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FO

Finance of America Companies Inc. (FOA)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 was mixed: funded volume rose to $534 million (+20% YoY; +4% QoQ), but GAAP total revenues were negative ($-105.6 million) and GAAP net loss from continuing operations was $142.6 million; non-GAAP adjusted net income was $5 million and adjusted EBITDA was $18 million .
  • Management emphasized that fair value headwinds and rate volatility compressed Q4 originations margins, while full-year revenue margin expanded to 10.7% from 9.2% in 2023, underpinning the Company’s return to profitability for the year .
  • Guidance catalysts: Q1 2025 origination volume $525–$550 million (implying 25–30% YoY growth vs Q1 2024), full-year 2025 origination volume $2.4–$2.7 billion, and reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS of $2.60–$3.00; management expects Q1 2025 results “similar to Q3 2024” given strong margins and cost discipline .
  • Strategic tailwinds: largest non-agency proprietary securitization executed in Feb 2025, expanded HomeSafe Second (reverse second-lien) product footprint, and a modernized, AI-enabled data/reporting stack and brand transition to ramp volumes through 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Reverse mortgage production momentum: Q4 funded volume $534 million, outpacing prior guidance, and full-year funded volume up 19% YoY to ~$1.918 billion; Retirement Solutions segment full-year adjusted net income improved to $38 million on higher margins and lower expenses .
  • Margin/efficiency improvements: Full-year originations revenue margin expanded to 10.7% from 9.2% (+16%), and ~$48 million cost reduction driven by automation and operational streamlining; “continued operational improvements” drove adjusted EBITDA to $60 million for FY 2024 .
  • Strategic initiatives and capital markets execution: Management completed a corporate bond exchange (~98% participation), reverse stock split, increased warehouse capacity, and executed the largest proprietary securitization in Feb 2025; “positioned well for continued profitability and growth in 2025” .

Quoted management remarks:

  • “2024 was a year of significant momentum… driving the company’s return to profitability.”
  • “We overhauled our data and reporting infrastructure using AI-driven tools, enabling us to capitalize on trends that drive performance.”
  • “For the first quarter of 2025, we expect origination volume to be between $525 million to $550 million… and we reaffirmed our full year adjusted net income projection in the range of $2.60 to $3 per share.”

What Went Wrong

  • GAAP volatility from fair value marks: Q4 total revenues were negative ($-105.6 million) as fair value changes from market inputs/model assumptions swung to a $-173.1 million loss; net fair value changes on loans/obligations were $-169.1 million in Q4 .
  • Rate-driven margin pressure in Q4: management held consumer rates to preserve senior proceeds amid rate volatility, which lowered Q4 revenue margins vs Q3; margins expected to normalize in 2025 .
  • Higher total expenses QoQ: Q4 total expenses and other rose to $96 million (+17% QoQ), reflecting higher loan production and marketing costs; however, full-year expenses tracked lower YoY .

Financial Results

Quarterly comparison (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Funded Volume ($USD Millions)$446 $513 $534
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$275.7 $290.1 $-105.6
Net Income from Continuing Ops ($USD Millions)$171.4 $203.7 $-142.6
Basic EPS – Continuing Ops ($USD)$7.25 $8.48 $-5.95
Adjusted Net Income ($USD Millions)$-19 $15 $5
Adjusted EPS ($USD)$-0.85 $0.67 $0.21
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$-17 $32 $18

Segment breakdown

Segment Metric ($USD Millions)Q4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Retirement Solutions – Total Revenue$41 $64 $49
Retirement Solutions – Pre-tax Income$-13 $16 $1
Retirement Solutions – Adjusted Net Income$-2 $19 $8
Portfolio Management – Total Revenue$240 $235 $-142
Portfolio Management – Pre-tax Income$217 $217 $-168
Portfolio Management – Adjusted Net IncomeN/A $12 $13

KPIs

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
PM Assets Under Management ($USD Millions)$26,773 $28,659 $28,877
Total Equity ($USD Millions)$272 $456 $316
Annual Originations Revenue Margin (%)FY 2023FY 2024
Revenue Margin (Originations Platform)9.2% 10.7%

Non-GAAP adjustments (core drivers): Adjusted net income/EBITDA add back changes in fair value, amortization/impairment of intangibles, non-cash equity-based comp, certain non-recurring costs, taxes, depreciation, and interest on non-funding debt; definitions were broadened beginning Q3 2024 to include all non-cash equity-based comp, with prior periods recast .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Origination Volume ($USD Millions)Q1 2025Not previously provided$525–$550 Introduced
Origination Volume ($USD Billions)FY 2025Not previously provided$2.4–$2.7 Introduced
Adjusted EPS ($USD)FY 2025$2.60–$3.00 $2.60–$3.00 Maintained (reaffirmed)
Qualitative: Earnings cadenceQ1 2025 vs Q3 2024Not previously provided“Results similar to Q3 2024” Clarified

