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GRAN TIERRA ENERGY INC. (GTE)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record production and mixed financials: WI production rose to 47,196 boe/d (+1% q/q; +44% y/y) on Canada integration and Ecuador exploration; revenue (oil, gas, NGL sales) fell to $152.5M (-11% q/q; -8% y/y) amid lower Brent, while Adjusted EBITDA was $77.0M (vs. $85.2M in Q1) and net loss was $12.7M .
  • EPS beat vs. S&P Global: Q2 2025 EPS was $(0.36) vs. consensus $(0.43), a $0.07 beat; revenue consensus was not available* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]*.
  • Cost/operational positives: Operating costs fell to $13.42/boe (lowest since Q1’22), operating netback was $21.39/boe, and hedging delivered a $14M gain; cash from ops declined to $34.7M (-53% q/q) as Brent fell 11% q/q and timing of vendor payments/working capital normalized .
  • Liquidity/deleveraging path: Signed a mandate for up to $200M crude prepayment, confirmed C$100M Canada borrowing base; net debt ended at $746M (total debt $807M, cash $61M) with a long-term target of 1.0x net debt/Adj. EBITDA .
  • Near-term catalysts: Closing of UK North Sea exit (Q3 2025), drilling of two Charapa (Conejo) exploration wells in Ecuador (starting late Q3), and continued Montney ramp can drive sentiment and estimates .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Record total company average quarterly production of 47,196 boe/d as Canada and Ecuador contributions scaled; Acordionero base strengthened via waterflood management and facility upgrades (“continue to mitigate base decline”) .
    • Operating efficiency: Operating costs dropped to $13.42/boe (lowest since Q1’22); South American quality/transport discounts tightened (Castilla $4.73/bbl; Vasconia $1.71/bbl; Oriente $7.26/bbl) supporting realized pricing .
    • Hedging & diversification: $14M derivative hedging gain and balanced hedge book (e.g., ~50% South American oil hedged in 2H25) buffered lower Brent; Canada Montney wells outperforming type curves .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Profitability pressure: Net loss $(12.7)M as Brent fell 11% q/q; operating netback declined to $21.39/boe (-6% q/q; -45% y/y) on pricing and a heavier mix including Canada .
    • Cash flow downshift: Net cash from operating activities fell to $34.7M (-53% q/q; -53% y/y) amid lower prices and working capital timing; funds flow from ops dipped to $53.9M (-3% q/q) .
    • Leverage remains elevated: Net debt $746M (total debt $807M; cash $61M); transportation expense rose with Canada volumes; some Ecuador barrels (143,730 bbl) deferred into July reduced Q2 WI sales .

Financial Results

MetricQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Oil, Natural Gas and NGL Sales ($M)$165.6 $170.5 $152.5
Net (Loss) Income ($M)$36.4 $(19.3) $(12.7)
EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$1.16 $(0.54) $(0.36)
Adjusted EBITDA ($M)$103.0 $85.2 $77.0
Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities ($M)$73.2 $73.2 $34.7
Funds Flow from Operations ($M)$46.2 $55.3 $53.9
Capital Expenditures ($M)$61.3 $94.7 $51.2
Free Cash Flow ($M)$(15.1) $(39.4) $2.7
WI Production Before Royalties (boe/d)32,776 46,647 47,196
Operating Expenses ($/boe)$16.17 $15.89 $13.42
Operating Netback ($/boe)$38.80 $22.70 $21.39
Cash Netback ($/boe)$15.85 $13.04 $12.95
S&P Global EPS Consensus (Primary EPS, $)$(0.43)* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]*
EPS Actual vs. Consensus (Primary EPS, $)$(0.36) vs. $(0.43)* = +$0.07 beat [GetEstimates Q2 2025]*
S&P Global Revenue Consensus ($M)N/A* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]*

Segment/Regional breakdown

  • South America vs. Canada
MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025
South America Oil Sales ($M)$138.7 $118.2
South America OpEx ($M)$(50.8) $(42.6)
South America Transportation ($M)$(4.3) $(4.2)
South America Operating Netback ($M)$83.5 $71.5
South America WI Production (boe/d)29,686 29,700
Canada Oil Sales ($M)$21.3 $23.2
Canada Gas Sales ($M)$7.6 $6.9
Canada NGL Sales ($M)$8.0 $6.4
Canada Royalties ($M)$(5.0) $(2.2)
Canada OpEx ($M)$(16.5) $(13.3)
Canada Transportation ($M)$(2.6) $(3.4)
Canada Operating Netback ($M)$12.7 $17.6
Canada WI Production (boe/d)16,961 17,496

Key KPIs

KPIQ2 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
SA Quality & Transport Discount ($/bbl)$12.79 $11.58 $10.30
Castilla differential ($/bbl)$8.21 $5.34 $4.73
Vasconia differential ($/bbl)$4.00 $2.27 $1.71
Oriente differential ($/bbl)$8.38 $7.65 $7.26
G&A before SBC ($/boe)$3.77 $2.86 $3.48
Hedging impact ($M)$14.0 gain

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (as of Q1’25)Current Guidance (Q2’25)Change
Production (boe/d)FY 202547,000–53,000 No update disclosed in Q2; prior guidance maintainedMaintained
Operating Netback ($M)FY 2025$430–470 (Base Case) No update disclosedMaintained
EBITDA ($M)FY 2025$380–420 (Base Case) No update disclosedMaintained
Cash Flow ($M)FY 2025$260–300 (Base Case) No update disclosedMaintained
Capital Expenditures ($M)FY 2025$240–280 (Base/High) No update disclosedMaintained
Free Cash Flow ($M)FY 2025$20–60 (Base/High) No update disclosedMaintained

Note: Q2 2025 press release/8-K did not provide updated formal guidance ranges; management commentary focused on operations, liquidity, and upcoming catalysts .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

(Gran Tierra’s Q2 2025 earnings call transcript was not available in the document set; themes below use Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 calls for trend context, with Q2 “Current Period” from the press release.)

