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    GLOBAL PAYMENTS (GPN)

    Q3 2024 Earnings Summary

    Reported on Feb 7, 2025 (Before Market Open)
    Pre-Earnings Price$99.05Last close (Oct 29, 2024)
    Post-Earnings Price$98.00Open (Oct 30, 2024)
    Price Change
    $-1.05(-1.06%)
    MetricYoY ChangeReason

    Total Revenue

    +5%

    Higher transaction volumes and continued Merchant Solutions expansion drove revenue gains. The acquisition of EVO in prior periods also contributed to growth, but was partially offset by the divestiture of the consumer business and modest headwinds from foreign currency.

    Merchant Solutions

    +6%

    Increased demand for embedded payments and software fueled segment growth. The prior-year acquisition of EVO strengthened the segment, while ongoing ISV integrations and expanded direct distribution helped drive higher transaction volumes.

    Europe

    +8%

    Europe continued mid-single-digit organic growth, aided by strength in markets like Poland and Greece. Last year’s partial impact from newly integrated businesses and stabilizing U.K. trends contributed to this improvement, despite macro and FX fluctuations.

    Operating Income

    -15%

    Although revenues increased, the absence of last year’s gain on a business disposition and higher amortization of acquired intangibles weighed on operating income. Continued investment in technology and the comparison to prior-year one-time benefits also decreased YoY operating income.

    Net Income

    -9%

    Net income growth was muted by higher non-operating expenses and no repeat of prior-year gains from dispositions. While underlying business performance remained solid, incremental interest costs and acquisition-related amortization limited net income expansion compared to the previous period.

    SG&A

    +18%

    Increased variable selling costs tracked revenue growth, and ongoing integration expenses from prior acquisitions (including EVO) also contributed. However, lower share-based compensation expense partially offset the increase, reflecting some optimization in workforce and compensation management compared to last year.

    Interest Expense

    -12%

    A decrease in average borrowing rates and no repeat of the prior-year noncash charge for credit losses on seller financing notes reduced interest expense compared to the previous period. This was partly offset by elevated debt levels from 2023 acquisitions.

    MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange

    Adjusted net revenue growth

    FY 2024

    5% to 6%

    6% to 7%

    raised

    Merchant business adjusted net revenue

    FY 2024

    9%+

    9%+

    no change

    Merchant business adjusted operating margin

    FY 2024

    up to 30 bps

    up to 40 bps

    raised

    Issuer business adjusted operating margin

    FY 2024

    up to 50 bps

    up to 30 bps

    lowered

    Net interest expense

    FY 2024

    $500 million

    $500 million

    no change

    Adjusted effective tax rate

    FY 2024

    19%

    19%

    no change

    Adjusted EPS

    FY 2024

    $11.54 to $11.70

    $11.54 to $11.70

    no change

    Issuer Solutions adjusted net revenue growth

    FY 2024

    no prior guidance

    4%

    no prior guidance

    MetricPeriodGuidanceActualPerformance
    Total (Adjusted) Net Revenue Growth
    Q3 2024
    5% to 6% for FY 2024
    5.1% YoY increase, from 2,475.7MIn Q3 2023 to 2,601.6MIn Q3 2024
    Met
    Merchant Solutions Adjusted Net Revenue
    Q3 2024
    9-plus% YoY for FY 2024
    6.0% YoY increase, from 1,884.0MIn Q3 2023 to 1,997.7MIn Q3 2024
    Missed
    Net Interest Expense
    Q3 2024
    $500M for FY 2024
    $155.9MIn Q3 2024 (tracking above annual guidance when combined with prior quarters)
    Missed
    TopicPrevious MentionsCurrent PeriodTrend

    Merchant margin expansion and profitability

    Consistently discussed margin expansion each quarter with incremental basis point improvements (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    Expanded by 90 bps, reached 50%, raised guidance to 40 bps (Q3 2024)

    Recurring topic with continued positive sentiment

    Macroeconomic headwinds affecting SMB volume growth

    Mentioned in Q2 (6% growth before moderating), no direct mention in Q1 or Q4

    SMB volume grew 5%, down from 6% in Q2, attributed to macro headwinds (Q3 2024)

    Recurring in Q2 and Q3, showing a softening sentiment

    Growth in integrated payments, point-of-sale, and software solutions

    Mentioned each quarter with strong momentum (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    High single-digit integrated payments growth, low double-digit POS growth, strong software bookings (Q3 2024)

    Consistently positive and repeatedly emphasized

    Issuer Solutions pipeline and modernization

    Highlighted robust pipeline and cloud rollout progress each quarter (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    65 million accounts in the pipeline, expanding cloud conversions, on track for modernization (Q3 2024)

    Ongoing progress with stable positive outlook

    Integration synergies and challenges from the EVO Payments acquisition

    Earlier calls noted synergy realization pacing and initial margin pressure (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    Synergies flowing in, driving Merchant margin upside; no new challenges mentioned (Q3 2024)

