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FIRST MID BANCSHARES, INC. (FMBH)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 2025 delivered solid growth: GAAP diluted EPS $0.94 and adjusted diluted EPS $0.97, with net interest margin (TE) expanding to 3.80% and sixth consecutive quarter of NII growth .
  • Adjusted EPS of $0.97 was essentially in line/slightly above S&P Global consensus $0.967*, while GAAP EPS $0.94 reflected non‑recurring items (technology, branch optimization, securities loss) .
  • Total loans rose to $5.82B (+1.0% q/q) and deposits to $6.29B (+1.6% q/q), with strong asset quality (NPLs/loans 0.38%, ACL/loans 1.25%) despite some migration to substandard from special mention .
  • Strategic catalysts: announced 100% stock merger with Two Rivers ($1.1B assets), expected ~12.3% EPS accretion in 2027 and ~2.1-year TBVPS earnback, plus completion of core system conversion and closure of 8 branches to drive efficiency .
  • Board declared a $0.25 dividend (maintained from Q2), and tangible book value per share increased 6% q/q to $28.21 as AOCI improved by $20.7M .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Continued margin expansion and NII growth: NIM (TE) rose to 3.80% (+8 bps q/q) with average earning asset yield at 5.48% while cost of funds held at 1.75% .
  • Balanced loan and deposit growth: Loans +$57.0M q/q and deposits +$99.3M q/q; non-interest-bearing demand deposits +9.7% q/q on seasonal inflows and business development .
  • Strategic execution: completed core system conversion and branch optimization (8 closures) to reduce costs and improve processes; management emphasized positioning for future growth .
    • “The core system conversion will not only provide cost savings, but will also provide process efficiencies that will set us up well for future growth” — Matthew Smith, President .
    • “We completed extensive due diligence and solidified our view that our cultures are closely aligned” — Joseph Dively, Chairman & CEO, on Two Rivers .

What Went Wrong

  • Noninterest income tempered by a $1.9M securities sale loss as part of portfolio repositioning; wealth management revenue declined y/y on lower commodity prices .
  • Noninterest expense increased to $57.1M (+$2.4M q/q; +$3.2M y/y), including one-time costs from branch closures and technology enhancements; adjusted efficiency ratio ticked up to 58.75% from 58.09% q/q .
  • Credit classification migration: special mention loans decreased $20.6M but substandard increased $36.3M due to downgrades of three relationships across industries/geographies (though overall NPA/TA improved to 0.30%) .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Interest Income ($USD Millions)57.54 59.41 63.86 66.36
Non-Interest Income ($USD Millions)23.02 24.86 23.59 22.91
Adjusted Total Revenue (non-GAAP) ($USD Millions)81.93 85.21 88.23 90.58
Diluted EPS (GAAP) ($USD)0.81 0.93 0.98 0.94
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($USD)0.83 0.96 0.99 0.97
Net Interest Margin (TE) (%)3.35 3.60 3.72 3.80
Efficiency Ratio (TE) (%)61.33 58.88 58.09 58.75
Loans ($USD Billions)$5.61 $5.70 $5.77 $5.82
Deposits ($USD Billions)$6.09 $6.13 $6.19 $6.29

Segment and Non-Interest Income Detail

Non-Interest Income Component ($USD Millions)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Wealth Management Revenues5.82 5.39 5.15
Insurance Commissions6.00 7.84 7.09
Service Charges3.12 2.99 3.24
Mortgage Banking Revenues1.11 1.07 1.26
ATM/Debit Card Revenue4.27 4.64 4.18
Net Securities Gains/Losses(0.28) 0.00 (1.93)
Other2.98 1.66 3.93
Total Non-Interest Income23.02 23.59 22.91

Key Performance and Asset Quality KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Return on Average Assets (%)1.03 1.19 1.20 1.17
Adjusted ROAA (%)1.05 1.23 1.23 1.21
Cost of Funds (%)2.00 1.74 1.75 1.75
ACL / Loans (%)1.22 1.23 1.23 1.25
NPLs / Loans (%)0.32 0.47 0.38 0.38
NPA / Total Assets (%)0.27 0.38 0.31 0.30
ACL / NPLs (%)377.01 263.36 325.00 328.51
Net Charge-Offs ($USD Millions)0.80 1.78 1.46 1.59

Estimates vs Actuals (S&P Global)

