% QoQ, supported by continued net interest margin (NIM) expansion to 3.40% and disciplined cost control; management called it “one of the most profitable quarters” in the company’s history .
  • Clear beats vs S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.64 vs $0.593*; revenue $30.97M* vs $26.35M*; drivers were higher asset yields as loans reprice and continued improvement in cost of funds amid core deposit growth *.
  • Asset quality remained strong (NCOs ~0.00%; NPLs still low at 0.19% of loans) despite a modest uptick in NPL dollars; capital strengthened (Tier 1 leverage 8.74%) .
  • Dividend raised 2.8% to $0.2275, marking the 31st consecutive annual increase; management to roll out a new three‑year strategic plan to guide next phase of profitable growth .
  • Near‑term stock catalysts: sustained NIM expansion, operating efficiency gains, and dividend growth; watch NPL normalization and CRE (office) exposure even as metrics remain conservative .
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin expansion and core profitability: NIM rose to 3.40% (YoY +69 bps; QoQ +18 bps) and efficiency ratio improved to 63.11% (YoY ~490 bps better) .
    • Deposit and loan growth with lower funding costs: deposits +2.5% YoY to $2.75B; loans +4.9% YoY to $2.66B; cost of interest‑bearing liabilities down vs last year (2.83% in Q3, 2.84% for 9M, −32 bps YoY) .
    • Management execution and tone: CEO highlighted “one of the most profitable quarters” and ongoing momentum from leveraging recent investments and diversified model .
  • What Went Wrong

    • NPLs increased modestly (to $5.2M; 0.19% of loans) vs $3.7M in Q2 and $2.9M in Q3’24, though still historically low; allowance coverage remains robust (ACL/NPL ~533%) .
    • Noninterest expense rose sequentially (to $19.7M from $19.3M) on targeted growth investments (e.g., technology, personnel, marketing), partly offset by operating leverage improvements .
    • CRE concentration remains elevated by design (51% of total loans); office is ~10.5% of CRE (~5.4% of total), which investors will continue to monitor in current market conditions .

Financial Results

Headline metrics and margins (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Diluted EPS ($)$0.48 $0.51 $0.56 $0.64
Net Interest Income – before provision ($M)$21.59 $23.91 $25.71 $26.90
Noninterest Income ($M)$3.96 $4.16 $3.94 $4.36
Net Interest Margin (%)2.71% 3.03% 3.22% 3.40%
Efficiency Ratio (%)67.98% 66.79% 64.93% 63.11%

Q3 2025 vs Consensus

MetricActualConsensusSurprise
EPS ($)$0.64 $0.593*+$0.047*
Revenue ($M)$30.97*$26.35*+$4.62M*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Balance sheet and asset quality (period‑end)

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Deposits ($B)$2.685 $2.700 $2.710 $2.752
Loans, net ($B)$2.513 $2.556 $2.600 $2.633
NPLs ($M)$2.90 $4.49 $3.75 $5.16
NPLs/Total Loans (%)0.11% 0.17% 0.14% 0.19%
Net Charge‑offs / Avg Loans (QTD)0.00% 0.01% 0.00% 0.00%
Tier 1 Leverage Ratio (%)8.04% 8.44% 8.50% 8.74%

CRE portfolio mix (Q3 2025)

CRE CategoryBalance ($000s)% of CRE% of Total Loans
Industrial277,274 20.5% 10.4%
Multi‑family238,311 17.6% 9.0%
Retail207,301 15.3% 7.8%
Hotels173,411 12.8% 6.5%
Office142,111 10.5% 5.4%
Total CRE1,355,166 100.0% 51.0%

KPIs (quarterly)

KPIQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
ROA (%)0.78% 0.85% 0.92% 1.05%
ROE (%)7.93% 8.31% 8.88% 9.83%
Cost of Interest‑bearing Liabilities (%)3.21% 2.76% 2.83% 2.83%
Net Interest Spread (%)2.06% 2.43% 2.62% 2.79%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Formal financial guidanceFY/Q4 2025None providedNone provided; management reiterated confidence in continued profitable growth and will develop a new 3‑year strategic plan .Maintained (no numeric guidance)
Profitability outlook (qualitative)2H 2025NoneExpect continued loan growth, stable asset quality, and further NIM expansion to support higher profitability in back half of 2025 .Qualitative positive
Quarterly dividendQ3 2025$0.22125$0.2275 (+2.8% YoY) Raised

