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GAN Ltd (GAN)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q4 2024 revenue was $31.7M, up 3% year over year (B2C-led), but down sequentially from $37.1M in Q3; diluted EPS was $(0.09) vs $(0.21) in Q4 2023 and $0.04 in Q3 2024 as operating costs fell materially YoY .
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to approximately breakeven ($0.008M) from $(3.9)M in Q4 2023, though down from $5.4M in Q3 as B2B revenue and take rate softened sequentially .
  • B2B Gross Operator Revenue (GOR) rose 69% YoY to $651.2M, but the B2B take rate fell to 1.4% (vs 3.1% in Q4 2023), and B2B revenue declined to $9.0M YoY and sequentially from $16.4M in Q3, reflecting partner dynamics and mix .
  • No earnings call or quantitative outlook; merger with SEGA SAMMY now expected to close in Q2 2025 (previously “early 2025”), which remains the primary stock narrative and catalyst path forward .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Cost reduction drove improved profitability: operating expenses fell to $23.4M from $29.5M YoY, supporting a narrower net loss and near breakeven Adjusted EBITDA; CEO credited “streamlined cost structure” and focus on improved profitability .
  • B2C performance and margins improved YoY: B2C revenue rose to $22.7M (from $18.9M), with Europe strength; B2C segment contribution margin improved to 64.5% (60.3% prior year) and sports margin reached 8.5% .
  • B2B activity momentum with higher operator throughput: B2B GOR climbed to $651.2M (+69% YoY), highlighting robust end-market activity in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ontario and Connecticut .

What Went Wrong

  • B2B revenue and take rate pressured: B2B revenue declined to $9.0M (vs $11.8M YoY and $16.4M in Q3), tied to a partner exit; take rate compressed to 1.4% vs 2.7% in Q3 and 3.1% in Q4 2023, weighing on segment revenue conversion .
  • Latin America softness continued: management cited reduced player activity and unfavorable FX in Latin America impacting B2C trends, partly offset by Europe .
  • Transparency limited: no earnings call or numerical guidance due to pending merger, reducing forum for qualitative updates and outlook clarifications .

Financial Results

Summary P&L (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
Revenue ($USD Millions)$30.7 $35.6 $37.1 $31.7
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.21) $(0.04) $0.04 $(0.09)
Operating (Loss) Income ($USD Millions)$(8.6) $0.2 $2.1 $(2.7)
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(3.9) $3.7 $5.4 $0.0 (≈$0.008)
Total Segment Contribution Margin (%)68.1% 71.2% 73.3% 65.5%

Segment Breakdown (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
B2B Revenue ($USD Millions)$11.8 $13.0 $16.4 $9.0
B2C Revenue ($USD Millions)$18.9 $22.6 $20.7 $22.7
B2B Segment Contribution ($USD Millions)$9.5 $10.8 $14.1 $6.1
B2C Segment Contribution ($USD Millions)$11.4 $14.5 $13.1 $14.6

Revenue by Geography (oldest → newest)

Geography ($USD Millions)Q4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
United States$8.5 $10.5 $14.1 $8.6
Europe$12.1 $14.1 $12.2 $14.4
Latin America$7.1 $8.2 $8.4 $8.0
Rest of World$3.0 $2.8 $2.5 $0.6

KPIs (oldest → newest)

KPIQ4 2023Q2 2024Q3 2024Q4 2024
B2B Gross Operator Revenue ($USD Millions)$384.7 $609.3 $610.4 $651.2
B2B Take Rate (%)3.1% 2.1% 2.7% 1.4%
B2C Active Customers (thousands)236 237 226 212
B2C Marketing Spend Ratio (%)28% 23% 24% 17%
B2C Sports Margin (%)6.5% 8.7% 7.2% 8.5%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Financial guidance (revenue, EBITDA, etc.)FY/Q1’25+None provided; no callNone provided; no callMaintained “no guidance” (merger pending)
Merger closing timelineTransaction CloseEarly 2025 Q2 2025 Updated timing window
Merger considerationAt close$1.97/share cash (previous disclosure) $1.97/share cash (unchanged) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: No Q4 2024 earnings call was held due to the pending merger; themes derived from Q2/Q3/Q4 releases .