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4’24, Q1’25)Current Period (Q2’25)Trend
Portfolio diversification & Canada integrationi3 integration “gone quite well;” tech transfer across regions; Canada adds gas optionality Canada Montney wells outperform type curves; Canada operating netback improved q/q; borrowing base reaffirmed Positive execution momentum
Ecuador exploration & developmentMultiple Iguana discoveries; plan to fulfill exploration commitments and transition to development; 2–3 appraisal wells Two Charapa (Conejo) wells to spud late Q3; subsequent Perico/Espejo acquisition announced Aug 5 Building toward development/scale
Acordionero waterflood optimizationQ1 Q&A: sector-by-sector optimization; rising production to ~14.5 kbopd Q2 avg ~14.2 kbopd; record total fluid and water injection rates Sustained reservoir response
Hedging & commodity exposureStrategy to hedge ~30–50% near-term; bullish LT gas; LNG Canada impact discussed $14M hedging gain; detailed oil/gas hedge book for 2H25/1H26 Risk-managed cash flow support
Capital allocation & leverageTarget mix 50% FCF to debt and 50% to buybacks; 2026 amortization via cash/credit Mandate for up to $200M prepay; net debt $746M; modest buybacks continued Liquidity improving; leverage still elevated

Management Commentary

  • “Gran Tierra delivered record-setting production this quarter, reflecting the strength of our diversified portfolio and consistent operational execution across Colombia, Ecuador, and Canada.” — Gary Guidry, President & CEO .
  • “In Acordionero, our proactive waterflood management, surface facility upgrades, pump upsizes and ongoing improvement in electrical submersible pump run lives continue to mitigate base decline.” .
  • “In the Simonette, the first two (1.0 net) Lower Montney wells were completed successfully… Results from both wells are currently out-performing management’s current type curves.” .
  • Liquidity: “Signed a mandate letter with a syndicate of banks for a $200 million prepayment facility backed by crude oil deliveries… closing expected in the third quarter of 2025.” .

Q&A Highlights

(Q2 2025 call transcript not available; highlights below reflect Q1 2025 call context.)

  • Working capital and CapEx timing: Q1 build expected to unwind in Q2; CapEx and vendor timing explained .
  • Hedging policy: Target ~30–50% in first 6 months and 20–30% in next 6 months; increasing hedge position to meet targets .
  • Acordionero optimization: Daily surveillance across five sectors, rapid workovers to sustain response .
  • Capital allocation: Dynamic approach; majority of cash flow to debt reduction with modest buybacks; longer-term split of incremental FCF 50% debt / 50% buybacks discussed in Q4 call .
  • Ecuador development timing: Aim to reach plateau in ~2–3 years post-commitments; infrastructure build-out to support regional development .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Q2 2025 Primary EPS consensus $(0.43)* on 1 estimate vs. actual $(0.36), a $0.07 beat* [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
  • Revenue: No compiled S&P Global consensus available for Q2 2025; actual $152.5M [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
  • EBITDA: Actual $84.9M EBITDA and $77.0M Adjusted EBITDA; consensus series not available in the feed .

Values marked with * were retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Record production with improving unit costs underscores operational execution; South American differentials tightened further, supporting realized pricing despite Brent softness .
  • EPS beat vs S&P Global consensus (loss narrower than expected) should temper downside from lower revenue/prices; however, Adjusted EBITDA stepped down q/q and operating cash flow halved q/q, warranting caution near term [GetEstimates Q2 2025]* .
  • Liquidity actions (up to $200M prepay, confirmed Canada borrowing base) are constructive against a $746M net debt balance; watch timing/terms of the prepay and Q3 close of UK North Sea exit for balance sheet signals .
  • Acordionero waterflood response and Canada Montney outperformance provide line-of-sight to sustaining base and enhancing capital efficiency into 2H25 .
  • Ecuador remains a 2H25 catalyst: Charapa (Conejo) drilling and subsequent Perico/Espejo acquisition could accelerate a broader development plan and infrastructure-led cost improvements .
  • Hedge book and diversified commodity exposure (oil-heavy South America plus Canada gas/liquids) help cushion volatility, but realized netbacks are sensitive to Brent and AECO; maintain focus on differentials/hedge updates .
  • For estimates, absence of revenue consensus limits headline “beat/miss” framing; Street models may need to recalibrate for mix (Canada gas/liquids) and lower Brent, while acknowledging tightening differentials and unit cost progress .

Additional Notes and Sources

  • Q2 2025 press release and 8-K (Item 2.02) provide the detailed financial and operational data and non-GAAP reconciliations -.
  • Relevant Q2 period press releases: UK North Sea asset sale (expected Q3 close) and Board change .
  • Prior quarter context from Q1 2025 press release and call used for trend analysis and guidance baselines -.

(End of report)