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FOX FACTORY HOLDING CORP (FOXF)·Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2026 (fiscal quarter ended July 4, 2025): Net sales $374.9M (+7.6% y/y), GAAP EPS $0.07, adjusted EPS $0.40, adjusted EBITDA $49.3M with consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin up 40 bps to 13.1% and sequential margin improvement of 190 bps .
- Results vs consensus: Revenue and GAAP EPS were below Wall Street (S&P Global) consensus; adjusted EBITDA was slightly below consensus as well. See “Estimates Context” for specifics.*
- Guidance recalibration: Management initiated Q3 2025 guidance ($370–$390M revenue; $0.45–$0.65 adjusted EPS) and raised full‑year revenue range to $1.45–$1.51B while narrowing adjusted EPS to $1.60–$2.00 in Q2; guidance was further revised lower in Q3 to $1.445–$1.475B and $0.92–$1.12 adjusted EPS .
- Catalysts: Ongoing tariff headwinds, cost‑reduction/optimization program on track, working capital improvements and deleveraging (net leverage to 3.8x) support the medium‑term margin/FCF recovery narrative .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Broad‑based growth and margin improvement: “$375 million in net sales, representing growth across all three segments… along with continued adjusted EBITDA margin improvement” .
- Cost actions translating into sequential margin gains: CFO highlighted adjusted gross margin and EBITDA margin increased sequentially by 40 bps and 190 bps, respectively, driven by cost reductions .
- Balance sheet progress: Working capital efficiency improved (30.7% LTM sales vs 31.5% in Q1), and management remains focused on paying down debt (net leverage improved to 3.8x) .
What Went Wrong
- Tariff pressure and mix: Gross margin declined y/y to 31.2% due to product mix shifts and tariffs; adjusted gross margin fell 60 bps y/y to 31.3% .
- EPS impacted by taxes: Effective tax rate of 50.9% drove adjusted EPS to $0.40 despite operational improvements .
- Tariff burden increased vs initial plan: Pre‑mitigated full‑year tariff impact raised from ~$38M to up to ~$50M with larger hits in Marucci and PVG; mitigation ongoing but not yet fully offset in price/actions .
Financial Results
Segment net sales
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Our focus on world class product innovation continues to drive growth… while our operational improvement and strategic cost management initiatives are yielding tangible results” .
- CFO: “Sequentially, gross margin and adjusted gross margin increased 30 and 40 bps, respectively… adjusted EBITDA margin increased 190 bps” .
- CEO: On PVG/motorcycle expansion: “More than offset the decline in powersports… increasing insourced parts by 20%… one of our biggest cost‑out opportunities in the second half” .
- CEO: On Marucci: “We now have ~40 MLB players using our footwear… reentering fast pitch and slow pitch softball… very attractive financial profile” .
- CFO: On tariffs and mitigation: “Updated guidance now contemplates a pre‑mitigated tariff impact of upwards of $50M… offset ~50% through countermeasures; remaining margin pressure reflected in EPS guidance” .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariff impact distribution: AAG ~$10M, Marucci ~$15M, PVG ~$25M (pre‑mitigated); actions include warehouse consolidation, mold shifts to Mexico, insourcing raw materials .
- Powersports/motorcycle outlook: Stabilizing inventories; interest rates key to acceleration; motorcycle business offsetting powersports softness with margins similar to powersports .
- Bike segment: Return to growth and normalization; OEMs managing inventory conservatively to avoid destocking repeats; expecting “growth year” for bike with more normal outlook .
- Guidance clarity: EPS narrowing due to incremental unmitigated tariffs; aggressive mitigation across segments continues .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2026 S&P Global consensus: Revenue $383.16M*, Primary EPS $0.4625*, EBITDA $50.57M*.
- Actual results: Revenue $374.86M, GAAP EPS $0.07, adjusted EBITDA $49.29M .
- Interpretation: Revenue and GAAP EPS were below consensus, and adjusted EBITDA modestly below consensus; magnitude of misses tied to tariff‑driven margin pressure and a high effective tax rate .
Note: *Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Tariff headwinds remain the primary earnings swing factor near term; management is executing pricing, sourcing, and insourcing to mitigate, but the burden rose vs initial plan .
- Sequential margin improvement and working capital gains are tangible; deleveraging (3.8x → <3x target) supports equity de‑risking if execution continues .
- PVG motorcycle expansion, AAG aftermarket strength, and SSG bike stabilization underpin top‑line resilience despite macro softness .
- Guidance progression shows management’s willingness to recalibrate as tariffs evolve; use Q3/FY25 updates to reset models and narrow EPS ranges .
- Watch FY25 FCF delivery (~$80M) and inventory discipline as leading indicators for FY26 margin recovery and multiple support .
- Near‑term trading: Stock likely sensitive to tariff developments and visibility into mitigation cadence; any relief or faster cost‑out could catalyze upside on margins .
- Medium‑term thesis: Product innovation, footprint optimization, and deleveraging can restore adjusted EBITDA margins and re‑rate the equity as macro/tariff pressures normalize .