Sign in
FF

FULTON FINANCIAL CORP (FULT)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 delivered solid operating performance: Operating EPS $0.48 (vs $0.50 in Q3), GAAP EPS $0.36 (vs $0.33), with operating efficiency ratio improving to 58.4% (from 59.6%) and PPNR/Avg Assets rising to 1.63% (from 1.61%) .
  • Net interest margin compressed 8 bps q/q to 3.41% as 2024 rate cuts flowed through; total cost of deposits fell ~10 bps to 2.14%, cushioning NII pressure; noninterest income rose q/q to $65.9M on smaller bargain-purchase gain adjustment .
  • Credit remained manageable but normalized: NCOs/avg loans up to 0.22% (from 0.18%), NPAs/assets to 0.69% (from 0.64%), and ACL/loans up to 1.58% (from 1.56%) .
  • 2025 operating guidance implies stable earnings power: NII $995M–$1.02B (non-FTE), operating opex $755M–$775M, provision $60M–$80M, noninterest income $265M–$280M, ETR ~18%; FultonFirst and Republic saves expected to keep expenses flat y/y on an operating basis .
  • Capital actions and catalysts: Dividend increased to $0.18 in Dec. 2024 and a new 2025 repurchase authorization up to $125M; execution of FultonFirst cost saves and CD repricing tailwinds are key stock catalysts into 2025 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Operating profitability and efficiency improved despite NIM pressure: operating efficiency ratio 58.4% (from 59.6%); PPNR/Avg Assets 1.63% (from 1.61%) .
    • Deposit costs declined 10 bps to 2.14%; average NIB deposits increased $62.2M q/q, supporting funding mix resilience .
    • Integration execution: Republic systems conversion completed; cost saves “in line” and contributing; FultonFirst run-rate saves ~<$5M> in Q4 with ~$25M planned in 2025 and >$50M annualized by 2026; management: “we are excited to see the full benefits impact our results in 2025” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • NIM contracted 8 bps q/q to 3.41% on rapid Fed easing; loan yields fell 23 bps to 5.97% even as deposit costs fell, pressuring NII (down $4.4M q/q) .
    • Credit normalization: NCOs/avg loans up to 0.22% (from 0.18%); NPAs/assets up to 0.69% (from 0.64%); NPLs/loans to 0.92% (from 0.84%) .
    • Loan balances declined $131M q/q as planned runoff (indirect auto) and acquired-loan repositioning offset originations; consumer fees modestly softer q/q .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Revenue ($M)$275.6 $329.1 $326.3
Net Interest Income ($M)$212.0 $258.0 $253.7
Noninterest Income ($M)$59.4 $59.7 $65.9
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.37 $0.33 $0.36
Operating Diluted EPS ($)$0.42 $0.50 $0.48
Net Interest Margin (%)3.36% 3.49% 3.41%
Operating Efficiency Ratio (%)62.04% 59.62% 58.43%
ROAA (%)0.93% 0.79% 0.85%
Operating ROAA (%)1.03% 1.17% 1.14%

Balance Sheet and Credit

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Total Assets (End, $B)$27.57 $32.19 $32.07
Deposits (End, $B)$21.54 $26.15 $26.13
Net Loans (End, $B)$21.35 $24.18 $24.04
CET1 Ratio (%)10.3% 10.5% 10.6%
NCOs / Avg Loans (%)0.15% 0.18% 0.22%
NPAs / Total Assets (%)0.56% 0.64% 0.69%
ACL / Loans (%)1.37% 1.56% 1.58%

Selected KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024
Total Cost of Deposits (%)~2.24% (declined 10 bps q/q) 2.14%
Operating Noninterest Expense ($M)$196.2 $190.7
PPNR / Avg Assets (annualized, %)1.61% 1.63%

Noninterest Income Breakdown (Consolidated)

Category ($000s)Q3 2024Q4 2024
Commercial Banking22,289 22,454
Wealth Management21,596 22,002
Consumer Banking14,928 14,309
Mortgage Banking3,142 3,759
Gain on Acquisition (net of tax)(7,706) (2,689)
Other5,425 6,089
Total Noninterest Income59,673 65,924

Note on estimates: S&P Global consensus estimates were temporarily unavailable at request time; therefore, no estimate comparisons are presented (S&P Global data unavailable).

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest Income (non-FTE)FY 2025N/A$995M–$1.020BNew FY guide
Provision for Credit LossesFY 2025N/A$60M–$80MNew FY guide
Noninterest IncomeFY 2025N/A$265M–$280MNew FY guide
Operating Noninterest ExpenseFY 2025N/A$755M–$775MNew FY guide; expenses flat y/y (operating)
Effective Tax RateFY 2025N/A~18%New FY guide
CDI Amortization (non-operating)FY 2025N/A~$22.5M (2H step down)New detail
FultonFirst Implementation (non-operating)FY 2025N/A~$14MNew detail
Common DividendQ1 2025$0.17$0.18Raised
Repurchase AuthorizationCY 2025N/AUp to $125MNew program

