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Fortune Rise Acquisition Corp (FRLA)·Q4 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • FRLA did not issue a traditional Q4 2022 earnings press release or hold an earnings call; Q4 filings focused on extending the SPAC’s business combination deadline and a wholesale leadership/sponsor change, not operating results .
  • FY 2022 results: net loss of $47,609 driven by $959,457 in operating costs and $199,759 in franchise taxes, partially offset by $1,466,677 of dividend income from trust investments and a $355,070 income tax provision .
  • Trust assets stood at $101,942,526 at 12/31/22; the per‑share redemption value increased to $10.39 by year‑end as rates lifted trust income .
  • The company extended its initial business combination deadline by depositing $977,500 ($0.10/share) into the trust on November 4, 2022 (to February 5, 2023), and later reconstituted governance and sponsor control on December 22, 2022—key stock‑reaction catalysts for a SPAC trading on deal/timeline dynamics rather than fundamentals .
  • Management flagged substantial doubt about going concern absent a timely deal, underscoring financing/timeline risk typical of late‑stage SPACs .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Extension funded: FRLA deposited $977,500 to extend its deal deadline to February 5, 2023, preserving option value for a combination .
    • Higher trust yield: FY22 dividend income from trust investments rose to $1,466,677 as short‑term rates climbed, supporting SPAC cash economics .
    • Management continuity post‑change: New board and officers appointed on Dec 22, 2022 with committees reconstituted, enabling renewed deal pursuit .
    • Quote: “Fortune Rise Acquisition Corporation…plans to deposit an aggregate of $977,500…which enables the Company to extend…to February 5, 2023” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • No operating progress to a deal: The earlier merger agreement with VCV Digital Technology was terminated in July 2022; Q4 contained no new definitive target .
    • Going concern risk: Management disclosed substantial doubt about continuing as a going concern absent a timely business combination and incremental funding .
    • Governance upheaval: Complete turnover of the board and officers and sponsor control shift in late December adds execution risk despite refreshed leadership .

Financial Results

FRLA is a pre‑combination SPAC without operating revenues. Financials are driven by trust income and public company expenses. No Q4‑specific 8‑K 2.02 or press release was issued; FY 2022 figures and prior quarters are shown below.

MetricQ2 2022Q3 2022FY 2022
Operating Revenues ($)N/AN/AN/A
Dividend income from Trust ($)149,746 450,819 1,466,677
Formation & operating costs ($)275,613 225,934 959,457
Franchise tax expense ($)48,200 48,600 199,759
Income tax provision ($)355,070
Net income (loss) ($)(182,204) 176,285 (47,609)
Basic & diluted EPS – Non‑redeemable shares ($)(0.01) (0.02) N/A
Net Income Margin %N/AN/AN/A
Cash outside Trust (period end, $)388,584 230,969 172,314

KPIs and balance items

KPIQ2 2022Q3 2022FY 2022
Investments held in Trust ($)99,856,056 100,306,875 101,942,526
Class A shares subject to redemption – carrying value ($)99,705,000 100,125,713 N/A (per‑share redemption $10.39)
Per‑share redemption value ($)10.20 10.24 10.39
Deferred underwriters’ discount ($)3,421,250 3,421,250 3,421,250
Net cash used in operating activities (period YTD, $)(458,587) (616,202) (689,068)

Note: No Wall Street consensus revenue/EPS estimates were available via S&P Global for FRLA in Q4 2022 (missing mapping). As such, estimate comparisons are not presented.

Guidance Changes

FRLA does not issue revenue/EPS guidance. The key “guidance” item is timeline to complete the business combination.

