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GL

GREYSTONE LOGISTICS, INC. (GLGI)·Q3 2022 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue surged 54.7% YoY to $22.45M in Q3 FY2022 on volume recovery and a large retail contract; sequential sales also rose sharply from $15.84M in Q2 to $22.45M in Q3 .
  • Margins improved sequentially with gross margin rising to ~12.1% from ~6.2% in Q2, though still below ~17.6% a year ago due to inflationary raw material/labor costs; operating margin recovered to ~4.6% vs. -1.0% in Q2 .
  • EPS was $0.02 vs. $(0.01) in Q2 and $0.02 a year ago; Q1 EPS ($0.09 diluted) benefited from PPP loan forgiveness, distorting year-to-date comparisons .
  • Management emphasized continued pricing actions, contract manufacturing (including Mexico), and capacity additions (two large-tonnage injection machines; shredder/pelletizing lines) to offset inflation and support growth .
  • No Wall Street consensus from S&P Global was available to assess beat/miss; focus shifts to execution on capacity ramp and margin normalization (S&P Global estimates unavailable).

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong top-line growth: Q3 sales grew 54.7% YoY to $22.45M, driven by a major retailer contract, returning beer industry volume, and ~91% YoY distributor sales growth .
  • Sequential margin recovery: Q3 gross profit of $2.72M on $22.45M sales (~12.1% margin) vs. $0.98M on $15.84M (~6.2%) in Q2; operating income improved to $1.04M from a Q2 loss .
  • Arbitration overhang removed: iGPS arbitration terminated in Jan 2022 with no monetary settlement, reducing legal uncertainty and SG&A drag from legal fees .

Management quote: “Greystone continues to perform well in a very difficult inflationary environment… [We are] now manufacturing under contract at three other locations including Mexico. Two large tonnage injection machines are on order… [but] material costs … continue to pressure margins and we anticipate the need to make additional adjustments.”

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression vs. prior year: Q3 gross margin ~12.1% and operating margin ~4.6% remain below ~17.6% and ~9.6% in Q3 FY2021, reflecting inflation in recycled resin, wage increases, and cost absorption .
  • Elevated cost structure: Management cited inflationary raw material pricing, labor shortages/downtime, and wage inflation as key headwinds impacting profitability .
  • Customer concentration: Three customers accounted for ~78% of sales in the quarter, maintaining concentration risk despite expanding distributor mix .

Financial Results

Quarterly P&L progression (oldest → newest)

MetricQ1 FY2022 (Aug 31, 2021)Q2 FY2022 (Nov 30, 2021)Q3 FY2022 (Feb 28, 2022)
Revenue ($)$14,774,399 $15,844,567 $22,450,682
Gross Profit ($)$1,462,094 $976,966 $2,716,527
Gross Margin (%)9.9% (calc from )6.2% (calc from )12.1% (calc from )
Operating Income ($)$243,490 $(156,934) $1,035,548
Operating Margin (%)1.6% (calc from )-1.0% (calc from )4.6% (calc from )
Net Income to Common ($)$2,970,921 $(378,844) $452,458
Diluted EPS ($)$0.09 $(0.01) $0.02

YoY comparison for the quarter

MetricQ3 FY2021 (Feb 28, 2021)Q3 FY2022 (Feb 28, 2022)
Revenue ($)$14,511,196 $22,450,682
Gross Profit ($)$2,556,974 $2,716,527
Gross Margin (%)17.6% (calc from )12.1% (calc from )
Operating Income ($)$1,388,548 $1,035,548
Operating Margin (%)9.6% (calc from )4.6% (calc from )
Net Income to Common ($)$633,456 $452,458
Diluted EPS ($)$0.02 $0.02

KPIs and Balance Sheet (as of Q3 FY2022 unless noted)

KPIValue
Cash and Equivalents$7,982,172
Total Long-Term Debt (gross)$14,245,772
Current Portion of Long-Term Debt$2,818,321
Long-Term Debt, net of current$11,396,240
Deferred Revenue (period-end)$10,218,357
Operating Cash Flow (9M)$9,184,533
Capex Purchases (9M)$4,875,530
Customer Concentration (Q3)~78% of sales from three customers

Notes:

  • Q1 EPS was boosted by PPP loan forgiveness recognized in Q1 ($3.07M gain), materially inflating YTD earnings .
  • Sequential margin improvement in Q3 reflects higher throughput and pricing actions amid still elevated input costs .

