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Gannett Co., Inc. (GCI)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Mixed print-to-digital transition quarter with a sharp EPS beat but revenue/EBITDA slight misses vs S&P Global consensus. Q2 revenue was $584.9M vs $593.1M est (miss), Primary EPS was $0.45 vs ($0.06) est (beat), and Total Adjusted EBITDA was $64.2M vs $65.9M est (slight miss). Net income benefitted from an $87.5M tax benefit; EBITDA margin expanded sequentially to 11.0% . S&P Global estimates marked with * below (Values retrieved from S&P Global).
  • Digital advertising returned to growth (+4% YoY) and momentum is expected to continue in H2; management launched a $100M annualized cost-reduction program to variabilize costs and expand margins .
  • Guidance reset: FY25 digital same-store growth cut from +7–10% (Q1 guide) to ~flat; FCF growth for FY25 trimmed from >40% to >30%; however, H2 outlook calls for digital same-store growth of +3–5%, >70% YoY growth in operating cash flow, and >100% FCF growth .
  • Strategic AI monetization advanced (Perplexity licensing), beta launch of Taboola’s DeeperDive on USA TODAY, Snowflake marketplace listing, and tech to block unauthorized AI scraping; a high-margin real estate marketplace partnership (AddressUSA) launched for new revenue streams -.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Digital ads inflected to +4% YoY after being down slightly in Q1; management cites scaled audience, stronger programmatic yield, and improving national direct sales as drivers. “We believe the momentum…supports our expectation for improved trends in the second half” .
    • Sequential profitability and cash improvement: Total Adjusted EBITDA rose to $64.2M (11.0% margin) from ~9% margin in Q1; free cash flow improved to $17.6M; debt reduced by $23.4M in Q2 (>$100M in H1) .
    • AI/content licensing and new monetization lanes: Perplexity deal, DeeperDive beta on USA TODAY, Snowflake marketplace listing, and anti-scraping measures to protect/license content; AddressUSA real estate marketplace provides high-margin ad opportunities - .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line still declining: total revenue -8.6% YoY (-6.4% same-store), reflecting continued print pressure and a reset of digital-only subs; digital revenues -4.6% YoY (-2.8% same-store) .
    • Guidance reset: FY25 digital same-store growth cut to ~flat (from +7–10%); FY25 FCF growth trimmed to >30% (from >40%)—partly to fund cost actions; revenue now expected down low–mid single digits same-store .
    • EPS beat driven by large tax benefit ($87.5M) rather than core operations; management expects “an exceptionally large [tax] provision” in H2 (mostly Q4), and flagged Q3 FCF to decline sequentially and YoY before recovering in Q4 -.

Financial Results

Actuals vs S&P Global consensus (Primary EPS and Revenue) and sequential trend

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($M) Actual$571.6 $584.9
Revenue Consensus Mean ($M)$593.1*$593.1*
EPS (Primary) Actual($0.089) (i.e., -$0.0891)$0.453 (i.e., $0.4525)
EPS (Primary) Consensus Mean($0.025)*($0.058)*

Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Margins, earnings, cash flow (oldest → newest)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Total Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$78.2 $50.5 $64.2
Total Adjusted EBITDA Margin (%)12.6% 8.8% 11.0%
Net Income Attributable to Gannett ($M)$64.3 ($7.3) $78.4
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.11 ($0.05) $0.42
Cash from Operations ($M)$9.0 $23.3 $32.6
Free Cash Flow ($M, non-GAAP)$3.8 $10.2 $17.6

Segment breakdown (Q2 year-over-year)

SegmentQ2 2024 Revenue ($M)Q2 2025 Revenue ($M)Q2 2024 Segment Adj. EBITDA ($M)Q2 2025 Segment Adj. EBITDA ($M)Margin Q2 2024Margin Q2 2025
Domestic Gannett Media$491.9 $439.3 $52.9 $43.2 10.8% 9.8%
Newsquest$61.3 $61.3 $14.1 $14.9 23.1% 24.3%
Digital Marketing Solutions$123.8 $117.5 $11.8 $11.5 9.5% 9.8%