    Recurring, sentiment shifted to more stable in Q3

    Transformation initiatives projected for 2025 and beyond

    Discussed streamlining plans each quarter, with heavier impact after 2024 (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    600 initiatives expected to yield results in 2025, positioning for 2026-27 (Q3 2024)

    Recurring focus, details became more concrete

    Changing sentiment on margins: from strong expansion to more modest outlook

    Similar shift toward tempered margin outlook in previous quarters (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    Issuer Solutions margin declines; Merchant margin guidance moderated to 50 bps (Q3 2024)

    Recurring, sentiment consistently more cautious

    Strategic portfolio review and potential restructuring costs

    Ongoing review mentioned, with possible divestitures (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    Announced sale of AdvancedMD, expects one-time charges and $500M run-rate benefit (Q3 2024)

    Recurring, gaining specificity in Q3

    Broad-based slowdown in commercial spending

    Modest deceleration noted in Q2; no mention in Q1 or Q4

    Observed slowdown in commercial card volumes and B2B flows (Q3 2024)

    Topic introduced in Q2, continues in Q3

    Strong free cash flow conversion and financial performance

    Each quarter featured high FCF conversion and steady earnings growth (Q2, Q1, Q4)

    92% FCF conversion; adjusted revenue up; solid EPS growth (Q3 2024)

    Recurring with consistently strong results

    1. Divestitures and Impact on Revenue
      Q: How will the sale of AdvancedMD and other divestitures affect revenue growth?
      A: The sale of AdvancedMD, representing over 20% of our owned software portfolio with 2024 revenue forecasted at $250–$260 million , is the first step in our plan to divest $500–$600 million of revenue. Although AdvancedMD was growing at a high single-digit rate , these divestitures are accounted for in our midterm guidance. We remain confident in achieving mid-single-digit organic revenue growth in 2025, even as aggregate revenue will be impacted by these divestitures.

    2. 2025 Revenue Growth and Transformation
      Q: Can you explain your confidence in achieving mid-single-digit revenue growth in 2025 amid transformation initiatives?
      A: We have strong confidence in our 2025 outlook, targeting mid-single-digit organic revenue growth. Our transformation initiatives are underway, with over 600 projects expected to start positively impacting the business in 2025. We've built sufficient flexibility and cushion to execute these initiatives while still delivering double-digit earnings per share growth and returning $2 billion to shareholders next year.

    3. Capital Return Plans
      Q: What are your plans for capital return and leverage targets?
      A: We announced a $600 million accelerated share repurchase and plan to buy back approximately $2 billion worth of shares in 2025, maintaining leverage around the low 3x level. Over the next three years, including the $600 million ASR, we aim to return around $7.5 billion to shareholders, representing about 30–33% of our market cap.

    4. Impact of Macro on Commercial Spend
      Q: How is macroeconomic softness affecting commercial spend and your issuer business?
      A: We're experiencing broad-based softness in commercial spend due to businesses being cautious in the current macro environment. This includes reduced flows in both commercial card volumes and B2B transactions. While we haven't lost any customers, the overall slowdown in business spending is impacting our issuer business results.

    5. Merchant Growth Trends and Outlook
      Q: What are the trends in merchant growth, and what do you expect for Q4?
      A: Merchant organic growth slowed by about 1 point from Q2 to Q3, moving from 7% to 6%, influenced by weather impacts and some macro softness. For Q4, we're anticipating a slight improvement due to less weather disruption and reduced FX headwinds, though the increase may not be significant.

    6. POS Consolidation and Replatforming
      Q: How is the point-of-sale consolidation and replatforming progressing?
      A: We're aligning all our POS capabilities under the Genius brand, receiving positive reception both internally and in the market. While it's early days, we expect to phase out legacy platforms over time, primarily impacting the 2025 timeframe. The replatforming aims to unify our offerings, with benefits expected to materialize in 2026 and 2027.

    7. Merchant Segment Margin Expansion
      Q: What drove the margin expansion in the Merchant segment this quarter?
      A: Merchant segment margins increased by 90 basis points in Q3, exceeding expectations. This outperformance was due to a better revenue mix, synergy realization from integrations, and strong execution. Consequently, we've raised our full-year margin guidance for the Merchant segment to an increase of 40 basis points.

    8. Transformation Initiatives Impact
      Q: When will transformation initiatives start impacting performance?
      A: Many of our transformation initiatives are expected to begin positively impacting the business in 2025, particularly in the latter half of the year. These include benefits from over 600 projects in our transformation pipeline, positioning us for revenue acceleration in 2026 and 2027.

    9. AdvancedMD Post-Sale Relationship
      Q: Will you continue as the payment provider for AdvancedMD after the sale?
      A: Yes, we'll remain an integrated partner and continue as the payment provider for AdvancedMD. There's still room to increase payment penetration within their portfolio, and we expect to grow and scale with them as they execute their own growth initiatives.

    10. SMB Volume Growth
      Q: What's the trend in SMB volume growth?
      A: SMB volume growth was 5% in Q3, down from 6% in Q2. This slight decline reflects broader economic conditions and specific weather-related impacts in September. However, October is showing improvement due to the absence of these weather issues.

    Research analysts covering GLOBAL PAYMENTS.