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FP

Farmland Partners Inc. (FPI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 2025 delivered strong GAAP results driven by $24.2M gain on asset sales, offset by $16.8M California impairments; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.14 and total operating revenues were $9.96M .
  • AFFO per share was $0.03 and Adjusted EBITDAre was $4.47M; the company repurchased ~2.10M shares at $11.19 and continued deleveraging, ending with $193.4M total debt and $211.1M of liquidity .
  • FY 2025 AFFO per share guidance was maintained at $0.28–$0.34; management highlighted mix changes (lower fixed rent from dispositions, higher loan program and variable payments) and reduced interest expense .
  • Near-term catalysts: continued dispositions (safe harbor target of up to seven transactions), potential portfolio pruning in California, and ongoing buybacks as capital deployment priority over acquisitions .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Asset sales monetized appreciation: 32 Q2 property dispositions for $71.6M with $24.2M gain; YTD 34 dispositions for ~$81.6M with $25.0M gain, supporting GAAP EPS and balance sheet strength .
  • Capital allocation discipline: Repurchased 2,099,756 shares at $11.19 in Q2; subsequent 181,989 shares at $11.48; management emphasized undervaluation and buybacks over acquisitions .
  • Lower interest expense and higher interest income: Debt reduction and expanding loan program improved AFFO drivers; lines of credit repaid by $23M in July and undrawn capacity ~$160M .

Management quotes:

  • “We are redeploying sale proceeds to repurchase our undervalued stock and reduce high-cost debt” .
  • “Buying back stock is, in most cases, more effective… we’re just not very acquisitive” .
  • “ASFO was positively impacted by significantly lower interest expense… and higher interest income due to increased activity under the FPI loan program” .

What Went Wrong

  • California impairments: Recorded $16.8M impairment largely on pistachio and walnut farms due to SGMA-related water constraints and crop dynamics; two farms were ~50% write-downs .
  • Revenue headwind from dispositions: Total operating revenues fell 13% YoY to $9.96M; NOI declined to $6.89M, reflecting portfolio size reductions .
  • Legal/accounting costs: Guidance raised ~$300K at both low/high ends due to a tenant dispute in Louisiana likely to be settled .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$11.445 $10.252 $9.960
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(2.052) $2.093 $7.792
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.06) $0.03 $0.14
AFFO ($USD Millions)$0.530 $2.284 $1.297
AFFO per share ($USD)$0.01 $0.05 $0.03
Adjusted EBITDAre ($USD Millions)$6.521 $5.682 $4.469
NOI ($USD Millions)$8.814 $8.108 $6.890

Revenue breakdown:

Revenue Component ($USD Millions)Q2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Rental income$9.539 $6.970 $6.024
Crop sales$0.935 $0.847 $1.439
Other revenue$0.971 $2.435 $2.497

Margins (S&P Global):

Margin MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
EBITDA Margin %52.87%*49.07%*38.32%*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

KPIs and balance sheet:

KPIQ2 2025Notes
Dispositions32 properties; $71.6M proceeds; $24.2M gain YTD: 34 properties; $81.6M; $25.0M gain
Share repurchases2,099,756 shares @ $11.19; subsequent 181,989 @ $11.48 Ongoing buyback focus
Impairments$16.8M (California) Pistachio/walnut farms
Total debt$193.4M (6/30/25) Down from $204.6M (12/31/24)
Liquidity$211.1M ($51.1M cash; $160.0M undrawn)
Dividend$0.06 declared; payable Oct 15; record Oct 1

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
AFFO per shareFY 2025$0.28–$0.34 (raised in May) $0.28–$0.34 Maintained
Fixed farm rentFY 2025May baselineDecrease due to dispositions Lower
Solar/wind/recreationFY 2025May baselineDecrease due to dispositions Lower
Management fees & interest incomeFY 2025May baselineIncrease (loan program activity) Raised
Variable payments, crop sales, crop insuranceFY 2025May baselineUpdated outlook; variable up; crop sales mix change Mixed (Variable Up)
Impairment expenseFY 2025Prior baselineIncrease (West Coast impairments) Raised
Gain on dispositionFY 2025Prior baselineIncrease (32 Q2 deals) Raised
Interest expenseFY 2025Prior baselineDecrease (deleveraging) Lower
Legal & accountingFY 2025Prior baseline+~$0.3M at low/high; tenant dispute Raised
Weighted average sharesFY 2025Prior baselineDecrease (buybacks) Lower