KPIs and digital mix (oldest → newest)

KPIQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Avg. Monthly Unique Visitors (M)200 195 181
Digital Revenues ($M)$280.4 $250.4 $265.4
Digital Advertising Revenues ($M)$92.7 $83.4 $87.9
Digital-only Subscription Revenues ($M)$49.0 $43.3 $42.7
Digital-only ARPU ($, Total Gannett)$7.93 $7.22 $7.79
DMS Core Platform Revenues ($M)$116.25 $108.17 $116.93
DMS Core Platform ARPU ($)$2,788 $2,693 $2,830
DMS Avg. Customer Count (k)13.9 13.4 13.8
Digital-only Paid Subscriptions (k, EOP)2,063 1,931 1,723

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1’25)Current Guidance (Q2’25)Change
Total Digital Revenues (same-store)FY 2025+7% to +10% ~Flat Lowered
Digital as % of Total RevenueFY 2025/2026 timing50% in 2025 50%+ during 2026 Delayed
Total Revenues (same-store)FY 2025Down low single digits Down low–mid single digits Lowered
Total Digital Revenues (same-store)H2 2025+3% to +5% New
Net Income Attributable to GannettH2 2025Decline vs prior year New (negative)
Net Income Attributable to GannettFY 2025Improve vs prior year Improve vs prior year Maintained
Total Adjusted EBITDAH2 2025Grow vs prior year New (positive)
Total Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025Grow vs prior year Grow vs prior year Maintained
Cash from Operating ActivitiesFY 2025>30% growth >30% growth Maintained
Cash from Operating ActivitiesH2 2025>70% growth New (positive)
Free Cash FlowFY 2025>40% growth >30% growth (reflects cash for cost actions) Lowered
Free Cash FlowH2 2025>100% growth New (positive)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
AI/Technology initiativesQ4: focus on digital growth; Q1: “incrementally added…A.I. licensing deals” - Perplexity licensing; Taboola DeeperDive beta on USA TODAY; Snowflake marketplace; blocking unauthorized AI scraping Acceleration, monetization broadening
Digital advertisingQ4 digital ads +1.7% YoY ; Q1: improving trends continuing into Q2 Inflected to +4% YoY; strong national pipeline, brand-safe platform; robust H2 expected -Improving
Digital-only subscriptionsQ4 digital-only subs rev +17% YoY; ARPU up Intentional reset: focus on ARPU, local pricing, annual offers; pay-per-article for casual readers; sequential ARPU growth; see sequential rev improvement in Q3/Q4 -Rebuilding for quality/ARPU
DMS (LocaliQ)Q4 stable core metrics ; Q1 core revenues $108.2M Sequential growth in core revenue, EBITDA, client count; AI voice agent; CRM integration; Google AI Smart Bidding -Positive sequential momentum
Regulatory/legal (ad tech)DOJ publisher-facing conduct ruling; remedies hearing in Sept; Texas AG case likely Q4; Gannett case trial expected 2026 Positive developments; ongoing
Cost reductionImplementing ~$100M annualized cost reductions; closures of 2 large print facilities; automation/AI to variabilize costs New lever for margins

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered sequential improvement across key financial metrics…digital advertising trends…increased from a decline in the first quarter to an increase of 4% in the second quarter…we expect digital advertising trends to further improve in the third quarter” — Michael Reed, CEO .
  • “We are implementing targeted annualized expense reductions of approximately $100 million…to create a lower and more variable cost structure…we expect to deliver Total Adjusted EBITDA growth in the back half of the year and for the full year of 2026” — Michael Reed .
  • “The net income…is heavily impacted by a tax benefit of $87.5 million…we expect an exceptionally large [tax] provision in the back half of the year, largely in the fourth quarter.” — Tricia Gosser, CFO .
  • “We were the first U.S. publisher to launch…Taboola’s…DeeperDive within USA TODAY…we are utilizing…technology to block unauthorized AI scraping…to protect our highly valuable content and expand…monetization opportunities in the AI landscape.” — Michael Reed .
  • “We’re introducing pay-per-article options…dynamic pricing by local market…stacked products…annual subscription offers to reduce churn and strengthen our base of loyal readers.” — Kristin Roberts, President of Gannett Media -.

