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GENESIS ENERGY LP (GEL)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 headline numbers reflect a major portfolio transition: revenue $398.3M, Total Segment Margin $121.4M, Adjusted EBITDA $131.7M, and GAAP net loss attributable to GEL of $469.1M driven by a $432.2M loss on disposal of the Alkali business (discontinued operations) .
  • Management introduced 2025 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $545–$575M (post-Alkali sale and before reconcilable GAAP items), below the prior “around $700M” outlook provided with Q4 2024, as scope and timing rebase to continuing operations and the ramp of Shenandoah/Salamanca mid-year .
  • Deepwater Gulf growth catalysts are imminent: Shenandoah connected to SYNC with first oil expected in June and Salamanca ~4–6 weeks behind; both are expected to ramp quickly and, with remediation of producer mechanical issues, drive sequential offshore improvement into 2H25 .
  • Balance sheet materially simplified: ~$1.0B Alkali-sale proceeds used to pay RCF to zero, redeem 2027s, and repurchase $250M preferreds; annual cash costs reduced by >$120M; bank leverage 5.49x LTM as of 3/31/25, nearest unsecured maturity in early 2028 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Offshore projects on track: Shenandoah FPU moored; SYNC commissioning end‑May; first oil June; Salamanca arrival imminent with first oil in 3Q; both expected to ramp quickly and be long-term contributors .
    • Marine Transportation steady with constructive market: high utilization and steady to rising day rates; structural undersupply of Jones Act capacity supports outlook .
    • Balance sheet actions lowered cash cost of capital by >$120M annually; RCF at $0; 2027s called; $250M preferred repurchased, improving flexibility for future distributions/deleveraging .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Offshore Segment Margin fell 22% YoY on producer mechanical issues, a contractual step-down on an older dedication, and higher operating costs; Poseidon volumes also down YoY .
    • Onshore Transportation & Services margins declined 18% YoY on lower NaHS/caustic volumes and lower onshore crude pipeline volumes, partly offset by higher rail unloads .
    • GAAP EPS sharply below consensus due to a non‑cash loss on Alkali disposal: net loss per common unit of $(4.06) vs S&P Global consensus primary EPS of $(0.23) (one estimate) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Financial Results

Consolidated results vs prior quarters (oldest → newest)

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Revenue ($M)$714.3 $725.6 $398.3
Total Segment Margin ($M)$151.1 $172.5 $121.4
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$136.7 $160.6 $131.7
Net Income (Loss) attributable to GEL ($M)$(17.2) $(49.4) $(469.1)
EPS (Net loss per common unit)$(0.32) $(0.58) $(4.06)

Q1 2025 results vs Wall Street consensus (S&P Global)

MetricConsensusActualComment
Primary EPS$(0.23)*$(4.06) Miss; driven by $432.2M disposal loss from discontinued ops
Revenuen/a$398.3M Consensus unavailable*
EBITDA$130.9M*$131.7M (Adj. EBITDA) Slight beat vs consensus proxy

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown (Segment Margin)

Segment Margin ($000s)Q1 2024Q1 2025
Offshore Pipeline Transportation97,806 76,548
Marine Transportation31,363 30,021
Onshore Transportation & Services18,098 14,826
Total Segment Margin147,267 121,395

Drivers referenced by management: offshore step‑down on an older dedication, producer underperformance/downtime, higher operating costs; inland marine utilization softness early in the quarter; onshore lower NaHS/caustic sales and onshore crude volumes with higher rail unloads .

Selected KPIs

KPIQ1 2024Q1 2025
Offshore crude oil pipelines total (bpd)656,290 622,719
CHOPS (bpd, 100% basis)298,313 312,976
Poseidon (bpd, 100% basis)291,922 244,323
Odyssey (bpd, 100% basis)63,697 63,738
Marine inland fleet utilization100.0% 93.6%
Marine offshore fleet utilization99.2% 96.2%
Rail unload volumes (bpd)1,240 20,492
NaHS volumes (DST)29,037 25,873

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025“Around $700M” (Q4 2024 release, pre-Alkali sale/older scope) $545–$575M (post‑sale continuing operations, timing of ramps/remediation) Lowered; scope/timing reset
Distribution per common unitQ2 2025n/aLikely maintain flat for Q2; considering increases from Q3+ subject to visibility Maintained (near term)
Leverage target (bank‑calculated)Long‑term~4.0x target reiterated (Q4 call) ~4.0x target reiterated (Q1 call) Maintained
Capital allocation2025+“All of the above” (debt reduction, preferred redemptions, return to holders) Same framework; accelerated by >$120M annual cash cost savings post‑sale Maintained, with improved capacity