MetricConsensus EstimateActualSurprise
Primary EPS (Q3 2025)$0.967*$0.97*+0.3%*
Revenue (Q3 2025)$65.46M*$85.92M*+31.3%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global. Note: Company-reported GAAP diluted EPS was $0.94 and adjusted diluted EPS $0.97 in Q3 2025 . “Revenue” definitions for banks vary; company’s adjusted total revenue was $90.58M .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Quarterly Dividend per ShareQ4 2025 payable Dec 1, 2025$0.25 (Q2 raised from $0.24) $0.25 (declared) Maintained
Formal Revenue/EPS/NIM/OpEx/Tax GuidanceFY/Q4 2025Not providedNot providedN/A
Strategic ActionsQ4 2025–FY 2026Core conversion/branch optimization in flightCore system conversion completed; 8 branches closed Completed execution
M&AAnnounced Oct 30, 2025N/ADefinitive agreement to acquire Two Rivers; expected ~12.3% EPS accretion 2027, ~2.1-year TBVPS earnback New

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q3 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in the document set. Themes synthesized from 8‑K, exhibits, and investor presentation.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025, Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
Net Interest Margin and NIINIM (TE) +19 bps q/q to 3.60; NII growth NIM (TE) +8 bps q/q to 3.80; sixth consecutive quarter of NII growth Improving
Deposits and Funding CostsDeposits +$73M in Q1; cost of funds down; Q2 deposits +$60M; CoF 1.75% Deposits +$99M; CoF steady at 1.75%; NIBDDA +9.7% q/q Stable/Positive mix shift
Asset QualityLow NPA/TA; ACL/loans ~1.23%; some classification changes NPA/TA 0.30%; ACL/loans 1.25%; substandard up due to three downgrades Mixed (metrics strong; classifications cautious)
Technology/Digital InvestmentsRetail online conversion completed in Q1 Core conversion completed; operational efficiencies expected Executed
M&A/Footprint DiversificationNo new transactions; ongoing execution Announced Two Rivers acquisition; entry into Iowa; strong synergy case Expanding
Fee Income DriversInsurance strength; seasonal wealth mgmt variance Insurance strong y/y; wealth mgmt pressured by commodity prices; securities loss repositioning Mixed

Management Commentary

  • “We executed on our strategic plan to drive greater efficiency by completing the conversion of our core operating system… The core system conversion will not only provide cost savings, but will also provide process efficiencies that will set us up well for future growth” — Matthew Smith, President .
  • “I am excited to announce the pending acquisition of Two Rivers… we completed extensive due diligence and solidified our view that our cultures are closely aligned” — Joseph Dively, Chairman & CEO .
  • On deposits mix: “Non-interest-bearing demand deposits grew $128.8 million or 9.7% from the second quarter due to seasonal cash flow fluctuations from a few large depositors as well as continued business development efforts” .
  • On portfolio repositioning: “The sale of low yielding bonds produced a loss of $1.9 million… proceeds of $35.7 million redeployed at higher rates” .

Q&A Highlights

  • The Q3 earnings call transcript was not available. Based on the investor presentation and press release, management emphasized NIM expansion drivers (earning asset yield, disciplined funding costs) , balance sheet strength and capital ratios (CET1 13.13%, Total Capital 15.99%) , and strategic rationale for Two Rivers (EPS accretion, earnback, core deposit engine, complementary wealth/ag services) .
  • Noninterest expense trajectory and one-time items (technology and branch optimization) were highlighted with adjusted efficiency ratio at 58.75% .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: S&P Global consensus for Q3 2025 was $0.967*, compared to S&P’s actual $0.97*, and company-reported adjusted diluted EPS of $0.97 and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.94 .
  • Revenue: S&P Global Q3 2025 consensus was $65.46M*, with S&P actual $85.92M*; company’s adjusted total revenue was $90.58M, and GAAP total revenue (NII + noninterest income) was $89.27M .
  • Takeaway: Results were in line-to-slightly above on adjusted EPS; “Revenue” comparability depends on S&P’s bank revenue definition vs company reporting. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating momentum continues: NIM (TE) at 3.80% and NII growth underpin earnings resilience even as fee lines oscillate with seasonality and commodity-linked wealth mgmt .
  • Balance sheet quality intact: low NPA/TA (0.30%) and stout ACL/NPL coverage (328.5%) provide protection as classifications migrate in a handful of relationships .
  • Efficiency programs are tangible: core conversion and branch optimization completed; expect ongoing cost benefits and process efficiencies through 2026 .
  • Strategic M&A likely a near-term stock driver: Two Rivers adds ~$1.1B assets, high core deposits, and trust/AUM scale in Iowa with modeled EPS accretion and disciplined earnback .
  • Portfolio repositioning trade-off: $1.9M securities loss redeployed at higher yields—near-term drag, medium-term NII/NIM support .
  • Dividend maintained at $0.25 with TBVPS up 6% q/q; capital ratios remain well above “well capitalized” thresholds .
  • Estimate revisions: modest upward bias to adjusted EPS/NII trajectories given margin expansion and deposit mix; watch fee income pacing and classification migration for risk-adjusted outlook .