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2: Q2 2024; Q-1: Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
AI/data modernizationQ2: shift to positive adjusted EBITDA; operational improvements . Q3: continued adjusted profitability; balance sheet strengthening .Overhauled data/reporting with AI-driven tools to capture performance trends .Increasing tech enablement to drive productivity and margins .
Rate/macro volatilityQ2/Q3: large swings in fair value from market inputs; revenues rebounded in Q3 as spreads/home prices aided marks .Q4 margin pressure due to rates; company held consumer rates to protect proceeds; expects normalization in 2025 .Volatile rates pressured Q4; management expects stabilization .
Product performance (HomeSafe Second)Product enhancements announced (rate cut to 9.49%, expanded to AZ/NV/OR/UT) .HomeSafe Second scaled ~400% YoY; targeted campaign and brand transition to ramp mid-year 2025 .Strong growth trajectory; broader distribution and marketing push .
Capital markets & balance sheetQ2/Q3: reverse split; ~98% exchange offer participation; equity up sharply in Q3 .Largest non-agency proprietary securitization completed Feb 2025; supports liquidity/growth .Improved capital flexibility supports origination scaling .
Regulatory (HMBS 2.0)Not highlighted in Q2/Q3 press releases.Ginnie Mae continues operational progress; no effective date yet .Pending; potential structural tailwind once effective .
Marketing/brandNot emphasized previously.Full brand/advertising platform transition going live in Q2 with modernized approach beyond DRTV .Expected to drive sequential volume ramp through 2025 .

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “We accomplished numerous strategic objectives that strengthened our balance sheet and enhanced the business, driving the company’s return to profitability.”
  • President: “We… overhauled our data and reporting infrastructure using AI-driven tools… position us to close 2024 with our largest production month since 2022.”
  • CFO: “For Q4, net loss of $143 million… adjusted net income of $5 million… revenue margin expanded to 10.7% in 2024… and we reaffirmed full-year adjusted EPS $2.60–$3.00.”
  • CEO (closing): “With retiree demographics and home equity exceeding $14 trillion, we are well positioned to capitalize on favorable market conditions.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Originations margins: Rates rose in Q4 creating headwinds; company holds consumer rates to protect senior proceeds, which lowered margins vs Q3; margins expected to resemble Q1/Q2 averages and be similar in 2025 .
  • Volume ramp path: Sequential growth expected through 2025; Q1 retail was seasonally lighter due to holiday marketing scale-back, with HomeSafe Second ramping mid-year under a new brand platform .
  • HMBS 2.0 update: Ginnie Mae progressing operationally; effective date not yet communicated; launch timing remains uncertain .

Estimates Context

  • Consensus estimates from S&P Global: Attempted retrieval for EPS, revenue, EBITDA for the last three quarters; data unavailable at time of request due to API limit (Daily Request Limit exceeded). As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses versus Street for Q4 2024 at this time [GetEstimates attempt error; see tool note]. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global if available.
MetricQ4 2023 ActualQ3 2024 ActualQ4 2024 ActualS&P Global Consensus (Q4 2024)
EPS – Basic, Continuing Ops ($)$7.25 $8.48 $-5.95 N/A (S&P Global consensus unavailable)
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$275.7 $290.1 $-105.6 N/A (S&P Global consensus unavailable)

Note: S&P Global consensus data unavailable at time of attempt; comparison will be updated once accessible. Values that would be provided are retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Underlying franchise strengthened: Despite GAAP volatility, originations margins expanded YoY and adjusted profitability improved materially; ongoing cost discipline supports 2025 earnings quality .
  • Volume catalysts: HomeSafe Second expansion, new modernized brand platform, and wholesale partnerships position FOA to capture share among 55+ homeowners seeking reverse second-lien solutions .
  • Near-term setup: Q1 2025 guidance ($525–$550 million) and “similar to Q3 2024” margin profile suggest constructive near-term prints if rate volatility abates; watch execution pace and marketing ROI .
  • GAAP vs non-GAAP spread: Fair value marks can swing GAAP results; traders should focus on adjusted metrics and fair value drivers (rates/spreads/HPA/prepayments) to anticipate quarter-to-quarter volatility .
  • Regulatory optionality: HMBS 2.0 could be a structural tailwind once effective; monitor Ginnie Mae timing for implementation .
  • Capital structure: Post exchange offer and securitization, FOA’s enhanced financing flexibility should support liquidity and scaling; equity grew YoY, tangible net worth improved substantially .
  • Risk checks: Rate volatility and fair value sensitivity remain key risks; marketing transition execution and expanding state footprint are pivotal to achieving FY 2025 guidance .