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
SPAC deadline to consummate initial business combinationInitial deadline Nov 5, 2022 → extended to Feb 5, 2023Nov 5, 2022 Feb 5, 2023 upon $977,500 deposit Extended
Trust deposit for extensionQ4 2022N/A$977,500 ($0.10 per public share) New
Per‑share redemption valueFY 2022$10.20 at 12/31/21 $10.39 at 12/31/22 Higher

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No FRLA Q4 2022 earnings call transcript was filed. Key themes from quarterly/annual filings:

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2022)Previous Mentions (Q3 2022)Current Period (Q4/FY 2022)Trend
Deal pipeline/statusMerger agreement with VCV terminated July 19, 2022 No new definitive target; continued search Continued search; sponsor controlled by Water On Demand as of Dec 22; LOI with WODI signed Jan 5, 2023 (post‑Q4) Sponsor change; insiders align with WODI
Timeline extensionsOriginal deadline Nov 5, 2022 Extended to Feb 5, 2023 Q4 deposit $977,500 to extend to Feb 5, 2023 Extensions funded
Governance & sponsorPrior team in placeEntire board/officers resigned; new slate appointed; sponsor interests sold to WODI Leadership reset
Going concernLiquidity adequate through business combination or one year; no debt Substantial doubt if no deal by Feb/May 2023 Substantial doubt reiterated at FY 2022 Elevated risk
IRA 1% excise tax on redemptions (FY23+)Discussed potential 1% tax impact on redemptions effective 1/1/23 Reiterated in FY context Regulatory overhang

Management Commentary

  • Strategic focus: “We are a blank check company…not limited to a particular industry or geographic region,” with proceeds intended for a business combination and working capital .
  • Extension action: “Plans to deposit an aggregate of $977,500…which enables the Company to extend…the period…to consummate its initial business combination by three months…to February 5, 2023” .
  • Timeline/governance: “Effective December 22, 2022, each member of the Board of Directors and each officer…resigned…[and] Water On Demand…purchased 100% of the membership interests in the Sponsor,” appointing new directors and executives .
  • Liquidity caution: Management disclosed “substantial doubt about the Company’s ability to continue as a going concern” absent a timely transaction and financing .

Q&A Highlights

No earnings call was held or filed for Q4 2022; therefore, there were no analyst Q&A disclosures to highlight in this period.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates via S&P Global (Capital IQ) were not available for FRLA in Q4 2022 due to missing mapping for the ticker. As a result, we cannot present “vs. estimates” comparisons.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The Q4 2022 “print” was process‑driven, not operational: the pivotal events were the funded deadline extension and a wholesale sponsor/leadership transition—both potential stock catalysts for a SPAC trading on deal trajectory rather than fundamentals .
  • FY 2022 results reflect typical SPAC economics: rising trust yields supported income while public company costs and taxes led to a modest net loss; trust assets increased and per‑share redemption value rose to $10.39 by year‑end .
  • Execution path narrows: management’s going‑concern language emphasizes the need to finalize a deal or secure additional financing within the extended window(s) .
  • Governance change aligns sponsor and potential target: WODI’s control of the sponsor and subsequent LOI (Jan 5, 2023) suggest a sponsor‑aligned path to a transaction, though related‑party deals carry additional scrutiny and closing risk .
  • Regulatory/tax watch: the 1% IRA excise tax on 2023 redemptions can affect cash available at closing and deal structures .
  • Trading lens: near‑term stock moves likely hinge on deal announcements, redemption dynamics, further extensions, or delisting risk—monitor 8‑Ks and proxy filings closely .

Source Documents Read

  • 8‑K (Nov 4, 2022): Extension funding and promissory notes; press release dated Nov 1, 2022 .
  • 8‑K (Dec 29, 2022): Board/officer resignations; new appointments; Sponsor control change to WODI .
  • 10‑Q Q2 2022 (filed Aug 9, 2022): Full quarterly financials and MD&A .
  • 10‑Q Q3 2022 (filed Nov 15, 2022): Full quarterly financials and MD&A .
  • 10‑K FY 2022 (filed Apr 13, 2023): Annual results, trust assets, redemption value, liquidity, and governance/sponsor updates .