Q&A Highlights

  • Timing and drivers of revenue stabilization: Management targets flat revenues in early 2026, citing improving digital ads, DMS/subscription initiatives, Perplexity and AddressUSA contributions, and $100M cost program to drive EBITDA/FCF growth into 2026 .
  • Cost program specifics: Focus on automation/AI, outsourcing, eliminating duplication; closing two large print plants; more mail delivery where economics fit; payroll a component, executed methodically to protect product/content .
  • AI and traffic: Company is blocking unauthorized AI scraping, diversifying traffic beyond Google (Facebook, Instagram, Reddit, Threads), and sees shift toward paid/attributed AI content usage; Perplexity cited as template .
  • Ad tech litigation: DOJ remedies hearing in Sept; Texas case expected Q4; Gannett’s trial expected in 2026; management “very confident” in position .
  • DMS product roadmap: AI Smart Bidding, CRM integration, and conversational AI voice agent to improve client ROI, retention, and stickiness; helps follow up on “10 out of 10 leads” vs 7/10 today -.
  • Affiliate revenue: Google “manual actions” largely in rear-view; pivoting to higher-value, on-platform verticals like AddressUSA .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $584.9M vs $593.1M est (miss); Primary EPS $0.45 vs ($0.06) est (beat); EBITDA $64.2M vs $65.9M est (slight miss). The EPS beat was aided by an $87.5M tax benefit; EBITDA margin improved sequentially to 11.0% but remains below Q4 seasonality . Revenue/EPS/EBITDA estimates marked with * are from S&P Global.
  • Q1 2025 context: Revenue $571.6M vs $593.1M est (miss); Primary EPS ($0.089) vs ($0.025) est (worse than est); sets up sequential improvement into Q2 as management indicated .
    Estimates marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • EPS beat quality is low given the $87.5M tax benefit; on core metrics, revenue and EBITDA were modest misses vs consensus, but momentum improved sequentially and should strengthen into H2 from digital ads and DMS .
  • The $100M annualized cost-out is the near-term margin driver; expect EBITDA margin expansion and stronger FCF in H2 (but Q3 FCF down sequentially/YoY; rebound in Q4) - .
  • Strategic AI monetization (Perplexity, DeeperDive, Snowflake) and anti-scraping tech establish a template for fair-value content licensing and ad monetization; watch for additional deals over the next 12 months .
  • Subscription model reset prioritizes ARPU and retention (annual offers, localized pricing, pay-per-article) over volume; near-term pressure on subs counts but healthier unit economics and expected sequential revenue improvement in Q3/Q4 -.
  • Digital ads are a key H2 catalyst; management cites robust national demand and publisher ROI research tailwinds that could lift budgets towards journalism platforms -.
  • Litigation path on ad tech (DOJ remedies; state AGs; Gannett case 2026) is trending favorably; not in base-case models but offers optionality .
  • Deleveraging continues (>$135M 2025 target); combined with cost actions, sets a setup for improved leverage metrics into 2026 .

Additional Detail and Source Tables

Revenue composition and same-store detail (Q2 2025)

  • Total revenues: $584.9M; YoY -8.6%; same-store -6.4% .
  • Digital revenues: $265.4M; YoY -4.6%; same-store -2.8% .
  • Digital ad revenues: $87.9M; YoY +4% .

Capital structure and liquidity

  • Cash and cash equivalents: $88.5M (6/30/25); total principal debt: $1,014.9M; first lien net leverage: 2.7x; Q2 debt repaid: $23.4M .

AI and partnerships

  • Perplexity licensing (terms undisclosed), DeeperDive beta on USA TODAY, Snowflake marketplace listing, AddressUSA real estate portal across the network .

S&P Global estimates disclaimer: All values marked with * are retrieved from S&P Global.