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GILEAD SCIENCES, INC. (GILD)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Base business sales excluding Veklury rose 4% to $6.3B, while total revenue was flat at $6.67B; non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.81. Gilead beat Street EPS but missed on revenue: EPS $1.81 vs consensus $1.776*, revenue $6.67B vs $6.82B* .
  • HIV strength offset oncology softness and COVID normalization: Biktarvy +7% to $3.1B and Descovy +38% to $586M; Veklury -45% to $302M; Trodelvy -5% to $293M; Cell Therapy -3% to $464M .
  • FY25 guidance largely unchanged except GAAP EPS lowered to $5.65–$6.05 (from $5.95–$6.35); product sales $28.2–$28.6B, ex‑Veklury $26.8–$27.2B, Veklury $1.4B, non‑GAAP EPS $7.70–$8.10 unchanged .
  • Near-term catalysts: FDA PDUFA June 19 for twice‑yearly lenacapavir PrEP; ASCENT-03 readout later in Q2; S&P upgraded Gilead to A- (stable), highlighting HIV outlook and cash flow .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Base business growth and disciplined costs drove strong non‑GAAP margins: product gross margin 85.5% and operating margin 43.4% .
    • HIV leadership continued: “Our base business grew 4% year-over-year, primarily led by Biktarvy’s continued strength,” — CEO Daniel O’Day . Biktarvy U.S. share reached 51% per CCO .
    • Pipeline/regulatory momentum: FDA accepted NDAs for lenacapavir PrEP with June 19 PDUFA; EMA validated MAA and EU‑M4all applications under accelerated review; EC granted conditional approval for seladelpar (Livdelzi) in PBC .
  • What Went Wrong

    • COVID normalization: Veklury sales down 45% YoY to $302M on lower hospitalization rates .
    • Oncology softness: Trodelvy -5% YoY on inventory/pricing mix; Cell Therapy -3% (Yescarta +2% offset by Tecartus -22%) amid competitive headwinds .
    • Part D redesign headwind: management expects HIV reported sales to be flat in 2025 despite demand growth, with ~$1.1B total impact (≈$0.9B to HIV) and increased manufacturer contribution .

Financial Results

Summary vs prior quarters and estimates

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q1 2025 Consensus
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)$7.545 $7.569 $6.667 $6.823*
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$1.00 $1.42 $1.04
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$2.02 $1.90 $1.81 $1.776*
GAAP Product Gross Margin (%)79.1% 79.0% 76.7%
Non-GAAP Product Gross Margin (%)86.8% 86.7% 85.5%
GAAP Operating Margin (%)11.8% 32.4% 33.6%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin (%)43.2% 41.1% 43.4%

Values marked * are from S&P Global consensus estimates (Primary EPS Consensus Mean; Revenue Consensus Mean). Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment breakdown (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)

SegmentQ1 2024 ($MM)Q1 2025 ($MM)YoY Change
HIV$4,342 $4,587 +6%
Liver Disease$737 $758 +3%
Oncology$789 $757 -4%
Other$224 $209 -7%
Total Product Sales ex‑Veklury$6,092 $6,311 +4%
Veklury$555 $302 -45%
Total Product Sales$6,647 $6,613 -1%
Royalty/Contract/Other Revenues$39 $54 +37%
Total Revenues$6,686 $6,667 ~flat

Product KPIs (Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024)

ProductQ1 2024 ($MM)Q1 2025 ($MM)YoY Change
Biktarvy$2,946 $3,150 +7%
Descovy$426 $586 +38%
Veklury$555 $302 -45%
Yescarta$380 $386 +2%
Tecartus$100 $78 -22%
Trodelvy$309 $293 -5%
Livdelzi (PBC)$40 launch momentum

Consensus detail (Q1 2025)

MetricQ1 2025 Estimate# of EstimatesQ1 2025 Actual
Revenue ($USD Billions)$6.823*17*$6.667
Primary EPS ($)$1.776*17*$1.81

Values marked * are from S&P Global consensus estimates (Primary EPS Consensus Mean; Revenue Consensus Mean; counts). Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Feb 11, 2025)Current Guidance (Apr 24, 2025)Change
Product Sales ($B)FY 2025$28.2–$28.6 $28.2–$28.6 Maintained
Product Sales ex‑Veklury ($B)FY 2025$26.8–$27.2 $26.8–$27.2 Maintained
Veklury ($B)FY 2025$1.4 $1.4 Maintained
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$5.95–$6.35 $5.65–$6.05 Lowered
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)FY 2025$7.70–$8.10 $7.70–$8.10 Maintained
GAAP Product Gross Margin (%)FY 202577–78% 77–78% Maintained
Non-GAAP Product Gross Margin (%)FY 202585–86% 85–86% Maintained
GAAP Operating Income ($B)FY 2025$10.2–$10.7 $10.2–$10.7 Maintained
Non-GAAP Operating Income ($B)FY 2025$12.7–$13.2 $12.7–$13.2 Maintained
GAAP ETR (%)FY 2025~20% ~21% Slightly higher
Non-GAAP ETR (%)FY 2025~19% ~19% Maintained
Dividend/Capital ReturnQ2 2025Quarterly dividend $0.79 declared Ongoing

