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US

U S GLOBAL INVESTORS INC (GROW)·Q4 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Fiscal Q4 2025 reporting centered on full-year results: FY2025 operating revenues were $8.452M, with a net loss of $0.334M ($0.03 per share) as average AUM fell to $1.4B; management cited tariff-driven market volatility and AUM declines (especially JETS) as primary drivers .
  • Liquidity remained strong with ~$24.6M cash and $37.2M net working capital; Board authorized monthly dividend of $0.0075/share for Jul–Sep 2025 and executed 801,043 share repurchases ($2M) during FY2025 .
  • Strategic progress: SEA listed in Mexico and GOAU listed in Colombia; AI/Defense WAR ETF positioned against record defense spending and NATO’s long-term target increases .
  • Near-term catalyst: subsequent quarter (Q1 FY2026) returned to profitability (net income $1.507M; EPS $0.12), with operating revenues up sequentially; gold inflows supported fund flows into USERX/GOAU, offering potential momentum into year-end .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Strong balance sheet and liquidity: net working capital ~$37.2M and cash ~$24.6M at FY-end; monthly dividend continued .
    • Strategic expansion: SEA listed on BMV (Mexico) and GOAU listed in Colombia; WAR positioned for AI/cyber/defense super-cycle (“WAR was built for this moment…”) .
    • Management conviction and support: 801,043 shares repurchased (~$2M) and ongoing monthly dividend program; Holmes emphasized quantamental Smart Beta 2.0 and disciplined buybacks on “flat/down days” .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Top-line pressure: FY2025 operating revenues declined 23% YoY to $8.452M; operating loss widened to $(2.986)M .
    • AUM headwinds: average AUM fell to $1.4B (from $1.9B), with CFO attributing the revenue decline primarily to lower AUM, “especially in our JETS ETF” .
    • Macro/tariff volatility: management repeatedly cited tariff uncertainty as a key challenge; quarterly EPS/earnings impacted by tariff war; investor apathy toward airlines and gold persisted despite improving fundamentals .

Financial Results

FY performance (full-year release aligned with Q4 FY2025 quarter):

MetricFY 2024FY 2025
Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$10.984 $8.452
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$11.464 $11.438
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(0.480) $(2.986)
Total Other Income ($USD Millions)$2.395 $2.724
Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes ($USD Millions)$1.915 $(0.262)
Income Tax Expense ($USD Millions)$0.582 $0.072
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$1.333 $(0.334)
Net Income (Loss) Per Share ($USD)$0.09 $(0.03)
Avg. Common Shares Outstanding (Basic)14,182,300 13,343,506
Avg. AUM ($USD Billions)$1.9 $1.4

Quarterly trend (prior two quarters and the subsequent quarter for context; Q4 FY2025 quarterly detail was not broken out in filings/call):

MetricQ2 FY2025 (Dec 31, 2024)Q3 FY2025 (Mar 31, 2025)Q1 FY2026 (Sep 30, 2025)
Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$2.231 $2.103 $2.251
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$2.770 $2.996 $2.766
Operating Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(0.539) $(0.893) $(0.515)
Total Other Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$0.423 $0.648 $2.359
Income (Loss) Before Income Taxes ($USD Millions)$(0.116) $(0.245) $1.844
Income Tax Expense (Benefit) ($USD Millions)$(0.030) $0.137 $0.337
Net Income (Loss) ($USD Millions)$(0.086) $(0.382) $1.507
EPS ($USD)$(0.01) $(0.03) $0.12
Avg. AUM ($USD Billions)$1.5 $1.4 $1.4

Segment/earnings mix (company’s two buckets, per CFO remarks and FY data):

MetricFY 2024FY 2025
Operating Revenues ($USD Millions)$10.984 $8.452
Total Other Income ($USD Millions)$2.395 $2.724
CFO framing: operational vs “other” (investments)Operational earnings (advisory services); other driven by realized/unrealized gains/losses—both fluctuate with markets Operational earnings (advisory services); other driven by realized/unrealized gains/losses—both fluctuate with markets

KPIs and balance sheet highlights:

KPIFY End (Jun 30, 2025)Subsequent Quarter (Sep 30, 2025)
Total AUM at period-end ($USD Billions)$1.3 $— (not disclosed)
Avg. AUM ($USD Billions)$1.4 $1.4
Net Working Capital ($USD Millions)~$37.2 ~$37.2
Cash & Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)~$24.6 ~$24.6
Shareholder Yield9.1% 8.32%
Share Repurchases (shares; $USD Approx.)801,043; ~$2.0M 159,074; ~$0.4M
Monthly Dividend ($/share)$0.0075 (Jul–Sep 2025) $0.0075 (Oct–Dec 2025)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Monthly Dividend per ShareQ4 FY2025 (Jul–Sep 2025)$0.0075/month approved for Apr–Jun 2025 $0.0075/month approved for Jul–Sep 2025 Maintained
Share Repurchase ProgramOngoing (annual authorization)Up to $5M per calendar year (renewed annually) Up to $5M per calendar year (renewed annually) Maintained
Earnings WebcastQ4 FY2025May 9 webcast (Q3 results) Sep 9 webcast (FY2025/Q4 context) Scheduled update

