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Arcimoto Inc (FUV)·Q2 2023 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue grew 17% year over year to $1.76M, but missed Wall Street consensus of ~$3.0M; GAAP net loss narrowed to $(13.2)M (−$1.71/sh) from $(17.4)M (−$8.80/sh) YoY, as OpEx fell sharply on restructuring .
  • Operating and financing updates: management announced intent to sell its U.S. manufacturing facility subject to a leaseback to unlock equity and extend runway; raised ~$6.3–$6.8M gross via 8% Series D preferred and warrants (two-tranche structure) .
  • Commercial traction: launched the MUV (Modern Utility Vehicle); highlighted demand in industrial and military/government channels (MATBOCK partnership) and delivered 65 vehicles at a $22,744 ASP in Q2; produced its 1,000th vehicle in June .
  • Liquidity remains tight: cash was $1.35M at 6/30 and going concern risk persists amid ongoing losses and modest backlog (8 units at Q2-end) despite cost actions and funding steps; sale‑leaseback is the near‑term catalyst to extend runway .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Revenue +17% YoY to $1.76M; gross loss improved YoY on 48% OpEx reduction; Q2 net loss narrowed to $(13.2)M from $(17.4)M .
    • Commercial progress: 65 deliveries at $22,744 ASP; 1,000th vehicle produced; MUV launched; industrial and military/government interest highlighted (MATBOCK) .
    • CEO focus on capital formation and asset-light footprint: “This allows us to free up capital that is currently locked up in the factory’s equity… extend our runway” (sale‑leaseback) .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Missed Street revenue consensus (~$3.0M vs $1.76M actual); weak top‑line scale vs fixed costs persisted .
    • Financing costs surged ($4.14M in Q2), primarily warrant/stock issuance economics; cash remained low at $1.35M; going concern remains .
    • Demand signals mixed: backlog fell to 8 units at Q2‑end vs 18 in Q1; TMW revenue declined YoY; battery supply remains single‑source .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2022Q1 2023Q2 2023Consensus (Q2 2023)
Revenue ($M)$1.499 $1.354 $1.760 $3.000
Cost of Goods Sold ($M)$6.104 $2.942 $3.524
Gross Loss ($M)$(4.605) $(1.588) $(1.764)
Operating Expenses ($M)$10.572 $5.888 $5.524
Net Loss ($M)$(17.404) $(6.891) $(13.208)
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$(8.80) $(1.06) $(1.71)
  • Vs estimates: Revenue missed by ~$1.24M (−41%), a significant shortfall given S&P consensus of ~$3.0M .
  • Additional items: Q2 financing costs were $4.138M (warrant/stock issuance accounting); interest expense was $0.211M .

Segment revenue (Q2):

Segment Revenue ($)Q2 2022Q2 2023
FUV$1,015,038 $1,537,412
Rental$53,818 $65,793
TMW$430,485 $157,141
Total$1,499,341 $1,760,346

KPIs:

KPIQ1 2023Q2 2023
Vehicles delivered (units)65
ASP per vehicle ($)$22,744
YTD deliveries (units)37 (derived from YTD 102 − 65) — see note102 YTD
Demo drives + rentals (rides)954
Backlog (units)18 8
Customer FUVs on road (units)665
TRiO kits delivered (units)11 (ASP $14,285)

Note: Q1 deliveries implied as YTD less Q2; company did not directly disclose standalone Q1 deliveries in press materials.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
All metricsFY/Q3None providedNone providedNo formal guidance

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2023)Current Period (Q2 2023)Trend
Capital & LiquidityGoing concern; paused production in Jan; resumed Feb; reliance on equity/mortgage financing Intent to sell plant with leaseback; Series D preferred financing (two tranches); cash $1.35M at 6/30 Active balance sheet actions; runway extension efforts
Production & CostProduction resumed; workforce reductions; focus on cost-down 1H production 94 units; 1,000th vehicle; OpEx −48% YoY; financing costs elevated Operational efficiency improving; financing overhead a headwind
Demand/CommercialBuilding rental/experience funnel; order backlog 18; single-source battery cells Industrial/military (MATBOCK) and MUV push; backlog down to 8; 954 rides (demo+rentals) Mixed: targeted B2B demand vs softer backlog
Real Estate StrategyAnnounced plant sale with leaseback to unlock equity and fund operations Monetization to extend runway
Supply ChainSingle-source battery cells; plans to expand options/testing Single-source status reiterated; no new certification issues expected Risk unchanged

Management Commentary

  • “The Arcimoto team delivered a solid quarter. Sharp execution and improving operational efficiencies generated $1.76 million of revenue, up 17% from 2022… We also announced today our intention to sell our U.S. manufacturing facility contingent on a lease agreement… to free up capital… extend our runway” — CEO Christopher Dawson .
  • On the sale‑leaseback: “We should be allocating our capital into [vehicle manufacturing]… we’re not at a stage where we should be investing in real estate” — CEO, Q2 call (prepared remarks/Q&A) .
  • “We are continuing to see strength in our industrial and military (government) markets with MUV and Matbock and are confident in pipeline deals coming to fruition” — CEO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Strategic rationale for sale‑leaseback: prioritize capital for vehicle production and cost‑out work; monetize equity trapped in real estate to extend runway .
  • Capital deployment: proceeds aimed at scaling production, select company‑owned dealerships, and cost reductions .
  • Defense/commercial pipeline: MATBOCK collaboration acknowledged as part of industrial and government demand push .
  • No formal numeric guidance provided; management reiterated focus on financing actions and operational efficiency .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus revenue for Q2 2023 was ~$3.0M (S&P Global, via Moomoo); actual was $1.76M — a material miss that may prompt further downward estimate revisions absent near-term order wins .
  • EPS consensus not disclosed in company materials; management did not provide guidance; investors should expect model sensitivity to financing costs (Q2 financing costs $4.14M) and mix .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Liquidity is central to the near-term thesis: the plant sale‑leaseback, the August preferred financing and any additional asset monetizations are key to extending runway while orders scale; monitor 8‑Ks for execution .
  • Top‑line scale remains subcritical; despite Q2 YoY growth, revenue missed consensus by ~41% — backlog decline and modest rental contribution argue for conservative revenue modeling .
  • Cost actions are working (OpEx down ~48% YoY), but financing costs and negative gross margin continue to pressure results; breakeven requires materially higher volumes and sustained cost-down .
  • Commercial focus pivot (MUV, industrial/government, MATBOCK) could improve mix/visibility if pilot programs convert; track deal announcements and fleet order cadence .
  • Supply chain concentration risk (battery cells) persists; diversification initiatives remain a watch item .
  • Trading setup: near‑term stock moves likely driven by funding milestones (sale‑leaseback close, tranche two financing) and any material commercial awards; absence of these could weigh on sentiment.

Supporting details and sources: Q2 2023 10-Q financials and MD&A ; Q1 2023 10-Q ; Q2 2023 press release/8‑K ; Series D preferred financing 8‑K ; Earnings call transcript excerpts ; S&P Global consensus (via Moomoo) ; news summary (MATBOCK) .