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FlexShopper, Inc. (FPAY)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: total revenues rose 22.9% to $38.6M, gross margin expanded 400 bps to 58%, adjusted EBITDA increased 44.9% to $12.2M, and diluted EPS turned positive at $0.05 .
  • Asset quality drove profitability: provision for doubtful accounts fell to ~22% of gross lease billings (vs ~32% LY), aided by improved underwriting, customer mix, and servicing capabilities .
  • Distribution flywheel accelerating: signed store count reached ~7,800 locations (≈250% YTD growth), including >3,700 Auto Parts Alliance doors; management expects further partner additions .
  • Capital structure actions are a potential stock catalyst: proposed rights offering and option to redeem 91% of Series 2 preferred at a 50%+ discount could lift annual net income and reduce interest/dividend burden materially .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Record revenue and EBITDA with return to GAAP profitability: “record quarterly total revenue of $38.6 million… adjusted EBITDA… $12.2 million… net income attributable to common stockholders of $1.2 million or $0.05 per diluted share” .
  • Gross margin expansion from retail marketplace strategy and asset quality: gross margin rose to 58% (vs 54% LY, 50% in Q2); depreciation as % of gross lease billings improved and provision rates fell YoY .
  • B2B partner momentum: “signed store count of approximately 7,800 locations… nearly 250% increase… upcoming rollout of over 3,700 new locations” and new partnerships (Auto Parts Alliance, Monro via PayTomorrow) .

Management quotes:

  • “Third quarter… record of nearly $39 million… adjusted EBITDA… more than $12 million… net income… $0.05 per diluted share” .
  • “Provision for doubtful accounts… 22.2% in Q3 2024 vs 32.1% in Q3 2023—a 990 bps improvement” .
  • “Our signed store count… approximately 7,800… includes… over 3,700 new locations associated with… Aftermarket Auto Parts Alliance” .

What Went Wrong

  • Loan revenue softness and partner exit: net loan revenues declined YoY (Q3: $9.0M vs $10.3M), with bank partner exiting high-APR business; state-licensed lending origination counts down 8% YoY .
  • Interest burden remains heavy: interest expense rose to $5.67M (vs $4.75M LY), underscoring the need for deleveraging; rights offering targets interest and dividend reductions .
  • Metric inconsistency on approvals: press release cites total lease funding approvals at $122.2M (up 111%), while call remarks cited $77M (up 33%); indicates definitional or reporting timing differences to monitor .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Total Revenues ($USD Millions)$31.386 $31.759 $38.589
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$16.935 $15.955 $22.501
Gross Margin (%)54% 50% 58%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$8.388 $4.915 $12.151
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)26.7% 15.5% 31.5%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$5.952 $2.377 $9.557
Net Income to Common ($USD Millions)$(0.129) $(2.695) $1.190
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.01) $(0.13) $0.05
Consensus Revenue ($USD Millions)N/A*N/A*
Consensus EPS ($USD)N/A*N/A*

*Estimates unavailable due to S&P Global request limit; values would be retrieved from S&P Global if accessible.

Segment revenue breakdown:

Revenue Segment ($USD Millions)Q3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Lease Revenues and Fees, net$21.082 $27.074 $28.364
Loan Revenues and Fees, net of FV changes$10.304 $3.314 $9.047
Retail Revenues$0.000 $1.370 $1.177

Key operating/KPI metrics:

KPIQ3 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024
Gross Lease Billings and Fees ($USD Millions)$31.267 $34.687 $36.381
Provision for Doubtful Accounts (% of Gross Lease Billings)32.1% 22.5% 22.2%
Depreciation & Impairment of Lease Merchandise (% of Gross Lease Billings)41.8% 39.9% 39.8%
Lease Funding Approvals (Press Release) ($USD Millions)$57.9 $74.8 $122.2
Lease Funding Approvals (Call) ($USD Millions)$57.9 $77.0

Note: Signed store count reached ~7,800 by Q3 2024 (≈250% growth YTD), including >3,700 Auto Parts Alliance doors .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Income impact per $25M net proceeds (Rights Offering)Annual run-rate post-transactionN/A+$4.5M increase in net income per $25M raised New framework
Interest Expense (Subordinated Notes payoff $10.9M)AnnualN/A~$2.0M reduction New
Preferred Dividends (Redeem 91% Series 2)AnnualN/A~$4.4M reduction New
Credit Facility InterestAnnualN/A~$2.6M reduction (partial paydown) New
Retail RevenueQ4 2024N/AExpect continued increase (seasonal boost; conversion focus) Qualitative
Gross MarginForwardN/AMargin supported by retail mix and asset quality; aim to sustain ~current levels Qualitative

