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WE

Whole Earth Brands, Inc. (FREE)·Q4 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2023 revenue grew 8.8% year over year to $151.2M; Adjusted EBITDA rose 11.6% to $22.5M, while reported gross margin expanded to 26.7% on lower freight and supply chain reinvention costs .
  • Branded CPG benefited from a one-time bulk sugar sale, lifting segment revenue 8.5% YoY to $118.7M; Flavors & Ingredients delivered record revenue of $32.5M (+10.2% YoY), sustaining segment strength .
  • Full-year free cash flow improved to $19.7M and long-term debt declined to $417.9M, improving leverage and cash generation trajectory .
  • Pending go-private: definitive agreement at $4.875 per share expected to close in Q2 2024, a key stock reaction catalyst; no new forward guidance disclosed with Q4 results .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Adjusted EBITDA and margins improved: Q4 Adjusted EBITDA increased 11.6% YoY to $22.5M; adjusted gross margin rose to 29.7%, reflecting productivity gains and lower freight/supply chain costs .
  • Flavors & Ingredients delivered record Q4 revenue ($32.5M, +10.2% YoY) on strong volume growth, maintaining high-margin momentum .
  • Management emphasized operational focus: “We ended 2023 on a high note, demonstrating continued operational improvement across both segments… and reduced balance sheet leverage” – Irwin D. Simon, Executive Chairman .

What Went Wrong

  • Net loss persisted: Q4 net loss was $(7.4)M vs. $(60.3)M LY; improvement driven by higher operating income, but higher interest expense from rate environment remained a headwind .
  • Branded CPG operating income in Q4 was just $0.3M (vs. loss LY), aided by a one-time bulk sugar sale; underlying profitability remains sensitive to tariffs and supply chain costs .
  • No Q4 forward guidance: With the pending transaction, the company did not provide 2024 guidance, limiting near-term visibility; prior FY23 guidance was revised down for revenue in Q3 .

Financial Results

Consolidated Results (Quarterly trend)

MetricQ2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$132.9 $134.4 $151.2
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.13) $(0.13) $(0.17)
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$33.4 $37.5 $40.4
Gross Profit Margin % (Reported)25.1% 27.9% 26.7%
Adjusted Gross Profit Margin %30.4% 31.6% 29.7%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$3.0 $6.7 $2.7
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(5.5) $(5.4) $(7.4)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$18.2 $21.0 $22.5

Q4 Year-over-Year (vs Q4 2022)

MetricQ4 2022Q4 2023
Revenue ($USD Millions)$138.9 $151.2
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(1.44) $(0.17)
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$28.3 $40.4
Gross Profit Margin % (Reported)20.4% 26.7%
Adjusted Gross Profit Margin %28.9% 29.7%
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(46.2) $2.7
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$20.2 $22.5

Segment Breakdown

SegmentQ2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023
Branded CPG Revenue ($USD Millions)$102.3 $103.3 $118.7
Branded CPG Operating Income ($USD Millions)$1.5 $7.2 $0.3
Flavors & Ingredients Revenue ($USD Millions)$30.6 $31.2 $32.5
Flavors & Ingredients Operating Income ($USD Millions)$9.0 $8.4 $8.7

Balance Sheet KPIs (Quarter-end)

KPIQ2 2023Q3 2023Q4 2023
Cash & Equivalents ($USD Millions)$24.1 $24.2 $30.5
Long-term Debt ($USD Millions, net)$427.0 $424.5 $417.9
Revolver Draw ($USD Millions)$72 $70 $64

Note: No S&P Global Wall Street consensus estimates were available via our system for Q4 2023 due to missing CIQ mapping; estimate comparisons are therefore not presented.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Product RevenuesFY 2023$550–$565M (Q2 reaffirm) $540–$550M (Q3 revision) Lowered
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2023$76–$78M (Q2 reaffirm) $77–$79M (Q3 revision) Raised
Capital ExpendituresFY 2023~$9M (Q2 reaffirm) ~$8M (Q3 revision) Lowered