Note: Company highlights non‑GAAP metrics (efficiency ratio, tangible equity/TVPS); see definitions and reconciliations in the release .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No Q3’25 earnings call transcript was available as of this writing; themes below reflect management commentary from quarterly materials.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Net interest margin trajectoryNIM grew 43 bps YoY to 3.03% in Q1; continued to 3.22% in Q2 on higher asset yields and improved cost of funds .NIM reached 3.40% (YoY +69 bps); spread 2.79% .Positive, accelerating
Deposit strategy / cost of fundsFocus on core deposit growth; cost of interest‑bearing liabilities 2.76% in Q1, 2.83% in Q2 .2.83% in Q3; 9M cost improved 32 bps YoY to 2.84% .Improving/stable
Asset qualityNPLs 0.17% in Q1; 0.14% in Q2; NCOs ~0.00% .NPLs 0.19% (still low), NCOs ~0.00% .Stable to modest uptick
CRE/Office exposureOffice ~5.4% of total loans with ~63% WA LTV (Q1) .Office ~5.4% of total; continued portfolio diversification .Closely monitored, stable mix
Market expansionProduct enhancements and talent adds (Q1/Q2) .Opened second full‑service Michigan office (Troy); promoted Northern Indiana Market President .Expansion continues
Capital returnsDividend track record maintained (Q1/Q2) .Dividend increased 2.8% YoY to $0.2275 .Positive

Management Commentary

  • “Strong financial performance and sustained operating momentum during the 2025 third quarter produced one of the most profitable quarters in our 128‑year history.” — Lars B. Eller, President & CEO .
  • “We remain focused on growing core deposits… while we continue to actively manage our cost of funds… cost of interest‑bearing liabilities improved 32 basis points to 2.84% for the nine months ended September 30, 2025.” .
  • “Net charge‑offs to average loans have remained below 0.03% for 18 consecutive quarters, underscoring the strength… of our credit culture.” .
  • “This fall, we will begin developing a new three‑year strategic plan that will define our growth priorities and guide our next phase of success.” .

Q&A Highlights

No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available; no Q&A to report.

Estimates Context

Consensus (S&P Global) vs actuals — last three quarters

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
EPS Consensus Mean ($)0.423*0.503*0.593*
EPS Actual ($)0.51 0.56 0.64
Revenue Consensus Mean ($)22,854,330*24,243,000*26,350,000*
Revenue Actual ($)27,574,000*28,943,000*30,973,000*
# of EPS Estimates3*3*3*
# of Revenue Estimates3*3*3*
Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Implications: Three consecutive beats on EPS and revenue suggest estimates likely move higher near‑term, particularly on NIM resilience and operating leverage; watch for any modest upward adjustments to FY run‑rate profitability assumptions given Q3 strength *.
Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Earnings momentum: NIM expansion and operating efficiency improved again, pushing EPS to $0.64 and ROA/ROE to 1.05%/9.83% — evidence of durable core profitability .
  • Balance sheet growth at disciplined costs: Loans +4.9% YoY; deposits +2.5% YoY; cost of interest‑bearing liabilities held at 2.83% in Q3 (2.84% for 9M, −32 bps YoY) .
  • Asset quality intact: NCOs ~0.00% and NPLs remain low (0.19% of loans), though slightly higher sequentially; coverage robust (ACL/NPL ~533%) .
  • Capital and capital returns: Tier 1 leverage at 8.74%; dividend increased 2.8%, marking 31st consecutive annual hike — supportive for total return investors .
  • Risk monitor: Elevated CRE concentration (51% of loans) with office ~5.4% of total; metrics remain conservative but sector remains a focus area for banks broadly .
  • Near‑term setup: With repeated estimate beats and continued NIM traction, estimate revisions and dividend growth are positive catalysts; maintain vigilance on NPL normalization and macro rate path *.
    Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Note on sources and availability:

  • Q3 2025 earnings press release and 8‑K 2.02: full financials and management commentary -.
  • Prior quarters (Q1 and Q2 2025) press releases and 8‑Ks: full details for trend analysis - - -.
  • Dividend increase press release (Q3): details of payout change .
  • No Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was available as of this report.

Non‑GAAP note: Efficiency ratio and tangible book value per share are non‑GAAP; see company definitions and reconciliations in the release .