Company did not issue formal quantitative revenue/EPS guidance ranges for Q4/FY; commentary focused on operational drivers and capital structure actions .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 2024)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesQ2: expanding use of AI in targeting; plan to add prime issuer; micro sites launched . Q1: upgrades to risk analytics, underwriting/collections .Plan to implement AI-driven automation in collections/servicing in 2025; continued tech investments .Expanding adoption
Marketplace/Drop-ship model (supply chain)Emphasized asset-light drop-ship with no inventory; broadened SKUs .Reinforced asset-light model; adding categories (furniture, luxury goods) .Reinforced
Macro backdrop (non-prime consumer)Headwinds noted; focus on risk-based pricing; stabilizing prices . Q1 similar .Management sees continued customer interest; job growth/low unemployment support; vigilant on slowdown risk .Stable to supportive
Product performance/conversionRetail revenue grew Q1 $0.78M to Q2 $1.37M; conversion under 1% with initiatives to improve .Retail revenue at $1.18M; plan to expand marketing, add payment options; targeting higher-credit consumers for conversion lift .Building conversion; sequential dip vs Q2
Regulatory/legalPatent infringement suits vs Upbound & Katapult to defend IP .Active litigation
B2B partnerships/door countQ1: +580 doors target achieved; robust pipeline . Q2: +150 doors; +500 planned 2H .Signed ~7,800 locations; Auto Parts Alliance adds >3,700; more partners expected .Accelerating
Capital structureS-1 for rights offering; option to redeem 91% Series 2 preferred at 50%+ discount .Deleveraging actions underway

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and Q3 results: “Record… total revenue of $38.6 million… adjusted EBITDA… $12.2 million… net income… $0.05 per diluted share” .
  • Asset quality: “Provision… 22.2% in Q3 2024 vs 32.1% in Q3 2023… $2.0 million benefit” .
  • Marketplace economics: “Gross margin… 58% in Q3 2024 vs 54% in Q3 2023 and 50% in Q2 2024… direct result of strategies… capture retail revenue and margin” .
  • B2B rollout: “Signed store count… ~7,800… upcoming rollout of over 3,700 new locations with Aftermarket Auto Parts Alliance” .
  • Capital structure: “Redeeming… preferred stock at a 50%+ discount… increase annual net income… reduce interest/dividends” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Underwriting vs servicing: improvement primarily from better underwriting/fraud evaluation; enhanced customer mix; servicing improvements with planned AI automation in 2025 .
  • B2B ramp cadence: rollout acceptance varies; maturation typically within 6–9 months; holiday seasonality affects timing .
  • Q4 mix: retail component typically grows; origination surge late Q4 shows more fully in Q1 revenue due to recognition timing .
  • Gross margin sustainability: management targets maintaining current bad debt levels; expects margin lift from retail mix and marketing efficiency; aiming to add payment options for low-600 credit scores .
  • Deleveraging pathway: rights offering proceeds prioritized to delever, reduce cost of capital, and support growth; B2B channel less capital-intensive may aid equity generation .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus for Q3 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable due to a request limit; we cannot present a formal beat/miss versus consensus at this time. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global if accessible.
  • Based on internal results, upside drivers likely to prompt estimate revisions include higher gross margin (58%), record adjusted EBITDA ($12.2M), and expanded partner footprint, while loan revenue variability and interest expense remain watch items .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • FlexShopper delivered a structurally better quarter: gross margin and EBITDA hit record levels on improved asset quality and marketplace margin, with GAAP EPS positive at $0.05 .
  • Distribution scale is now a catalyst: ~7,800 signed stores (including >3,700 Auto Parts Alliance) should support origination growth into 2025, with a 6–9 month maturation cycle .
  • Capital structure actions could unlock earnings: rights offering and preferred redemption framework implies multi-million annual net income and interest/dividend savings; accretive if executed as outlined .
  • Watch for conversion initiatives: adding broader payment options (including for low-600 FICO) and AI-driven servicing could lift conversion and further margin efficiency in 2025 .
  • Loan segment mixed: net loan revenue declined YoY; state-licensed lending leadership changes and new collections partner improved cash collections; bank partner exit reduces contribution near term .
  • Near-term setup: Q4 seasonality typically drives higher retail activity, but revenue recognition lags; expect origination surge in late Q4 to benefit Q1 revenue .
  • Monitor metric definitions: reconcile lease funding approvals (press release $122.2M vs. call $77M) before modeling; favor audited 8-K exhibits but track management commentary for pipeline signaling .