Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- FPI raised FY2025 AFFO guidance to $0.28–$0.34 (from $0.25–$0.30) on stronger interest income, lower interest expense after 4Q24 deleveraging, and incremental solar revenues; 1Q25 total operating revenue was $10.25M and AFFO per share was $0.05 .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, 1Q25 revenue beat ($10.25M vs $9.49M estimate) and Primary EPS beat ($0.011 vs $0.0067); FFO/share consensus stood at $0.0467 for the quarter (actual FFO/share not disclosed in the release) ; estimates marked with asterisk are from S&P Global*.
- Portfolio optimization continued: two dispositions ($10.0M proceeds, $0.8M gain), five acquisitions ($6.5M), $7.6M new loans, and buyback of 63,023 shares at $11.74; debt edged down to ~$202.6M and liquidity was $189.1M at 3/31/25 .
- Call tone constructive: modest rent increases expected in row crops, stable row-crop cap rates, California still bottoming, loan program growing (points amortization ~$2.4M for 2025), and buybacks prioritized over acquisitions given perceived NAV discount (mid-$14s per share NAV commentary) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Guidance raised: FY2025 AFFO to $0.28–$0.34 (from $0.25–$0.30) on higher interest income (loan program), solar income, and lower interest expense after 4Q24 deleveraging .
- Capital efficiency: $7.6M in new loans at attractive yields, accretive points amortization expected (~$2.4M in 2025), and opportunistic buybacks (63,023 shares at $11.74) .
- Management tone: “We are very pleased with our strong first quarter, which allowed us to raise our fiscal year 2025 guidance...” and highlighted “increased interest income, a meaningful reduction in interest expense... and revenues from a solar power production arrangement” .
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What Went Wrong
- Top line and NOI down YoY: total operating revenues $10.25M (-14.5% YoY) and NOI $8.11M (-16.0% YoY), reflecting 2024 dispositions and lower rental income (partly offset by solar and loan program income) .
- Adjusted EBITDAre and AFFO down YoY: Adjusted EBITDAre $5.68M (-33.8% YoY) and AFFO $2.28M (-18.0% YoY); AFFO/share $0.05 vs $0.06 .
- California remains challenged; management intends to lessen exposure over time; modest rent growth expected in 2025 after a “pause” in 2024, with near-term pushes limited by farmer profitability dynamics .
Financial Results
Consolidated performance
Notes: Q4 2024 quarter-level figures were not disclosed in the press release; Q3 2024 is included for sequential context .
Revenue composition and operating costs
Drivers: 2025 “Other revenue” benefited from a solar lease arrangement (~$1.0M) and increased management/interest income from the loan program; 2024 included ~$1.2M forfeited deposit income .
Balance sheet and liquidity (quarter-end)
Estimates vs actuals (S&P Global)
Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global (GetEstimates). Actuals reflect S&P Global’s “actual” fields for Primary EPS and Revenue; FFO/share actual not disclosed in the company press release . S&P Global estimates source: GetEstimates (Primary EPS, Revenue, FFO/share, and count of estimates).
Guidance Changes
Management directed investors to page 15 of the supplemental for full FY2025 guidance details .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We are very pleased with our strong first quarter, which allowed us to raise our fiscal year 2025 guidance... aided by increased interest income, a meaningful reduction in interest expense... and revenues from a solar power production arrangement.” — Luca Fabbri, CEO .
- “We hope to eke out very modest increases in rents [in 2025]... better to think about rents over a 3–5 year average… we’re in a pause now, but it will come back.” — Paul Pittman, Executive Chairman .
- “We would say that the portfolio today is in the mid-14s [NAV per share]... lower than last time because we paid a $1.15 dividend.” — Paul Pittman .
- “We are expecting to recognize amortization of points income for the year at approximately $2.4 million.” — Susan Landi, CFO .
- “Buybacks are a serious bargain… likely more stock buyback focused than land purchase focused” given discount to underlying value — Paul Pittman .
Q&A Highlights
- Loan program economics: loans often 8–10% headline rates plus points; short duration with accelerated points amortization; points amortization ~ $2.4M expected in 2025 .
- Solar revenue: recurring but 1Q’s benefit included a startup/windfall effect; future run-rate expected lower than the recent spike .
- Balance sheet actions: repaid April ’25 maturities using ~$14M LOC plus operating cash; maintain Farmer Mac facility to preserve liquidity .
- Market/cap rates: row-crop cap rates stable; Illinois remains strong; California starting to see seller capitulation; water-constrained areas under more pressure .
- Capital allocation: buybacks prioritized over acquisitions given perceived 25–30% discount to NAV; still evaluating selective acquisitions and dispositions .
Estimates Context
- 1Q25 revenue beat S&P Global consensus estimate ($10.25M actual vs $9.49M est.) and Primary EPS beat ($0.011 actual vs $0.0067 est.); FFO/share consensus stood at $0.0467 (company did not disclose 1Q25 FFO/share) . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Implications: With guidance raised, Street models likely need to increase FY2025 “other revenue” (solar, loan program) and slightly higher interest expense assumptions; AFFO per share range implies higher back-half contribution. Management flagged increases in both revenue and certain expense line items in the updated outlook .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Guidance raise is the headline: FY2025 AFFO per share increased to $0.28–$0.34, underpinned by loan program economics, solar income, and sustained interest expense relief post-4Q deleveraging .
- Business mix shift supports cash flows: higher-yielding loans (plus points) and alternative income (solar) offset lower fixed rents from prior disposals; monitor execution and credit allowances .
- Capital allocation remains shareholder-friendly: selective asset sales and buybacks prioritized over farm acquisitions given management’s NAV discount view (mid-$14s NAV commentary) .
- Operating backdrop stabilizing: modest rent growth expected in 2025, stable row-crop cap rates, and improving farmer income alongside commodity recovery; California still the swing factor .
- Watch 2025 drivers: (1) loan program scale and points amortization realization; (2) recurring level of solar revenue; (3) disposition gains; (4) interest rate trajectory and refinancing cadence .
- Dividend intact: $0.06 declared for the quarter (payable July 15, 2025); coverage informed by raised AFFO outlook; Board to evaluate quarterly .
- Legal overhang easing incrementally with appeals progress; not a primary earnings driver but reduces tail risk .
References
- Q1 2025 press release and financial tables: .
- Q1 2025 8-K including Exhibit 99.1: .
- Q1 2025 earnings call transcript: .
- Prior quarters for trend: Q4 2024 press release and call (FY figures, outlook baseline): . Q3 2024 press release: .
Estimates disclaimer
- S&P Global consensus and “actual” fields for Primary EPS and Revenue; and FFO/share consensus: values marked with asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global (GetEstimates).