GS
Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2025 delivered net investment income (NII) per share of $0.38 and GAAP EPS of $0.34; total investment income (revenue) was $91.0M, with NAV per share down 1.4% to $13.02, largely reflecting declared special/supplemental dividends rather than core book value erosion .
- Results modestly missed S&P Global consensus: EPS $0.3925 vs $0.38 and revenue $93.14M vs $90.97M; management emphasized strong originations and a robust pipeline supporting deployment in H2 2025* [GetEstimates Q2 2025] .
- Credit quality improved: non-accruals decreased to 1.6% of fair value (from 1.9% in Q1) with two restorations to accrual status and one exit; unitranche exposure to Streamland Media moved to non-accrual due to underperformance .
- Capital actions support shareholder returns and funding flexibility: $12.1M of stock repurchases under a 10b5-1 plan (NAV accretive), Q3 base dividend ($0.32) and special dividend ($0.16) declared, and Revolving Credit Facility maturity extended to June 2030 with a 10 bps spread reduction .
- Near-term stock catalysts: dividend confirmations, buyback activity, improving non-accruals, and commentary on accelerating deployment amid resilient M&A activity .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Improved credit metrics: non-accruals decreased to 1.6% of fair value (2.5% of amortized cost), aided by exits and restructurings; Bayside Parent (Pro‑PT) restored to accrual and Lithium Technologies restructured with lender-favorable terms .
- Platform-led origination strength: $247.9M of new commitments (highest since Q3 2024), 100% first-lien senior secured, and GS led 8 of 9 new portfolio company originations; “Of the nine new portfolio companies, we served as lead on eight, which is a tangible indication of the power of the GS platform” .
- Shareholder-friendly actions: $12.1M buybacks were NAV-accretive; Q3 base dividend $0.32 and special dividend $0.16 declared; “We repurchased north of 1,000,000 shares for $12.1 million, which was NAV accretive” .
What Went Wrong
- Revenue and NII down q/q: total investment income fell to $91.0M from $96.9M, driven by smaller portfolio size; NII per share declined to $0.38 from $0.42 .
- One new non-accrual (Streamland Media) added due to underperformance; non-accrual count remained elevated at seven companies, even as the percentage improved .
- Leverage below target with repayments outpacing fundings: net debt-to-equity fell to 1.12x vs a 1.25x target; “some commitments…slipped into the next quarter,” suggesting timing impacts on deployment .
Financial Results
Quarterly Performance vs Prior Quarter
Management noted the revenue decline was driven by portfolio size reduction q/q .
Year-over-Year Comparison (Q2 2024 vs Q2 2025)
Vs Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Bolded takeaways: modest EPS miss and revenue miss versus consensus*.
Portfolio Composition by Investment Type (Fair Value)
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “Our net investment income per share for the quarter was 38¢, and net asset value per share was $13.02… which was largely due to the 16¢ per share special dividend. If you were to exclude the supplemental and special dividend paid in Q2, our book NAV per share increased quarter over quarter” — Vivek Bantwal .
- “We repurchased north of 1,000,000 shares for $12.1 million, which was NAV accretive… 100% of our originations during the quarter were in first lien senior secured loans” — Tucker Greene .
- “Lithium… was restructured… into a take-back term loan debt and a preferred security that gives the lender group claim on a portion of all future distributions… We believe this outcome is the best opportunity to maximize recovery” — David Miller .
- “We amended the Truist RCF to extend maturity… to June 2030 and reduce the spread by 10 bps” — Stanley Matuszewski .
Q&A Highlights
- Deployment vs leverage: Management expects leverage to tick up as slipped commitments fund and strong deal flow continues; current 1.12x is below the 1.25x target .
- Non-accrual resolutions: Pro‑PT removed from non-accrual due to improved performance; Lithium restructured into cash-paying note plus equity-linked security; Kawa preferred exited; one new non-accrual (Streamland Media) added .
Estimates Context
- Q2 2025 results modestly missed consensus: EPS $0.3925 vs $0.38 and revenue $93.14M vs $90.97M; both driven by portfolio size effects and repayments exceeding fundings in the quarter* [GetEstimates Q2 2025] .
- With origination strength (new commitments $247.9M) and a robust pipeline, sell-side may modestly adjust near-term revenue/NII trajectories upward if H2 deployment accelerates* .
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Core earnings power intact: NII per share of $0.38 and adjusted $0.37, with first‑lien bias (90%+) and improving non-accrual metrics underpinning dividend sustainability .
- Capital return and flexibility: $12.1M buybacks and confirmed Q3 base/special dividends, plus extended/repriced RCF enhance balance sheet resilience and return capacity .
- Deployment catalyst: Strong originations and led deals signal competitive advantage; expect leverage to migrate toward 1.25x as delayed fundings close .
- Credit selection and workout capability: Lithium restructure and non-accrual reductions demonstrate effective portfolio management in a volatile backdrop .
- Watch revenue/NII trajectory: Q2 softness tied to smaller portfolio size and repayments; improving pipeline suggests potential q/q recovery .
- Special/supplemental dividends are variable; supplemental fell to $0.03 in Q2 vs $0.05 in Q1—monitor NII generation and board decisions each quarter .
- Near-term narrative: resilient M&A, tightening spreads, platform-led origination, and constructive tone into year-end could be stock-supportive on execution .
Bolded beats/misses: modest EPS and revenue misses vs consensus*.