GD
GRID DYNAMICS HOLDINGS, INC. (GDYN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record revenue of $101.1M (+21.7% YoY; flat QoQ) and GAAP diluted EPS of $0.06; non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.10. Management highlighted AI-first strategy with AI & Data at 23% of H1 organic revenue, growing ~3x faster than overall organic business .
- Versus Wall Street: EPS modestly beat consensus ($0.10 vs $0.098*) while revenue was slightly below ($101.1M vs $101.3M*); non-GAAP EBITDA of $12.7M was within the company’s guided range . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Guidance: Q3 revenue $103–$105M and non-GAAP EBITDA $12–$13M; full-year 2025 revenue maintained at $415–$435M .
- Key catalysts: accelerating enterprise AI adoption, finance vertical strength (revenues doubled YoY), and expanding hyperscaler partnerships (Google traction in Europe). Watch for margin trajectory given FX headwinds, increased engineering investments, and fixed-price contract timing .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- AI-first execution and pipeline momentum: “AI and data was 23% of the company's overall organic revenue… growing almost three times faster than our overall organic business” . CEO emphasized enterprise-wide AI adoption and Grid’s role as an AI-native partner .
- Vertical strength and mix: Finance became the second-largest vertical at 25.1% of revenue, doubling YoY; TMT up 6.7% QoQ and 8.4% YoY; Retail remained largest at 29.2% .
- Partnerships and delivery scale: Partnerships influenced 17.9% of Q2 revenue with growing traction, notably with Google in Europe; headcount rose to 5,013 (+26.6% YoY), supporting growth and follow-the-sun delivery .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin compression: GAAP gross margin fell to 34.1% (from 36.8% in Q1 and 35.6% in Q2’24), driven by FX headwinds, increased engineering hiring ahead of growth, and fixed-price contract timing .
- FX headwinds and cost impacts: Net FX impact approx. $1.4M; non-GAAP EBITDA margin declined to 12.6% (from 14.5% in Q1 and 15.6% in Q4) on FX and lower gross margin .
- Customer count rationalization: Total customers declined to 194 (from 204 in Q1 and 211 in Q4) as the company exited non-strategic smaller accounts; minor infant mortality through hyperscaler-led trials noted .
Financial Results
Q2 2025 vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global):
Segment/Vertical Mix (Q2 2025):
Selected KPIs:
Non-GAAP adjustments and impact (Q2):
- Non-GAAP net income $8.3M; add-backs include stock-based comp $6.7M, D&A $4.9M, transaction costs $0.3M, geographic reorg $0.5M, restructuring $0.5M, and other items offset (including interest/other income) $(4.36)M, with tax impact $(0.59)M .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “Grid Dynamics is aligning every aspect of its business with an AI-first approach… AI and data was 23% of the company's overall organic revenue… growing almost three times faster than our overall organic business” .
- CTO: “We are methodically building on a strong foundation… delivering production-ready solutions… building considerable experience across agentic AI platforms… and AI-first software delivery lifecycle” .
- CFO: “We recorded the second quarter revenue of $101.1 million… Non-GAAP EBITDA came in at $12.7 million… Net FX impact… approximately $1.4 million” .
- COO on GAIN and margins: focus on revenue per person uplift via AI platformization and solution-based engagements; margin discussion framed around profit and scalability .
Notable press releases:
- SmartRay AI Robotic Inspection Platform (with Wandelbots): showcases physical AI expansion into robotics and industrial workflows, reducing planning/implementation time and costs .
- Q2 earnings press release: reiterates financials and guidance .
Q&A Highlights
- Pipeline and guidance confidence: Low-end FY guidance achievable via working-day tailwinds and acquisitions; robust Q2-created pipeline; cautious on macro yet optimistic for H2 ramp .
- Pricing/utilization/hiring: Mixed pricing dynamics by region; GAIN facilitates fixed-price models and faster sales cycles; balancing cost discipline with investments in AI platforms and specialized talent .
- GAIN adoption and financial profile: Early fixed-price use; piloting full commercial model with top customers; expected to increase revenue per person and accelerate innovation cycles .
- Customer rationalization: Focus on enterprise accounts; declines largely from smaller acquisition-derived clients; strict client definition (no revenue in quarter not counted) .
- Partnerships: Growing traction beyond hyperscalers, engaging major platform providers and AI startups; Google traction in Europe highlighted .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025: EPS modest beat; revenue slight miss vs consensus. Non-GAAP EBITDA within the company’s guided range, though consensus frameworks may differ in EBITDA methodology . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- Q3 2025: Company guides $103–$105M revenue vs consensus ~$103.7M* (guidance midpoint slightly above); non-GAAP EBITDA $12–$13M (no direct S&P non-GAAP EBITDA consensus) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
- FY 2025: Company maintained $415–$435M revenue vs consensus ~$411.6M* (guide above consensus midpoint), and normalized EPS consensus of ~$0.395* (company did not provide EPS guidance) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Revenue durability with AI-first pivot: Enterprise AI programs are moving beyond POCs to platforms, driving pipeline strength and underpinning the FY revenue guide maintenance despite macro caution .
- Watch margin cadence: Near-term gross margin and EBITDA margin pressure from FX, hiring ahead of demand, and fixed-price timing; management targets margin improvement over 2025 as utilization and solution pricing normalize .
- Vertical diversification reduces risk: Finance strength (doubling YoY) and TMT/Other growth offset retail softness (home improvement) and healthcare decline; acquisitions broaden banking exposure .
- Partnerships as growth accelerant: Hyperscaler-led engagements (Google in Europe) and ecosystem expansion (robotics/physical AI) should support deal flow and entry into new accounts .
- Customer quality over quantity: Declining customer count reflects strategy to focus on scalable enterprise relationships; top-5/top-10 concentration stable-to-improving .
- Near-term trading setup: Modest EPS beat vs slight revenue miss and maintained FY guide may favor stability; incremental catalysts include Q3 execution vs guide and AI platform wins translating to revenue per person uplift .
- Medium-term thesis: If GAIN model and agentic platforms scale, expect improved pricing power, faster sales cycles, and margin recovery; monitor FX sensitivity and fixed-price contract mix .
Acronyms and basis notes: Non-GAAP metrics exclude stock-based compensation, transaction/transformation costs, geographic reorganization, restructuring, and other items as detailed in reconciliation . All company financials USD. S&P Global consensus values noted with asterisks and retrieved from S&P Global.*