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Previous Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Capital allocation (buybacks > acquisitions)Delevering and buybacks post special dividend Stock buybacks favored over land purchases “Not very acquisitive”; buybacks prioritized Stable emphasis on buybacks
California regulatory/water (SGMA)Plan to lessen exposure; market dislocation California values not recovering; capitulation emerging $16.8M impairments; ~50% write-downs; listing impaired assets Headwinds recognized; portfolio pruning
Loan program expansionIncreased loans to support cash flow Points amortization ~$2.4M in 2025 Loan portfolio growth; demand rising, but capped share of assets Expanding within risk limits
Tariffs/macroInflation/stagflation supports land values Tariff effects mixed; some specialty crops insulated HFCS vs cane sugar debate de minimis to corn market Macro watch; limited direct impact
Midwest row crop focusConcentration in Illinois; appreciation potential Cap rates stable; bargains occasionally Strong Midwest land values; gains on sales Positive, stable core

Management Commentary

  • “In the first half of 2025, we realized meaningful gains on over $80 million of farm sales—clear evidence of asset appreciation and value creation” — Luca Fabbri, CEO .
  • “We are much, much more concentrated on the U.S. Midwest, Illinois in particular… safer and more stable portfolio” — Paul Pittman, Executive Chairman .
  • “On one [California] farm… a little over 50% [impairment]… we wanted to bite the bullet once” — Luca Fabbri .
  • “We had undrawn capacity on the lines of credit of approximately $160 million… repaid our lines of credit in full with payments totaling $23 million in early July” — Susan Landi, CFO .
  • “There will be almost no chance that we convert [preferred units] into shares… 99% probability that that is not going to be converted” — Paul Pittman .

Q&A Highlights

  • Dispositions capacity/cadence: Operating under REIT “safe harbor” of ~7 transactions in 2025; four remain; special dividend outcome uncertain given GAAP vs tax differences .
  • Capital deployment: Buybacks favored; acquisitions only for adjacency/bargains; Midwest provides lower yield but superior long-term appreciation .
  • Legal/Accounting guidance: +~$300K due to legacy tenant dispute in Louisiana, likely settled .
  • Preferred units: High likelihood of cash payoff (from asset sales or credit lines), not conversion .
  • Variable payments: Outlook improved on crop dynamics; no lease restructuring required .
  • California strategy: Actively marketing impaired farms; discipline on pricing; SGMA rules drove write-downs .

Estimates Context

S&P Global consensus vs actuals:

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD)$11.838M$9.489M$9.686M
Revenue Actual ($USD)$11.463M$10.251M$9.963M
Revenue SurpriseMISS*BEAT*BEAT*
Primary EPS Consensus Mean ($USD)$(0.0367)$0.0067$0.0033
Primary EPS Actual ($USD)N/A$0.0110$(0.0127)
EPS SurpriseN/ABEAT*MISS*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Notes:

  • FPI’s GAAP diluted EPS for Q2 2025 was $0.14, but S&P’s Primary EPS (normalized) was -$0.013; divergence reflects non-GAAP normalization excluding large gains on asset sales ($24.2M) and impairment charges ($16.8M) recorded in the quarter .

Implications:

  • Revenue beat in Q2 reflects stronger other revenue/crop sales and loan program contributions despite rent headwinds from dispositions .
  • EPS miss on normalized basis signals estimate models may need to better incorporate asset sale gains/impairments timing and non-recurring items .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Asset sales remain a material earnings driver; expect continued dispositions under REIT safe harbor and potential further pruning in California, with near-term GAAP EPS sensitive to gains/loss timing .
  • Capital allocation is a catalyst: management prioritizes buybacks over acquisitions given perceived undervaluation; this should lower share count and support per-share metrics .
  • Balance sheet flexibility: $211.1M liquidity, lower interest expense, and no variable rate exposure (except lines) provide room to manage preferred payoff and opportunistic buybacks .
  • California risk addressed: SGMA-driven impairments recognized; listings underway to exit challenged assets; reduces overhang but may limit variable rent upside from permanent crops .
  • Loan program is a growing cash flow lever: higher interest income and points amortization (~$2.4M expected in 2025) bolster AFFO, but management will cap portfolio exposure .
  • Guidance maintained: FY 2025 AFFO/share $0.28–$0.34 with mix shifting—lower fixed rents, higher loan program/variable payments, lower interest expense; watch incremental legal costs .
  • Trading setup: headlines on dispositions/buybacks and any clarity on preferred payoff can drive the stock; normalized EPS may remain volatile—focus on AFFO trajectory and per-share improvements .