Guidance Changes

No formal numerical guidance was provided. Operational updates indicate capacity and cost initiatives:

Metric/ItemPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent UpdateChange
Shredder & Pelletizing SystemTarget onlinen/aExpected operational “about December 2022” New timing detail
Injection Molding CapacityMulti-quartern/aTwo large-tonnage machines on order; additional grinding/pelletizing lines Expansion underway
Contract ManufacturingOngoingn/aManufacturing under contract at three other locations including Mexico Expanded footprint
Legal (iGPS arbitration)Q3 FY2022Ongoing in Q2Terminated in Jan 2022 with no monetary settlement Resolved

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

No earnings call transcript was available for Q3 FY2022; themes compiled from the 8-K/press releases and 10-Q MD&A.

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3 FY2022)Trend
Supply chain & inflationQ1/Q2: Significant raw material inflation; labor shortages; price actions underway . Q2 press: “Supply chain issues are real!” .Costs still pressuring margins; continued pricing and adjustments planned .Persistent headwind; mitigation ongoing.
Labor & capacity utilizationQ1/Q2: Labor shortages, downtime; 40 hires and training initiatives .Sequential margin recovery suggests better absorption; contract manufacturing adds flexibility .Improving sequentially, still tight market.
Pricing actionsQ1/Q2: Implemented/working on price increases .Costs rising “faster than ability to compensate” earlier; continued adjustments anticipated .Ongoing, catching up to costs.
Capacity expansionQ2 press: New equipment ordered over ~10 months .Two injection machines on order; shredder/pelletizing to be online ~Dec 2022 .Building for growth/cost control.
Legal/regulatoryQ2: iGPS arbitration ongoing .Arbitration terminated without monetary settlement .Overhang removed.
Customer/distributor mixQ1/Q2: Distributor sales 29%/26% of mix .Distributor sales up ~91% YoY; 3 customers still ~78% of sales .Broader channel, still concentrated.

Management Commentary

  • Strategy and growth: “Our current customer base is stable and demand is growing… manufacturing under contract at three other locations including Mexico… two large tonnage injection machines are on order… [plus] plastic grinding and pelletizing lines to support the additional production.”
  • Margin outlook: “Material costs… continue to pressure margins and we anticipate the need to make additional adjustments.”
  • Operating environment: “Supply chain issues are real!”; management implemented necessary price increases, hired ~40 staff, and expects new tools/equipment to “push top line and bottom-line growth.”
  • New business: “New contract for $13,500,000 of recycled pallets to a national retailer is expected to have a definite impact.”

Q&A Highlights

No earnings call transcript for Q3 FY2022 was available; no Q&A to report (no transcript found).

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus estimates for GLGI’s Q3 FY2022 revenue and EPS were unavailable at the time of review; therefore, we cannot assess beat/miss versus Wall Street expectations (S&P Global estimates unavailable).
  • Given the lack of published consensus, near-term estimate revisions will likely focus on gross margin recovery trajectory (input costs vs. pricing), volume ramp from capacity additions, and potential moderation of legal/SG&A expenses post-arbitration .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Sequential recovery: Strong Q3 revenue and improved margins vs. Q2 suggest healthier throughput and pricing traction, though margins remain below prior year due to persistent inflation .
  • Capacity-led upside: Two new injection machines plus shredder/pelletizing assets (target ~Dec 2022) should support volume growth and greater recycled input control, aiding margin normalization .
  • Customer/channel mix: Distributor growth and a large national retailer contract diversify demand, but concentration risk persists with ~78% of Q3 sales from three customers .
  • Legal overhang cleared: The termination of the iGPS arbitration without monetary settlement removes a notable uncertainty and could reduce SG&A burden going forward .
  • Watch the cost curve: Investment case hinges on input cost normalization and pass-through pricing effectiveness; management signaled continued “adjustments” amid inflation .
  • Cash generation: YTD operating cash flow of $9.18M vs. $4.88M capex supports investment in growth while managing leverage and working capital needs .
  • No consensus: With no S&P Global consensus available, stock moves may be driven by company-specific execution (capacity ramp, margin trend) rather than beats/misses (S&P Global estimates unavailable).

Sources: Q3 FY2022 8-K press release and exhibits ; Q3 FY2022 10-Q financial statements and MD&A ; Q2 FY2022 10-Q and press release .