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GE

Genie Energy Ltd. (GNE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue grew 16.0% year over year to $105.3M, but gross margin contracted 1,445 bps to 22.3% as GRE’s wholesale power costs spiked, driving adjusted EBITDA down to $3.0M and diluted EPS to $0.11 .
  • GRE’s customer base expanded to ~419k meters (+14.8% YoY) and 414k RCEs (+20.5% YoY), while churn improved to 4.8% from 5.5% in Q1; GREW revenue rose 57.3% YoY to $6.3M and the segment neared breakeven .
  • Management reaffirmed FY2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance of $40–$50M, contingent on “normalized” retail margin conditions and continued GREW momentum; Lansing community solar expected to commission in Q3 .
  • Capital returns continued: 159k shares repurchased ($2.7M) and a $0.075 quarterly dividend declared for Q2 (paid Aug 19; record Aug 11) .
  • Estimates context: S&P Global consensus for Q2 2025 EPS/revenue was unavailable; coverage appears thin—consensus exists for forward quarters but only one estimate per metric, limiting robustness* [GetEstimates Q2 2025].

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Customer growth and retention: Meters rose to ~419k (+14.8% YoY) and RCEs to 414k (+20.5% YoY); churn improved to 4.8% vs 5.5% in Q1, supporting volume growth .
  • Renewables execution: GREW revenue increased 57.3% YoY to $6.3M, led by Diversegy (+59.5% YoY) and Genie Solar; segment approached breakeven as losses narrowed to ~$0.2M .
  • Strategic and shareholder returns: Reaffirmed FY2025 adjusted EBITDA $40–$50M; repurchased ~159k shares and paid $0.075 dividend; commissioning of Lansing community solar in Q3 on track .
  • Quote: “We continue to expect that Genie will generate $40 to $50 million of consolidated Adjusted EBITDA in 2025.” .

What Went Wrong

  • Margin compression: Gross margin fell to 22.3% (from 36.8%); GRE operating income dropped 73% to $4.0M and GRE adjusted EBITDA fell to $4.4M (from $14.9M), driven by elevated wholesale prices and early-summer heat .
  • Cost spikes by region and commodity: Cost of electricity per kWh sold increased ~20% YoY, particularly in PJM and MISO; cost per therm of gas +52% YoY, overwhelming revenue growth .
  • Profitability deterioration: Consolidated income from operations declined to $2.0M (vs $10.6M), adjusted EBITDA to $3.0M (vs $12.0M), and diluted EPS to $0.11 (vs $0.36) .

Financial Results

Consolidated Performance vs Prior Periods

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$102.9 $136.8 $105.3
Gross Margin (%)32.5% 27.3% 22.3%
Income from Operations ($USD Millions)$(20.8) $12.8 $2.0
Operating Margin (%)(20.2)% 9.4% 1.9%
Net Income Attributable to Common ($USD Millions)$(15.3) $10.6 $2.8
Diluted EPS ($)$(0.58) $0.40 $0.11
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$11.1 $14.4 $3.0

Notes: CFO commentary referenced comparative figures that modestly differ from the 8‑K (e.g., prior adjusted EBITDA); table reflects official 8‑K values .

Segment Breakdown

SegmentMetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
GRERevenue ($USD Millions)$86.7 $132.5 $99.0
GREGross Margin (%)37.2% 27.1% 21.5%
GREIncome from Operations ($USD Millions)$14.6 $16.8 $4.0
GREAdjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$14.9 $17.1 $4.4
GREWRevenue ($USD Millions)$4.0 $4.3 $6.3
GREWGross Margin (%)26.8% 33.7% 34.5%
GREWIncome from Operations ($USD Millions)$(1.4) $(0.9) $(0.2)

KPIs (GRE Operations)

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
RCEs (000s)343 402 414
RCEs – Electricity (000s)265 318 332
RCEs – Natural Gas (000s)79 84 82
Meters (000s)365 413 419
Meters – Electricity (000s)278 325 332
Meters – Natural Gas (000s)85 88 87
Gross Meter Additions (000s)53 61 70
Churn (%)4.6% 5.5% 4.8%

Balance sheet snapshot: Cash, restricted cash, and marketable equity securities totaled $201.6M; total assets $383.1M; liabilities $195.9M; working capital $115.0M at June 30, 2025 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Adjusted EBITDA (Consolidated)FY2025$40–$50M $40–$50M Maintained
Dividend per ShareQ2 2025$0.075 (ongoing quarterly) $0.075; paid Aug 19; record Aug 11 Maintained
Lansing Community Solar CommissioningQ3 2025“as early as Q3” (Q1 commentary) “expect to commission in Q3” Timing reaffirmed