No new forward guidance provided with Q4 2023 results; pending go-private transaction was highlighted instead .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Transcript for Q4 2023 was not available via our tools; themes below reflect management releases from Q2, Q3, Q4.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2023)Previous Mentions (Q3 2023)Current Period (Q4 2023)Trend
Supply chain reinvention/productivity“On track… rightsizing our cost base… freeing up dollars for growth” Lower import duties, freight, and supply chain costs aided margins Lower supply chain reinvention costs supported margin expansion Improving execution
Tariffs/import dutiesReduced Wholesome bulk sugar sales to avoid incremental tariffs Lower sugar import tariffs benefited Branded CPG Lower sugar import tariffs aided operating income Easing pressure
Flavors & Ingredients performanceRecord quarterly sales; strong pricing supports profitability Another record quarter; continued market penetration Record Q4 revenue; strong volume growth Sustained strength
Pricing vs. volumePricing growth offset by volume declines; excluding bulk sugar, CPG up on CC Similar dynamic; excluding bulk sugar, CPG essentially flat Volume + pricing growth; one-time bulk sugar sale boosted CPG Improved, aided by one-time sale
Strategic alternatives/M&AEvaluating Sababa proposal & alternatives Active evaluation to maximize value Definitive agreement to be acquired at $4.875/share Advanced to signed deal
Macro/inflation/FXCost inflation and FX headwinds pressured margins Constant-currency decline noted; FX cited Continued cost normalization (freight/raws) helped margins Normalizing costs

Management Commentary

  • Irwin D. Simon (Executive Chairman): “We ended 2023 on a high note, demonstrating continued operational improvement across both segments that drove a significant lift in our free cash flow generation and resulted in reduced balance sheet leverage… we look forward to completing the pending go-private transaction… expected later in the second quarter of 2024.”
  • Branded CPG: “A one-time sale of bulk sugar… strategic decision to take advantage of high sugar prices and exit warehousing in Buffalo, NY which will drive future warehouse cost savings.”
  • Flavors & Ingredients: “Revenue grew 10.2%… to a record $32.5M… driven by strong volume growth.”
  • Cost drivers: Margin gains driven by “lower freight costs and a decline in costs associated with the supply chain reinvention project,” with lower import duties also helping .

Q&A Highlights

  • Q4 2023 earnings call transcript was not available via our document tools or internet sources, so specific Q&A themes and clarifications cannot be provided. The company did include detailed non-GAAP reconciliations and drivers in its press release .

Estimates Context

  • Attempted to retrieve S&P Global consensus for Q4 2023 (EPS, revenue, EBITDA) but could not due to missing CIQ mapping for FREE; as a result, beat/miss vs Wall Street consensus cannot be assessed through S&P Global in this recap [SpgiEstimatesError].
  • When estimates become available, we will update this recap to reflect actual vs consensus and highlight any material beats/misses.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Q4 acceleration: Revenue rose 8.8% YoY to $151.2M; Adjusted EBITDA up 11.6% YoY, with adjusted gross margin at 29.7% — signaling improving operational efficiency into year-end .
  • Segment mix: Flavors & Ingredients continues to be the growth/margin anchor with record Q4 revenue and stable operating income; Branded CPG benefited from a one-time bulk sugar sale, boosting top line but offering limited recurring margin contribution .
  • Cash and leverage: FY23 free cash flow of $19.7M and reduced long-term debt ($417.9M) indicate healthier balance sheet dynamics heading into the pending transaction .
  • Cost normalization tailwind: Lower freight and supply chain reinvention costs, plus easing import duties, supported margin expansion — a key medium-term thesis point for stabilization/improvement .
  • Near-term catalyst: The definitive go-private agreement at $4.875/share expected to close in Q2 2024 is the dominant stock driver; focus on closing conditions and timing .
  • Watch sustainability of CPG uplift: Monitor volumes/pricing in Branded CPG ex one-time bulk sugar to gauge the underlying demand/margin trajectory post-warehousing exit .
  • No new guidance: Limited forward visibility with Q4; prior FY23 guidance was lowered for revenue but raised for Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 — underscores management’s cost control and margin focus even amid top-line adjustments .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Full-year 2023: Revenue $550.9M (+2.3%); Operating income $15.4M; Adjusted EBITDA $78.3M; Operating cash flow $25.3M; Free cash flow $19.7M .
  • Q4 drivers: Reported gross profit $40.4M vs. $28.3M LY; operating income $2.7M vs. $(46.2)M LY (impairment in LY); net loss $(7.4)M vs. $(60.3)M LY, partially offset by higher interest expense .