No formal revenue, margin, OpEx, OI&E, or tax rate guidance was issued in Q4 FY2025 materials .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q4 FY2025)Trend
AI/technology initiatives (WAR ETF)WAR launched Dec 2024; AI/data center spend highlighted; EU defense spend context “Record Defense Spending Constructive for AI WAR ETF”; WAR built for this moment (AI, semis, cybersecurity, aerospace) Increasing emphasis on AI-driven defense exposure
Tariffs/macro volatilityTariff fears; gold as hedge; Dec quarter losses noted Holmes/CFO cite tariff war and volatility impacting quarterly EPS and revenue; shipping rates rebounded despite tariffs Persistent headwind, some operational normalization
Gold/product performanceGold demand at all-time high; GOAU positive performance Gold at/all-time highs; gold stocks “ripping”; GOAU flows comparatively resilient Strengthening tailwinds; central bank buying backdrop
Bitcoin ecosystemCompany increasing investment in Bitcoin; HIVE strategy outlined “Increase our exposure to the Bitcoin ecosystem”; redeploying debenture repayments into crypto ecosystem Expansion of digital asset exposure
International listings/distributionTRIP moved to active management; travel secular growth SEA listed on BMV; GOAU listed in Colombia; expanding LatAm access Broadening geographic reach
Shareholder capital returnsContinued dividends; higher buyback activity YoY 801k shares repurchased (~$1.9–$2.0M), monthly dividends maintained; shareholder yield ~9% Maintained/steady capital return

Management Commentary

  • “Markets in fiscal 2025 were among the most difficult to navigate… Yet amid the turbulence, we also witnessed a remarkable rebound in U.S. equities… At U.S. Global, we remain committed to helping investors navigate the volatility with disciplined strategies in specialized sectors” — Frank Holmes .
  • “WAR was built for this moment, blending our quantamental Smart Beta 2.0 approach with active management to give investors access to companies driving the future of defense and security” — Frank Holmes .
  • “Our operating revenues were $8.5 million… a decrease of 23%… The decrease is primarily due to a decrease in assets under management, especially in our JETS ETF” — CFO Lisa Callicotte .
  • “We strategically buy back the stock using an algorithm on flattened down days… preserve cash for future growth… Increase our exposure to the Bitcoin ecosystem” — Frank Holmes .
  • “The company pays a monthly dividend… Shareholder yield is 9%” — Frank Holmes .

Q&A Highlights

  • Format: Webcast featured prepared remarks (CEO, CFO, Marketing) and invited audience questions via email; no live sell-side Q&A captured in transcript .
  • Clarifications: CFO linked revenue decline to AUM pressure (notably JETS), while other income rose on investment income and lower realized/unrealized losses YoY .
  • Strategy emphasis: Management reiterated Smart Beta 2.0, buybacks/dividends discipline, Bitcoin ecosystem exposure, and WAR positioning for AI/defense super-cycle .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global consensus: No published EPS or revenue consensus for Q4 FY2025 or Q1 FY2026 was available; S&P Global returned no consensus values for GROW’s quarterly EPS/revenue and target price at this time (Values retrieved from S&P Global).*
  • Implication: With limited/absent coverage, estimate-based beat/miss analysis is not practicable; investors should focus on AUM trajectory, revenue mix, and other income variability tied to market performance .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Balance sheet strength and ongoing capital returns (buybacks/dividends) create downside support while AUM-driven revenue remains the key swing factor .
  • Gold strength and defense/AI themes provide secular tailwinds for GOAU/WAR; management highlighted improving gold flows and WAR’s positioning amid record defense spending .
  • Airlines/travel exposure via JETS/TRIP intersects with tariff/macro sensitivity; management sees operational AI/pricing power in airlines but acknowledges recent apathy in flows .
  • Near-term trading: Watch monthly AUM updates and fund flows across JETS/GOAU/SEA—inflections tend to correlate with revenue and stock interest .
  • Medium-term thesis: Quantamental Smart Beta 2.0 platform with expanding international distribution (Mexico/Colombia) and active strategies (WAR/TRIP) positions GROW for diversified fee streams .
  • Other income variability can materially affect quarterly results; expect earnings sensitivity to investment income and market swings, especially in volatile macro regimes .
  • With consensus estimates scarce, monitor management execution milestones (product listings, buybacks/dividends continuity) and macro catalysts (gold, defense spend, tariffs) for narrative shifts .

Notes:
*Values retrieved from S&P Global.