Management noted it cannot provide GAAP reconciliations for forward Adjusted EBITDA guidance .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ3 2024 (Prev‑2)Q4 2024 (Prev‑1)Q1 2025 (Current)Trend
Offshore project executionBoth Shenandoah and Salamanca on schedule for 2Q25 first oil; CHOPS expansion complete First production late 2Q; ramp expected quickly; Phase 2/Monument pipeline of subsea Shenandoah moored; SYNC commissioning; first oil June; Salamanca ~4–6 weeks behind Execution progress; ramps imminent
Producer mechanical issuesCited extended downtime impacting Poseidon‑area volumes 3 rigs focused on remediation; expect restoration in 2025 Exit‑quarter volumes improved; normalization by late Q2–Q3 expected Improving trajectory
Marine marketStrong demand vs limited newbuilds; near‑100% utilization Record year expected 2025; fewer dry docks High utilization; day rates steady to rising Constructive, stable
Capital allocationCost controls; inflection targeted in 2025 Deleveraging and balance‑sheet simplification path laid out Post‑Alkali sale: >$120M annual cash cost savings; flexibility to redeem preferred, pay down debt, consider distribution increases Improved flexibility
Macro/commodity sensitivitySoda ash weakness cited; hurricanes impacted volumes Still caution on soda ash into 1H25 Management downplays impact of tariffs/slowing macro/near‑term oil fluctuations on deepwater activity Reduced macro sensitivity for core

Management Commentary

  • “We have successfully reached our targeted inflection point where our capital‑intensive growth projects in the Gulf of America are all but complete and paid for, and we are now in a position to generate cash in excess of the ongoing cash costs of running our businesses.”
  • “We anticipate commissioning our new SYNC pipeline towards the end of this month and expect volumes from Shenandoah to begin sometime in June… Salamanca… first oil in the third quarter.”
  • “We would reasonably expect to be able to generate Adjusted EBITDA in 2025 in the range of $545–$575 million,” driven by timing of remediation at impacted fields and ramp cadence of Shenandoah/Salamanca .
  • “We do not anticipate seeing any significant… impact from proposed or increased tariffs, slowing economic activity, relatively low oil prices or other current macro‑economic headwinds.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Distribution path: Management expects to “maintain a flat distribution for the second quarter,” with potential to consider increases from Q3 onward as visibility on project ramps and remediation improves .
  • Offshore tiebacks pipeline: 10 of 22 deepwater rigs on GEL‑dedicated leases; operators expect 6+ infill/tiebacks online before year‑end; typical 7–10 kbopd per well; some included in guidance with upside beyond .
  • Segment outlook: OTS and Marine to be “reasonably consistent” with Q1; incremental improvement vs guidance primarily from Offshore ramps .
  • Marine newbuild economics: Day rates would need to rise ~30–40% and sustain 5+ years to justify newbuilds; replacement cost of an inland heater barge rose to ~$6–6.5M vs ~$3.5M in 2017–2018 .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Reported net loss per unit $(4.06) vs S&P Global consensus primary EPS $(0.23) (1 estimate) — a headline miss entirely driven by the $432.2M loss on disposal of discontinued operations (Alkali sale) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Revenue: Reported $398.3M; consensus not available; note the statements reflect continuing operations with discontinued operations shown separately .
  • EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA $131.7M modestly above S&P Global EBITDA consensus $130.9M; definitional differences (Adjusted vs provider’s EBITDA) may apply . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near‑term catalyst density is high: first oil at Shenandoah in June and Salamanca in 3Q, with rapid ramp potential and remediation of impacted fields expected by late Q2–Q3; these should drive sequential Offshore improvement into 2H25 .
  • 2025 guide reset reflects portfolio scope change and timing; medium‑term earnings power intact as deepwater volumes fill pre‑built capacity (SYNC, CHOPS), enabling incremental margin with minimal capex .
  • Balance sheet simplification materially lowers cash burdens (> $120M annual savings), creating headroom to redeem preferreds, reduce debt, and consider distribution increases as cash flow ramps .
  • Marine remains a steady ballast with structural support (limited newbuilds, retirements) and high utilization, adding resilience to consolidated results .
  • Watch list: pace of producer remediation, SYNC commissioning and early Shenandoah/Salamanca volume ramps, and any updates to 2025 EBITDA range as 2H visibility improves .
  • Trading setup: Any confirmation of on‑time first oil and faster‑than‑planned ramps could be a positive catalyst; conversely, delays/remediation slippage would pressure the 2025 range and sentiment.

Appendix: Additional context and data

  • Q1 2025 financial statements and reconciliations, operating data, and leverage metrics are provided in the company’s 8‑K and press release exhibits .
  • Sale of Alkali and subsequent capital actions (RCF to zero, 2027s redemption, preferred repurchase) summarized in March updates .