GD
Gryphon Digital Mining, Inc. (GRYP)·Q3 2024 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2024 mining revenues were $3.69M, down from $5.48M in Q3 2023, while net loss narrowed to $5.95M from $8.09M YoY; adjusted EBITDA improved to -$2.45M from -$4.73M YoY .
- Breakeven cost per Bitcoin spiked to $59,213 vs. $22,625 last year, reflecting the 2024 halving and higher global hashrate; the company mined 61 BTC vs. 176 BTC in Q3 2023 .
- Management emphasized a transformative debt restructuring with Anchorage: ~$13M converted to equity at
100% premium and remaining $5M at 4.25% interest, materially improving flexibility and cash outflows ($17.7K/month) . - Catalysts into Q4/Q1: pending fleet relocation to lower-cost power (targeting static $0.06–$0.04/kWh and selective ~$0.01/kWh opportunities) and strategic expansion into AI/HPC hosting, with updates promised by year-end .
- No formal revenue/EPS guidance; Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for GRYP due to mapping limitations (estimates not retrieved).
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Adjusted EBITDA improved materially YoY to -$2.45M from -$4.73M; EBITDA also improved to -$2.76M from -$3.86M, reflecting cost discipline despite revenue pressure .
- Strategic balance sheet actions: ~$13M debt converted to equity at ~100% premium; remaining $5M at 4.25% interest-only over 3 years, reducing monthly interest to ~$17.7K and eliminating prior cash/BTC sweeps .
- Clear AI/HPC strategy articulation: leveraging mining infrastructure and low-cost power sourcing to diversify into high-performance compute hosting, with management committing to near-term execution .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue contraction and BTC production decline: mining revenues fell to $3.69M (from $5.48M total revenues in Q3 2023) and BTC mined dropped to 61 (from 176) amid halving and rising network hashrate .
- Operating costs vs. output: breakeven cost per BTC rose sharply to $59,213 (from $22,625), compressing margins; profit-sharing hosting terms also raise costs as BTC price rises .
- Limited cash reserves at quarter-end ($0.37M) and current liabilities of $26.41M (prior to successful post-quarter refinancing), highlighting near-term liquidity/operational execution risks .
Financial Results
Consolidated YoY Comparison
Segment Revenue Breakdown
KPIs
Note: Average BTC price noted on the call was $59,224 for Q3 2024, consistent with the elevated breakeven context .
Balance Sheet Highlights (Quarter-End)
Subsequent event: ~$19M BTC-denominated note refinanced into equity plus $5M note at 4.25% (post-quarter) .
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We completed what we believe is a transformative debt restructuring with Anchorage Digital… converting $13 million of debt to equity at a substantial premium… and restructuring the remaining $5 million on highly favorable terms” .
- “We expect that our enhanced financial flexibility and focus on securing low-cost power deals position us to expand our Bitcoin mining operations while pursuing breakthrough opportunities in AI computing” .
- “This is not some disconnected pivot… securing low cost power, plugging computers into that power… is equally applicable to Bitcoin mining and to AI computing” .
- “We will definitively have an update on where we are taking our fleet… by the end of the year” .
Q&A Highlights
- Power cost dynamics: Q3 power averaged ~$0.062–$0.063/kWh vs. Q2 ~$0.058–$0.059/kWh; profit-sharing terms increase costs as BTC price rises, prompting pursuit of static lower-cost contracts .
- Average BTC price in Q3: $59,224, anchoring breakeven and revenue context .
- Fleet relocation: Management committed to provide a definitive update before year-end; Louisiana ~$0.01/kWh site is smaller, broader relocation expected .
- Production outlook and efficiency: With ~30MW and current fleet, profitability improves under static lower-cost power; current fleet ~6,000 S19j Pros, still viable with BTC ≥$65K .
- Anchorage partnership: Debt transition and Board addition (Dan Grigorin) viewed as strategic, providing industry insights and sourcing .
Estimates Context
- Wall Street consensus via S&P Global was unavailable for GRYP due to missing CIQ mapping (no estimates retrieved). As a result, we cannot quantify beats/misses vs. consensus for Q3 2024.
- Given the lack of formal revenue/EPS guidance and unavailable consensus, near-term revisions will likely hinge on power cost updates, fleet relocation timing, and any AI/HPC contract announcements .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term catalysts: definitive fleet relocation update by year-end and any AI/HPC hosting wins; both could materially reset unit economics and narrative .
- Cost structure pivot underway: moving from variable/profit-share to lower/static power rates ($0.06–$0.04/kWh, selective ~$0.01/kWh) to restore margins post-halving and rising global hashrate .
- Balance sheet improved: conversion and refinancing reduce cash drag and add strategic alignment with Anchorage; supports growth optionality without equity-dilutive cash sweeps .
- Operating trajectory: despite YoY revenue and BTC mined declines, adjusted EBITDA improved; execution on power and site transition is the key driver of further margin recovery .
- Strategic diversification: AI/HPC hosting can add a second growth vector leveraging existing competencies; watch for team build-out and contract visibility .
- Liquidity watch: modest cash balances at quarter-end heighten the importance of smooth relocation/contracting and minimizing downtime .
- Data gaps: No formal guidance and unavailable S&P Global consensus constrain near-term estimate benchmarking; expect models to flex after power and relocation disclosures.
Discrepancies and Clarifications
- Breakeven cost per BTC: press release cited $59,213 vs. call commentary citing the halving/hashrate impact; both align directionally; Q3 2023 breakeven cost cited as $22,625 (press) vs. $21,501 (call), indicating minor methodological differences .
- Value per mined Bitcoin vs. average price: press release shows $60,475 (Q3 2024), while the call noted $59,224; differences likely reflect period-end valuation methodologies vs. average realized prices .