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GigaCloud Technology Inc (GCT)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 revenue grew 8.3% YoY to $271.9M, with GAAP diluted EPS of $0.68 and gross margin of 23.4%; strength in Services and Europe offset domestic product softness tied to Noble House SKU refresh .
- Results were above prior Q4-issued guidance ($250–$265M) and ahead of S&P Global consensus on revenue ($259.8M*) and Primary EPS ($0.48*); adjusted EPS-diluted was $0.83 .
- Q2 2025 revenue guidance set at $275–$305M; management telegraphed near-term headwinds from Noble House SKU rationalization and a softer U.S. channel, partially offset by strong Europe momentum .
- Capital returns increased: buyback authorization raised to $78M on May 8; $61.8M repurchased (~3.7M shares) through May 12; management plans to retire repurchased shares .
Values with asterisk are from S&P Global consensus.
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Services led growth: Service revenue +23% YoY to $94.1M; management highlighted services and Europe as Q1’s “shining points” .
- European expansion accelerated: Europe product revenue grew “over 70%” YoY; GMV in Europe up ~80% YoY with incremental fulfillment capacity in Bremen, Germany .
- Buyback momentum and balance sheet: $78M total authorization; $61.8M repurchased as of May 12; liquidity of ~$287.5M (cash, restricted cash, investments) at quarter-end .
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What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression YoY: 23.4% vs 26.5% in Q1 2024, driven by normalized ocean freight (less arbitrage) and more competitive last‑mile pricing; service gross margin fell 3.5 pts sequentially to 15.9% .
- U.S. product softness: Domestic product revenue down 17% YoY due to Noble House SKU refresh, sector headwinds, and softness at downstream partners .
- Limited near-term visibility on margin trajectory: Management could not commit to Q2 margin expansion timing; new SKUs typically take 3–6 months to ramp .
Financial Results
Performance versus prior quarters (GAAP unless noted)
Q1 2025 Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Values with asterisk are from S&P Global.
Segment mix and margins
Marketplace KPIs (TTM)
Notes: Company reclassified delivery services for 1P transactions from Product to Service revenue beginning Q1 2025 and restated 2024 comparables for consistency .
Guidance Changes
No explicit guidance provided on margins, OpEx, OI&E or tax rate.
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Despite persistent industry headwinds, we continue to grow… That is a testament to the efficiency and value created by our Supplier Fulfilled Retailing (SFR) model.” — Larry Wu, CEO .
- “We are attracting new Marketplace participants, expanding our European footprint… enhancing our ability to transform and reinvent the way big and bulky merchandise is bought and sold.” — Larry Wu (Q2 release context, reinforcing Q1 themes) .
- “Service revenue grew ~23% YoY… service gross margin was 15.9%, a 3.5% decrease sequentially, primarily due to lowered ocean freight rates and lower last-mile delivery pricing.” — Erica Wei, CFO .
- “Product margin improved by 4% sequentially to 27.4%… as we had less of [high capitalized cost goods] left to move through during Q1 2025.” — Erica Wei, CFO .
- “As of today, we have repurchased approximately 3.7 million shares for $61.8 million… We remain positioned to deploy additional capital through future repurchase authorizations.” — Erica Wei, CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Beat drivers: Outperformance versus prior guidance driven by Services and Europe .
- Margin outlook: Management not ready to guide Q2 gross margin given supply chain variability; SKU refresh impact needs 3–6 months to show up meaningfully .
- Guidance context: Q2 midpoint implies YoY deceleration due to Noble House’s seasonal strength last year and current SKU rationalization; some softness at U.S. partner channels .
- Tariff mechanics: A 100% tariff does not translate to 100% retail price increase; tariffs apply to goods value, not total cost stack (e.g., warehousing, ground shipping) .
- Segment reporting change: Delivery for 1P separated into Services beginning Q1 2025; 2024 restated for comparability .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 comparisons vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $271.9M vs $259.8M*; Primary EPS $0.83 vs $0.48*; both beat. Adjusted EPS-diluted from company was $0.83, aligning with “Primary EPS” actual in S&P data .
- Consensus recommendation and target not cited for Q1; Street coverage appears limited; management’s Q2 outlook ($275–$305M) could prompt estimate adjustments, with near-term trims for U.S. product offset by stronger Europe and product margin normalization .
Values with asterisk are from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Europe is the growth engine while U.S. product is in planned reset; expect mixed near-term revenue with better mix and margins exiting the SKU refresh cycle .
- Services growth durable, but ocean freight normalization and competitive last‑mile pricing cap near-term service margins; product margins are improving as high-cost inventory rolls off .
- Reclassification increases transparency: 1P delivery now recognized within Services, clarifying drivers of Services growth and margins going forward .
- Q2 guide ($275–$305M) frames a digestion quarter given Noble House seasonality and catalog refresh; upside likely tied to Europe strength and SKU ramp cadence .
- Capital allocation is shareholder-friendly: Authorization lifted to $78M; $61.8M already repurchased with intent to retire shares; balance sheet remains strong .
- Watch tariff evolution: Management sees limited direct impact and an opportunity to leverage platform agility (route/channel flexibility) if supply chains shift .
- Stock catalysts: Sustained Europe outperformance, visible product margin expansion as SKUs ramp, and any further capital return actions could re-rate shares on improving quality of earnings .
Appendices
Prior-Quarter Context
- Q4 2024: Revenue $295.8M (+20.9% YoY), gross margin 22.0%, net income $31.0M, diluted EPS $0.76; Q1 2025 revenue guidance $250–$265M (beat by Q1 actuals) .
- Q3 2024: Revenue $303.3M (+70.2% YoY), gross margin 25.5%, net income $40.7M, diluted EPS $0.98 .
Business Outlook from Q1 release
- Q2 2025 revenue guidance: $275–$305M .