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 2024)Trend
Cost rationalizationOpex down materially YoY; focus on efficiency and profitability Opex down to $23.4M (from $29.5M YoY), supporting improved EPS and near-breakeven Adj. EBITDA Improving
B2B expansion/mixNevada expansion; partner exit in Michigan benefited Q2; strong B2B growth in Q3 B2B revenue $9.0M; partner exit weighed YoY; take rate compressed to 1.4% despite GOR strength Mixed (throughput up, take rate down)
B2C regional dynamicsEurope strength; LATAM weaker and FX headwinds in Q2/Q3 Same pattern: Europe up, LATAM softer and FX adverse Stable
Sportsbook margin volatilityQ2: 8.7%; Q3: 7.2% Q4: 8.5% Improving
Regulatory/merger approvalsNGC approval; timeline early 2025 Target closing in Q2 2025; no call due to merger Advancing toward close

Management Commentary

  • “This led to stronger financial performance in 2024 with growth in both the top and bottom line. We are simultaneously working diligently to close our merger with SEGA SAMMY... expect the merger to be successfully completed in the second quarter of 2025.” – CEO Seamus McGill .
  • Management reiterated focus on streamlined cost structure and improved profitability with lower compensation and D&A driving reduced operating expenses .
  • On B2C trends: Europe benefited from increased player activity, offset by reduced activity and unfavorable FX in Latin America .
  • On B2B: GOR growth driven primarily by organic growth in Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ontario and Connecticut, though revenue was impacted by partner exit and take rate .

Q&A Highlights

  • The company did not host a Q4 2024 earnings call given the pending SEGA SAMMY merger; therefore, no Q&A session or incremental guidance clarifications were provided .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 revenue and EPS was unavailable at the time of analysis due to missing mapping for GAN; as a result, no formal “vs. consensus” comparison can be provided. S&P Global data unavailable.
  • In the absence of consensus and company guidance, investors should anchor on sequential/YoY trends and non-GAAP profitability progress while monitoring merger milestones .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential step-down vs Q3 reflects B2B revenue and take rate compression; nonetheless, YoY metrics improved on cost controls and higher B2C revenue with better sports margin .
  • Mix remains pivotal: high B2B GOR with weak take rate yields lower conversion to revenue; watch contract mix, partner transitions, and geographic drivers behind take rate .
  • B2C remains resilient in Europe; LATAM faces demand and FX headwinds—trend likely persists near term absent targeted acquisition spend (marketing ratio fell to 17%) .
  • Profitability trajectory improved significantly in 2024; sustaining positive Adj. EBITDA depends on stabilizing B2B take rate and continued discipline on opex .
  • No call or guidance shifts focus to merger execution; timing updated to Q2 2025. The $1.97/share cash consideration frames event-driven positioning into close, pending remaining regulatory approvals .
  • Trading setup near term is headline-driven (merger milestones) with limited fundamental catalysts given lack of guidance; medium term, integration prospects under SEGA SAMMY and B2B growth runway remain the longer-term narrative .

Additional Detail: Q4 2024 vs Prior Periods (Highlights)

  • Revenue: $31.7M vs $30.7M (Q4’23) and $37.1M (Q3’24) .
  • EPS (diluted): $(0.09) vs $(0.21) (Q4’23) and $0.04 (Q3’24) .
  • Adj. EBITDA: ≈$0.0M vs $(3.9)M (Q4’23) and $5.4M (Q3’24) .
  • Segment mix: B2B $9.0M; B2C $22.7M (vs Q3: B2B $16.4M; B2C $20.7M) .
  • Geography: Europe $14.4M; U.S. $8.6M; LATAM $8.0M; ROW $0.6M .
  • KPIs: B2B GOR $651.2M; Take Rate 1.4%; B2C Active Customers 212k; Marketing Spend Ratio 17%; Sports Margin 8.5% .