Assumptions: Management incorporates two 25 bp Fed cuts (Mar, Jun 2025) in guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q2 2024 and Q3 2024)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Net Interest Margin / NIIMgmt avoided explicit NIM guide; asset sensitivity reduced; deposit betas moderating; NII at high end of 2024 guide despite late-year cuts .NIM down 8 bps; NII cadence: slightly lower in Q1 then drift higher across 2025; added $900M receive-fixed hedges .Slight near-term pressure, improving trajectory in 2025.
Deposit Costs / BetasActive repricing of rate-sensitive products; modeled downcycle betas ~10% near term, ~30% LT .Total deposit cost down 10 bps q/q to 2.14%; aiming for mid-20s NMD cycle betas; sizable CD maturities to reprice lower .Favorable funding tailwinds.
Republic Integration40% cost-saves target; Q3 commentary on January 2025 full run-rate .Systems conversion complete; saves “in line”; visible Q4 contribution; deposit base stable .Integration executed, benefits building.
FultonFirst Program$25M 2025 saves, >$50M fully realized by 2026; expense flat in 2025 (ex-CDI) .~$5M quarterly run-rate saves in Q4; $25M 2025; >$50M 2026; reinvestment for growth (small business) .Execution progressing; growth reinvestment.
Credit / CRE & OfficeCredit stable; watch list in high-rate context; ACL ~1.56% in Q3; diversified NPL increase .NCOs and NPAs up modestly; ACL/loans 1.58%; Office ~3% of loans, low LTV/DSCR per deck .Normalization, well reserved; office manageable exposure.
AI / TechnologyN/A in prior calls.Announced adoption of NICE CXone Mpower Copilot/Autopilot for AI-assisted CX to boost efficiency and service .Strategic digital investment.
Capital & BuybacksBuybacks third priority; deferred to 2025 .Same priority; new 2025 repurchase authorization up to $125M .Optionality added for 2025.

Management Commentary

  • “2024 was a record year for Fulton. Operating diluted earnings per share of $1.85 represents an 8% increase over the prior year.” – Curtis J. Myers, Chairman & CEO .
  • “During the quarter, we completed the systems conversion [of Republic]… we are now realizing cost savings in line with our initial assumptions… excited to see the full benefits impact our results in 2025.” – Curtis Myers .
  • “Net interest income… decreased… while net interest margin declined by 8 bps to 3.41%… primarily driven by the effects of 100 bps of easing by the Fed… average cost of total deposits decreased 10 bps to 2.14%.” – Richard Kraemer, CFO .
  • “For 2025, our operating guidance… NII $995M-$1.02B; provision $60M-$80M; noninterest income $265M-$280M; operating noninterest expense $755M-$775M; tax rate ~18%.” – Richard Kraemer .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin/NII cadence: No explicit NIM guide; NII expected slightly lower in Q1’25 (day count/growth), then trend higher through 2025 as repricing tailwinds accrue .
  • Deposit betas and CD repricing: Near-term NMD cycle betas mid-20s; ~$4.5B CDs maturing in 2025 at ~4.36% average cost, expected to reprice 50–80 bps lower if market stable .
  • Accretion income: Purchase accounting accretion expected $13.5–$14.0M per quarter in 2025, drifting slightly lower over time .
  • Loan growth: Low-to-mid single-digit targeted across categories; headwinds from indirect auto runoff (~$40M/quarter) and acquired-loan repositioning should moderate over 2025 .
  • Capital deployment: Buybacks remain third priority; 2025 authorization provides flexibility; M&A (community banks $1–$5B) remains strategic but disciplined .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS and revenue was unavailable at request time due to temporary access limits; as a result, we do not present beat/miss analysis versus consensus (S&P Global data unavailable).

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Operating earnings quality improved: efficiency ratio fell to 58.4% and PPNR/Assets improved, signaling resilient core profitability into 2025 despite NIM headwinds .
  • Funding tailwinds emerging: total deposit costs fell to 2.14% with more CD repricing ahead; this should offset some asset yield pressure and support NII trajectory .
  • Expense discipline is the 2025 story: Operating opex guided flat y/y on $755M–$775M with visible FultonFirst and Republic saves, a key driver of operating leverage .
  • Credit normalization but contained: higher NPAs/NCOs, yet ACL/loans up to 1.58% and office exposure low (3% of loans) with conservative LTV/DSCR; watch continued trends .
  • Capital return optionality: Dividend raised to $0.18 and new $125M repurchase authorization for 2025; deployment pace will reflect growth needs and market conditions .
  • 2025 outlook: Management embeds two rate cuts; expects NII to build after Q1; stable deposit mix and hedging position should dampen rate sensitivity .
  • Execution catalyst: Full run-rate realization of FultonFirst and Republic cost saves plus AI-enabled CX efficiency (NICE CXone) offer incremental earnings support beyond rate dynamics .

Management’s narrative: 2024 was a “record” operating year, and 2025 is framed around expense control, stable-to-improving NII cadence, and continued prudent credit management—clear, actionable catalysts for positioning ahead of cost saves and repricing benefits .