GD
GREEN DOT CORP (GDOT)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered double-digit top-line growth with total operating revenues up 21% YoY to $494.8M; non-GAAP EPS was $0.06 while GAAP EPS was -$0.56 as restructuring and equity-method losses weighed on GAAP results .
- Revenue and non-GAAP EPS beat S&P Global consensus: revenue $494.8M vs $483.8M* and EPS $0.06 vs -$0.09*, driven by B2B momentum and growing interest income; adjusted EBITDA of $23.6M declined YoY/QoQ on mix and planned investments .
- Management raised FY 2025 guidance for adjusted EBITDA ($165–$175M) and non-GAAP EPS ($1.31–$1.44), maintaining non-GAAP revenue at $2.0–$2.1B, citing embedded finance demand, partner launches (Stripe, Workday EWA, Amscot) and balance sheet optimization .
- Key catalysts: guidance raise, embedded finance pipeline and new partner launches; strategic streamlining (Shanghai exit) aims to improve operational agility and long-term margin profile .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- B2B segment revenue rose ~32% YoY to $364.2M with strong BAS partner growth; corporate interest income increased on balance sheet optimization and floating-rate securities strategy .
- Expanding partnerships: launched Stripe cash-deposit access for SMBs, integrated Workday marketplace for EWA, and signed Amscot and Dole FinTech in FSC channel; management cited accelerating embedded finance adoption (94% plan to increase investment) .
- Guidance raised for FY adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP EPS; CFO noted high-margin revenue growth and continued expense management supported results .
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What Went Wrong
- Adjusted EBITDA fell to $23.6M (-17% YoY; -48% QoQ) with margin compressing to 4.8% (from 7.0% YoY; 9.1% QoQ), reflecting revenue mix (BAS composition), planned regulatory investments, and consumer softness .
- Consumer segment revenue declined to $88.3M (-10% YoY) and margins fell >400 bps due to lower retail revenues and mix; retail active accounts still under pressure despite moderation .
- Restructuring costs ($19.9M) tied to Shanghai exit and extraordinary severance ($2.1M) pressured GAAP earnings; equity-method losses remained a headwind .
Financial Results
Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment Breakdown (Revenue and Profit)
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “It was a strong third quarter, with results continuing to outpace our expectations… we moved to cease operations in Shanghai… position the company for sustainable long-term growth.”
- CRO: “We will partner with Stripe to enable SMB customers… cash deposits at more than 50,000 locations… validates the opportunity in the SMB market.”
- CFO: “Non-GAAP revenue grew 21% YoY, while adjusted EBITDA declined 17%… driven by B2B and interest income; margins impacted by revenue composition and planned investments.”
- Embedded finance study: “94% of enterprises plan to increase investments… embedded finance is a strategic priority across industries.”
Q&A Highlights
- Embedded finance acceleration and pipeline prioritization of marquee brands; Project 30 aims to cut technical implementation to 30 days, reducing onboarding timelines and enabling mid-market expansion .
- Workday EWA integration opens platform access to a large employer base; Stripe partnership could scale materially even with modest adoption given Stripe’s reach .
- Balance sheet strategy: redeploy cash into floating-rate securities targeting ~5–7% yields, enhancing net interest income while maintaining liquidity; yields tied to SOFR/IORB .
- Strategic alternatives remain under review; updates will be provided when there is material information .
Estimates Context
- GDOT beat Street revenue and EPS consensus: revenue $494.8M vs $483.8M*; EPS $0.06 vs -$0.09*; # of estimates: 3 each*. Given the guidance raise and embedded finance traction, consensus EPS and EBITDA for FY 2025 may drift higher, while near-term margins reflect Q4 planned spending and tough consumer comps .
Values with * retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue momentum is intact (Q3 +21% YoY), led by B2B/BAS and rising interest income; the Street beat plus FY guidance raise are near-term positive catalysts .
- Margin compression reflects mix (strong BAS growth with lower margins vs Rapid tax benefits) and planned regulatory/platform investments; watch FY exit-rate on adjusted EBITDA margin and Q4 spending cadence .
- Embedded finance pipeline breadth (Stripe, Workday, Crypto.com, Credit Sesame) supports medium-term growth visibility; Project 30 could improve onboarding velocity and capital efficiency .
- Consumer stabilization remains a work-in-progress; FSC expansion (PLS, Amscot, Dole FinTech) may moderate declines but retail remains a headwind near term .
- Balance sheet optimization is a key earnings lever; higher deposit balances and redeployment into floating-rate assets should continue to lift net interest income .
- Operational streamlining (Shanghai exit) and ongoing strategic review aim to enhance agility and reduce risk; one-off charges impacted GAAP this quarter but should fade .
- Trading lens: Guidance raise and partnership newsflow favor near-term sentiment; monitor Q4 margin guide (approx. -700 bps YoY) and consumer mix to gauge durability of EPS trajectory .