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Gannett Co., Inc. (GCI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Mixed print-to-digital transition quarter with a sharp EPS beat but revenue/EBITDA slight misses vs S&P Global consensus. Q2 revenue was $584.9M vs $593.1M est (miss), Primary EPS was $0.45 vs ($0.06) est (beat), and Total Adjusted EBITDA was $64.2M vs $65.9M est (slight miss). Net income benefitted from an $87.5M tax benefit; EBITDA margin expanded sequentially to 11.0% . S&P Global estimates marked with * below (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
- Digital advertising returned to growth (+4% YoY) and momentum is expected to continue in H2; management launched a $100M annualized cost-reduction program to variabilize costs and expand margins .
- Guidance reset: FY25 digital same-store growth cut from +7–10% (Q1 guide) to ~flat; FCF growth for FY25 trimmed from >40% to >30%; however, H2 outlook calls for digital same-store growth of +3–5%, >70% YoY growth in operating cash flow, and >100% FCF growth .
- Strategic AI monetization advanced (Perplexity licensing), beta launch of Taboola’s DeeperDive on USA TODAY, Snowflake marketplace listing, and tech to block unauthorized AI scraping; a high-margin real estate marketplace partnership (AddressUSA) launched for new revenue streams -.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Digital ads inflected to +4% YoY after being down slightly in Q1; management cites scaled audience, stronger programmatic yield, and improving national direct sales as drivers. “We believe the momentum…supports our expectation for improved trends in the second half” .
- Sequential profitability and cash improvement: Total Adjusted EBITDA rose to $64.2M (11.0% margin) from ~9% margin in Q1; free cash flow improved to $17.6M; debt reduced by $23.4M in Q2 (>$100M in H1) .
- AI/content licensing and new monetization lanes: Perplexity deal, DeeperDive beta on USA TODAY, Snowflake marketplace listing, and anti-scraping measures to protect/license content; AddressUSA real estate marketplace provides high-margin ad opportunities - .
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What Went Wrong
- Top-line still declining: total revenue -8.6% YoY (-6.4% same-store), reflecting continued print pressure and a reset of digital-only subs; digital revenues -4.6% YoY (-2.8% same-store) .
- Guidance reset: FY25 digital same-store growth cut to ~flat (from +7–10%); FY25 FCF growth trimmed to >30% (from >40%)—partly to fund cost actions; revenue now expected down low–mid single digits same-store .
- EPS beat driven by large tax benefit ($87.5M) rather than core operations; management expects “an exceptionally large [tax] provision” in H2 (mostly Q4), and flagged Q3 FCF to decline sequentially and YoY before recovering in Q4 -.
Financial Results
Actuals vs S&P Global consensus (Primary EPS and Revenue) and sequential trend
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Margins, earnings, cash flow (oldest → newest)
Segment breakdown (Q2 year-over-year)
KPIs and digital mix (oldest → newest)
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered sequential improvement across key financial metrics…digital advertising trends…increased from a decline in the first quarter to an increase of 4% in the second quarter…we expect digital advertising trends to further improve in the third quarter” — Michael Reed, CEO .
- “We are implementing targeted annualized expense reductions of approximately $100 million…to create a lower and more variable cost structure…we expect to deliver Total Adjusted EBITDA growth in the back half of the year and for the full year of 2026” — Michael Reed .
- “The net income…is heavily impacted by a tax benefit of $87.5 million…we expect an exceptionally large [tax] provision in the back half of the year, largely in the fourth quarter.” — Tricia Gosser, CFO .
- “We were the first U.S. publisher to launch…Taboola’s…DeeperDive within USA TODAY…we are utilizing…technology to block unauthorized AI scraping…to protect our highly valuable content and expand…monetization opportunities in the AI landscape.” — Michael Reed .
- “We’re introducing pay-per-article options…dynamic pricing by local market…stacked products…annual subscription offers to reduce churn and strengthen our base of loyal readers.” — Kristin Roberts, President of Gannett Media -.
Q&A Highlights
- Timing and drivers of revenue stabilization: Management targets flat revenues in early 2026, citing improving digital ads, DMS/subscription initiatives, Perplexity and AddressUSA contributions, and $100M cost program to drive EBITDA/FCF growth into 2026 .
- Cost program specifics: Focus on automation/AI, outsourcing, eliminating duplication; closing two large print plants; more mail delivery where economics fit; payroll a component, executed methodically to protect product/content .
- AI and traffic: Company is blocking unauthorized AI scraping, diversifying traffic beyond Google (Facebook, Instagram, Reddit, Threads), and sees shift toward paid/attributed AI content usage; Perplexity cited as template .
- Ad tech litigation: DOJ remedies hearing in Sept; Texas case expected Q4; Gannett’s trial expected in 2026; management “very confident” in position .
- DMS product roadmap: AI Smart Bidding, CRM integration, and conversational AI voice agent to improve client ROI, retention, and stickiness; helps follow up on “10 out of 10 leads” vs 7/10 today -.
- Affiliate revenue: Google “manual actions” largely in rear-view; pivoting to higher-value, on-platform verticals like AddressUSA .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $584.9M vs $593.1M est (miss); Primary EPS $0.45 vs ($0.06) est (beat); EBITDA $64.2M vs $65.9M est (slight miss). The EPS beat was aided by an $87.5M tax benefit; EBITDA margin improved sequentially to 11.0% but remains below Q4 seasonality . Revenue/EPS/EBITDA estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.
- Q1 2025 context: Revenue $571.6M vs $593.1M est (miss); Primary EPS ($0.089) vs ($0.025) est (worse than est); sets up sequential improvement into Q2 as management indicated .
Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- EPS beat quality is low given the $87.5M tax benefit; on core metrics, revenue and EBITDA were modest misses vs consensus, but momentum improved sequentially and should strengthen into H2 from digital ads and DMS .
- The $100M annualized cost-out is the near-term margin driver; expect EBITDA margin expansion and stronger FCF in H2 (but Q3 FCF down sequentially/YoY; rebound in Q4) - .
- Strategic AI monetization (Perplexity, DeeperDive, Snowflake) and anti-scraping tech establish a template for fair-value content licensing and ad monetization; watch for additional deals over the next 12 months .
- Subscription model reset prioritizes ARPU and retention (annual offers, localized pricing, pay-per-article) over volume; near-term pressure on subs counts but healthier unit economics and expected sequential revenue improvement in Q3/Q4 -.
- Digital ads are a key H2 catalyst; management cites robust national demand and publisher ROI research tailwinds that could lift budgets towards journalism platforms -.
- Litigation path on ad tech (DOJ remedies; state AGs; Gannett case 2026) is trending favorably; not in base-case models but offers optionality .
- Deleveraging continues (>$135M 2025 target); combined with cost actions, sets a setup for improved leverage metrics into 2026 .
Additional Detail and Source Tables
Revenue composition and same-store detail (Q2 2025)
- Total revenues: $584.9M; YoY -8.6%; same-store -6.4% .
- Digital revenues: $265.4M; YoY -4.6%; same-store -2.8% .
- Digital ad revenues: $87.9M; YoY +4% .
Capital structure and liquidity
- Cash and cash equivalents: $88.5M (6/30/25); total principal debt: $1,014.9M; first lien net leverage: 2.7x; Q2 debt repaid: $23.4M .
AI and partnerships
- Perplexity licensing (terms undisclosed), DeeperDive beta on USA TODAY, Snowflake marketplace listing, AddressUSA real estate portal across the network .
S&P Global estimates disclaimer: All values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.