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024, Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Lenacapavir PrEP launchFDA BTD; filings “before year-end”; market expansion plans FDA PDUFA June 19; access ramp 75% at 6 months, ~90% at 12 months; launch readiness detailed Advancing to approval/launch
HIV market dynamics & BiktarvyQ3: HIV +9% YoY; Biktarvy share >49% HIV +6% YoY; Biktarvy +7%; U.S. share 51%; Part D headwind noted Demand strong; pricing headwinds
Part D redesignFlagged for 2025 with flat HIV reported sales ~$1.1B total impact; ~$0.9B HIV; phasing through 2025 Headwind confirmed
TrodelvyQ4: ES‑SCLC BTD; lung strategy refined Q1: ASCENT‑04 PFS benefit in 1L PD‑L1+ TNBC; Q/Q inventory-driven softness Positive clinical; near-term sales mixed
Cell Therapy competitive landscapeQ3: in/out‑of‑class competition; community expansion strategy Continued headwinds; Tecartus -22%; Yescarta +2%; CAR‑T access initiatives ongoing Competition persists; execution focus
Tariffs/FX/macroNoted FX tailwinds and expense discipline Tariffs manageable; potential lighter FX headwinds; guidance reaffirmed Manageable cost impact
Regulatory/legalDOJ settlement on PrEP patents; EMA seladelpar positive opinion EMA validation for lenacapavir; EC conditional seladelpar approval Broadening approvals

Management Commentary

  • “Gilead had a strong start to the year driven by excellent commercial and clinical execution along with disciplined expense management…our base business grew 4% year-over-year, primarily led by Biktarvy’s continued strength,” — Daniel O’Day, CEO .
  • “Product sales, excluding Veklury of $6.3 billion were up 4% year-over-year… Sequentially, sales were down 12% as expected, mainly due to inventory dynamics,” — Johanna Mercier, CCO .
  • “First quarter operating margin was 43%… non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.81,” — Andrew Dickinson, CFO .
  • “We remain on track for the June 19 PDUFA date [lenacapavir for PrEP] and the potential launch in the U.S. immediately following,” — Daniel O’Day .
  • “Trodelvy plus pembrolizumab demonstrated a statistically significant and clinically meaningful improvement in progression free survival in 1L PD‑L1+ mTNBC,” — Dietmar Berger, CMO .

Q&A Highlights

  • PrEP access ramp: ~75% coverage at 6 months, ~90% at 12 months; early medical exceptions expected; launch operations across buy‑and‑bill and specialty pharmacy pathways .
  • CDC/HHS budget uncertainty: No change to lenacapavir launch plans; Gilead engaging policymakers; continued market development for PrEP .
  • Part D redesign impact: Guidance assumptions unchanged; ~$1.1B total impact (≈$0.9B HIV); HIV demand‑led growth obscured in 2025 .
  • Trodelvy sales dynamics: Q/Q lower demand from strong Q4 and inventory; YoY -5% driven by inventory/pricing; competitive impact limited so far .
  • Tariffs: Indirect tariffs absorbed; FX tailwinds help offset; guidance reaffirmed .

Estimates Context

  • EPS beat, revenue miss: Q1 non‑GAAP EPS $1.81 vs $1.776* (+$0.03), revenue $6.67B vs $6.82B* (‑$0.16B). Beat driven by cost discipline and lower R&D/SG&A; miss driven by Veklury normalization and oncology softness . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Estimate implications: HIV demand strong but Part D reduces reported growth; Veklury guidance held at $1.4B despite Q1 variability (update deferred until Q3), which may temper near‑term revenue revisions; Trodelvy clinical momentum could support 2026 trajectory despite near‑term inventory effects .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core HIV franchise resilient: Biktarvy demand and share gains, Descovy PrEP strength; reported 2025 HIV sales likely flat due to Part D, but volume growth intact .
  • Near-term catalyst path: Lenacapavir PrEP PDUFA June 19 with launch readiness; potential ASCENT‑03 update later this quarter; Trodelvy ASCENT‑04 supports 1L TNBC expansion .
  • Margin quality: Non‑GAAP product gross margin 85.5% and operating margin 43.4% underscore disciplined execution; cash generation $1.76B operating cash flow in Q1 .
  • Oncology mixed near term: Trodelvy and cell therapy face inventory/competition headwinds, but medium‑term prospects buoyed by positive data and anito‑cel path to 2026 .
  • Guidance steady ex‑GAAP EPS: FY25 revenue/ex‑Veklury/non‑GAAP EPS maintained; GAAP EPS lowered on amortization/tax effects. Macro/tariffs manageable per CFO .
  • Capital & rating: Ongoing dividends/buybacks; S&P upgrade to A‑ reflects strong HIV outlook and cash flows—a supportive credit signal .
  • Trading lens: Near term, watch PrEP approval/access ramp and Trodelvy data cadence; medium term, HIV long‑acting portfolio and oncology execution drive thesis .
Notes: 
- Consensus values marked * are from S&P Global.