Management also indicated a pause in early-stage solar development following accelerated phase-out of federal ITCs under the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” reassessing pipeline viability; not quantitative guidance but strategically material .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024, Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Retail margins & commodity environmentQ4: Reduced electricity margins; strong acquisition spend . Q1: Stable pricing supported GRE margin/earnings .Significant margin compression from wholesale spikes; costs up in PJM/MISO; expecting normalization .Deteriorated in Q2; management expects improvement
Customer base growthQ4: +23k net meters; +60k FY adds . Q1: ~413k meters; +48k YoY .~419k meters; gross adds 70k; churn improved to 4.8% .Positive momentum sustained
GREW strategy & profitabilityQ4: Diversegy turned adj. EBITDA positive; refocus to utility-scale . Q1: GREW revenue down YoY due to solar exit; progress on pipeline .GREW revenue +57%; loss narrowed; Lansing commissioning in Q3; pause on early-stage projects per legislation .Improving top line/margins; selective pipeline pruning
Legislative/regulatory (solar ITC)N/A“One Big Beautiful Bill” accelerates ITC phase-out; re-evaluating early-stage projects; pausing new development .New headwind; strategy adapted
Hedging & weather riskQ4/Q1: Not emphasized publiclyHigh heat early summer increased costs; hedging high percent but residual exposure can be material; confidence in normalization .Risk highlighted; mitigation described
Capital returnsQ4: Buybacks and dividend continued . Q1: $0.075 dividend; repurchases .159k shares repurchased; $0.075 dividend declared .Ongoing

Management Commentary

  • CEO on quarter mix: “Our second quarter yielded mixed results with solid operational progress and double-digit topline growth, while significant margin compression at GRE weighed on our bottom-line.” .
  • On GREW and Lansing: “We expect to commission [Lansing] in the third quarter… following the enactment of the ‘One Big Beautiful Bill’, we… paused new development projects.” .
  • CFO on cost drivers: “Cost of electricity per kilowatt hour sold increased 20% YoY... particularly within the PJM and MISO interconnection zones. Our cost per therm of gas also increased, up 52% YoY.” .
  • On guidance: “We confirm Genie’s 2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance at $40 million to $50 million.” .

Q&A Highlights

  • Margin normalization confidence: Management attributed margin compression mainly to early-season heat and indicated wholesale price trends are easing; reiterated high-hedge strategy but noted residual weather variance can materially impact margins .
  • Hedging approach: GRE hedges expected load at a “very high percentage,” but significant deviations vs historical weather can affect the unhedged portion (~20%) and margins .
  • Solar development economics: Early-stage pipeline exposures minimal; most capital outlays occur at construction; paused new adds pending clarity on ITC sunsets under federal legislation .
  • Captive insurance/brokerage: Conservative treasury management “mostly sits in cash”; began health insurance brokerage leveraging marketing channels, with potential expansion over time .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 2025 comparison: S&P Global consensus for Q2 2025 EPS and revenue was unavailable; Genie reported revenue of $105.251M and consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $3.0M for Q2 2025 .
  • Forward coverage: For Q3/Q4 2025, S&P Global shows single-estimate coverage per metric, limiting robustness; use caution interpreting implied expectations*.
MetricQ3 2025 ConsensusQ4 2025 Consensus
Primary EPS Consensus Mean$0.56*$0.07*
Revenue Consensus Mean ($USD)$130.788M*$114.230M*
EBITDA Consensus Mean ($USD)$19.034M*$7.450M*
Revenue – # of Estimates1*1*
Primary EPS – # of Estimates1*1*

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • The quarter’s narrative is margin compression despite strong volume growth; wholesale price spikes (PJM/MISO) and early-season heat drove gross margin down to 22.3%, pressuring EPS and adjusted EBITDA .
  • GREW is becoming a more meaningful contributor: revenue +57% YoY, loss narrowed, with Lansing commissioning as near-term catalyst; Diversegy momentum continues .
  • Customer metrics remain a strength (RCEs +20.5% YoY; churn 4.8%), setting up operating leverage if retail margins normalize as management expects .
  • FY2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance $40–$50M was reaffirmed; if margins revert and GREW executes, upward estimate revisions are plausible, but coverage is thin (single-estimate forward consensus)* .
  • Capital returns persist (buybacks, dividends), underpinned by ~$201.6M in cash/restricted/securities and $115.0M working capital—providing flexibility to weather commodity volatility and invest in renewables .
  • Near-term trading implications: Watch wholesale power trends and weather into late summer/early fall; margin normalization would be a positive surprise vs Q2’s compression .
  • Medium-term thesis: Scale in retail and disciplined renewables development (utility-scale focus, selective pipeline pruning post-ITC changes) can support stable cash generation and capital returns if margin volatility is managed .